March 9, 2021

The Pony Conductor

Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint Picks and Analysis

3 min read

Saturday, November 7 – Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

*#1 Big Runnuer (12/1) – Another race we don’t have to go far for the Conductor to get his key. There is not a lot a lot of early speed in here and he should be able to clear the field from the rail. He may be able to steal this open race gate to wire.

Stealing GIFs | Tenor

#2 Just Might (30/1) – He is the only horse that could make it tough on Big Runnuer early. He has early gas, but always seems to fade late.

#3 Imprimis (4/1) – He’s a good gelding, but he got a nice trip last time and doesn’t seem to get the job done against the toughest competition. At a short price, the Conductor is against him.

#4 Front Run the Fed (12/1) – This colt had a tougher trip than Imprimis and was right there. He’ll be a better price, but still isn’t one of the Conductor’s favorites.

#5 Wet Your Whistle (15/1) – He got an easy trip last time and has back class. Again, the Conductor doesn’t like his chances.

#6 Glass Slippers (12/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like the Euros in these sprints typically. He’s torn on this filly as this isn’t the strongest American contingent. She’s a fighter but he thinks this task is likely too much to ask.

#7 Leinster (4/1) – He loves Keeneland and won nicely last time with a perfect trip. He can absolutely win this race but he’s no standout. At a short price the Conductor doesn’t love him.

#8 Oleksandra (12/1) – If you want to watch a mare mow, watch her last race. She has a thunderous late kick. However, the Conductor thinks she’ll be more in the 5/1 race and will be up against it without a hot pace in front of her. The Ductor is leaning against.

#9 Into Mystic (12/1) – She ran too well to lose over this turf course last time without a perfect trip. The Conductor will absolutely use her again especially if she’s around that price.

*#10 Bombard (15/1) – This is the Conductor’s other favorite price in the race. He ran huge setting a hot pace last time and was just nailed at the wire. The shorter distance will help his chances and he has the early speed to put him in a good position early.

Shore bombardment Pt II - GIF on Imgur

#11 Wildman Jack (15/1) – Since the Conductor likes Big Runnuer, he must like this boy. He ran a good 2nd last time with a troubled trip and ran a big race vs Grade 1 company on dirt two back. The concern is that he gets hung wide.

#12 Got Stormy (7/2) – This mare is all class, but the Conductor is against her as the likely favorite. She’ll have to drop to the back of the pack from this post and will have a lot to do to get to the wire first.

#13 Texas Wedge (20/1) – Peter Miller has dominated this race, which scares the Conductor. However, she’s a toss from this post.

#14 Extravagant Kid (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t see how he can work out a trip from here either.

Picks: 1 – 10 – 12 – 9

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