Ponies, Videos

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

The Conductor will figure out Keeneland before its over. He hopes.

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 War Eagle’s Love (10/1) – 3rd off the layoff, she took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees another one coming. She looks to get a favorable trip as well, up close to a slow pace.

Image result for steiner recliner gif

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000

#3 Han Sense (9/2), #5 California Night (3/1) – One of these Maker runners will be victorious.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000

#5 Paint the Corners (7/2) – A young Conductor would put is 2 seamer right on the black.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 30000

#1 Visual (7/2) – His 2nd last time was fast enough to beat most groups at this level.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#6 Party Goer (12/1) – She’s bred to relish the lawn and the Conductor loves her work tab. Catalano is 25% with a +$0.51 ROI this year debuting runners on turf.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#5 Blood Curdling (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after facing G2 company last time, she showed she can sit and pass horses in her debut win.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#2 Patriot Drive (8/1) – Chad Brown and #5 Emaraaty (7/5) will be tough to beat, but this gelding is in good form and hasn’t missed the exacta in his last 5 tries.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#4 Book of Love (10/1) – She’s working well for solid connections and her sire is winning at a 16% with 1st time starters.

Advertisements
Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Keeneland

The Conductor needs to answer the bell. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 50000

*Gullet Shot #4 Speed Effect (6/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he set a wicked pace last time in a race that has come back live. He also adds blinkers today.

jesus dancing GIF

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#6 Lucky Curlin (4/1) – He ran a very strong late pace figure last time and has already faced some of the best two-year olds in the country. The added blinkers should put him in a better position early.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#3 Untraceable (5/1) – This gelding is a different animal routing on the turf. He set a hot pace and held on last time and the Conductor can see it happening again.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 32000

#7 Hardly a Secret (2/1) – He’s the best on paper and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#8 Wicked Valentine (5/1) – She’ll rip their hearts out.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 75000n2x

#5 Stillwater Cove (5/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have an opinion here.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#1 Telephone Walker (3/1), #3 Risk Profile (4/1) – One of the Chad Brown 1st timers will get the job done.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 80000n2x

#6 On Probation (15/1) – She can’t leave the state, but the Conductor thinks she can hit the board at a big price.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 73000n1x

#3 Patagonia (6/1) – This colt ran very well in his debut and is stretching out for the first time. He’ll be in a favorable spot early without much pace signed on.

Ponies, Videos

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

Nothing you can do but hop back in the train and keep chugging. Let’s Ride

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500

#7 Served Cold (4/1) – She took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees her continuing her progression.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#3 Keepme in Thegame (7/2) – She adds blinkers today, which should help her be for forwardly placed. She’s run some extremely strong late pace figures.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 30000

#5 Blunt Force (5/2) – She’s best and looks to get a good trip.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#9 Starvana (6/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward 2nd off the layoff.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#5 Thanks Be (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. MC 150000

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #4 Jerzees One (20/1) – Only 15k at auction, the Conductor likes that this colt is debuting for this much money and that Rosario takes the mount for a barn he never rides for. He’s also working well.

Image result for bomb gif

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#6 Dabinett (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#12 Drunken Fridays (12/1) – Nothing like a barrel of stew to start the weekend.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 80000b

#3 Sacred Life (5/2) – The Conductor sees her as a single against this field.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 It’s a Ford (6/1) – Dropping in class and cutting back in distance after pressing the pace last time, the Conductor loves her here.

hit ko GIF

Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Late Pick Five Play at Keeneland

The Conductor needs to figure out Keeneland quickly. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Mdn 71k

#1 Blame Debby (8/1), #4 Glamour Girl (6/1) – Both these girls are stretching out for the first time and the Conductor sees them stepping forward with the added distance. They will be well-positioned in the first flight of horses today.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Indian Summer Stakes 200k

The Conductor scored in last year’s rendition in dramatic fashion:

#9 Chimney Rock (8/1) – The Conductor loves this colt at a price, he’s the only closer in the race. He should get a perfect setup with a scorching pace up front.

Also Use: #1 Old Chestnut (3/1), #2 Kimari (5/2)

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G3 Dixiana Bourbon Stakes

#14 Vitalogy (4/1) – The Conductor is going to spread wide in this race, you can make a case for any contender. He will press this colt as he’s the best in the field, the post is a concern however.

Also Use: All

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Judmonte Spinster Stakes

#5 Elate (4/5) – The Conductor isn’t off her bandwagon; all his money will go through her.

