Month: April 2019

Ponies, Videos

The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Pick 6 Preview

The Conductor's Scribe

Full card plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor is generously giving us his contenders in the feature races on the Oaks card. Nothing like hitting the pick 4,5 and 6 Friday so we can unload on Saturday. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. G3 Edgewood Stakes

#1 Newspaperofrecord (3/5) – This super filly is making her 1st start of the year, but she can’t possibly lose.  The ground will have some cut in it as well, which she’s proven to relish.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. G2 Alysheba Stakes

#1 McKinzie (8/5) and #8 Seeking the Soul (5/2) look to be the only two contenders to the Conductor.

*UPDATE – Upon Further Review the Conductor will also use #6 Instilled Regard (8/1) as a backup.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 La Troienne Stakes

#1 She’s a Julie (7/2), #2 Blue Prize (3/1) and #9 Secret Spice (3/1) are all logical contenders that have big chances, but the Conductor has a price he will key in the exacta and trifecta and use in the horizontal wagers.

#7 Teresa Z (15/1) – This mare is a closer and looks to get a nice setup with lots of speed signed on in this one.  She impressed the Conductor last fall and looks primed to run a top effort 2nd off the layoff.  She’s done her best running on a wet surface as well and the forecast calls for rain like every derby weekend.

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Race 9: 7 Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

This is the most open race in the sequence and the Conductor will likely spread wide and deep unless number #15 Soul Streit (2/1) gets into the field. He’ll be tough to beat.  #7 Solid Wager (5/2) is a solid favorite but can be beaten.

#12 Fuel the Burn (20/1) – The Conductor’s favorite bomb in the race is this horse exiting a solid win at Keeneland. Winner of 3 of his last 4, he’s become a new animal on the dirt. His figures fit against this group and the Conductor sees a peak performance coming 2nd off the layoff.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Twin Spires Turf Sprint

#6 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s the best turf sprinter in the country period.  The Conductor will likely single but may use a saver with #8 Undrafted (8/1) and #9 Will Call (10/1). He can see a scenario where #1 Bound for Nowhere (3/1) makes World of Trouble go too quick on the lead and give the two best closers a shot down the lane.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F. G1 Longines Kentucky Oaks

In the feature race of the day, the Conductor is going to TOSS the favorite Bellafina (2/1). She’s been beating up on nobodies in California and this looks like a complete pace meltdown on paper.  The Conductor will look for contenders who can pass horses down the lane.

He’ll use #1 Out for a Spin (15/1), #3 Lady Apple (20/1), #10 Champagne Anyone (6/1), #11 Jeltrin (15/1), #14 Restless Rider (6/1) and #15 Dunbar Road (5/1) and #16 Point of Honor (20/1) if there are scratches and they draw in.

UPDATE: The Conductor will also be using #2 Chocolate Kisses (20/1) 

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Toooooooooooooooooossssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss!!!!!!!

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It is Officially Derby Week: The Conductor’s Oaks Day Preview Coming Tonight

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor will be in his capping lair for the foreseeable future. His eyes will be bleeding from scouring the form and replays, but his Oaks card preview will be up later tonight and Derby card preview will be posted Tuesday night. The Conductor is ready for war. Sleep tight Churchill, if you listen closely you can here the train rumbling in the distance.  There will be hell to pay. Let’s Ride.

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Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Lock of the Day at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor doesn’t have time for us passengers today, but he generously gave us his Sunday Lock. Let’s climb out of our weekend hole. Let’s Ride

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F. 125k License Fee Stakes

#5 Broadway Run (3/1) – The Conductor doesn’t care about the layoff since he won in his debut. He’s never been out of the exacta at Belmont and is a winner of a stakes race at Saratoga. The Conductor will single him in all of the exotics.

Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

Officially one week out from the Derby. The Conductor is feeling tingly on the inside. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 O Shea Can U See (10/1) – Dropping back into state bred competition he closed for 3rd into a slow pace last start. He’s 2/3 at Belmont.

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Race 2: 1 /16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000

#6 Magnesite (3/1) – Going two sprints to a route and well bet in both starts, its tough to like anyone else. In here.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#4 Dowse’s Beach (3/1) – He does his best running in New York and loves to win.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 52k

#3 Lookbothways (6/1) – She lost all chance at the start last time out.  She showed ability in her debut and will step forward today.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000n2L

#11 All Clear (20/1) – His races on the turf make him competitive in here, the Conductor doesn’t care about his terrible dirt form.  He’ll key him in the trifecta.

