September 18, 2021

The Pony Conductor

Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Breakdown

2 min read

Friday’s Breeders’ Cup Pick 5

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G1 Tito’s Handmade Vodka Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

MMMmmmmmmmm Tito’s…… the Conductor loves his Tito’s stew when he’s capping in the lab.  The key to this race is going to be the pace.  It will be scorching, and a late runner may be able to shock the world.  The Conductor thinks there are only three winning contenders and one is a bomb.

Winning Contenders:

#2 Serengeti Empress (7/2) – She’s the only frontrunner who hasn’t proven they can sit and pass horses that the Conductor likes in here.  However, when you’re coming off a 16-length victory without even trying, the Conductor can’t ignore you.  You don’t see horses win like that very often, especially at Churchill Downs, she could be something special.

*Top Pick and Gullet Shot #8 Sippican Harbor (12/1) – This is the price horse the Conductor is licking his chops for in this one.  After his blowout frontrunning win to break his maiden, he closed from last to win with ease.  The Conductor loves that versatility and although he got a favorable setup that day, he should get an even better one on Friday.  He can sit back and make one run while the frontrunners will have wobbly knees in the stretch.

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#10 Bellafina (2/1) – Shipping in from the west coast, she looks like a standout on numbers to the Conductor.  She’s pressed hot paces and hasn’t wavered at all down the stretch.  The post position is the concern as she may have to go too quick early to prevent getting hung out wide.  If Prat can navigate a a good trip for her, she’ll be tough to beat.

Top Picks: 8-10-2

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