Small fields due to races coming off the turf today, but the Conductor wont complain. He’ll play the cards hes dealt and pick eight winners in a row. Let’s build our bankroll midweek, Let’s Ride.
12:50pm ET Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 25000n2L
#3 Malibu Strings (8/5) – Dropping in class and switching back to dirt, the Conductor likes him better than the odds on favorite #2 Purchasing Power. Malibu Strings is lightly raced, improving, and should get a perfect trip on or near a slow pace.
1:18pm ET Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 10000
#2 Toohottoevenspeak (6/1) – The heavy favorite #1A Big Guy Ian (3/5) looks tough to beat in here, but the Conductor can pull a little value out of this race. Eligible to improve in his 2nd start off the layoff, this gelding is cutting back to a sprint and drops in class. He loves to run 2nd and 3rd and that’s what the Conductor expects him to do. He’ll hammer a stone cold 1/2 exacta and sprinkle a little on the reverse.
1:47pm ET Race 3: 1 Mile. (OFF Turf) Mdn 70k
#13 Greyes Creek (4/1) – This 850k Chad brown runner ran a par effort for this level in a race taken off the turf last time. He gets the same circumstances again today and gets added distance, which his breeding suggests he’ll appreciate.
#16 Lone Pioneer (8/1) – He’s steping up in class, but he is also the only MTO runner in this field. His debut effort was solid, and he wants to run on dirt, while the others want grass.
2:17pm ET Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Off Turf) F.Clm 35000n3L’
#12 Our Girl Abby (5/2) – The Conductor can’t explain why she was so bad last race, but she’s shown a tendency to be an “in and outer.” Good race, bad race, good race, bad race. Her good race beats this field.
2:47 Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 32000
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Clairvoyant Lady (9/2) – 1st off the claim for top trainer Jerimiah Englehart and 2nd off a layoff, she looks primed to run a top effort. She has past performances that make her competitive against this group and is a very consistent runner. She also hasn’t missed the board in all 4 career starts at Aqueduct.
3:17pm ET Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. Alw 75000n1x
*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #5 Mr. Buff (3/1) – He’s likely to be the third betting choice in this field and he’s quite simply the fastest horse in this field on the Conductor’s numbers. He was beaten two starts back by rivals in here, but he brushed the gate at the start of that race. His performance last time in the Empire Classic smokes this field.
3:47pm ET Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) S.OC 40000n2x
*Throat Slit #1 Shiraz (8/1) – His win two starts back on dirt can beat this group and he’ll be a big price. He’s only raced 3 times on a fast dirt track in his career and it could be what he wants best.
#10 Royal Asset (6/1) – 2nd off the claim for Rudy Rod he will likely take a step forward and his last race on grass was very solid. The Conductor is confused why they even want to run him on turf. He’s 4/10 on dirt and 1/10 on turf lifetime.
4:17pm ET Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.S.MC 25000
#6 Lovely Escort (5/1) – Facing tougher open company, she’s shown speed in her first two starts and then has fallen apart late. She gets Lasix today, suggesting she bled last time and the lead will make any horse dangerous in here. This group is week.
#1 Stay Good (5/2) – Well bet at Saratoga, she had a trip from hell in her debut. If she has any ability like Rudy Rod thinks she does, she’ll beat this field for fun.