November 29, 2020

The Pony Conductor

Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime

Breeders’ Cup Mile Picks and Analysis

2 min read

Saturday, November 7 – Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Mile

#1 Circus Maximus (12/1) – This colt is going the wrong direction and the Conductor won’t use him.

#2 Kameko (6/1) – He draws well and the Conductor thinks he’s the most likely of the European contingent. He’s best at a mile and has a strong kick.

#3 Lope Y Fernandez (30/1) – The Conductor thinks he’ll improve with the added distance and may be able to grab 3rd at a big price.

#4 Siskin (15/1) – He’s another shipper that isn’t progressing. He won’t be used.

*#5 Digital Age (8/1) – He’s the Conductor’s 2nd choice in here. He ran very well to win the turf classic last time, which the Conductor thinks was a very fast race. He looks to get another good trip and is 2/2 at the distance.

#6 Safe Voyage (15/1) – This old man is a hard knocker and wouldn’t surprise the Conductor. The Ductor doesn’t see him winning though.

#7 Casa Creed (20/1) – He’s not good enough.

#8 March to the Arch (15/1) – He ran very well closing into a slow pace at Woodbine last time. His last two races have been strong, but his form in the states prior hasn’t been great. Watch to see how Starship Jubilee runs in the Filly and Mare turf and adjust accordingly.

#9 One Master (12/1) – If you use Safe Voyage, you must use One Master. Again, he can win but the Conductor prefers others.

#10 Halladay (12/1) – He ran well last time, although he set fast fractions all the speed horses held up. He won’t be able to clear #13 Factor This, so the Conductor won’t use him.

#11 Ivar (4/1) – Lol at the morning line. He was visually impressive last race, but got a nice trip with the flow. He can win this race but if he’s 4/1 with an outside draw you can’t bet him.

#12 Uni (5/1) – Looking to beat the boys again this year, she’s another that wouldn’t surprise the Conductor. However, he doesn’t think she’s as good as last year and she’ll have to really earn it.

*#13 Factor This (8/1) – He draws a tough post, but he’s the Conductor’s top pick in here. Halladay is the only other speed and he has the option to clear him or sit right to his outside. He’s the one they’ll all have to catch turning for home.

#14 Raging Bull (8/1) – He’ll drop to the back of the pack and make one run. The Conductor can’t see him passing them all though.

Picks: 13 – 5 – 2

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