March 9, 2021

The Pony Conductor

Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Picks and Analysis

3 min read

Saturday, November 7 – Race 6: 1 Mile. G1 Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

*#1 Art Collector (6/1) – This is one of the Conductor’s favorite races on Saturday. Almost no horse would shock him, but he has three horses he really likes, and this colt is on top of that list. He had him in the Preakness and he didn’t fire a great effort. However, he had a hiccup before the derby and the Conductor doesn’t think he showed his true self. He likes him cutting back to a sprint and his two bullet works entering Saturday.

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#2 Sharp Samurai (15/1) – He seems to run his race and hit the board regardless of distance and surface. He doesn’t like to win though, and the Conductor can’t see it against this group.

*#3 Silver Dust (30/1) – The Conductor will use him underneath at a big number, maaaaybe as a backup on top. He’s another consistent runner and ran well last time with a tough trip. He doesn’t love the winners circle.

#4 War of Will (10/1) – A Grade 1 winner on turf and dirt, he’s a contender in this field but the Conductor is leaning against him. He’s better on turf.

*#5 Knicks Go (7/2) – This colt has become a new animal in the Cox barn (shocker). Setting the record last time, the Conductor sees him burying the other speed horses. He’s a must use.

#6 Mr. Money (20/1) – He ran a big race last time pressing a hot pace. The Conductor just doesn’t think he’s good enough.

#7 Rushie (20/1) – Another last race the Conductor can’t knock and this colt wouldn’t shock the Conductor. However, he doesn’t look fast enough.

#8 Pirate’s Punch (20/1) – The Conductor is a fan of this horse and he has wicked early speed. He is up against the pace scenario in here and the Conductor can’t see him getting a winning trip.

#9 Mr Freeze (6/1) – He was very game last time in the Fayette at the expense of the Conductor.

He can win, but at a short price the Conductor won’t use him. He’ll likely win just to haunt his dreams.

#10 Complexity (2/1) – He is a big play against for the Conductor as the favorite. He’s going to have to deal with a hot pace and in his lone try at two turns he’s still running.

#11 Jesus’ Team (30/1) – This colt nabbed 3rd at 40/1 in the Preakness to light up the tri. He could clunk up for 3rd again, but no better.

*#12 Owendale (8/1) – This is the perfect spot for this colt, shortening in distance and dropping to the back of the back early while the leaders duke it out. His best race came at Keeneland last year and he’s the Conductor’s favorite closer in here.

Picks: 1 – 12 – 5 – 3

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