Month: July 2021

Saratoga: Jim Dandy Day Key Horses for Saturday, July 31

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A racehorse with a blue and white jockey, showcasing speed and determination during a horse race, with a focus on the horse's features.

Alright, the Ductor has had enough of the slop. Finally, we get to Jim Dandy day and it looks like we’re getting back to a fast track and turf racing. The Ductor’s best bet of the meet so far is on the docket. Time to hit’ em where it hurts . Skip.

Saratoga Race 8: 6 Furlongs. – G1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt H.

#9 Special Reserve (9/2) – This is a very salty, competitive field and there are many ways you can go. This gelding is in sharp form and has an early pace edge over this group. Drawn well to the outside, he’ll have the lead as they turn for home and the Ductor will take a shot he scampers away at a decent price.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. – G2 Jim Dandy Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Keepmeinmind (6/1) – The Ductor is salivating to bet this colt. Essential Quality will win easy if he repeats his Belmont, but the Ductor sees him regressing, especially with his main target being the Travers. Keepmeinmind continues to be up against tough pace scenarios and he finally took a big step forward last time. With the blinkers on he can lay a little closer to the pace and he has two bullet works over the Toga dirt. He wasn’t too far behind Essential Quality as a 2 year old and the Ductor thinks this is the spot where he turns the tables. The graveyard of favorites will claim another victim and the Ductor will pull the lever.

Jim Dandy

Race 10: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G2 Bowling Green Stakes

#3 Breakpoint (10/1) – This Chilean superstar was hammered at the windows last time and had no chance being so far back behind a tepid pace. That race was likely a prep for this spot anyway and the Ductor like that Chad stays aggressive with him. This race is wide open and anything over 6/1 is worth a play.

Saratoga: Key Horses for Saturday, July 24

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Horses and jockeys racing from the starting gate at Saratoga Turf Course during a horse race.

Not perfect, but hopefully you passengers were able to make a few bucks yesterday with the gullet shot running 2nd at 13/1. Big Saturday card with many opportunities at Saratoga. Skip.

Saratoga Race 2: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 100k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Pathetique (15/1) – This filly was completely left at the gate in her debut and ran well after that. She stretches out to a route for the 1st time and is working well entering today. The Conductor sees her taking a giant step forward today.

Saratoga

Saratoga Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 40000n2L

#3 Count Down (4/1) – He broke his maiden impressively last time turning back to a sprint. His early pace figures give him a major edge over this field. He’ll be tough to catch on the front end.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 100k

#8 Volcanic (6/1) – He was well bet in his debut and showed a nice late kick closing into a slow pace. He galloped out in front and is working well entering today. He should appreciate the added furlong.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 100k

#4 Good Talk (20/1) – Her debut looks like a perfect prep for this spot, running evenly without much urging. Stretching out today for the first time, she’s working well and Saez takes the mount for a barn he rarely rides for. Skip.

Saratoga: Key Horses for Wednesday, July 21

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A horse racing track featuring a grandstand with modern architecture, surrounded by lush greenery and a well-maintained turf.

Poor Sunday for Ductor with nothing but slop and favorites. Speed was strong on both turf and dirt the first week of the Saratoga meet and it was much too chalky for the Ductor’s liking. He sees that changing this week, but the forecasts don’t look great. We’ll focus on the dirt races Wednesday. Skip.

Saratoga Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 14000n3L

#5 Mission Wrapitup (6/1) – Dropping in class and switching from turf to dirt, he’s rounding into form and getting back to his best surface. He has dirt races competitive with this group and should be forwardly placed in a race without much pace. The Ductor likes a cold exacta with the clear one to beat #6 Copa (7/5).

Race 6: 5 1/2 Furlongs F.Mdn 80k

*Gullet Shot of the Day G Money Liv (6/1) – The favorites are exiting slow debuts and the Ductor like this filly’s work tab at Churchill. Moquett can win 1st out and Saez hops aboard for a barn he rarely rides for. The Ductor smells a live one.

Saratoga

Race 9: 1 1/18 Mile. OC 100000n3x

#4 Core Beliefs (12/1) – He ran a solid even effort off a year layoff last time at Churchill and is working well entering today. He’s a Grade 2 winner at this distance and has past efforts to give him a chance here. He looks to get a favorable trip with a hot pace to close into as well.

