Saratoga Saturday Picks & Best Bets — August 16, 2025 | Full Card Analysis

Several horses racing on a dirt track with jockeys in colorful uniforms during a horse racing event.

Another good Saturday for the Conductor last week, going 2/3 with 4/1 and 5/1 winners. August has been kind to the passengers. Thank you Mr. Conductor, your generosity and genius knows no bounds. Keep pounding. Skip.

Race 5: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 50000n1x

#5 Il Siciliano (4/1) – This colt ran huge last time, making an early wide move and was game to the wire. He’s overcome terrible turf trips multiple times this year to run 2nd at big odds. He’s the only horse in the field that loves this distance and the Conductor thinks this is a weak bunch. Il Sicilliano finally gets his picture taken today. 3/1 or better is fair.

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. F.Alabama G1 Alabama Stakes

#1 Margie’s Intention (8/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like any of the favorites in here, so he’s going to take a shot with the “other” Cox runner. She’s improved since moving into the Cox barn and ran better than it looks last time with a wide trip into a slow pace. She ran the best late pace figure in the field and will appreciate the added distance, unlike most of the contenders. Saving all the ground with a rail trip, the Conductor will key her in the feature.

Race 11: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 35000n2L

#7 Landman Friday (6/1) – This colt ran well vs tougher off the bench last time. He has the strongest late pace figures in the field, and this race should have an honest pace. He’ll appreciate the added distance today and should improve 2nd off a layoff.

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Saratoga & Colonial Downs Picks — Saturday Best Bets, August 9, 2025

A group of racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks competing on a racetrack during sunset.

Two solid winners last Saturday at Saratoga. The passengers are begging the Conductor for more picks. You’ll get what he serves on a platter for free and you’ll like it. Skip.

Saratoga Race 10: 1½ Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer Stakes

#1 El Cordobes (4/1) – The “other” Appleby in the feature race. This gelding has been steadily progressing across the pond and is in good form. He gets an ideal rail draw with Prat aboard and this is a weak Grade 1. His two main rivals are #5 Nations Pride (3/1), who’s best days are behind him, and #6 Far Bridge (9/5), who has Rosario aboard with an outside post. El Cordobes is the Conductor’s best bet on the Saratoga card.

Colonial Downs Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F. Andy Guest Stakes

#8 Cart Girl Sam (8/1) – This filly overcame a terrible turf trip and ride by Leparoux last time to still one nicely. She has real talent and upside. With a new rider aboard, the Conductor sees her firing a career best race today.

Race 11: 1 1/4 Mile. (Outer Turf) G1 Arlington Million Stakes

#6 Fort Washington (4/1) – This is another weak Grade 1 field, with #8 Integration (8/5) as the heavy favorite. The Conductor sees this race having a quick pace for this distance, so Fort Washington should sit a nice trip. He’s a dead closer, but has the strongest late pace figures in the field and has taken a step forward this year. He had no chance last time behind a tepid pace.

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Saratoga Whitney Stakes Day Picks — Saturday, August 2, 2025 | Full Card Analysis

A group of thoroughbred horses racing on a grassy track with spectators in the background.

By far the best card of the Saratoga meet thus far. Add in beautiful weather and fast turf and we have ourselves one hell of a Saturday. Let’s Ride.

Race 7: Furlongs. OC 75000n2x

#1 Hold My Bourbon (10/1) – This is the first of two Saffie Joseph runners the Conductor likes today. In his first start for the barn last time, Hold My Bourbon chased a wicked pace going two turns. He did well to hang on to 2nd and now looks primed for the cutback in distance. The rail is usually where you want to be on a fast dirt track at Saratoga, and he should get a nice pocket trip. Let’s get the Conductor’s bourbon started nice and early.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Whitney Stakes

#7 White Abarrio (4/1) – This is a great race with three formidable horses. The Conductor likes White Abarrio at anything over 3/1. If you throw out the Met on a sloppy track, Saffie has him back to his old self. His Pacific Classic this year was dominant and his best can certainly beat the favorites. Fierceness (9/5) will be up close to a hot pace in this one, and White Abarrio should be able to sit a perfect trip and pounce. With a well timed ride by Irad, he’ll get the jump on #5 Sierra Leone (2/1) and cash for the passengers.

Race 12: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 110000n1x

#4 Upon a Star (8/1) – This filly ran solid numbers on dirt last year and returned off the bench to win nicely in the slop. Now 2nd off the layoff, she finally switches to turf, the surface she’s bred for. She has major upside with the surface switch and making her 2nd start as a 4-year-old. Upon a star is going to fire a career best effort.

#5 She’s Got Will (10/1) – A wild card horse entering off a long layoff, this filly has talent. She won her debut routing over this Saratoga turf course and ran well last year in all three starts. She tries sprinting today for the first time and the Conductor thinks this is a mediocre bunch. She’s Got Will can pull an upset.

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