Ponies

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Breakdown

Friday’s Breeders’ Cup Pick 5

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) – G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

This is the hardest race on Friday’s card and almost everyone has a shot.  But fear not, the Conductor has the 14-horse field narrowed down to only 5 that can win, and he likes a few juicy prices.  If Churchill isn’t careful, the Conductor can have it begging for mercy before we even get to Saturday.

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*Gullet Shot #2 Uncle Benny (15/1) – This Servais trainee was hung 8 wide and closed like a rocket to win her last start after breaking her maiden going gate to wire on dirt.  Versatility is key as the Conductor has taught us and the Conductor can’t see her having any problems with him stretching out.  The Conductor won’t be surprised by him while many others will.

#4 Forty Under (5/1) – The Pilgrim was the fastest American prep race on the Conductor’s numbers and this boy ran well to win.  The course was yielding that day and there will certainly be cut in the ground on Friday, with the rain in Kentucky this week.  He’s improving, drawn well, and should sit a nice trip a few lengths off the lead.

#5 Line of Duty (10/1) – This colt is shipping in from France after wins at a mile and 1 1/8 mile.  He’s proven over a soft turf course and adds Lasix for the first time.  The Conductor likes his steady progression and thinks he’s poised to run a new top effort.

*Top Pick and Gullet Slit #7 Somelikeithotbrown (12/1) – He is getting ignored in the Breeders’ Cup build up and the Conductor hopes they ignore him at the windows too.  He set a very fast pace in the Pilgrim and was only beaten ¾ of a length by #4 Forty Under that day.  If you like Forty Under in this race you must like Somelikeithotbrown more, or you are missing a brain.  The Conductor will argue he should be a shorter price.

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#14 Anthony Van Dyck (4/1) – He’s the class of the field running bang up races against much tougher in Europe.  However, the Conductor can’t rely on him with his brutal post position.  Maybe he’s talented enough to overcome a wide trip and maybe Ryan Moore can work some magic.  The Conductor will use him defensively.

Top Picks 7-2-4-14-5

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