October 2019 - The Conductor's Scroll

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Sprint Preview

on October 31, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Two racehorses competing on a dirt track during a horse racing event.

Breeders’ Cup Sprint time, Skip.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. G1 Breeders’ Cup Sprint

*#1 Catalina Cruiser (4/1) – He’s being forgotten about for a horse that has only lost one career start. He also looks to get a good trip sitting behind a hot pace. He’ll be on the Conductor’s tickets and thinks his price will float up a bit higher.

#2 Hog Creek Hustle (20/1) – This is a little too short and too tough for him to be a legit contender. He could come running for 3^rd at best.

#3 Firenze Fire (12/1) – This colt has run some very fast races, but they’ve all come at Belmont Park. The price will be the deciding factor for the Conductor, but he’s leaning against him.

#4 Mitole (9/5) – The Conductor can’t knock him, but he can’t separate him from the other logical contenders. He won’t be pressing him like others may.

#5 Engage (15/1) – He’s not in this class, 3^rd at best.

*#6 Shancelot (4/1) – This colt has shown brilliance in his young career. The Conductor cannot ignore his potential and must use him. He’ll be the Conductor’s win bet if he goes off above 3/1. Navarro will make sure he has his vitamins.

#7 Whitmore (15/1) – This gelding’s best days are behind him, he’s a contender for 3^rd.

#8 Landeskog (12/1) – Scratched

#9 Imperial Hint (4/1) – He is a serious sprinter and is drawn well to the outside. He’s been nails in his last two starts and he’ll be on all the Conductor’s tickets.

#10 Matera Sky (30/1) – He should have stayed in Japan.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile Preview

on October 31, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Racehorse Tamarkuz with jockey in blue silks competing in a horse race at the Breeders' Cup.

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile time, Skip.

Race 6: 1 Mile. G1 Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

#1 Giant Expectations (12/1) – The Conductor doesn’t have many expectations for this boy. He doesn’t like to win but he can run 3^rd.

#2 Improbable (3/1) – This his preferred distance and he’s a win contender. However, he will be over bet like he always is, so the Conductor is leaning against him.

#3 Spun to Run (6/1) – He ran a monster figure last time exiting the Pennsylvania Derby, which is one of the reasons the Conductor likes the others who participated. The Conductor doesn’t think he’s classy enough to win, but he’s dangerous.

*#4 Mr. Money (6/1)

If the Conductor gets anything close to this price, he’ll bet him. He’s exiting the PA Derby and the Conductor thinks he’s sitting on a monster race.

#5 Omaha Beach (8/5) – His return to the races was very impressive, but that may have been his best bullet. The Conductor isn’t as bullish on him as the public, but he is absolutely a contender.

#6 Ambassadorial (30/1) – Toss.

#7 Coal Front (6/1) – This ridgling won’t get the early lead which will really hurt his chances.

*#8 Blue Chipper (20/1) – He’s bomb that the Conductor likes. Shipping in from Korea, the Conductor likes the tape on this gelding and he’s working well on all accounts. He’s a runner that can knock the passengers out of the pools.

#9 Diamond Oops (15/1) – His race two back at Saratoga splitting Imperial Hint and Mitole shouldn’t be ignored. Winning is a tough ask, but the Conductor will use him in the exacta and tri at a big number.

#10 Snapper Sinclair (30/1) – No thanks.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint Preview

on October 31, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

A chestnut horse with a jockey in blue silks racing on a turf track during a horse racing event.

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint, Skip.

Race 5: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

#1 Totally Boss (5/1) – This gelding is in great form, but the Conductor can’t see him getting any kind of trip from the rail. He got a brutal draw for a closer in a turf sprint.

*#2 Pure Sensation (5/1) – Any runner that can be on the lead turning for home must be used in here and he’s the most likely to do so. The Conductor gives him the best chance to win.

#3 Imprimis (8/1) – He’s disappointed since returning from Ascot in June. The Conductor is leaning against him.

#4 Shekky Shebaz (12/1) – He’s become a different animal in the Servis barn (shocker). The Conductor will absolutely be using him.

#5 Stubbins (12/1) – He’s steadily progressing and hasn’t run a bad race sprinting on the turf, but he’ll be too far back early for the Conductor’s liking.

#6 Stormy Liberal (8/1) – This old man’s best days are behind him. He’s not close to the same horse who won this race last year.

#7 Leinster (8/1)

The Conductor doesn’t like the runners from Woodford race he’s exiting.

