Month: June 2019

Ponies

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

Woof. The Conductor is tucking his between his legs and taking the train back to Belmont. Churchill kicked him in the teeth yesterday, luckily the casino was a little kinder to the Conductor. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 25000

#1/1A Entry – The Conductor likes both fillies and he get two for the price of 1.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

*Double Barreled Gullet Shots of the Day #4 Running on Entry (5/1) – She ran very well in her debut closing into a moderate pace for 2nd. A natural step forward makes her dangerous.

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#5 A Little Faith (12/1) – When Castellano shows up for low % barns on debut take notice.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 16000

#1 Professor Snape (5/2) – He’s been facing weaker but is consistently running figures that can beat this group.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Turf) F,Mdn 80k

#6 Livin at the Beach (6/1) – The Conductor like her breeding and she is working well for strong connections.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC 25000

#7 Fortune Smiles (5/1) – Plunging in class, he’s run ok against much tougher.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 40000s

#5 Cardiac Kitten (6/1) – Bred to be better on grass, she won very impressively last start at Keeneland. The Conductor will empty the caboose at that price.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. S.100K Saginaw Stakes

#4 Dynamax Prime (5/1) – He looks to get a perfect trip sitting just behind dueling front runners.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 50000n2L

*Never a Doubt Lock From God #5 Course Correction (6/5) – Chad Brown.

animated jesus christ GIF by Cheezburger

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Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Pick 6 Mandatory Payout Play at Churchill Downs

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor was heinous at Churchill yesterday, but it was a classic bait and switch.  He got all his losers out of the way and saved his winners for the mandatory pick 6 payout today.  What a smart Conductor, Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 97000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Salvator Mundi (10/1) – This is a very tough race to start the sequence and the Conductor will be spreading. This colt is the price horse he likes most. 2nd off the layoff and getting back to the turf, he just missed being a Grade 3 winner by a head last year. That’s by far the best effort in this group to date.

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The Conductor will also use: 1,2,4,8,11,12

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. 120K Kelly’s Landing Stakes

#7 Petrov (6/1) – The Conductor will include a price with the favorite.  This horse ran a good 2nd vs similar last start and has gotten better with each start this year. His win at Saratoga last summer gives him a chance.

The Conductor will also use: 1

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 104000n1x

The Conductor is going to play against the heavy favorite #12 Om (2/1) in this spot. Drawn to the outside, his weapon is speed going longer, cutbacks don’t work on the turf like they do in dirt.

The Conductor will use: 1,2,5,7,8,9,10

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.125K Debutante Stakes

*Never a Doubt Pick 6 Single Lock #7 Magic Dance (8/5) – You couldn’t ask for much more in her debut.  She would have to take a step backwards to be beat today. The Conductor will take a stand.

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Race 11: 6 Furlongs. G3 Bashford Manor Stakes

#2 Snell Yea (8/1) – The Conductor liked how hard he tried last start and he doesn’t have to improve too much to have a chance.

The Conductor will also use: 1,10

Race 12: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 95k

#12 On d’Oro (12/1) – Going two sprints to a route and trying turf for the first time, he can take a big step forward.

The Conductor will also use: 2,5,9

Ponies, Videos

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Churchill Downs

The Conductor's Scribe

Nice little 30/1 double for the Conductor yesterday.  He’s going to keep playing Churchill until Saratoga, Belmont is unplayable right now. Thank god it’s the weekend, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#7 Windy City Kitty (6/1) – This filly’s sire is winning at a whopping 42% clip with 1st time starters. The Conductor also likes her work tab.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000n2L

#4 Grit to Glory (3/1) – Lightly raced and dropping back to the claiming ranks, he has the most upside.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.MC 20000

#1 Princess Kiah (10/1) – 1st time blinkers, her race two starts back gives her every chance. The rail has good in routes.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 95k

#12 Crossing the Moon (8/1) – This colt is well-bred, and the Conductor loves to see a bullet work two back followed by a slow one leading into the debut. He’s ready to run.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 97000n1x

#7 Domonette (6/1) – Stretching out to a route, she will get a favorable trip all alone on the lead.  This race has absolutely no pace.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. OClm 10000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Greeleys Charm (8/1) – This old man is very consistent and ran a strong 2nd last time at this level closing into a slow pace. The M/L price would be an absolute treat.

