November 29, 2020

The Pony Conductor

Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Picks and Analysis

2 min read

Friday, November 6 – Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

*#1 Sealiway (8/1) – Unlike the sprint, the Conductor thinks the Euros are strong in here. This colt was visually impressive in his last race and has yet to run a poor effort. He’s a strong contender.

#2 New Mandate (12/1) – Another one the Conductor can’t knock, he’s steadily progressing and fits with this group.

#3 Abarta (12/1) – He ran well with some trouble last time, but he was aided by the race flow. The Conductor is a little against him and thinks he’ll be over bet.

*#4 Public Sector (8/1) – This is the American runner the Conductor likes most. His debut was very professional, and he had no chance last time to chasing a tepid pace. Chad hasn’t been winning everything this year, so the Conductor thinks we’ll get a fair price.

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#5 Cadillac (5/1) – Another Euro who you can’t leave off your tickets based on his class.

#6 Mutasaabeq (5/1) – Circling the field from last to first always looks great, but like Albarta he was aided by a hot pace. He’s a likely overlay although he’s a talented runner.

#7 Fire At Will (12/1) – He won’t be able to get away with setting such a slow pace against this group as he did in the Pilgrim Stakes. The Conductor is against him.

#8 Outadore (8/1) – Stretching out from a nice win last time at Kentucky Downs, he caught the Conductor’s eye. The Kentucky Downs shippers ran during the past Keeneland meet.

#9 Battleground (6/1) – This race is extremely difficult, another dangerous Euro with strong connections.

#10 Ebeko (20/1) – He’s been facing much weaker in California. No thanks.

#11 Gretzky the Great (8/1) – He’s done nothing wrong so far in his career and has enough early speed to put himself in a good position early despite the post. He’s another major player.

#12 Go Athletico (10/1) – The Conductor likes this boy’s form and likes Sealiway, but this is a tough post. The Conductor is torn.

#13 Deviwala (30/1) – He’s not good enough from the parking lot.

#14 The Lir Jet (20/1) – Strong class, but the Conductor can’t use him from the 14-hole.

Picks: 4 – 1 – 5 – 11 – 2

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