June 25, 2021

The Pony Conductor

Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime

Breeders’ Cup Sprint Picks and Analysis

2 min read

Ricardo Santana Jr. aboard Mitole celebrates after wining the Breeders' Cup Sprint horse race at Santa Anita Park, Saturday, Nov. 2, 2019, in Arcadia, Calif. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

Saturday, November 7 – Race 8: 6 Furlongs. G1 Breeders’ Cup Sprint

#1 Echo Down (20/1) – This is one of the weakest sprint fields in recent memory, but it leaves it open for the Conductor to make some real money on some prices. This colt isn’t one of them, he’d be a surprise.

#2 C Z Rocket (7/2) – He’s become a new animal in the Peter Miller barn (shocker). He can absolutely win this race but at a short price the Conductor doesn’t love him in his  toughest challenge to date.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Collusion Illusion (20/1) – A Grade 1 winner, he finished behind C Z Rocket last time, but he got a sneaky weird trip stuck inside and galloped out in front. The Conductor sees Prat putting in a good spot early and he has every chance in this open race.

#4 Bon Raison (30/1) – He got a favorable trip last time in a race that melted down. He’s not a Grade 1 horse.

#5 Manny Wah (30/1) – The exact same notes as Bon Raison.

#6 Frank’s Rockette (10/1) – This filly is taking on the boys today and this is a good spot to do it. She can scoot and wouldn’t shock him. Does he love her? No.

#7 Whitmore (15/1) – This old man is a warrior and will be running late with a hot pace in front. However, his last few races haven’t been great and he’ll only be used underneath.

*#8 Firenze Fire (8/1) – The Conductor is a big fan of this horse and he has a major chance to win. The only concern is that all his best races are at Belmont.

#9 Empire of Gold (30/1) – He won’t get as favorable of a trip as he did last time. No thanks.

#10 Yaupon (7/2) – Taking on older males for the first time, this boy will rocket to the front. He has the most upside in the field and could put on a show, but he hasn’t beaten anyone yet. In his first real test at a short price, the Conductor is leaning against him.

#11 Diamond Oops (8/1) – He’s a very cool, versatile horse that always runs his race. Can he win? Sure, but he’s not a true Grade 1 sprinter.

#12 Hog Creek Hustle (30/1) – He’ll be closing late, but he’s not good enough to get into the exacta.

#13 Jasper Prince (30/1) – A Japanese sprinter with inconsistent form? Pass.

#15 Lasting Legacy (30/1) – It will be tough to work out any sort of trip from here.

Picks: 3 – 8 – 2 – 10

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