Month: October 2019

Ponies, Videos

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor will figure out Keeneland before its over. He hopes.

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 War Eagle’s Love (10/1) – 3rd off the layoff, she took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees another one coming. She looks to get a favorable trip as well, up close to a slow pace.

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Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000

#3 Han Sense (9/2), #5 California Night (3/1) – One of these Maker runners will be victorious.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000

#5 Paint the Corners (7/2) – A young Conductor would put is 2 seamer right on the black.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 30000

#1 Visual (7/2) – His 2nd last time was fast enough to beat most groups at this level.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#6 Party Goer (12/1) – She’s bred to relish the lawn and the Conductor loves her work tab. Catalano is 25% with a +$0.51 ROI this year debuting runners on turf.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#5 Blood Curdling (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after facing G2 company last time, she showed she can sit and pass horses in her debut win.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#2 Patriot Drive (8/1) – Chad Brown and #5 Emaraaty (7/5) will be tough to beat, but this gelding is in good form and hasn’t missed the exacta in his last 5 tries.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#4 Book of Love (10/1) – She’s working well for solid connections and her sire is winning at a 16% with 1st time starters.

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Columbus Day Late Pick 5 Play at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

Monday racing at Belmont, that helps the Conductor’s head feel a little but better. Let’s hit this thing, Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.MC 50000

#7 I Am Aine (8/1) – She ran decent in her debut in a race taken off the turf. She gets to the surface she’s bred for today and Michelle Nevin runners always improve in their second starts.

Other Contenders: 3,5,8,10

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 75k

#4 So Gracious (6/1) – The Conductor likes her cutting back to a sprint.

Other Contenders: 3,7

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 77000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Dark Storm (3/1) – This gelding is steadily progressing and looks to get a nice trip today sitting behind a hot early pace. The Conductor will try and beat the odds on favorite #5 Mubarmaj (3/5).

we win our house GIF by Crossroads of History

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G2 Knickerbocker Stakes

#7 Catholic Boy (7/5) – This is a salty field with some runners with upside, but this versatile and classy horse is a cut above them.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

The Conductor will spread in the last leg.

Contenders: 1,2,3,6

Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor needs to answer the bell. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 50000

*Gullet Shot #4 Speed Effect (6/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he set a wicked pace last time in a race that has come back live. He also adds blinkers today.

jesus dancing GIF

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#6 Lucky Curlin (4/1) – He ran a very strong late pace figure last time and has already faced some of the best two-year olds in the country. The added blinkers should put him in a better position early.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#3 Untraceable (5/1) – This gelding is a different animal routing on the turf. He set a hot pace and held on last time and the Conductor can see it happening again.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 32000

#7 Hardly a Secret (2/1) – He’s the best on paper and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#8 Wicked Valentine (5/1) – She’ll rip their hearts out.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 75000n2x

#5 Stillwater Cove (5/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have an opinion here.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#1 Telephone Walker (3/1), #3 Risk Profile (4/1) – One of the Chad Brown 1st timers will get the job done.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 80000n2x

#6 On Probation (15/1) – She can’t leave the state, but the Conductor thinks she can hit the board at a big price.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 73000n1x

#3 Patagonia (6/1) – This colt ran very well in his debut and is stretching out for the first time. He’ll be in a favorable spot early without much pace signed on.

Ponies

The Conductor Late Pick 5 Play at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#12 Flatoya (4/1) – She’s cutting back to a sprint after pressing a hot pace going longer last time. The Conductor will key her in the exacta.

Also Use: 4,7,8,10

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#1/1A Entry (5/1) – The Conductor likes both Ward entrants.

Also Use: 1,2,3,4,10

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 50000

#4 Sevier (15/1) – This gelding set a wicked early pace vs tougher off a layoff last start and should take a step forward today. The Conductor will key him in the exacta and trifecta.

Also Use: 3

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup

#5 Castle Lady (7/2) – This filly is the only one that can beat #3 Cambier Parc (8/5) and the Conductor will take a stand that she will. The line in the sand has been drawn.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #11 Frills (15/1) – This is a very tough maiden race to end the sequence. The Conductor likes this filly stretching out for the first time with Irad hopping aboard.

Also Use: 1,3,4,5,9

Image result for steiner recliner gif

Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Late Pick 5 Play at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

What a day of college football and racing we have in store for us today. The Conductor is going to put a serious dent in his couch. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#1 Smite (9/2) – Throw out his last race off the turf, he showed potential in his debut at Saratoga and the Conductor will bet him at that price.

Also Use: 3,4,7,8

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F. Floral Park Stakes 100k

#3 Fear No Evil (8/1) – This mare is a hard knocker and is exiting a troubled trip, so she’s a juicy price.

Also Use: 6

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 75k

#3 Turnagain Tide (8/1) – 750k at auction, this boy is working well for Chad. The Conductor is getting cute in this race, trying to escape with only the two Brown runners.

Also Use: 1

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 Sands Point Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Souper Escape (8/1) – In a race without much pace, this filly will get a favorable trip on the front end. She can get brave on the lead if they don’t respect her.

Collision Course Chaos GIF by Explosive Professional Wrestling

Also Use: 2,5

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#3 Bourbon In May (5/1) – Unlike the prior race, there will be a contested early lead and a hot pace in this one. The Conductor will be using runners that can pass horses down the lane.

Also Use: 1,7,10

Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor’s head hurts this morning very much. That always leads to a day filled with winners. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 15000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Wrath (8/1) – He set a wicked pace vs tougher last start and he’ll be more fit today 2nd off the bench.

