Ponies

Saturday’s Graded Stakes Plays at Keeneland and Belmont Park

The Conductor had to lick his wounds after a poor performance Thursday, but he’s been in the pony lab capping all day and night for this monster Saturday card.  Graded stakes action all day across this great country and the Conductor has more than a few prices up his sleeve.  Ponies with college football on a beautiful fall Saturday and the Conductor will pay our rent? Who has it better than us? Nobody.  Let’s Ride

Keeneland Graded Stakes Pick 5:

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford S.

#4 Extravagant Kid (5/1) – He pressed an insane pace at Saratoga last start and sill held on for victory.  He’s primed to run his best in the third start off the layoff and even a repeat effort will give him every chance.

#8 Undrafted (10/1) – This Ol’ boy will be closing from the clouds.  His last effort was solid, closing into a slow pace, and he’ll have much more pace to run at today.  He loves the Keeneland turf and the Conductor will bet his presence will be known.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F. G2 Thoroughbred Club of America S.

#9 Chalon (4/1) – Her last start was very enticing as she sat just off a hot pace and scampered away in hand.  Her early/turn pace figs are the best of the bunch and she draws well to the outside. 4/1 makes the Contuctor tingle with excitement.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #1 Rich Mommy (20/1) – This filly is an improving 4-year-old and has been making her living as a deep closer at Gulftream Park.  Her running style will be much more favorable in Kentucky and the Conductor thinks she has a major chance to not only hit the board, but win if there is a hot pace in front of her.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F. G1 First Lady S.

*Never a Doubt Car Payment Lock of the Day #4 Crown Walk (4/1) – She’s been facing much tougher turf horses across the pond and the Conductor doesn’t really like any of these American runners.  She gets Lasix for the first time and Mike Smith comes to ride, which is a sign she’s more than live.  New Car time.

its always sunny in philadelphia GIF by HULU

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#5 Dream Maker (5/1) – He was extremely green in the G1 Hopeful last time and had no idea what he was doing.  His debut win two back was ultra-impressive, and her breeding suggests she’ll like the added distance.  The clockers are raving about how he’s working leading up to today.

#14 Standard Deviation (10/1) – Heavily bet in is debut at Saratoga, this colt rated well and passed horses.  He will appreciate the added distance and Chad will have him poised to run a big one.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Synchrony (8/1) – The Conductor loves his last two efforts at Monmouth showing a thunderous kick even with moderate paces to run at.  He’s a grade 2 winner, in career form and this should be his best distance.  Keeneland better wear a neck brace in this race.

Image result for neck brace funny

*Bonus Gullet Slit #1 Next Shares (15/1) – A monster bomb the Conductor like to hit the board, he came from the clouds in his last start against the slowest of paces.  He’s Grade 1 placed and this race looks to have a lot of pace on paper.  If the race falls apart like the Conductor envisions, he’ll be right there in the end.

Belmont Park Graded Stakes Pick 4:

Race #7: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Belmont Turf Sprint 150K

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Gidu (8/1) – Pressing the star Promisses Fullfilled on the dirt last time out in a Grade 1, this colt has real speed and ability.  He gets back to his preferred surface today, he’s won sprinting at Belmont before, and draws a nice outside post.  If the Conductor gets anywhere over 4/1 it’ll be his favorite bet of the day.

shocked melissa mccarthy GIF

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Beldame S.

*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #6 Wow Cat (5/2) – This Chilean star was no match for the Elate and Able Tasman duel at Saratoga last time, but there is nobody even close to that quality in this field.  She’ll romp by 5.

stop-motion house GIF by Philippa Rice

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) HillPrnc-G2

March to the Arch (4/1) – Closing from far back into a tepid pace last time, this gelding finished just as strong as the will be favorite #3 Raging Bull.  With a cleaner trip, he’ll have every chance to turn the tables and will be a better price.

Race 10: 1 Mile. G1 Champagne S.

#4 Complexity (5/2) – Breaking slow from the rail in his debut, this colt was extremely impressive in his debut win.  The word on the street is he’s working like a monster and will be tough to beat.

*Bonus Gullet Slit: #6 Listing (15/1) – He was very professional in his debut, rating and passing horses, which almost all others in this field haven’t done.  The Conductor loves the California dirt shippers and trainer Ben Cecil is great stretching horses out to a route the first time, hitting at a 20% clip with a +1.95 ROI this year.

 

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