Category: Videos

Horse racing video breakdowns from The Pony Conductor — race replays, stakes previews, and visual handicapping that shows the trips and angles behind the picks.

Keeneland: Key Horses for Thursday, October 8

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A group of jockeys riding horses during a race at a crowded racetrack.

Thank the Pony Gods for that one, Aunt Pearl looks like the real deal. Keeneland is a fickle beast and the Conductor was whiffing by miles Wednesday. He’ll be more selective Thursday, focus on the higher quality races and bet with both fists. Skip.

 

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 70k

*Double Barreled Buckshot #7 Flutiste (5/1) – Going two sprints to a route for Motion, this filly ran a good 3rd last time at Kentucky Downs and the Conductor sees her improving with the added distance and race experience. Speed and Kentucky Downs shippers have been running well on the turf so far this meet.

#4 Mummy Dearest (8/1) – This filly ran decent in her debut behind Flutiste and will also be stretching out for the first time. Trainer Michael Ewing is 7/17 with a +$1.56 ROI with horses routing for the first time this year.

keeneland

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 100000n2x

#5 Sonneman (8/5) – This colt is steadily progressing in the Assmusen barn and is dropping out of graded stakes competition. His class should be too much for this group.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. MC 75000

#4 Ghost Fighter (5/1) – Switching back to dirt 2nd off the layoff, this colt is exiting a key race at Kentucky Downs and showed ability on dirt last year. He adds blinkers today as well.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Mdn 70k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #11 Sovereign Appeal (10/1) – This filly had a tough trip last time at Keeneland and throw out her race on grass two back. She ran a very good 2nd at Churchill in July and will stretch-out with blinkers for the first time today. The Conductor loves her upside at a big price.

keeneland

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 78000

#6 Spectacular (3/1) – Dropping out of Grade 1 company, he was up close to a hot pace last time. He should be able to dictate the pace against a weaker field here and wire them.

#9 Monarch’s Glen (10/1) – Use him underneath in the exacta and trifecta. Ignore his last race on a sloppy track and look at his 2nd behind Grade 1 winner Digital Age two back.

Belmont Park: Key Horses for Sunday, October 4

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Horses and jockeys racing at Belmont Park, showcasing the excitement of a horse race with colorful silks and starting gates.

What a race by the filly. That was awesome, the Conductor would have enjoyed it more if he wasn’t getting crushed at Belmont all day. Here is some footage of him after the races yesterday as well:

Belmont Park

But you can’t kill what was never alive. Let’s Ride.

https://www.instagram.com/p/CF5aG1xp3cb/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link

Race 5: 1 Mile. Alw 50000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Saratoga Pal (4/1) – This gelding ran massive last time to break his maiden and stretches out today for the first time. The 2nd and 3rd place finishers in that race have come back to win and the Conductor is praying to get that morning line price.

Other Contenders: 1A

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 Miss Grillo Stakes

#8 Plum Ali (5/2) – This race stinks after the scratches. This girl is the only one left in the field who has beaten winners, and she did it after a troubled start last race.

Other Contenders: 4

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. F. G2 Beldame Stakes

#1 Letruska (3/1) – The lone speed in the race, she proved she can get the distance last time. She can steal this on the front end.

Other Contenders: 2

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) G3 Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational Stakes

#3 Backtohisroots (6/1) – This colt continues to steadily progress and has turned into a new animal this summer. The Conductor sees him building on his victory last time.

Other Contenders: 1,2

Keeneland: Key Horses for Saturday, October 3

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A large crowd gathered at a spring horse racing event with people and horses on a grassy area.

That would be the Conductor’s last winner yesterday, despicable. Great card again today and the Conductor will be firing away at both Pimlico and Keeneland. The anticipation mounts.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford Stakes

#4 Just Might (5/1) – This gelding should have no problem getting a solo lead based on his early pace figures. 2nd off the layoff, improving and his 3rd last race was flattered by Diamond Oops yesterday. There is a lot to like.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.G2 Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes

#2 Dos Vinos (7/2) – The pace looks to be hot in this one and the Conductor sees this filly getting a perfect trip. She should be able to get first run sitting just behind the dueling frontrunners

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 First Lady Stakes

#4 Newspaperofrecord (8/5) – #1 Beau Recall (2/1) beat her last time, but the Conductor sees her turning the tables here. There is no other speed in this race and she can dictate the terms on the front end. The Conductor also thinks #5 Uni (5/2) has lost a step.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#9 King Fury (12/1) – This 950k son of Curlin won his debut at two turns, which is very difficult to do. He also had a 4wide trip around both turns. He’s the only horse in the field proven at this distance and there is no telling how much he can improve today at Keeneland.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Analyze It (9/2) – Coming back from a two-year layoff last time, he easily beat a Grade 3 field. Chad Brown puts him right back into Grade 1 company today and the Conductor has seen this move 1000 times before. When Chad’s aggressive with horses off long breaks, they’re live.

Keeneland

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Aqueduct

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Horses competing in a race at Aqueduct Racetrack with jockeys in colorful silks.

