May 28, 2022

The Pony Conductor

Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Picks and Analysis

2 min read

Friday November 6 – Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 TVG Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

#1 Camp Hope (30/1) – This race looks to have a very hot pace and this colt circled the field in his debut, running a strong late pace figure. This is a lot to ask in only his 2nd start, but the Conductor can see him picking up 3rd at a huge number.

#2 King Fury (15/1) – He flattered the Breeders’ Futurity by coming back to win nicely last time. The Conductor will make him prove it to him against Grade 1 competition.

#3 Reinvestment Risk (9/2) – He’s chased the heavy favorite in here and will be trying two turns for the first time. The Conductor doesn’t think the stretch out will benefit him.

#4 Likeable (15/1) – He cruised to victory last time, but he will be getting a much tougher test today. This is to much for him in the Conductor’s opinion.

#5 Essential Quality (4/1) – Proven around two turns and the Keeneland track, the Conductor can’t knock this colt. He has a major chance.

*#6 Keepmeinmind (30/1) – The Conductor is going to key this colt at a bomb in this race. He’s adding blinkers today and was the only one to close into a slow pace in the Breeders’ Futurity. With another step forward the Conductor thinks he’ll hit the board.

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#7 Jackie’s Warrior (7/5) – By far the fastest on paper, she’s the deserving heavy favorite. She’ll be up close to a contested pace in here and will have to try two turns for the first time. The Conductor doesn’t see her as a lock, but doesn’t have the stones to chuck her. There is a chance she obliterates this field.

#8 Classier (12/1) – Baffert can always ruin the fun, but the Conductor is against this colt. He’ll add to the wicked pace and he didn’t get hammered at the windows in his debut.

*#9 Sittin On Go (12/1) – The other price the Conductor really likes, he made a huge wide move in the Iroquois stakes and sustained his run down the lane. He’s working well and can make a big jump forward.

#10 Dreamer’s Disease (30/1) – He got away setting a tepid pace vs weaker last time. The Conductor will pass.

#11 Next (15/1) – The Conductor sees him chasing a hot pace and hung wide. Pass.

#12 Hot Rod Charlie (30/1) – No thanks.

#13 Rombauer (15/1) – The Conductor didn’t think the American Pharoah Stakes was a particularly strong race. He may be able to clunk up for third at best.

#14 Calibrate (20/1) – His effort was too bad to be believed last time in the Breeders’ Futurity. The Conductor can’t use him from this post.

Picks: 5 – 7 – 6 – 9

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