Ponies

Saturdays College Football Refund: The Conductor’s Plays at Del Mar

Not a great Friday for the Conductor, with his top picks choosing to run in 2nd and 3rds.  He did have a couple of big prices in 2nd, so hopefully a few passengers made some money in the exotics.  The Conductor is demanding winners today and we have a nice fall card in front of us at Del Mar.  Let’s make a big score today and gorge ourselves tonight.  Let’s Ride.

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3:30pm ET Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 53k

#1 Light of the World (5/1) – Baffert’s two colts will take all the money in here and will be tough to beat, but this is the boy that can take them down.  He cost 500k, is posting bullet works and Prat hops aboard for Mandella, which is always a very dangerous jockey/trainer combo.

4:00pm ET Race 2: 1 Mile. Mdn 53k

#6 Caribbean (3/1) – He’s steadily progressed in his first three starts and ran a good 2nd last time against a talented runner Air Strike, who came back to win his next start.  Most importantly, this race has absolutely no pace and he should get a perfect trip on or near the lead.

4:30pm ET Race 3: 6½ Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Catch Fire (8/1) – He is dropping in class and switching back to his preferred dirt surface today.  His maiden breaking score over this Del Mar track would smoke this field.  8/1 is a major overlay.

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#2 Street Zombie (8/1) – Closing into a slow pace last start the conductor loves his upside.  That last race produced next out winners and he’s been gelded since then.  He’s posting faster works than he ever has and should get a nice trip today with a lot of pace to run at.

5:00pm ET Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000

#7 Come On Kat (7/2) – This is a tough betting race with no standouts and no bums.  Drawn well to the outside, she can dictate her trip and put them away down the lane.

5:30pm ET Race 5: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 40000b

#8 Hitters Park (3/1) – Trainer Doug O’Neill is 24% with a +$0.11 ROI 1st off the claim this year and this gelding should step forward in his 2nd start off the layoff.  He has good early speed and has run well over the Del Mar turf, while the other favorites have not.

6:00pm ET Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#8 Livin On Prayer (6/1) – Pressing a hot pace routing last start, he’ll appreciate the cutback in distance.  His speed figures sprinting give him every chance and trainer Peter Miller is 26% with a +$1.23 ROI going route to sprint this year.

6:30pm ET Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 53k

#5 Miss Voluptuous (8/1) – She’s a 1st time starter against a very weak group and is well bred for the turf.  Why is top jockey Flavien Prat riding for a barn that rarely wins with 1st time starters? Hmmmmmmm…….

7:00pm ET Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G3 Bob Hope Stakes

#2 Extra Hope (7/2) – He’s steadily moving forward and exiting a blowout win routing last start.  The Conductor loves that he’s cutting back in distance and will have the strongest late kick in a race where the others will be going further than they ever have.

7:30pm ET Race 9;: 6½ Furlongs. Clm 8000

*Never a Doubt Saturday Night College Football Loser Bailout Lock of the Day #8 Baby Bear’s Soup (5/1) – 2nd off the claim for trainer Steve Knapp he set a blistering pace last time and faded late.  He has a pace edge against this group and has run the fastest figures in this field.  His works leading into today suggest he’s ready to run his best, and his best will slaughter this field.

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