Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Saratoga and Del Mar

Off the turf today like the Conductor expected. Here are the Conductor’s changes after scratches.

Saratoga

Race 1: Cancelled

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. F.OC 25000n1x

#1 South of the Shore (8/5) – 2nd behind Dunbar Road who came back to win the Alabama on Saturday. 8/5 in a 5-horse field would not be a bad price.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 75000

#4 Rejected Again (2/1) – He’s most likely, the Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in here.

Race 4: 1 5/8 Mile. (OFF Turf) John Call Stakes 100k

#1 Highland Sky (5/2) – His last 7 races have been against G1 or G2 company. He’s facing a very weak field now that its on the dirt and the Conductor will bet his class will translate over.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 78k

#2 Sophie Rules (9/2) – This filly is working well and the Jose Ortiz/Englehart jockey/trainer combo have been red hot this meet.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (OFF Turf) Mdn 75k

#2 Justintimeforwine (15/1) – The Conductor still likes this boy to hit the board at a huge number. She was favorited sprinting on dirt at Saratoga two starts back, which tells the Conductor she has more talent than she’s shown.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Autostrade (6/1) – Switching back to dirt and cutting back to a sprint, he made an early move into a hot pace last time. The Conductor loves him here.

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Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.Clm 50000b

#8 Morisette (8/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks today, she was favored against much tougher last time and had trouble at the break. With a clean break, she’ll have every chance. She won her lone start on a sloppy track, so the Conductor will still ride with her.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. S.Alw 80000n1x

#3 Our Last Buck (8/1) – Switching back to dirt and dropping out of open company, his race two back at Aqueduct would be tough for this field to beat. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll be ready to roll.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L

#6 Zandora (5/1) – 1st off the claim, the Conductor is sticking to his guns again. Dirt or turf, her early pace figures give her an edge.

Del Mar

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Mdn 61k

#10 Bayonce (6/1) – The Conductor liked him in his debut and he took money at the windows. Stretching out on turf for the first time, the Conductor still thinks he has talent and he’ll be a nice price.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 25000n3L

#4 Atina (3/1) – She’s steadily progressing and her last performance will be tough for this group to beat.

Race 3: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 61k

#1 Secret Square (4/1) – Switching to turf for strong connections, she was well bet in her debut on dirt. None of the 1st time starters in here look playable to the Conductor.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Mdn 61k

#2 Still in the Game (5/1) – Switching back to dirt, his race two back will give him every chance.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 32000n1y

#4 Mauraud Khan (5/2) – Shipping in from Churchill an making his first start for trainer Leonard Powell, he’s a cut above these California turf horses.

Race 6: 1 Mile. Harry F. Brubaker Stakes

#5 Line Judge (7/2) – Dropping out of Grade 1 company where he didn’t embarrass himself, he gets back to his favorite distance today. He looks to get a perfect trip stalking a hot pace.

Race 7: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

*Never a Doubt Humpday Best Bet #4 Hartel (4/1) – This girl took a step forward last start and ran her best last year sprinting on this turf course. Prat taking the mount is a great sign.

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Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 100k

#1 Railsplitter (7/2) – Cutting back to a sprint and switching back to a sprint, he was favored last start and ran well pressing a hot pace. Only 125k at auction, this spot looks perfect for him.

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Saratoga

Scattered thunderstorms forecast for tomorrow, so the Conductor will adjust accordingly if the races are taken off the turf. The Conductor is still hurting after being knocked out of the pick 6 in the last leg on Sunday. He keeps putting himself in position to KO Saratoga, but it keeps escaping from his grasp. Only two weeks left to get its gullet, its Travers week baby. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: Hurdle Race

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. F.OC 25000n1x

#1 South of the Shore (8/5) – 2nd behind Dunbar Road who came back to win the Alabama on Saturday. 8/5 in a 5 horse field would not be a bad price.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 75000

#4 Rejected Again (2/1) – He’s most likely, the Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in here.

Race 4: 1 5/8 Mile. (Turf) John Call Stakes 100k

#6 Nakamura (4/1) – The Conductor’s best opinion on Saturday when she won at 5/1, the Conductor wishes more horses returned to the races this quickly when they are feeling good.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 78k

#2 Sophie Rules (9/2) – This filly is working well and the Jose Ortiz/Englehart jockey/trainer combo have been red hot this meet.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 75k

#3 Justintimeforwine (15/1) – Stretching out to a route on turf for the first time, she could drastically improve. She was favorited sprinting on dirt at Saratoga two starts back, which tells the Conductor she has more talent than she’s shown. At a bomb the Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Autostrade (6/1) – Switching back to dirt and cutting back to a sprint, he made an early move into a hot pace last time. The Conductor loves him here.