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Race 7: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000

#1 Sharp Witted (5/1) – 3rd off the layoff and shortening back to a sprint, trainer Tom Amoss is winning at a 40% clip dropping horses more than 2 class levels this year.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#7 Mister Maestro (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, the Conductor sees him cycling up to his best self.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. Clm 40000

#1 Commandeering (10/1) – He set a hot pace for this level last start and is cutting back to a sprint. His race 3 back gives him every chance and the Conductor will key him in the exacta and trifecta.

Race 10: 1 Mile. OC 75000n1x

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #1A High Crime (5/2) – If this colt draws into the field, he’s your winner.

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Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 95k

#2 Wildlife (12/1) – This well-bred daughter of Animal Kingdom caught a sloppy track in her debut. The Conductor will take a swing trying what she wants today.

Ponies

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Churchill Downs

The Conductor's Scribe

We were out early and often in the pick 6 yesterday in Belmont. Not great, but Churchill has a hell of a card today for a Thursday. There is always another race in 20 minutes, that’s why the Conductor loves this game. Full fields and juicy prices in Louisville, the train will roll right in and fire away. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 95k

#8 Weekend Fun (7/2) – Drawn well to the outside, the Conductor loves this girl’s work tab for top connections. She showed her hand in tat bullet work at Keeneland May 25th.

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) OC 100000b

*Never a Doubt Thursday Night Stew Lock of the Day #2 Mr. Misunderstood (4/5) – The Conductor wanted to play against him off the layoff, but he looks too classy against this group.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.OClm 10000

#8 Big Blue Magic (7/2) – Stepping up in class, she’s in great form and looks to get a favorable trip up close to a slow pace.

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Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 40000

#1 Replete (12/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after setting a scorching pace for this level last time, the Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta.

Race 5: 1 Mile. F.OC 75000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Kim K (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this girl stretches out to a mile and has shown she has talent, breaking her maiden in a stakes race. Anything above 4/1 will get the Conductor tingly inside.

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Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 97000n1x

#3 Kaziranga (12/1) – The Conductor liked the way this colt split horses and finished in his win last start. He’s steadily progressing, and he didn’t have a favorable setup last time, it was a moderate pace he closed into.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

#10 Tiznoble (8/1) – 3rd off the layoff and working well, he’s stepping up in class, but his figures fit and he is ultra-consistent.  He looks to get a perfect stalking trip just behind the front-runners.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. MC 20000

#1 Grand Roayale (12/1) – Maiden claimers going this far? Who the hell knows. This 1st time gelding has upside stretching out to a route for the 1st time.

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

What a great exploitation by the Conductor. Buy Stuff

500k Pick 6 carryover at Belmont today, let’s take this bad boy down, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#8 Overland (15/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he didn’t have a chance last time behind a very slow pace. He’s working well and Rosario hops aboard. The Conductor will toss the M/L favorite Chad Brown runner #5 Graded On a Curve (9/5) on all tickets.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#3 H Man (3/5) – Simple chalk.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000

#3 Mr Maybe (4/1) – 3rd off the layoff and dropping back to the claiming ranks, he ran a huge late pace figure closing into a slow pace last start.

The Conductor will also use #7 Harv Won’t Tap (3/1) in the pick 6.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

*Never a Doubt Pick 6 Single Lock of the Day #8 Mutakatif (6/5) – The Conductor will only use Chad Brown her.

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Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) MC 50000

The Conductor like two price horses in here, this is were he becomes bold.

#5 On Spree (12/1) – A 1st time gelding dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he has upside.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Spindletop (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, she has a chance to wire this field without other speed horses.

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Race 6: 5 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k

Baby races are always tough, the Conductor will ride with Rudy Rod here and use #1 Bull of Bayern (7/2) and #6 Justin Vision (5/2).

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#11 Summer Squeeze (10/1) – She set a blistering pace last time before fading. She likes Belmont and is turning back in distance.

The Conductor will also use #9 Sadie Lady (2/1) and #10 Jaded Lady (5/2) 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#8 Funderella (12/1) – Her low % connections will keep her price high, but the Conductor liked her debut effort vs much tougher.

The Conductor will also use #6,#7 and #10 to close it out.