Saratoga and Monmouth Park: Key Horses for Saturday, July 17

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Dynamic horse race featuring multiple jockeys in colorful silks competing on a dirt track, showcasing speed and excitement.

2/3 Yesterday at Toga with two 2/1 winners. It’s been a decent start to the Saratoga meet so far for the Ductor, but he’s yet to connect on a bombs. We have a monster Saturday of racing across the country as summer racing is in full effect. It’s a shame the Ductor won’t see the sun today. Skip.

Saratoga Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) OC 80000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Gear Jockey (8/1) – This colt is very consistent and is cutting back to a sprint for the first time in his career. He get’s a rider upgrade and the Ductor sees this as a wide open race. He has the upside to jump up and win.

Saratoga

Saratoga Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F. G1 Diana Stakes

#6 Summer Romance (4/1) – Her stablemate rallied to beat her last time and the Ductor sees this race going through them two again. Speed has been very favorable over this turf course and she has a major early pace edge over this field. She’ll be tough to run down.

Monmouth Park Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G3 Molly Pitcher Stakes

#6 Bajan Girl (9/2) – Throw out her last race in the slop and she’s the most likely winner in the Ductor’s opinion. She has strong back class and looks to get a favorable trip on or up close to a moderate pace.

Monmouth Park Race 11: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) -G1 United Nations Stakes

#10 Tribhuvan (3/1) – The likely 2nd choice, he will have it all his own way on the front end. He finished very well last time against a tougher group.

Monmouth Park Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. Haskell-G1

#4 Hot Rod Charlie (6/5) – Not very creative, but the Ductor will single him. His Bemlont was more than impressive in defeat after setting that scorching pace. Lock it up.

Belmont Park: Key Horses for Saturday, July 10

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A racehorse with a jockey in colorful attire competing in a horse race at a racetrack, showcasing speed and agility.

Weather ruined Friday, but it looks like the stakes at Belmont Park should hold up today. The Ductor loves the prices on the menu. Let’s close out the meet in style. Skip.

Belmont Park Race 7: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.-G1 Belmont Oaks Invitational Stakes

#2 Cirona (12/1) – This shipper from France has been facing tougher competition and has been very consistent. She’s proven at the distance and over a soft surface. The Ductor is praying to the pony gods that her morning line holds up.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. F.G3 Victory Ride Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Souper Sensational (8/1) – This filly ran well last time stuck inside and up close to a quick pace. The Ductor likes that they keep her sprinting and she looks to get a beautiful stalking trip with a contested pace up. Add two bullet works entering today and the Ductor is salivating.

Belmont Park

Race 9: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Belmont Derby Invitational Stakes

#7 Tokyo Gold (15/1) – #2 Bolshoi Ballet (7/5) lays over this field, but Aiden O’brien US shippers win at a dismal rate. The Conductor thinks this colt has the most upside coming in off a easy win over good going in Italy. The American runners are nothing special in here and he’s been running well vs tougher.

 

Belmont Park: Key Horses for Monday, July 5

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Silhouette of a horse rearing against a backdrop of the American flag.

Hello passengers. The Ductor was out in the wilderness for the week. Always nice to recharge the batteries before the Toga and Del Mar. Belmont and Los Al have nice cards for the holiday. Time to celebrate Independence Day again by whacking prices and becoming financially free Skip.

Belmont Park Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 30000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Feast (9/2) – The Ductor will be salivating if this ridgling is near this morning line. He showed ability winning on debut and ran well on turf off a layoff last time out. He pressed a hot pace and weakened late. He’ll be fit returning to dirt today and is the one to beat in the Ductor’s opinion. His low % trainer should keep his price fair.

Belmont Park

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000

#6 Awesome Indra (5/1) – This filly is steadily progressing and is drawn nicely to the outside. She’s another one that should get under bet due to her trainer, but the Ductor likes her early pace edge and weight break on the field.

Race 7: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 92000n1x

#2 Sister Otoole (10/1) – This filly looks to be sitting on a big one. She rallied wide to finish a good 2nd behind the favorite last time and galloped out nicely. The added distance should be her friend and there aren’t any world beaters in here.