Ponies

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Breakdown

Friday’s Breeders’ Cup Pick 5

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

This race is more top heavy and less wide open in the Conductor’s view.  The favorites look extremely tough to beat, but the Conductor isn’t going to single the heavy favorite, there is another filly a with major potential.

Win Contenders:

*Top Pick #4 Just Wonderful (6/1) – This is the European shipper the Conductor thinks has a big shot to beat the American favorite.  In her last race in New Market, she showed a thunderous kick after having some traffic trouble.  She gets Lasix for the first time, is steadily improving and has top connections.  She has a major shot.

#6 Newspaperofrecord (2/1) – She’s the filly getting the most buzz around Kentucky as she enters the big weekend as one of the most likely winners.  There is nothing not to like about her first two blowout scores, where she looks like the real deal.  She’ll be very tough to beat, but a baby stubbing her toe in a 14-horse-field has happened many times before and Just Wonderful has much more experience against tougher competition.

Underneath Prices:

#2 The Mackem Bullet (15/1) -The Conductor doesn’t think any of the other American runners are any good in here besides #1 Concrete Rose at 6/1, but there are a few runners from across the pond with ability.  This filly keeps getting ignored at the windows in England and continues to run bang up races as she steps up in class.  She’s just missed twice against Fairyland, who would be one of the favorites in here and is 6/6 hitting the board in her career.

#14 East (20/1) – She gets a brutal draw from the 14-hole, but that will ensure her price will be high.  She’s 2/2 in her young career and has been very visually impressive in both starts.  She has enough early speed where she should be able to prevent getting hung out too wide into the first turn and if that’s the case then she can light up the tote board.

Absolutely No Shot:

#11 Lady Prancelot

The Conductor will not forgive her for not getting by a 35/1 shot last start.

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