#8 Legends of War (20/1) – He’s too slow.

#9 Final Frontier (6/1) – This colt’s last race came back very fast on paper. The Conductor must include him.

#10 Eddie Haskel (9/2) – The Conductor is torn on this gelding. Can he win? Yes. But the Conductor is leaning toss at the price he’ll likely be and his last two efforts.

*11 Om (15/1) – He’ll be the Conductor’s key in the exacta and trifecta. He’s a warrior and the Conductor liked his last victory over a solid runner in #1 Totally Boss. He gets back to his home track here, is working well and will be flying late.

#12 Belvoir Bay (12/1) – She gets a tough draw and is her best down the hill. She’s not as good on the flat.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint Preview

on October 31, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Hamrock Rose, a racehorse, adorned with a floral blanket, stands with a jockey in yellow attire at the Breeders' Cup event.

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint time, Skip.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

#1 Covfefe (2/1) – The rail is a tough draw she’ll get early pace pressure. The Conductor wants to be against her but there is a chance the circumstances don’t matter at all and she’ll bury them. She’s the most talented in the field.

#2 Danuska’s My Girl (20/1) – No chance.

#3 Heavenhasmynikki (20/1) – Too slow.

*#4 Come Dancing (5/2)

Drawn well to the outside of Covfefe, she looks to get a perfect trip stalking a hot pace. She’s the Conductor’s top pick and the one he’ll press most here.

#5 Lady Ninja (10/1) – Too slow.

#6 Bellafina (6/1) – She loves Santa Anita and another filly that looks to get a nice stalking trip. She pressed a hot pace last time and is cutting back in distance, a move the Conductor likes. However, her declining form gives him pause and she’ll likely be over bet.

*#7 Selcourt (10/1) – The Conductor liked her last year entering this race and she got cooked in a hot pace. That may be her demise again this year, but she’s drawn well and has a chance if Covfefe stubs his toe out of the gate. She’ll be a big number and has figures to run back to that make her competitive in here. The Conductor will use her defensively.

#8 Dawn the Destroyer (12/1) – She can run underneath with a hot pace to close into but is too slow to win.

#9 Spiced Perfection (4/1) – The Conductor won’t use her on the win end. Her figures are too slow for the price she’ll be.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Preview

on October 30, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

A racehorse with a jockey wearing red and white silks racing on a track.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf time, Skip.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

#1 Living in the Past (15/1) – The Conductor didn’t like her finish last race.

#2 Croughavouke (20/1) – The west coast turf runners aren’t in this class.

#3 Shadn (10/1) – This filly has been very consistent across the pond and a good foundation. The Conductor won’t rule her out.

#4 Abscond (15/1) – She had a favorable trip last time up close to a slow pace. The Conductor doesn’t think she’s good enough.

#5 Daahyeh (5/1) – She’s the best of the Euros and is a definite contender with a good draw.

#6 Unforgetable (20/1) – The Conductor will forget about her.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Crystalle (8/1)

She looks to be the Conductor’s best bet on Friday’s card if we get anything close to that morning line. This girl ran a monster late pace figure closing into a slow pace and looks to get a much better setup in this one. With a solid draw and Rosario aboard, the Conductor is licking his chops.

#8 Tango (10/1) – This filly is a seasoned vet at this point and has faced quality competition in Europe. Her blowout victory last time caught the Conductor’s attention.

#9 Albigna (9/2) – Another European contender.

#10 Fair Maiden (12/1) – She’s the other American that intrigues the Conductor. She’s obliterated fields sprinting and will get a firm turf course for the first time Friday, which the Conductor expects her to appreciate.

#11 Sharing (12/1) – The Conductor can’t knock her too much, but he doesn’t think she can win from this post.

#12 Sweet Melania (5/1) – She’s been impressive in her young career, but the Conductor doesn’t like her in this spot. She has a wide draw and will be contesting a hot early pace. She’ll be over bet in the Conductor’s opinion.

#13 Selflessly (8/1) – She beat #7 Crystalle, who the Conductor likes best, last time but she doesn’t look to get as favorable a trip here and will be heavily bet from the Chad Brown barn.

#14 Etoile (12/1) – This filly has talent, but the Conductor will fade her from out there.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Preview

on October 30, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Jockey in bright attire celebrating on a horse with a group of people at a race track.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies time, Skip.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

#1 Donna Volce (3/1) – This group doesn’t have a heavy favorite and this girl may have the most upside. However, she is untested routing and will get heavy pace pressure at a short price.