Race 10: 6½ Furlongs. F.Alw 73000n1x

Use- #2,3,6,10

Ponies, Videos

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor couldn’t see the ball at Keeneland on opening day, but he learned a few things with his scars. Its a great Saturday of racing ahead of us. The Conductor loves the card, prices everywhere. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#6 Miss Imperfection (15/1) – This filly’s work tab screams to the Conductor that she’s ready to roll and her sire wins at a 16% clip with 1st time starters. Trainer Kellyn Gorder has a positive ROI this year with debut runners as well.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b

#6 Whoa Nellie (4/1) – This filly looks to get a perfect trip, stalking a hot pace and swooping on the turn.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 62500n2x

#6 Major Cabbie (10/1) – Throw out his last race on turf, his two dirt efforts in the Miller barn give him every chance. He’s working well leading up to this one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#3 Portos (4/1) – This colt closed into a tepid pace and ran a huge late pace figure in his debut. The Conductor would love 4/1.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. OC 75000n2L

#7 Peruvian Boy (8/1) – He’s faced the toughest competition in the field and the Conductor sees him in a great spot when they turn from home. His works suggest he’s on the improve.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford Stakes

#3 Imprimis (2/1) – With a clean trip he towers over this field.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.G2 Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes

#4 Danuska’s My Girl (6/1) – West coast shippers are always dangerous in dirt sprints. This girl is steadily progressing and has a major chance to wire this field.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 First Lady Stakes

#7 Indian Blessing (12/1) – There is an abundance of pace signed on in here and this mare looks to get a nice setup. She’s hit the board in every start in America and the Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta. The Conductor sees #4 Uni (4/1) as the likeliest winner.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#5 Enforceable (15/1) #1 Tap It To Win (3/1) is the one to beat, but this colt will be the Conductor’s key to the race. He’s the only one proven he can go this far and will be closing late with a hot pace in front of him.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Vintager (10/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with the American contingent. Obviously Chad Brown can’t be ignored with #4 Valid Point (5/1), but he’s going to take a swing with this European shipper. He’s in good form and trainer Charles Appleby has had success in America.

chess GIF

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#5 Further Lane (4/1) – She’s working like she’s a good one for top connections.

Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

The Conductor doesn’t want to talk about it. Let’s Ride

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 32000

#7 A Dixie Twister (2/1) – 5 wins in 6 starts at Belmont, she looks tough to beat.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k

#3 The Honest Toun (4/1) – He showed ability in his debut and has been working well since being clipped. Always be weary of the ultimate equipment change.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 25000n2L

#2 Pecan Pattie (4/5) – Chalk.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 40000

#2 Bebeau (8/1) – He’s run competitive efforts for this level and switches to turf for the first time. His breeding suggests he can take a step forward on the lawn.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#2 Bustin Scones (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, the Conductor liked her finish last time. With natural progression, she’s very dangerous.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#10 Tossup (15/1) – This filly showed ability as a 2-year old on dirt. 2nd off the layoff today, she could jump up and hit the board at a big number.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 62000n2x

#4 Performer (3/5) – Chalk.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 Miss Grillo Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 English Breeze (5/1) – She was too close to a hot pace last time and still ran a good 3rd. Her debut win two starts back was very impressive.

prayer GIF

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 40000

#9 Loaded Joe (9/2) – Dropping in class and turning back in distance, his early speed makes him very dangerous.

Ponies, Videos

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

Solid Wednesday for the Conductor, as he handed out the 50/1 exacta in race 6 on a platter and his gullet shot of the day ran 2nd at 16/1 in race 3. If you couldn’t make money yesterday, then the Conductor can’t help you. Start playing checkers or the violin. Let’s keep the train rolling, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 50000

#2 Days of Spring (6/5) – She’s dropping to the claiming ranks for the 1st time and the race she’s exiting has come back live. There is nothing else to like in this field.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 14000n3L

#5 Gyoza (3/1) – He’s working well coming in off a layoff and looks to get a perfect trip from the outside.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 50000

#5 Bail Out (3/5) – Chalk

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 25000

#8 Sobersick N Sorry (6/1) – The Conductor is neither sober or sick and he will not apologize.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 35000n3L

#4 Clyde’s Runner (4/1) – He looks to get a perfect trip with a hot pace to close into.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 50000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Lookn Fine as Wine (8/1) – This filly had a brutal trip in her debut. She switches to the dirt, adds blinkers, and Castellano takes the mount. Javier has only ridden twice for trainer Martin Carlos in the last two months and won both times.

guy class GIF

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 40000s

#5 Dream Passage (3/5) – Nothing creative.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Clm 30000n2L

#7 Fotis (9/2) – The Conductor doesn’t like anybody in here, its him by default.

Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

Saturday was a compete gambling debacle. Nothing more, nothing less. A weaker man would suck his thumb and lay rotting in bed while reevaluating his decision making. It takes a real warrior to get up the following morning, drink a stew and prepare to fire away with both fists. That’s why he is the Conductor and we are passengers. Never Surrender! Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 25000

#3 Summer Bourbon (4/1) – Mmmmhhmmmm bourbon.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 40000

#9 Ghostly Beauty (8/1) – Moving into a higher % barn, her race at Belmont two back will give her every chance. Trainer David Duggan is 21% with a +$2.17 ROI this year 1st off the claim.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. G2 Gallant Bloom Stakes

#3 Come Dancing (1/5) – Chalk

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 75k

#1 My Happy Place (9/2) – The Conductor likes her steady progression and she’s bred to take to the furf just fine. The Conductor will be in his happy place today, his couch.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

#5 Reversethedecision (2/1) – This filly ran some very strong pace figures last year. With maturity, she’ll be tough to beat.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 62k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Courted (6/1) – Trainer Jorge Abreau is 24% with a +$1.68 ROI with first time starters this year and this girls sire is winning at a 16% clip with debut runners. Castellano taking the mount also catches the Conductor’s eye.