 

Ponies

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

The Conductor's Scribe

Great start to the week for the Conductor yesterday. 7/1, two 3/1 and 6/5 winners including his 3/1 lock of the day made all of us passengers happy.  The train will stay another day in Philly, time to press. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#3 Dearest Ella (5/1) – She’s dropping to her lowest career level, she’s shown speed vs tougher and will be a decent price with a low % barn.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 7500n1y

#1 Big Red Seven (6/5) – 1st off the claim and plunging in class for top connections, she looks tough to beat.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 7500n4L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Free for Nothing (10/1) – 2nd vs tougher last start going a mile, if the Conductor gets half that price on the cutback he’ll hammer him.

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Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 10000

#3 Lawyer Roy (2/1) – The Conductor has seen slower groups of horses, he just cant remember when. 3rd off the layoff he must win.

Race 5: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 45k

#3 Commissioner G (6/1) – 145k at auction, he’s working well and his sire wins at a 20% clip with 1st time starters.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 5000n1y

*Never a Doubt Taco Tuesday Lock #1 My Candy Forest (6/5) – Her early pace figures giver her a serious edge over this field.

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Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 8000

#8 Draxhall Woods (8/1) – They are going to fly up front in this race and the Conductor sees this old man getting a perfect stalking trip and then pouncing.

Race 8: 1m70yds. S.OC 35000n2x

#2 D T Goodie (8/1) – This gelding is very consistent and will be a bigger price than the favorites even though he has as good a chance as any.

Race 9: 1 Mile. F.Alw 12500

#7 I’m Not Joking (6/1) – Trending in the right direction, this girl is very serious.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. MC 10000

#8 Dramatized (10/1) – 2nd at this level last start, he’s lightly raced and can take another step forward today.

Ponies

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

The Conductor's Scribe

Not a great weekend for the Conductor at the windows. He had a few good opinions but couldn’t string anything together.  The full 5-day work week lying ahead may kill him, but next week is the 4th of July so there is light at the end of the tunnel.  The best medicine is stew and Parx on a Monday, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 4 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 45k

#1 Colby (5/2) – Servis/Pennington and she’s posting bullet works. Simple start.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#3 Sidereal (7/2) – He’s the most consistent of the bunch, the Conductor has faith in him.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. S.Mdn 47k

#7 Chubble Gum (5/1) – This colt’s sire is producing winners at a nice clip as of late.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Clm 7500n3L

#5 Self Start (10/1) – He’s coming in off a layoff, but his work tab looks good for a high% barn. He will be facing the weakest competition of his career today.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#5 Maid of Iron (4/1) – She has an early pace advantage over this group and that Is extra dangerous against low level claimers.

Race 6: 1 Mile. Clm 7500n4L

#6 Sparty (6/1) – Dropping in class and stretching back out to a route, he’ll be in a good position early and has the best figures in the field at this distance.

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 45k

*Never a Doubt Work Week Starter Lock of the Day #8 Glory Song (7/2) – The Conductor will ignore his dull effort last start. That was on the Preakness undercard and the track was inside speed biased.  His prior two efforts would make him an easy winner today.

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Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.Alw 46000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Don’t Fight It (15/1) – The Conductor liked her maiden breaker last start and Tampa shippers have run well at big odds for him this year. The Conductor will key him in the trifecta.

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Race 9: 1 Mile. Clm 10000

#3 Noble Kent (7/2) – This old man still like to race and fight you til the bitter end.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500n3L

#8 Glorious Mystery (9/2) – The drop in class was the difference for her last time. A repeat effort today and she’ll be tough to beat.

Ponies

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Late Pick 4 Prayer at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor can’t give you passengers his hard hitting analysis today. Too many stews, too much beach. You selfish little passengers just want the winners anyway. Punch this ticket until the cows come home. Let’s Ride

 

Race 6: Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k

#1 Listentoyourheart (8/1), #2 Justintimeforwine (10/1), #3 All Guns Blazing (8/1), #5 Cleon Jones (5/2), #6 Khali River (8/1)

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Alw 82000n1x

#2 Fortin Hill (2/1), #5 Bernin’ Thru Gold (6/1)

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.150K New York Stallion Stakes

#2 Analyzethmisandthat (12/1), #8 Bettor Bank On It (15/1), #10 Veterans Beach (6/1)

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#1,3,4,6,7,8,9,10,12

Ponies, Videos

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Late Pick 4 Plays at Belmont Park and Churchill Downs

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor sucked yesterday at Churchill, not what we wanted heading into the weekend. However, we have nice weather today and a chance to make some scores. The Conductor will focus his attention on the late pick 4’s in Louisville and Belmont. Let’s Ride.