*#2 Two Sixty (15/1) – In her first try routing last time, she was dominant and ran a very fast time for the distance. Normally, Gulfstream shippers running big numbers in restricted races will no be taken seriously by the Conductor, but at this price in an open race the Conductor is intrigued. He may mess around with her.

#3 Perfect Alibi (10/1) – She doesn’t want to go this far.

#4 British Idiom (7/2) – This girl was visually impressive last time but had a perfect trip and didn’t run a huge number. She can win, but the Conductor doesn’t see a big step forward coming and she’ll be over bet.

#5 Lazy Daisy (12/1) – She can hit the board but can’t win.

#6 Bast (7/2) – Pressing a slow pace and barely gutting out a victory at 1/5 last time, this is another filly who will be over bet. A contender yes, but she’s no superstar.

*#7 Wicked Whisper (7/2)

Of the morning line favorites, she’s the one the Conductor likes best. She’s looked very professional in her two victories and has plenty more in the tank.

#8 K P Dreamin (20/1) – She’s intriguing at a big price. The Conductor will use her underneath and if there is a pace meltdown, she has a punchers chance.

#9 Comical (8/1) – This filly returned to form last time after showing talent in the early summer. It’s a home game for connections and nothing would surprise the Conductor from her. She could finish 1^st or last and the Conductor wouldn’t bat an eye. He’s leaning only using her underneath.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Preview

on October 29, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Dynamic horse race featuring jockeys in colorful silks, showcasing competitive racing on a lush track.

The Europeans have dominated the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, but with tough draws this year they’re not a cinch. The Conductor isn’t in love with Chad Brown either.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

*#1 Our Country (15/1) – The Conductor likes this colt at a big price in this spot. He’s run very strong late pace figures and has some troubled trips that have muddied up his form. He was hung very wide last time and will be able to save ground here from the rail. His maiden breaker was as good as you’ll see on turf.

#2 Structor (5/1) – 2/2 in his 1^st two career starts, he hasn’t done anything wrong, but hasn’t shown the Conductor anything special. At a short price for Chad Brown he is a contender, but will be over bet.

#3 Peace Achieved (10/1) – Winner of three in a row and steadily progressing, the Conductor can’t knock him, but doesn’t think he’s fast enough to win.

#4 Decorated Invador (4/1) – He’s shown versatility, winning convincingly over firm and soft turf. The Conductor likes him, but he may be over bet as well.

#5 Vitalogy (GB) (10/1) – The Conductor would take this colt 10/10 times over #3 Peace Achieved who held him off last start. He has a very strong late kick and the Conductor will absolutely be using him.

#6 Graceful Kitten (15/1) – He won’t be able to get the distance.

*#7 Andesite (12/1)

The Conductor likes him better than Structor in here. He showed fight in the Pilgrim and galloped out back in front of Structor by a mile after the wire. He’ll be a big price and will be tough to pass down the lane.

#8 Billy Bats (20/1) – The Conductor won’t be using any California turf horses.

#9 Gear Jockey (20/1) – He can’t win going this far.

#10 War Beast (20/1) – No California horses.

#11 Proven Strategies (30/1) – This colt needs shorter.

#12 Arizona (5/2) – Undoubtedly the class of the field, this colt has been running against the best across the pond. Pinatubo would be odds on against this group and is a serious race horse. The wide draw will not make this an easy task, but the Conductor will absolutely be using him.

#13 Fort Meyers (12/1) – A tough draw, but with the success of the Europeans in this race, the Conductor can’t ignore him. His European form is strong and he has a lot of experience.

#14 Hit the Road (10/1) – No California turf horses.

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint Preview

on October 29, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Thoroughbred horses racing with jockeys in colorful silks at a horse racing event, showcasing speed and competition.

The first BC race on Friday has a potential single for the Conductor. Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint time, Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint

#1 Chimney Rock (10/1) – This colt will be coming from the back of the pack, but the Conductor doesn’t give him much of a chance to win. If he couldn’t beat #7 Kimari (7/2) last time with that trip, he never will. The post position did him no favors as well.

#2 Band Practice (IRE) (12/1) – The Conductor’s mostly against the Euro shippers in these sprint races. This short of a sprint isn’t what they are used to. You must really impress the Conductor across the pond to make him respect you, and this filly doesn’t.

#3 Another Miracle (15/1) – This colt looks too slow for the Conductor.