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Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 50000b

#8 Morisette (8/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks today, she was favored against much tougher last time and had trouble at the break. With a clean break, she’ll have every chance.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. S.Alw 80000n1x

#3 Our Last Buck (8/1) – Switching back to dirt and dropping out of open company, his race two back at Aqueduct would be tough for this field to beat. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll be ready to roll.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L

#6 Zandora (5/1) – 1st off the claim and switching to turf, her early pace figures give her an advantage over this field.

Ponies

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Empire 6 Mandatory Payout Preview at Saratoga

The Conductor is reeling. Every time he starts to build momentum, he gets booted in the face by the pony gods. So many over bet horses winning, so many strange results, Saratoga is a fickle beast. Times are tough and the Conductor doesn’t want to get out of bed this morning. Does he quit and go sit in the back of the train? Or does he throttle it and take down the mandatory payout Empire 6? We all know the answer to that, and that’s why we hopped aboard this train. Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. F.MC 75000

Use: 1,3,4,5,7,8

Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

*#6 Mrs. Danvers (8/5) – This girl is the one to beat and most of the Conductor’s play will go through her. She missed the break, rushed up, and still finished a good 3rd in her debut.

Backups: 1,7

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (OFF Turf) Clm 25000

Use: 2,3,6,8,9,10

Race 8: 1 Mile. (OFF Turf) F.Alw 50000s

Use: 2,4,5,8,9,10,11,12,13

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. F.100K Summer Colony Stakes

*Never a Doubt Sunday Scaries Preventer Lock of the Sequence #7 Blue Prize (4/5) – This hard-knocking mare gets class relief today and is the most likely winner in the sequence. She’s run admirably in her last two starts behind Elate, the best female dirt horse in the country.

*Lone Backup #4 Vexactious (6/1) – If your looking for a price, the Conductor likes this mare switching from turf to dirt. She’s faced stiffer competition on the lawn and has a win on dirt in her career. She’s posting bullet works and Rosario hops in the irons.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (OFF Turf) F.Clm 30000n2L

Use: 2,5,11

Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Alabama Stakes Day Plays at Saratoga

Let the Battle Begin!

Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) Mdn 90k

#8 Fort McHenry (3/1) – 1.1 million at auction and a strong work tab for Pletcher.

Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. F.Clm 75000

#4 Break Curfew (3/1) – 2nd off the layoff and shortening in distance, the Conductor sees her early speed holding today.

Race 3: 5½ Furlongs. (OFF Turf) MC 40000

#6 Game Boy Benny (8/1) – In a race moved to the dirt, his 2nd at Monmouth last time makes him the one to beat.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 14000

#4 Giant Boo Boo (5/2) – The Conductor sees the early pick 5 as very chalky.

Race 5: 1 3/8 Mile. OC 62500n2x

#6 Nakamura (6/1) – Stretching out to his best distance after two easy wins, he looks primed to run a monster race.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 92000n1x

#11 High Crime (6/1) – He’s shown real ability on dirt and ran very well stretching out for his first start on turf last time. Working well and cutting back to a sprint today, he’s very dangerous.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 90k

#4 Candy Tycoon (2/1) – Word on the street is this boy is the goods for Pletcher.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Smart and Fancy Stakes

#5 Morticia (1/1) – She’s a cut above this group. The Conductor likes #8 Broadway Run (9/2) to run 2nd in the exacta.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 Lake Placid Stakes

#7 Wildlife (10/1) – This isn’t the strongest field the Conductor has ever seen and she’s shown a thunderous late kick in her last two victories. She’s stepping up in class, but the Conductor sees her hitting the board and spicing up the exacta and trifecta.

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. F. G1 Alabama Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Lady Apple (6/1) – The Conductor loves her in this spot. Winner of 4 of her last 5, she’s steadily progressing and looks to get a great trip, up close to a moderate pace.

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Race 11: 7 Furlongs. F.S.Alw 80000n1x

#6 Take Me to Hardoon (5/1) – She’s working well off the layoff and Englehart thought highly enough of her to put her in G1 company following her debut. The Conductor loves her at a decent price in the finale.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Pacific Classic Day Late Pick 4 Preview at Del Mar

Pacific Classic Day tomorrow at Del Mar with a nice late card sequence the Conductor will look to exploit. It will be a hell of a day of racing across the country.