Belmont Park Late Pick 4

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 50000s

This is a spread race for the Conductor, but he’s going to TOSS the morning line favorite #10 Xanthique (5/2) drawn to the far outside.

He’ll use #1 Tizaprincessa (8/1), #4 Sun Summers (7/2), #6 Cockstrikestwelve (6/1), #7 Zandora (8/1), and #9 the Nine O (4/1).

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. S.Alw 66000n1x

#7 The Big Lebanese (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint, he looks to get a perfect trip today with plenty of speed to run at.  He hasn’t gotten the setup in his prior sprints.

The Conductor will also use #5 Elios Milos (2/1) and #9 Smokin Platinum (3/1).

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.100K Wild Applause Stakes

#4 Nova Sol (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she ran very well last start in the Hilltop after a troubled trip. Chad Brown will in this race.

The Conductor will also use #6 Blowout (2/1)

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Hudson Overpass (12/1) – He split the field vs tougher in his debut and ran sneaky well last time at this level. He dueled, setting a hot pace early and was only beaten 3 ½ lengths even though he finished 10th.

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The Conductor will also use #3 Blue Parrot (10/1), #6 Champagne Chiils (4/1) and #7 Jack the Cat (6/1).

Churchill Downs Late Pick 4

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b

#7 In the Mood (6/1) – She ran a very good 2nd last time setting a hot at this level. She’s working even better leading in to today.

The Conductor will also use #2 Clever Serve (5/1) and #3 Devine Queen (7/2).

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#2 Altito (30/1) – He’s an absolute bomb the Conductor will use and key in the trifecta. He’s a proven winner on dirt and ran a solid 4th closing into a slow pace last time. He hasn’t had many chances on turf, but his race at Kentucky downs last fall makes him competitive in here.

The Conductor will also use #4 Cowboy Culture (6/1), #6 Dontblamerocket (4/1) and #8 Keep Quiet (5/2).

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Roxelana Overnight Stakes

*Never a Doubt Summer Saturday Night Lock of the Day #2 Covfefe (7/5) – The Conductor will toss #10 Mia Mischeif (8/5) and won’t use any backups in this race. This girl put on an absolute show down at Pimlico last start.  She’s the goods.

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Race 11: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 95k

#3 Double Axel (3/1) – She ran a hard charging 2nd after a slow start in her debut. Her recent works suggest she’ll graduate today.

#11 Risky Mandate (5/1) – Is the only backup the Conductor will use.

Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Churchill Downs

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor sucked yesterday but the card was unplayable with the rain scratches at Belmont. Meanwhile at Churchill they had 14 horse fields running with great opportunities.  There off the turf again in NY, so the Conductor will take the train to Kentucky to hunt for gold. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 Furlongs. F.Mdn 95k

#7 Mylastfirstkiss (4/1) – She is well bred and the Conductor loves her work tab. This is a very competitive field.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#4 Fascilitator (5/1) – He’s lightly raced and the Conductor likes his upside in an evenly matched group.

Race 3: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 95k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Shippingport (12/1) – Lanerie taking the mount for such a small barn screams to the Conductor that this boy is live. He’s been working bullets as well.

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Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#1 Ladyofdragonstone (9/2) – She’s steadily progressing and fits at this level. She ran a good 2nd last time setting a hot pace going longer. The Conductor loves the cutback.

Race 5: 1 Mile. Clm 25000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #2 Raising the Flag (3/1) – A repeat effort of her last start throttles this field. 3/1 would be insanely generous.

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Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 50000

#1 Musical American (5/1) – He likes to run 2nd, so the Conductor will mostly key him in the exacta. In his last turf race he dueled setting a hot pace and was only beaten two lengths.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 30000n2L

#8 General Kitten (8/1) – A 1st time gelding off a long layoff, the Conductor will take a swing in weak race. His performances on dirt give him every chance if he’s ready to run.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. OC 75000n1x

#9 Lemniscate (8/1) – He set the pace before fading badly in the Louisiana Derby.  He’s been working well since and the Louisiana Derby is the definition of a key race.  It has produced several next out stakes winners.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 40000b

#2 Valycove (4/1) – He’s run the best turf races in the field against the toughest competition.