Ponies

Wednesday’s Kill Shots at Keeneland

Parx cancelled racing yesterday due to the jockeys being overweight in one of the strangest events the Conductor has seen in his 100 years playing the ponies.  Thankfully we get to take the train back up to Keeneland today where they would never allow such a thing to occur.  Amateur hour.  The Conductor is angry his capping went to waste and I would be very scared if I were Keeneland today.  He has fire in his eyes, let’s ride.

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Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#2 Pinotage (8/1) – The Conductor hates that the favorites scratched in here because this is one of his favorite plays of the day.  Pressing a scorching pace vs tougher last start, she had no chance and the Conductor loves the cutback to a sprint.  She has past performances that can beat this level, including one on dirt and trainer Kellyn Gorder is 23% with a +$3.08 ROI moving runners from a sprint to route this year.

Race 2:  6 ½ Furlongs. F. Clm 16000

#2 Ivy’s College Fund (4/1) – Another filly dropping in class after pressing a hot pace last start, she looks like a clear stand out to the Conductor.  She shortens a furlong, likes Keeneland, and has early speed and back class.  She’ll help the Conductor’s college fund.

Race 3: 1 Mile (Turf) Mdn 67k

#9 Fake Solution (5/1) – This colt took money at the windows in his debut and ran an even 5th in a 12-horse field.  The pace was hot that day and this group is much weaker.  Maker’s horses get better with distance and the Conductor thinks this boy’s running style is perfect for a route.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Soaring Now (8/1) – She was up close to a hot pace in a race that collapsed behind her last start.  This race is devoid of pace and she should get a favorable trip up close to the lead.  Her speed figures fit for this level, she’s 1/1 at Keeneland and 2/2 at this distance.  Yum.

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Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 40000

#10 Jerrid (8/1) – It’s the first time he’ dropped in for a tag in his career and that exactly what he needs.  It’s his first start off a long layoff, but that’s not a concern coming from Brad Cox’s barn.  He is working well and if he steps forward now as a 4-year-old he’ll be right there in the end.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) Alw 71000n2x

*Never a Doubt Free Vacation Lock of the Day #10 Snapper Sinclair (4/1) – He’s by far the class of the field as he battled on the Kentucky Derby trail earlier this year.  Assmussen gave him some time off since then and he returns to the racetrack in a spot he likes most, sprinting on the turf. He’s 2/2 sprinting on the grass in his young career and will make it 3/3 today.

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Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#9 Midnight Karma (5/1) – First time in the Asmussen barn, the owners changed to a top trainer after she ran off the screen in her debut.  She didn’t try and ran a competitive figure against this group.  With any step forward she’ll leave them all in the dust.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 5000s

Gullet Shot #7 Bacoli (20/1) – Exiting a win and the only runner in the field with a victory at this distance, the Conductor will take a swing with a bomb in the last.  He doesn’t have one favorite on the card today and Keeneland is about to pay dearly for Philly’s mistakes.

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