Related image

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Ashley T. Cole Stakes 125k

#3 Gucci Factor (5/2) – This gelding loves to win and Belmont Park.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 77000n1x

#1/1A Entry (7/2) – The Conductor thinks both Cannizzo’s runners have a major chance.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.S. John Hettinger Stakes 125k

#7 Wegetsdamunnys (8/1)#9 Fifty Five (6/5) will be tough to beat, but the Conductor will key around this girl. She ran a good 4th last time closing into a slow pace and will have every chance today with a more favorable setup.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 66000n1x

*Underneath Uppercut #6 Nutzforboltz (10/1) – He doesn’t like to win, but he should get a hot pace to close into and will be finishing late. The Conductor will key him underneath in the exacta and trifecta.

Related image

Ponies, Videos

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

Descent start to the racing week yesterday, now we need to keep up the momentum. The Conductor likes some prices today, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: Hurdle Race

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. MC 25000

#5 Later Cat (3/5) – Chalk

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. Clm 25000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Booby Trap (12/1) – 3rd off the layoff and dropping in class, this gelding has the most upside in a field of runners who don’t like to win races. He should be forwardly placed in a race without much pace and that will give him a chance at an upset.

Image result for booby trap gif

Race 4: 1 ¼ Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#2 Whatdoesasharksay (3/1) – This filly is steadily progressing, and her running style suggests the longer the better.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn75k

#8 Myfirstexwife (8/1) – Trainer Jorge Abreu is 23% with a +$1.53 ROI with 1st time starters this year. The Conductor likes this filly’s breeding, work tab and that Jose takes the mount.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. S.OC 40000n2x

1/1A Entry (8/5) – The Linda Rice entry looks tough to beat.

Race 7: 1 ¼ Mile. (Turf) OC 30000n2x

#10 Value Engineering (5/2) – The Conductor has to give Chad one today.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k

#5 Shyza (6/1) – Switching from dirt to turf and stretching out for the first time, this filly has the grass in her pedigree. Rosario hops aboard and trainer John Servis is very adept with runners going from a sprint to a route.

Ponies, Videos

The Conductor’s Pennsylvania Derby Preview

The Pennsylvania Derby has drawn for Saturday and it is a hell of a race despite only 7 contenders. This is the best 3-year old race since the Derby and the winner will likely be the leader of the crop moving forward. Let’s see if the Conductor can help us passengers solve this puzzle.

#1 Math Wizard (8/1) – This colt is the only closer in the field and looks to get a nice trip with a hot pace in front of him. He will likely go off at a higher price and the Conductor can see him clunking up to get into the trifecta. He’s not good enough to win, but the Conductor thinks he’ll offer value underneath.

#2 Improbable (3/1) – This colt is very talented and was very impressive in his return to the races last time. His immaturity is still a concern, as he fought Van Dyke the entire first half of the Shared Belief Stakes. However, he still cut out hot fractions and won with ease. The Conductor doesn’t think we’ve seen the best of this boy yet and he’ll be one of the two runners he uses on top in this one.

#3 Shanghai Superfly (30/1) – The only runner with no business being in the race. Draw a line thru him and treat him as a scratch.

#4 War of Will (5/1) – The Conductor is against the Preakness winner in here and thinks he’s going in the wrong direction. To his credit he’s shown up in every big race, but his last two efforts have been disappointing. The Conductor thinks his campaign has taken his best out of him and you won’t find him anywhere on the Conductor’s tickets.

#5 Spun to Run (8/1) – This Colt is steadily progressing, and the Conductor really liked his win last time in the Smarty Jones Stakes at Parx. He split horses nicely and the race came back very fast on paper.  It’s a very tough ask for him to beat this field, but the Conductor will use him underneath in the exacta and tri.

#6 Mr. Money (4/1) – The Conductor has been a fan of this colt since he won him a nice lump of gold in the Pat Day Mile at 7/1 on Derby Day. Since then, he’s done nothing but blow away his competition. He’s stepping up against the big boys today, but the Conductor thinks he can answer the bell. His last work at Churchill could not have looked better. He’s the other contender the Conductor will use on top.

#7 Maximum Security (9/5) – The Conductor’s nemesis Maximum Security. How many times will he try to beat this boy? Well, at least one more time. The Conductor thinks he’ll go off at an even shorter price and he will get a lot of pace pressure in here. The Conductor will use him in 2nd and 3rd because he’s not a complete idiot, but he’ll make him look him in the eye and beat him one more round. Let’s go big boy, the Conductor didn’t here no bell.