Ponies

Collapsing The Trachea: Columbus Day Plays at Santa Anita Park

Nothing like quality racing on a Monday, the Conductor sees plenty of opportunities on the late card at Santa Anita for some prices

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.SurferGrlL 110k

*Never a Doubt Fillet Dinner Lock of the Day #2 Lady Prancealot (7/2) – This filly’s first start in America was very solid, closing from way back for a good 2nd into a slow pace.  With some American experience under her belt and a more favorable setup, the Conductor sees her hitting the wire in front.

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Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 20000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Optimum (6/1) – He took money in his debut and ran evenly, finishing 4th in a 9-horse field.  That race has produced next out winners and the Conductor thinks the favorites in this field are very vulnerable.  This gelding should step forward in his second start and has the most upside in this field.

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Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#1 Tiz Toffee (6/5) – The Conductor hates favorites and the rail in sprint races, but she looks like a standout in here.  She’s run multiple races that would smash this field and the Conductor can’t find any reason she won’t run her best today.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #4 Gypsy Blue (8/1) – After a very solid debut win two starts back, she had a trip from hell last start and had no chance after steadying early.  She’s been working like a rocket and the Conductor can see her running a big one and spicing up the board.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) ZumaBeachL100k

#1 Rijeka (4/1) – This colt was well bet and pressed a hot pace vs similar in his last start, where he faded down the stretch.  His debut in America two starts back was very good, where he sat farther back and won with a good late kick.  Switching to rider Franco Geovanni, the Conductor will bet Rijeka will get a more favorable trip today and run a representative effort of her ability.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 40000n1x

#9 Major Cabbie (6/1) – He was miles back in her first start off the layoff last time and closed from the clouds to finished 3rd.  The Conductor expects him to sit closer to the pace today now that he’s more fit and he should take a big step forward in his 2nd start off a long layoff.  Mike Smith stays in the irons as well, which is a very positive sign.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 40000

#3 Sensible Thoughts (2/1) – With the best form on dirt and only one try on turf, she is diffidently the most likely winner.  The jockey upgrade to Prat makes her even more likely.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #4 Weather Market (12/1) – In this weak field, this is a nice price the Conductor can see winning.  She’s run well on turf against much better Maiden Special Weights and trainer Michael Pender is 17% with a +$1.52 RO! 1st off the claim this year.  If you throw out her last dirt start she looks as formidable as any in here.

 

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