Month: April 2019

The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Pick 6 Preview

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing red and white silks crossing the finish line at the Breeders' Cup event.

Full card plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor is generously giving us his contenders in the feature races on the Kentucky Oaks card. Nothing like hitting the pick 4,5 and 6 Friday so we can unload on Saturday. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. G3 Edgewood Stakes

#1 Newspaperofrecord (3/5) – This super filly is making her 1st start of the year, but she can’t possibly lose.  The ground will have some cut in it as well, which she’s proven to relish.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. G2 Alysheba Stakes

#1 McKinzie (8/5) and #8 Seeking the Soul (5/2) look to be the only two contenders to the Conductor.

*UPDATE – Upon Further Review the Conductor will also use #6 Instilled Regard (8/1) as a backup.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 La Troienne Stakes

#1 She’s a Julie (7/2), #2 Blue Prize (3/1) and #9 Secret Spice (3/1) are all logical contenders that have big chances, but the Conductor has a price he will key in the exacta and trifecta and use in the horizontal wagers.

#7 Teresa Z (15/1) – This mare is a closer and looks to get a nice setup with lots of speed signed on in this one.  She impressed the Conductor last fall and looks primed to run a top effort 2nd off the layoff.  She’s done her best running on a wet surface as well and the forecast calls for rain like every derby weekend.

kentucky oaks

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

This is the most open race in the sequence and the Conductor will likely spread wide and deep unless number #15 Soul Streit (2/1) gets into the field. He’ll be tough to beat.  #7 Solid Wager (5/2) is a solid favorite but can be beaten.

#12 Fuel the Burn (20/1) – The Conductor’s favorite bomb in the race is this horse exiting a solid win at Keeneland. Winner of 3 of his last 4, he’s become a new animal on the dirt. His figures fit against this group and the Conductor sees a peak performance coming 2nd off the layoff.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Twin Spires Turf Sprint

#6 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s the best turf sprinter in the country period.  The Conductor will likely single but may use a saver with #8 Undrafted (8/1) and #9 Will Call (10/1). He can see a scenario where #1 Bound for Nowhere (3/1) makes World of Trouble go too quick on the lead and give the two best closers a shot down the lane.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F. G1 Longines Kentucky Oaks

In the feature race of the day, the Conductor is going to TOSS the favorite Bellafina (2/1). She’s been beating up on nobodies in California and this looks like a complete pace meltdown on paper.  The Conductor will look for contenders who can pass horses down the lane.

He’ll use #1 Out for a Spin (15/1), #3 Lady Apple (20/1), #10 Champagne Anyone (6/1), #11 Jeltrin (15/1), #14 Restless Rider (6/1) and #15 Dunbar Road (5/1) and #16 Point of Honor (20/1) if there are scratches and they draw in.

UPDATE: The Conductor will also be using #2 Chocolate Kisses (20/1) 

kentucky oaks

Toooooooooooooooooossssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss!!!!!!!

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A racehorse with jockey number 6 walking towards the starting area at a racetrack.

Officially one week out from the Derby. The Conductor is feeling tingly on the inside. Belmont Park time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 O Shea Can U See (10/1) – Dropping back into state bred competition he closed for 3rd into a slow pace last start. He’s 2/3 at Belmont.

belmont park

Race 2: 1 /16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000

#6 Magnesite (3/1) – Going two sprints to a route and well bet in both starts, its tough to like anyone else. In here.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#4 Dowse’s Beach (3/1) – He does his best running in New York and loves to win.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 52k

#3 Lookbothways (6/1) – She lost all chance at the start last time out.  She showed ability in her debut and will step forward today.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000n2L

#11 All Clear (20/1) – His races on the turf make him competitive in here, the Conductor doesn’t care about his terrible dirt form.  He’ll key him in the trifecta.