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.G3 Torrey Pines Stakes

#1 Into Chocolate (10/1) – This filly has taken a step forward in each of her 3 starts and she ran huge after stumbling last time. She adds blinkers today and Mike Smith stays aboard, which is a great sign.

#4 Hollywood Hills (12/1) – In her 1st start on dirt last time she beat a formidable favorite, #6 Sneaking Out (7/2) on the square.  She also loves to win with 6 victories in 11 starts.

#7 Fighting Mad (5/2) – The Conductor must use this Baffert colt stretching out for the 1st time. He’s posting bullet works.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Del Mar Oaks

*Never a Doubt Lock Chad Brown Leg Lock #1 Cambier Parc (5/2) – She looks like a clear standout to the Conductor and he will have the majority of his play going through her. Shipping in for Chad, her only 2 losses in her last 5 starts have come to Concrete Rose, who is the best filly in the country.

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Backups: 4,5,7,13

Race 10: 1 ¼ Mile. G1 Pacific Classic

#5 Seeking the Soul (3/1) – This isn’t the saltiest Pacific Classic, but the Conductor sees this colt as a cut above the rest. He’s really matured and has run well against the likes of McKinzie and City of Light.

#8 Campaign (6/1) – The Conductor is going to fade #3 Pavel (7/2) and will use this colt as his only backup.  He’s in good form, steadily progressing and has the strongest late pace figures in the field.

Race 11: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 40000n1x

The Conductor will be spreading in the finale and he will not be using the M/L Favorite #8 Salsa Bella (7/2)

Using: 1,2,7,10,11

Ponies, Videos

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Saratoga

We don’t want to do better, we need to do better. C’mon Conductor! Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Mdn 78k

#4 Noble Emotion (8/1) – Bred to go long on the grass, trainer Jonathon Thomas is 27% with a +$0.08 ROI with turf runners this year and can win 1st time out. When Castellano rides for him, they’re live.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. Clm 75000

#4 Olympic Village (4/1) – He showed talent as a two-year old and is making his return to the races today. He’s working well and Castellano hops aboard for another barn he rarely rides for.

Race 3: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#6 Shennan (7/2) – Making his 2nd start off a layoff and in the US, he should take a big step forward today. He ran well last time out, closing for 3rd into a slow pace.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 25000

#3 Flattering Eye’s (12/1) – She was just beaten by a favorite last start and shortens in distance today. This race is wide open.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Cove Blue (8/1) – This colt just missed last time after setting a hot pace going 7 furlongs. He’s working like he’s going to run a career best today over the Saratoga track.

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Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 35000

#8 Psalmody (7/5) – Chalk

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 80000b

#5 Maraud (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he had no chance last time trying to close into a tepid pace. He’s a Grade 2 winner and the class of the field.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. F.S.OC 25000n1x

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Stew Lock of the Day #5 Ratajkowski (8/5) – She ran very well just getting nailed in her 1st time routing last time. The Conductor sees her graduating today. Her namesake will be cheering her on.

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Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Skidmore Stakes 100k

#4 River Hawk (20/1) – Shipping in from Laurel and taking a huge step up in class, Jose Ortiz takes the mount for a barn he hasn’t ridden for this year. The Conductor has a feeling this boy is live and is also a big name hunch play for the Conductor.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000

#8 Blue Parrot (5/1) – 2nd off a layoff, the Conductor thinks she’ll appreciate the added distance after going 5 ½ Furlongs last time.

 

Ponies

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Saratoga

Nothing like striking out to start the week. The Conductor only has two options now, dig out of the hole, or dig a deeper one……Either way he’s happy, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 25000

#2 Amazing Audrey (6/5) – She’s the most likely, the Conductor has no feel for this race.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 75k

#7 Miraculousblessing (12/1) – This filly is coming up from Monmouth where she is posting bullet works. Gaffalione and trainer Kelsey Danner teamed up for a 33/1 debut winner in their lone start together at Saratoga.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. OC 80000n2x

#3 No Dozing (9/5) – The Conductor keeps burning money on him so he’ll do it one more time.

Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#2 Relentless Dancer (8/1) – The Conductor likes this colt’s work tab and Jose Ortiz has been very strong for Maker this meet.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. MC 50000

#4 Majestic West (8/1) – He’s working well for strong connections and his dam has produced 6 winners from 6 starters. The runners with experience aren’t anything special.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 30000n2L

#12 Southern Brigade (5/1) – He broke his maiden at the return to the races at Belmont last start and this field is abysmal. The Conductor would love 5/1 on him.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 80000n1x

*Double Barreled Shotgun Shots #2 Andarta (12/1) – Her maiden breaker last summer at Saratoga at this distance is the best race this field has. At a big number, the Conductor will use her.

#10 Silencia (9/2) – Shipping in from Laurel, her early pace figures last time out give her an edge against this field.

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Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. F.S. Union Avenue Stakes 100K

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Bonita Bianca (9/2) – She won this race last year and is cutting back to a sprint today in her 2nd start of 2019. Servis puts the blinkers back on her and she looks to get a perfect trip stalking a hot pace.

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Race 9: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 78k

#12 Crescent Lady (6/1) – Making her 3rd career start and working well, she moved early into a hot pace last start and was only beaten two lengths. The Conductor sees her graduating today.

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Spot Plays at Saratoga and Del Mar

Only three more racing weeks left at the Spa. Let’s get the gullet to start the racing week. Let’s Ride.

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Saratoga

Full Card Top Picks: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Saratoga

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 75k

Win – #2 More Thunder (4/1)

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

Win – #5 Honorable Hero (8/1)

Pick 3 – 1,3,5,6,7 / 1,2,3,4,6,7 / 10

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

Daily Double – 2,3,6 / 10

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 78k

*Win – #10 Mazal Eighteen (8/1)

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Clm 25000

Daily Double – 4,7,10 / 12

Del Mar

Full Card Top Picks: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Del Mar

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

Win – #4 Taylor’s Gal (5/1)

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000s

Win – #6 Heathers Grey (4/1)

Daily Double 6 / 5

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC S.50000

Daily Double – 5 / 7

Race 6: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

Win – #7 Holly Hundy (8/1)

Daily Double – 7 / 1,2,4,10

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Del Mar

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 40000

#6 Deckology (2/1) – The 3rd he ran in his debut last time will make him very tough to beat.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#4 Taylor Gals (5/1) – Her work three back catches the Conductor’s eye. It wouldn’t take much talent to surprise this group.

Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 32000

#7 Rocko’s Wheel (5/2) -2nd off the layoff, a natural step forward will make him a winner.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#6 Heathers Gray (4/1) – Lightly raced, she’s improved in each of her four lifetime starts. She’s posted three bullet works in a row and the Conductor sees her taking another step forward today.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC S.50000

#5 Afternoon Heat (2/1) – He’s run two solid 2nd’s behind favorites to start her career. She’ll graduate today.

Race 6: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Holly Hundy (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this filly drops in class and posted a bullet work entering today. She’s proven she can pass horses and looks to get a perfect trip in this spot, sitting behind a wicked pace.

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Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 80000

#10 Westmont (6/1) – Taking a big class drop, this gelding loves to win, especially at this trip. He has 4 wins at 5 ½ Furlongs.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Saratoga

Race 1: Hurdle Race – Pass

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 75k

#2 More Thunder (4/1) – This colt is posting sharp works and Rosario takes the mount for a low % barn. Rosario has only ridden one other horse for Steve Kiesaris this meet and he won at 21/1. This colt’s also wins at a 19% clip with 1st time starters.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000

#4 Aristocratic (5/2) – He has a major early pace edge against this group and won last time he was at this level.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

#5 Honorable Hero (8/1) – Plunging in class, he was fighting the rider early last start and was much farther back than usual. He’ll be ridden much more aggressively here and will be in a good spot when they turn for home against a very weak group.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#3 Ocean Fire (6/1) – Cutting back to a sprint and switching to dirt, she’s working well entering today and will be fit.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 78k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Mazal Eighteen (8/1) – Well bet in her debut, that race was taken off the turf and she showed brief speed before fading badly. Switching to the surface she’s bred for, Irad hops aboard for a low % barn he hasn’t ridden for this year. The Conductor has a funny feeling she’s live.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Bolt Landing Stakes 100k

#5 Kimari (3/5) – Unless she bounces horribly in her return from Ascot, she’ll obliterate this field.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. Clm 40000n2L

#7 Allured (3/5) – Chad Brown chalk.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Clm 25000

#10 Sycamore Lane (5/1) – He’s a consistent hard knocker and is proven at the distance.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#12 Subsidiary (6/1) – Dropping in class and cutting back to a sprint, she shit the gate last start and lost all chance. She’s quick enough early to get into a good spot entering the turn from the outside post.