Decent bounce back Thursday with prices running underneath and a short priced winner. Let’s get the train into 2nd gear at Aqueduct, Let’s Ride.

 

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Mayas Miracle (8/1) – In her debut on grass she had a troubled trip and still finished well to only be beaten two lengths. She adds Lasix today, moves to dirt for the first time and Rosario hops aboard.

Aqueduct

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#5 Cerretalto (10/1) – This gelding has had some time off after being eased last start. He’s an Aqueduct specialist and his figures fit with this group. He looks to get a perfect trip sitting behind a hot pace.

Race 7: 1 Mile. S.OC 40000n2x

#8 Singapore Trader (10/1) – 2nd off the layoff and stretching back out to his best distance, he didn’t run a step last time but was bet to favoritism. Johnny V hops back aboard and Pletcher keeps him protected at this level, which is a good sign. The Conductor will forgive his last effort and bet he runs well here.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 40000

#7 Roma Delight (4/1) – Dropping in class, the Conductor really liked her effort two back and she didn’t get any pace to run at last time. The Conductor likes her at this number and above.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A large crowd gathered at a horse racing event, with spectators enjoying the races and horses on the track under a blue sky.

The Conductor needs to start winning at Keeneland or he’ll be dead in a ditch in no time. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000n2L

#5 Tidal Effect (7/2) – Shipping in from California, she’s working well and the Conductor thinks he’s best.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#2 Repossession (5/1) – This filly was 750k at the Keeneland sale and is well bred for the lawn. She’s working well for strong connections.

Race 3: 1 Mile. MC 50000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Drew (15/1) – This colt was heavily bet in his debut and didn’t run a step after an awkward step. He’s posting bullet works entering today and can surprise at a big number.

keeneland

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 30000

#10 Cold Smoke (3/1) – This colt is dropping in class and was heavily bet in his debut. The Conductor likes that Rosario hops aboard.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 73000n3x

#4 Lady Worthington (6/1) – This filly pressed a hot pace at Saratoga last start before fading. That race has come back live.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#3 Bayerness (8/1) – This daughter of Bayern has a solid work tab and trainer Cherie DeVaux is 22% with a +$4.28 ROI with 1st time starters this year.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 77000n3x

#1 Midnight Tea Time (9/2) – He’s exiting a victory and the Conductor loved his effort at Saratoga two back.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. F.OC 100000n2x

#1 Shanghai Rain (10/1) – This filly has shown versatility and is exiting a blowout win in her first try on turf. The Conductor thinks that’s where she’ll be best.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F.(Turf) 150k Pin Oak Valley View Stakes

#11 The Mackem Bullet (10/1) – She’s returning after a long layoff, but if she’s any ware close to 10/1 you passengers must bet her.

Race 10: 1 1/6 Mile. Clm 20000n2L

#4 Violent Storm (5/2) – Close the windows and batten down the hatches.

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

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Exciting horse race at Keeneland with multiple horses racing on the track and spectators watching from the stands.

The Conductor will figure out Keeneland before its over. He hopes.

 

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 War Eagle’s Love (10/1) – 3rd off the layoff, she took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees another one coming. She looks to get a favorable trip as well, up close to a slow pace.

Keeneland

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000

#3 Han Sense (9/2), #5 California Night (3/1) – One of these Maker runners will be victorious.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000

#5 Paint the Corners (7/2) – A young Conductor would put is 2 seamer right on the black.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 30000

#1 Visual Artist (7/2) – His 2nd last time was fast enough to beat most groups at this level.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#6 Party Goer (12/1) – She’s bred to relish the lawn and the Conductor loves her work tab. Catalano is 25% with a +$0.51 ROI this year debuting runners on turf.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#5 Blood Curdling (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after facing G2 company last time, she showed she can sit and pass horses in her debut win.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#2 Patriot Drive (8/1) – Chad Brown and #5 Emaraaty (7/5) will be tough to beat, but this gelding is in good form and hasn’t missed the exacta in his last 5 tries.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#4 Book of Love (10/1) – She’s working well at Keeneland for solid connections and her sire is winning at a 16% with 1st time starters.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Keeneland

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Exciting horse race at Keeneland with multiple horses racing on the track and spectators watching from the stands.

The Conductor needs to answer the bell at Keeneland. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 50000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Speed Effect (6/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he set a wicked pace last time in a race that has come back live. He also adds blinkers today.

keeneland

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#6 Lucky Curlin (4/1) – He ran a very strong late pace figure last time and has already faced some of the best two-year olds in the country. The added blinkers should put him in a better position early.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#3 Untraceable (5/1) – This gelding is a different animal routing on the turf. He set a hot pace and held on last time and the Conductor can see it happening again.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 32000

#7 Hardly a Secret (2/1) – He’s the best on paper and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#8 Wicked Valentine (5/1) – She’ll rip their hearts out.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 75000n2x

#5 Stillwater Cove (5/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have an opinion here.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#1 Telephone Walker (3/1), #3 Risk Profile (4/1) – One of the Chad Brown 1st timers will get the job done.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 80000n2x

#6 On Probation (15/1) – She can’t leave the state, but the Conductor thinks she can hit the board at a big price.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 73000n1x

#3 Patagonia (6/1) – This colt ran very well at Keeneland in his debut and is stretching out for the first time. He’ll be in a favorable spot early without much pace signed on.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A thrilling horse race featuring multiple jockeys in colorful silks on a dirt track, with a large crowd in the background.