Race 6: 1 Mile (Turf) Alw 82000n1x

#7 Hoboe (5/1) – He has very strong late pace figures and loves this turf course.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 12500

#5 American Lincoln (8/1) – 1st off the claim, he won nicely last start and hasn’t missed the exacta at this distance.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 80k

#4 Value Population (8/5) – He’s bred to be the goods.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Elusive Quality Stakes

*Never a Doubt Free Round of Golf Lock of the Day #5 Therapist (3/1) – 1st time gelding, he’s 3/3 at Belmont and has a strong late punch. He’ll solve all the Conductor’s problems.

belmont park

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#3 Remstin (8/1) – Off a two year layoff, if he’s any semblance of his old self he’ll bat this group.

The Conductor’s Closing Day Plays at Keeneland

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Horses and jockeys lined up at the starting gate at Keeneland Racecourse during a race.

Closing day at Keeneland, opening day at Belmont. The train will stay in the bluegrass for one more slumber then will be stationed at big sandy for the meet moving forward.  From now thru Saratoga is horse racing heaven.  Let’s change our silly little lives. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000b

#1/1A Entry (9/2) – The Conductor like both of the Presque Isle shippers, he’ll take either if one scratches.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#6 Change of Control (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she has an early pace edge and is steadily improving.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

#7 Scattered Strikes (5/2) – He’s the one to beat after dueling in his debut on a scorching pace and hanging on for 3rd. #10 Sandy Lane Kitten (12/1) is a price horse the Conductor likes.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 50000s

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Free Stews Lock of the Day #2 West Texas (2/1) – 3rd behind two next out winners last start, she’ll handle this group.

Keeneland

Race 5: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#7 Passionof the Nile (4/1) – This filly was well bet in her debut, was very wide and only beaten 2 lengths closing into a slow pace. Easy bet back.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Alw 81000n1x

#6 Uber Kick (8/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he ran a good 2nd at this level last start and the Conductor sees him taking another step forward.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Crafty Daddy (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing for top connections.

Keeneland

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 100000n3L

#3 Lady T N T (5/2) – 3rd off the layoff, she looks to run her best today.

Race 9: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Bewitch Stakes

#7 Maroubra (5/1) – The Conductor liked her late kick, closing into a slow pace last start. 2nd off the layoff, she’ll be even better.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#2 Baladera (8/1) – She just missed at this level last start in her 1st try on the Keeneland dirt. 2nd off the layoff, she has a big chance.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Three thoroughbred horses racing on a dirt track with jockeys in colorful silks during a horse race.

Only 9 more sleeps until the Derby, Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 3/16. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Darling Vera (8/1) – She was very impressive in her maiden breaker closing from the clouds into a moderate pace. Her late pace figures give her a chance even though she’s taking on winners for the first time.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000n3x

*Never a Doubt Friday Eve Lock of the Day #4 Jala Jala (7/5) – The Conductor liked her in a stakes race that he can’t remember the name of that she scratched out of last week. This field is much weaker.

Keeneland

Race 3: 1 ½ Miles. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#7 Kurlin Rock (4/5) – Chalk.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 20000

#5 Strafford (15/1) – None of the runners with experience have run a figure even close to par for this level.  Trainer Lee Thomas can surprise with debut runners.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Lessons From Avery (7/2) – With lots of speed signed on in here, she looks to get a perfect stalking trip.

Race 6: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#1 Johnny Unleashed (8/1) – He showed real early gas in his debut, he’ll be more fit today.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 85000b

#4 Sensitive (2/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she looks ultra-tough to beat.

Race 8: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#6 Apple Empire (8/1) – His dam has produced a ridiculous 10 winners from 11 starters and two stakes winners.  This colt is also posting bullet works at Keeneland.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Oxburger (10/1) – This son of tapit was well bet in his debut and had a troubled start.  He’ll be a nice price and has a lot of upside.

Keeneland

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Keeneland

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Horses racing at Keeneland Racecourse with a large crowd watching the event.

The final wind pipe whack Wednesday at Keeneland is upon us. Sad yes, but we can’t get too down with the Triple Crown season right around the corner.  Let’s rob Keeneland blind, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #3 Strut The Ring (2/1) – He’s clearly the one to beat in the Conductor’s eyes. Struuuuut.

