May 12, 2021

The Pony Conductor

Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime

Keeneland: Key Horses for Wednesday, October 7

2 min read

Graded stakes, full fields and plenty of juicy prices. That’s just what the Ductor ordered on a Wednesday. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. Mdn 70k

*Best Bet #2 Airstreem (8/1) – The Conductor is praying we get a price around this morning line. This colt was bet to favoritism off a year layoff last time, was 4wide into the first turn and was sitting behind a slow pace. Trainer Kelsey Danner is 10% with a +$1.38 ROI this year with runners 2nd off the layoff.

Other Contenders: 6

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 30000n2L

Windpipe Whack Wednesday Bomb of the Day #3 Templuna (15/1) – Throw out her last race sprinting on synthetic, this girl fits right in with this group at a big price. She drops in class to her lowest career level and is clearly best routing on dirt with limited opportunities. Trainer John Wainwright is only 3% this year, but is 3/18 with a +$0.03 ROI with runners going sprint to route.

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Other Contenders: 5,6

Race 3: 1½ Mile. (Turf) Alw 73000n2x

#9 So High (12/1) – The Conductor likes is gelding’s European form and is consistent runner. He’s run in the exacta 5/7 times and on three different surfaces. The distance is his friend as well.

Other Contenders: 5,8

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. F.OClm 10000

#6 I Dream of Lois (6/1) – This mare ran sneaky well sprinting on the turf last time vs tougher. She made up ground, closing wide into a slow pace and she’s an old warrior. She’ll be able to work out a good trip in this race up close to a slow pace, and trainer Thomas Vance is 32% with a +$2.44 ROI this year switching runners from turf to dirt.

Other Contenders: 1,7

Race 5: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 71000n1x

#6 Battalion (12/1) – He’s run well in his last two starts with trouble at the start and the step up in class today is deceiving. The Saratoga shippers seem to be firing at Keeneland early in the meet.

Other contenders: 2,9

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.Alw 25000s

#6 La Femme Royale (9/2) – The layoff doesn’t concern the Conductor since she’s won multiple times off long breaks and is working consistently. She draws a nice post, can go to the lead or sit right off and she loves to win.

Other Contenders: Queen Nakia (1/1)

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 JPMorgan Chase Jessamine Stakes

#7 Aunt Pearl (3/1) – This filly looked like the goods in her debut. The Conductor sees her putting on a show today.

Single!

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. MC 30000

#2 Vedder (4/1) – Cutting back to a sprint and trying dirt for the first time, he posted a bullet last work and looks to run a career best. Trainer Eddie Keneally is also 22% with a +$1.12 ROI with runners 2nd off the layoff.

Other Contenders: 8

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