Nothing you can do but hop back in the train and keep chugging along the rails at Keeneland. Let’s Ride

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500

#7 Served Cold (4/1) – She took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees her continuing her progression.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#3 Keepme in Thegame (7/2) – She adds blinkers today, which should help her be for forwardly placed. She’s run some extremely strong late pace figures.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 30000

#5 Blunt Force (5/2) – She’s best and looks to get a good trip.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#9 Starvana (6/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward 2nd off the layoff.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#5 Thanks Be (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. MC 150000

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #4 Jerzees One (20/1) – Only 15k at auction, the Conductor likes that this colt is debuting for this much money and that Rosario takes the mount for a barn he never rides for. He’s also working well.

keeneland

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#6 Dabinett (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#12 Drunken Fridays (12/1) – Nothing like a barrel of stew to start the weekend.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 80000b

#3 Sacred Life (5/2) – The Conductor sees her as a single against this field.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 It’s a Ford (6/1) – Dropping in class and cutting back in distance after pressing the pace last time at Keeneland, the Conductor loves her here.

keeneland

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A large crowd gathered at a horse racing event, with spectators enjoying the races and horses on the track under a blue sky.

The Conductor couldn’t see the ball at Keeneland on opening day, but he learned a few things with his scars. Its a great Saturday of racing ahead of us. The Conductor loves the card, prices everywhere. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#6 Miss Imperfection (15/1) – This filly’s work tab screams to the Conductor that she’s ready to roll and her sire wins at a 16% clip with 1st time starters. Trainer Kellyn Gorder has a positive ROI this year with debut runners as well.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b

#6 Whoa Nellie (4/1) – This filly looks to get a perfect trip, stalking a hot pace and swooping on the turn.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 62500n2x

#6 Major Cabbie (10/1) – Throw out his last race on turf, his two dirt efforts in the Miller barn give him every chance. He’s working well leading up to this one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#3 Portos (4/1) – This colt closed into a tepid pace and ran a huge late pace figure in his debut. The Conductor would love 4/1.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. OC 75000n2L

#7 Peruvian Boy (8/1) – He’s faced the toughest competition in the field and the Conductor sees him in a great spot when they turn from home. His works suggest he’s on the improve.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford Stakes

#3 Imprimis (2/1) – With a clean trip he towers over this field.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.G2 Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes

#4 Danuska’s My Girl (6/1) – West coast shippers are always dangerous in dirt sprints at Keeneland. This girl is also steadily progressing and has a major chance to wire this field.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 First Lady Stakes

#7 Indian Blessing (12/1) – There is an abundance of pace signed on in here and this mare looks to get a nice setup. She’s hit the board in every start in America and the Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta. The Conductor certainly sees #4 Uni (4/1) as the likeliest winner.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#5 Enforceable (15/1) – #1 Tap It To Win (3/1) is the one to beat, but this colt will be the Conductor’s key to the race. Additionally, he’s the only one proven he can go this far and will be closing late with a hot pace in front of him.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Vintager (10/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with the American contingent. Obviously Chad Brown can’t be ignored with #4 Valid Point (5/1), but he’s going to take a swing with this European shipper. He’s in good form and trainer Charles Appleby has also had success in America.

keeneland

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#5 Further Lane (4/1) – She’s certainly working like she’s a good one at Keeneland for top connections.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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Horses and jockeys racing at Belmont Park, showcasing the excitement of a horse race with colorful silks and starting gates.

The Conductor doesn’t want to talk about Belmont Park. Let’s Ride

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 32000

#7 A Dixie Twister (2/1) – 5 wins in 6 starts at Belmont, she looks tough to beat.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k

#3 The Honest Toun (4/1) – He showed ability in his debut and has been working well since being clipped. Always be weary of the ultimate equipment change.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 25000n2L

#2 Pecan Pattie (4/5) – Chalk.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 40000

#2 Bebeau (8/1) – He’s run competitive efforts for this level and switches to turf for the first time. His breeding suggests he can take a step forward on the lawn.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#2 Bustin Scones (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, the Conductor liked her finish last time. With natural progression, she’s very dangerous.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#10 Tossup (15/1) – This filly showed ability as a 2-year old on dirt. 2nd off the layoff today, she could jump up and hit the board at a big number.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 62000n2x

#4 Performer (3/5) – Chalk.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 Miss Grillo Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 English Breeze (5/1) – She was too close to a hot pace last time and still ran a good 3rd. Her debut win two starts back was very impressive.

belmont park

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 40000

#9 Loaded Joe (9/2) – Dropping in class and turning back in distance, his early speed makes him very dangerous.