Ponies

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint Breakdown

With Friday’s card locked up and victory guaranteed, the Conductor will give us his keys to Saturday’s races.  This is truly the best two days of the year and the Conductor is giving us the answers to the test before we take it.  The train is en route to Louisville, sleep with one eye open Churchill.

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Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup Races

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. G1 F.Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

The Conductor thinks the favorites are vulnerable in here and has found us a couple of big prices have big chances.  This is his favorite type of race.

#1 Selcourt (4/1) – She ran by far the fastest figure in this field in her last start and has turned into a monster as a 3-year-old.  However, drawing the rail and not having run in 7 months would be a lot to overcome and win a Breeders’ Cup sprint.  The Conductor will only use her defensively.

*Gullet Slit #5 Golden Mischief (10/1) – Winning at Keeneland off the layoff last start, she looked dead in the water on the turn and somehow managed to win.  With a step forward off that start she will be tough to beat, and she should get a perfect trip sitting off a hot pace.  This mare has won races all over the country including this surface, you can’t leave him off your tickets.

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*Gullet Slit #11 Finley’sluckycharm (10/1) – She ran a dud last race at Saratoga, but she has multiple past performances that would trounce this field.  She’s a gaudy 6/7 lifetime at Churchill Downs and her work tab looks like she’s back to her old self.  If she runs her best, she wins.

*Top Pick #13 Marley’s Freedom (8/5) – A winner of her last 4 starts, she is clearly the one to beat.  She should get a good trip sitting just off a hot pace and her works coming in look outstanding as well.  She’ll probably win for Baffert, but her speed figures don’t stand out on the Conductor’s numbers enough to make her a cinch.  She can be beat on Saturday.

Top Picks: 13-11-5-1

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