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Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000

#2 Cowboy Rhythm (5/2) – Nothing creative here.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 100000n2x

#6 En Wye Cee (4/1) – This colt’s debut win at Saratoga got the Conductor’s attention. He could be a good one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000

#3 Zabava (5/2) – She’s well drawn and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#1A Ashley’s New Shoes (5/1) – Ashley will get her new footwear today and the Conductor will get a new house.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 150000

#6 Raggedy Annie (5/1) – Throw out her last effort on turf, she’s dropping in class and will improve returning to dirt.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 73000n1x

#5 Bizzee Channel (8/1) – Stretching out after a good 2nd against a quality field, he looks to get a favorable trip on or near the lead. There is not a lot of pace signed on in here.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#9 Young Phillip (7/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he ran very well last time cutting out hot fractions. He’ll graduate today.

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes 150k

#11 Girls Know Best (6/1) – Her opinion is up for debate, but her early pace figures are not. Her early speed makes her very dangerous.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 7500

#1 Satellite (4/1) – This gelding returned to form last start and the Conductor sees him running a similar effort.

Ponies, Videos

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Nothing you can do but hop back in the train and keep chugging. Let’s Ride

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500

#7 Served Cold (4/1) – She took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees her continuing her progression.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#3 Keepme in Thegame (7/2) – She adds blinkers today, which should help her be for forwardly placed. She’s run some extremely strong late pace figures.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 30000

#5 Blunt Force (5/2) – She’s best and looks to get a good trip.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#9 Starvana (6/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward 2nd off the layoff.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#5 Thanks Be (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. MC 150000

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #4 Jerzees One (20/1) – Only 15k at auction, the Conductor likes that this colt is debuting for this much money and that Rosario takes the mount for a barn he never rides for. He’s also working well.

Image result for bomb gif

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#6 Dabinett (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#12 Drunken Fridays (12/1) – Nothing like a barrel of stew to start the weekend.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 80000b

#3 Sacred Life (5/2) – The Conductor sees her as a single against this field.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 It’s a Ford (6/1) – Dropping in class and cutting back in distance after pressing the pace last time, the Conductor loves her here.

hit ko GIF

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Spot Plays at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

The racing week is upon us. Let’s Ride.

Full Card Top Picks: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

Race 1: Win #8, Exactas (8 / 5,7), (5,7 / 8)

Race 2: Win #3

Race 5: Win #2

Race 6: Win #9, Exactas (9 / 4,7), (4,7 / 9), Double (4,9 / 9)

*Gullet Shot of the Day Race 7: Win #9

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Thursday Preview at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

The morning lines aren’t out yet, but the Conductor is still doing his homework like the hard working man he is.

Update: looks like its chalk city in New York

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#4 Monmouth Dr (5/2) – Dropping in class and stretching out for the 1st time, this boy has also been clipped since his last race. Trainer John Kimmel is 19% with a gaudy +$5.85 ROI moving horses to a route for the first time this year.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#4 Quiet Out East (1/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he Conductor likes him back on the turf.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. Alw 77000n2x

#1 T Loves a Fight (6/5) – This gelding is a hard knocker and loves to win.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 32000

#8 End Play (8/5) – His last race at Saratoga puts him in the winners circle.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.OClm 50000

#3 Miss Imperial (4/5) – The drop in class will make her tough to beat.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Elektronic (5/1) – This colt pressed a hot pace last start and tired late. He’s been up against disadvantageous pace scenarios in his last few starts and the Conductor loves him here.

Image result for chop neck gif

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

#2 Fuel the Bern (9/5) – 3rd off the layoff, he’s run against tougher fields in her last two starts. He should be in a perfect spot here, sitting right behind dueling frontrunners.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#2 Fusi (5/2) – The Conducroe doesn’t have a strong opinion in here.

Ponies

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

The Conductor's Scribe

Elate let us down yesterday in the late pick 5 at Keeneland, in a sequence that the Conductor otherwise saw perfectly. Never too early to prep for Wednesday.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 30000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Treasure Trove (6/1) – Switching back to dirt 3rd off the layoff, this boy is also a 1st time gelding. Trainer Kellyn Gorder is adept with this move, being 28% with a +$0.29 ROI switching runners from turf to dirt this year.

Image result for punch throat gif

Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#3 Shared Legacy (6/1) – This colt bobbled at the start and pressed a hot pace last time and still ran well. He should step forward and appreciate the shorter distance here.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 50000n3L

#6 Senor Jobim (5/1) – The Conductor sees him rounding back to a peak effort.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000

#4 Dreaming Diamonds (4/1) – This filly stepped forward last start and the Conductor sees her continuing the progression.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#2 Ramsey Solution (4/1) – This colt is bred to be a good one and the Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in this group.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 73000n1x

#9 Breaking News (15/1) – #4 Honest Mischief (1/1) looks tough to beat, but the Conductor likes this colt to hit the board at a big price. 2nd off the layoff, he ran a monster late pace figure in his return to the races last start. The Conductor will key him in the exacta and tri.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 JP Morgan Chase Jessamine Stakes

#9 Diamond Sparkles (6/1) – This filly ran very well last time vs Grade 1 company closing into a slow pace. She looks to get a much better setup in here with a hot pace to run at. Anywhere close to 6/1 would be glorious.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. MC 30000

#12 New York Style (9/2) – The only concern is the post.