Keeneland

Race 2: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Cured by Kitten (5/2) – Chalk again.

Race 3: 4½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#11 Anna’s Fast (2/1) – This 470k Wesley Ward trainee will certainly blow them away.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#6 Miss Rombauer (6/1) – She was well bet in her debut at Saratoga and had a troubled trip. Now she adds blinkers today and is also bred to be a good one.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000n2L

#4 Psychoanalyze (8/1) – He’s coming off a long layoff, but has strong back class and early speed in a race completely devoid of pace.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Keepme in Thegame (10/1) – 435k at auction, she’s bred for the lawn for top connections. The Conductor also doesn’t like the runners with experience in here.

Keeneland

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 79k

#8 Cavaradossi (9/2) – Stretching out 2nd off the layoff, her lone race at Keeneland was also his best and would beat this group.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#1A Vegas Kitten (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she was hung wide and closed well into a slow pace. Additionally, Rosario is also red hot in the irons.

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Turf Paradise

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A thrilling horse race featuring multiple horses racing on a green track with spectators in the background and a grandstand.

The Conductor has already had enough of this week. How is it only Tuesday? Let’s hit some prices today at Turf Paradise and solve all our problems. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 300yds. Alw 5200n2x

#8 Higher Icon (3/1) – Scoot!

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 12500

#2 Keeponrockinmebaby (6/1) – Her sire has produced multiple winners, including 1st out.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 85000

#4 Jimjimmyjames (6/1) – He’s trending in the right direction and has past races that would beat this group.

Race 4: 1 Mile. F.Clm 3000b

#5 Never Mizz (15/1) – By far the longest price on the board, she has early speed in a race devoid of pace. If the can hit the board the exacta and tri will pay big even with a small field.

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 8500b

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Housemaker (6/1) – She caught a slow pace last time, she has the best late pace figures in the field.

turf paradise

Race 6: 5 Furlongs. Clm 3000b

#5 Ladies Man (3/1) – Shipping in from California, his back class will be too much to handle.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 3000b

*Never a Doubt Written in Pen not Pencil Lock of the Day #5 Jack Mormon (4/1) – He’s dropping back to the class level where he crushed two starts back.

turf paradise

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 15000b

#3 Mantracker (5/1) – He’s posting bullet works at Turf Paradise and will be facing his weakest competition to date.

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Play at Turf Paradise

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A black racehorse walking past a crowd at a horse racing event, surrounded by flowers and green fencing.

Its Monday again, sad, but we’re now only two weeks out from Derby Day.  That is not sad and one of the best betting Derbies in the last few years.  We need to get the train flush wish cash at Turf Paradise before we roll in to Churchill and clean the place out. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.OC 1000n2x

#1 Seaside Song (3/1) – She’s already taking early money.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 3000b

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Nightly News (4/1) – He ran a strong 2nd last start closing into a slow pace. This is his best distance and the Conductor is praying he gets over 7/2.

Turf Paradise

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. Moc 30000

#1 Lodestone (5/2) – His dam has produced 2 stakes winners and he’s working like a rocket for top connections.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 5000

#8 I.C. Blue (6/1) – She drops in class and was well-bet and showed speed in her debut.  Easy bet back.

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 3500s

 #3 Del Mar Diva (9/5) – This filly looks to get a perfect stalking trip and is in good form.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Clm 3500n3L

*Never a Doubt Week Starter #9 Tizjohndeersway (5/2) – 1st off the claim for top connections, he’s going to blow the doors off this field.

Turf Paradise

Race 7: 5 ½ F. F.OC 10000

#8 Top Lady Margie (6/1) – The Conductor liked this filly’s last race at Turf Paradise, she’s a sprinter.