Race 6: 1 Mile (Turf) Alw 82000n1x

#7 Hoboe (5/1) – He has very strong late pace figures and loves this turf course.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 12500

#5 American Lincoln (8/1) – 1st off the claim, he won nicely last start and hasn’t missed the exacta at this distance.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 80k

#4 Value Population (8/5) – He’s bred to be the goods.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Elusive Quality Stakes

*Never a Doubt Free Round of Golf Lock of the Day #5 Therapist (3/1) – 1st time gelding, he’s 3/3 at Belmont and has a strong late punch. He’ll solve all the Conductor’s problems.

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Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#3 Remstin (8/1) – Off a two year layoff, if he’s any semblance of his old self he’ll bat this group.

Ponies, Videos

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Closing Day Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Closing day at Keeneland, opening day at Belmont. The train will stay in the bluegrass for one more slumber then will be stationed at big sandy for the meet moving forward.  From now thru Saratoga is horse racing heaven.  Let’s change our stupid little lives. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000b

#1/1A Entry (9/2) – The Conductor like both of the Presque Isle shippers, he’ll take either if one scratches.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#6 Change of Control (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she has an early pace edge and is steadily improving.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

#7 Scattered Strikes (5/2) – He’s the one to beat after dueling in his debut on a scorching pace and hanging on for 3rd. #10 Sandy Lane Kitten (12/1) is a price horse the Conductor likes.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 50000s

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Free Stews Lock of the Day #2 West Texas (2/1) – 3rd behind two next out winners last start, she’ll handle this group.

Race 5: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#7 Passionof the Nile (4/1) – This filly was well bet in her debut, was very wide and only beaten 2 lengths closing into a slow pace. Easy bet back.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Alw 81000n1x

#6 Uber Kick (8/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he ran a good 2nd at this level last start and the Conductor sees him taking another step forward.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Crafty Daddy (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing for top connections.

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Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 100000n3L

#3 Lady T N T (5/2) – 3rd off the layoff, she looks to run her best today.

Race 9: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Bewitch Stakes

#7 Maroubra (5/1) – The Conductor liked her late kick, closing into a slow pace last start. 2nd off the layoff, she’ll be even better.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#2 Baladera (8/1) – She just missed at this level last start in her 1st try on dirt. 2nd off the layoff, she has a big chance.

Ponies

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Only 9 more sleeps until the Derby, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 3/16. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Darling Vera (8/1) – She was very impressive in her maiden breaker closing from the clouds into a moderate pace. Her late pace figures give her a chance even though she’s taking on winners for the first time.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000n3x

*Never a Doubt Friday Eve Lock of the Day #4 Jala Jala (7/5) – The Conductor liked her in a stakes race that he can’t remember the name of that she scratched out of last week. This field is much weaker.

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Race 3: 1 ½ Miles. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#7 Kurlin Rock (4/5) – Chalk.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 20000

#5 Strafford (15/1) – None of the runners with experience have run a figure even close to par for this level.  Trainer Lee Thomas can surprise with debut runners.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Lessons From Avery (7/2) – With lots of speed signed on in here, she looks to get a perfect stalking trip.

Race 6: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#1 Johnny Unleashed (8/1) – He showed real early gas in his debut, he’ll be more fit today.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 85000b

#4 Sensitive (2/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she looks ultra-tough to beat.

Race 8: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#6 Apple Empire (8/1) – His dam has produced a ridiculous 10 winners from 11 starters and two stakes winners.  This colt is also posting bullet works.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Oxburger (10/1) – This son of tapit was well bet in his debut and had a troubled start.  He’ll be a nice price and has a lot of upside.

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Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The final wind pipe whack Wednesday at Keeneland is upon us. Sad yes, but we can’t get too down with the Triple Crown season right around the corner.  Let’s rob Keeneland blind, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #3 Strut The Ring (2/1) – He’s clearly the one to beat in the Conductor’s eyes. Struuuuut.

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Race 2: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Cured by Kitten (5/2) – Chalk again.

Race 3: 4½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#11 Anna’s Fast (2/1) – This 470k Wesley Ward trainee will blow them away.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#6 Miss Rombauer (6/1) – She was well bet in her debut at Saratoga and had a troubled trip. She adds blinkers today and is bred to be a good one.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000n2L

#4 Psychoanalyze (8/1) – He’s coming off a long layoff but has strong back class and early speed in a race devoid of pace.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Keepme in Thegame (10/1) – 435k at auction, she’s bred for the lawn for top connections. The Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience.

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Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 79k

#8 Cavaradossi (9/2) – Stretching out 2nd off the layoff, her lone race at Keeneland was his best and would beat this group.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#1A Vegas Kitten (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she was hung wide and closed well into a slow pace. Rosario is also red hot in the irons.

Ponies

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Turf Paradise

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor has already had enough of this week.  How is it only Tuesday? Let’s hit some prices today and solve all our problems. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 300yds. Alw 5200n2x

#8 Higher Icon (3/1) – Scoot!

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 12500

#2 Keeponrockinmebaby (6/1) – Her sire has produced multiple winners, including 1st out.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 85000

#4 Jimjimmyjames (6/1) – He’s trending in the right direction and has past races that would beat this group.

Race 4: 1 Mile. F.Clm 3000b

#5 Never Mizz (15/1) – By far the longest price on the board, she has early speed in a race devoid of pace. If the can hit the board the exacta and tri will pay big even with a small field.

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 8500b

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Housemaker (6/1) – She caught a slow pace last time, she has the best late pace figures in the field.

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Race 6: 5 Furlongs. Clm 3000b

#5 Ladies Man (3/1) – Shipping in from California, his back class will be too much to handle.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 3000b

*Never a Doubt Written in Pen not Pencil Lock of the Day #5 Jack Mormon (4/1) – He’s dropping back to the class level where he crushed two starts back.

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Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 15000b

#3 Mantracker (5/1) – He’s posting bullet works and will be facing his weakest competition to date.

Ponies

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Play at Turf Paradise

The Conductor's Scribe

Its Monday again, sad, but we’re now only two weeks out from Derby Day.  That is not sad and one of the best betting Derbies in the last few years.  We need to get the train flush wish cash before we roll in to Churchill and clean the place out. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.OC 1000n2x

#1 Seaside Song (3/1) – She’s already taking early money.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 3000b

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Nightly News (4/1) – He ran a strong 2nd last start closing into a slow pace. This is his best distance and the Conductor is praying he gets over 7/2.

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Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. Moc 30000

#1 Lodestone (5/2) – His dam has produced 2 stakes winners and he’s working like a rocket for top connections.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 5000

#8 I.C. Blue (6/1) – She drops in class and was well-bet and showed speed in her debut.  Easy bet back.

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 3500s

 #3 Del Mar Diva (9/5) – This filly looks to get a perfect stalking trip and is in good form.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Clm 3500n3L

*Never a Doubt Week Starter #9 Tizjohndeersway (5/2) – 1st off the claim for top connections, he’s going to blow the doors off this field.

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Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.OC 10000

#8 Top Lady Margie (6/1) – The Conductor liked this filly’s last race, she’s a sprinter.

Race 8: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 8500b

#1 Presidentsky (8/1) – He’s stepping up in class but is drawn well to the inside and in good form.  He can take this group.

Ponies

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Easter Prayers at Santa Anita

The Conductor's Scribe

Easter racing at Santa Anita? Nothing like streaming ponies in church. Sorry God, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#3 California Comet (6/1) – Her sire has produced multiple winners.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

*Never a Doubt Easter Lock #5 Toothless Wonder (8/5) – Drawn well to the outside and 2nd off the layoff, he’ll cross the wire first.

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Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#7 Tequila Sunrise (2/1) – Mmmmmm Tequila stew.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. Clm 12500n2L

#5 Frankie Machine (3/1) – Trainer upgrade and lightly raced, the Conductor will lean to the outside.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. S.Mdn 55k

#4 General Mo (7/2) – This colt broke last in his debut, but then he did some running.  With a clean break today we’ll see how good he is.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 25000

#1 Indypendent Deputy (2/1) – She didn’t have a chance last start, trying to close into a tepid pace. 2nd off the layoff, she’ll step forward.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Miss Lady Ann (4/1) – Taking on winners for the first time, the Conductor has liked both of her races.  This group isn’t very strong.

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Race 8: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 55k

#1 Holly Hundy (3/1) – This filly has a major early pace edge over this field. Gate to wire.