Race 8: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 8500b

#1 Presidentsky (8/1) – He’s stepping up in class but is drawn well to the inside and in good form.  He can take this group.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Play at Keeneland

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keeneland

There wasn’t much good yesterday at Keeneland after the lock got home. We need prices Conductor! Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#4 Lovesomuch (9/2) – Not much to like in this group, he has upside switching back to dirt.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2L

#4 Tally Ho (3/1) – She looks like a standout.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#5 Hassle (20/1) – She has early speed in a race devoid of pace and this group is weak.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 85000n3x

#4 Shahroze (3/1) – He’s getting better with every start and was very impressive in win last out.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 40000n2L

#4 Hoptown Honey (12/1) – Her figures fit and she loves to hit the board. The Conductor will key her underneath in the exacta and tri.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 20000n2L

#2 Hollywood Strike (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s another one that doesn’t like to win but a great key underneath with a sprinkle on top.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 83000n2x

#1 Closer Still (8/1) – This girl will go guns blazing on the front end. Hoooolllldddd!!!!!

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. OC 75000n1x

#10 Distant Shore (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s working well and getting better with each start.

Race 9: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G2 Dixiana Elkhorn Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Tiz a Slam (15/1) – He got in great form last summer and has big races to run back to.  The Conductor wants him on the lead.

keeneland

Race 10: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 79k

*Never a Doubt Chad Brown Lock #1 Highest Honors (3/1) – Word on the street at Keeneland is that he’s the goods.

keeneland

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Horses racing on a turf track with jockeys in colorful silks during a competition.

The Conductor got all of his losers out of the way yesterday. Great strategy before the weekend at Keeneland. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #3 Turner Time (2/1) – He’s got an early pace edge over this group.  The Conductor’s pick 5 single.

Keeneland

Race 2: 1„ Mile. F.Mdn 79k

#1A Temperit (6/1) – She closed into a slow pace for a good 2nd last time. She graduates today.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n1x

#6 Into Mystic (4/1) – Making her 1st start of the year, she showed talent in her first two starts. She’s working like she’s ready to roll.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 20000

#1 Out Til Dawn (4/1) – The Conductor was out until dawn last night, it was Thursday.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#9 Better Biz (12/1) – Her sire wins at an 18% clip with first timers and she’s working well.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 83000n2x

#3 Johnny Obvious (8/1) – The speed of the speed.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#8 Twelve Monarchs (20/1) – The Conductor doesn’t care about the low % connections at a big price.  She ran well on debut and is cutting back.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 85000n3x

#1 Munchkin Money (4/1) – This filly is versatile and in good form.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G3 Hilliard Lyons-Baird Doubledogdare Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Jala Jala (6/1) – Her race two back at Keeneland gives her a chance to take down #2 Blue Prize (5/2). She’ll love stretching back out to a route.

Keeneland

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

#5 Job Security (12/1) – 700k at auction, the Conductor will bet he has ability.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A large crowd of people gathered in a park area surrounded by flowering trees.

Only two short priced winners yesterday wasn’t what the Conductor ordered to start the week at Keeneland. Nothin throat shot Thursday can’t fix. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 50000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Trapper Peak (10/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he just missed last start and will be more fit today.  He showed talent in his debut.

Race 2: 4 1/2 Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#5 Snake River Ward (5/2) – The Conductor will use the two Wesley Ward 1st time starters and toss Pletcher.

Race 3: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 83000n2x

#1 Room to Finish (5/1) – This filly is drawn well to the inside and has yet to run out of the exacta in his young career.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. MC 20000

#10 Hart Hall (12/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like anyone with experience in this field. Trainer Danny Gargan is 4/11 with a +$0.67 ROI debuting maiden claimers this year.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n2x

#2 Ebullient (3/1) – She looks best on paper and Johnny V is hot in the irons.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 100000

#4 Bourbon Girl (10/1) – This filly showed ability in her debut, then lost all chance at the start last time. She can surprise this field at a big number.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 20000n2L

#7 So Aristocratic (3/1) – This filly will get a favorable trip leading a slow pace.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#5 Get Western (4/1) – Dropping out of stakes company, this gelding has serious early pace figures.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. MC 20000

*Never a Doubt Closing Leg Lock of the Day #7 Ogre’s Cat (6/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after setting a hot pace going longer, the Conductor will hammer him at that price.

Keeneland