#4 Dream Shot (IRE) (15/1) – He likes to run underneath at big prices, but isn’t good enough to win.

#5 Encoder (15/1) – This is a home game for this colt, and he’ll appreciate the cutback in distance after making an early move into a hot pace last time. Without the pace you would expect in here, the Conductor thinks he can only get up for minor awards.

#6 Alligator Alley (GB) (12/1) – Fade

*#7 Kimari (7/2)

The Conductor loved the new dimension he showed last time sitting off the pace. He’s shown brilliance in his young career and can dictate his own trip. The Conductor has a feeling that he is going to put on a show in this one.

#8 Dr Simpson (FR) – Fade

#9 Four Wheel Drive (3/1) – The other Ward runner, he’s shown major ability in his first two starts with two easy victories. He looks to get a good trip up close to the pace, but the Conductor would never take him at a lower price than Kimari, who is much more proven.

#10 A’Ali (IRE) (6/1) – Of the Euro shippers, he’s the one the Conductor likes best. He has a nice burst when asked and will appreciate the firmer ground. The Conductor thinks he’s dangerous.

#11 King Neptune (15/1) – Fade

#12 Cambria (12/1) – She hasn’t done anything wrong, but has a tough draw and doesn’t have the early speed to give her a chance on the win end.

Kimari looks to be one of the runners the Conductor is narrowing in on this Breeders Cup.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Santa Anita

on October 27, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Horses racing at Santa Anita Park with jockeys in colorful silks and a scoreboard in the background, showcasing a competitive event.

It’s a rainy Sunday on the east coast, so the Conductor will take the train out west to Santa Anita. We need to get a feel for the track as well. The Breeders’ Cup is just five days away. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n2L

#3 Bellazano (4/1) – The Conductor likes her quick return to the races and this girl’s incremental progression with each start.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 50000

#6 Tinne (5/2) – Drawn well to the outside with early speed, she looks to get a favorable trip under Prat.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 50k

#5 Auberge (2/1) – This Baffert filly is working like she’s the goods.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 50k

#2 K P All Systems Go (5/1) – This colt showed a very strong late kick in his debut, having to wait behind horses and closing into a slow pace. The Conductor would love that price.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 40000n1x

#1 Message (5/2) – This filly showed talent in her maiden breaker and is working well.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 32000

#2 Arch Anthem (6/1) – 1^st off the claim for Baltas and Prat hops the board, the Conductor likes her switching back to the grass.

Race 7: 1 Mile. 75K Comma to the Top Stakes

#1 Oliver (7/2) – Winner of two in a row at Santa Anita, the Conductor likes this colt’s steady progression.

Race 8: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 80000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Reflect (12/1) – She showed talent on dirt as a two-year-old and ran well in her comeback race last start. She’ll step forward 2^nd off the layoff and the Conductor will thinks she’ll take to the turf just fine.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

on October 18, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

A large crowd gathered at a horse racing event, with spectators enjoying the races and horses on the track under a blue sky.

The Conductor needs to start winning at Keeneland or he’ll be dead in a ditch in no time. Let’s Ride.

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Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000n2L

#5 Tidal Effect (7/2) – Shipping in from California, she’s working well and the Conductor thinks he’s best.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#2 Repossession (5/1) – This filly was 750k at the Keeneland sale and is well bred for the lawn. She’s working well for strong connections.

Race 3: 1 Mile. MC 50000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Drew (15/1) – This colt was heavily bet in his debut and didn’t run a step after an awkward step. He’s posting bullet works entering today and can surprise at a big number.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 30000

#10 Cold Smoke (3/1) – This colt is dropping in class and was heavily bet in his debut. The Conductor likes that Rosario hops aboard.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 73000n3x

#4 Lady Worthington (6/1) – This filly pressed a hot pace at Saratoga last start before fading. That race has come back live.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#3 Bayerness (8/1) – This daughter of Bayern has a solid work tab and trainer Cherie DeVaux is 22% with a +$4.28 ROI with 1^st time starters this year.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 77000n3x

#1 Midnight Tea Time (9/2) – He’s exiting a victory and the Conductor loved his effort at Saratoga two back.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. F.OC 100000n2x

#1 Shanghai Rain (10/1) – This filly has shown versatility and is exiting a blowout win in her first try on turf. The Conductor thinks that’s where she’ll be best.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F.(Turf) 150k Pin Oak Valley View Stakes

#11 The Mackem Bullet (10/1) – She’s returning after a long layoff, but if she’s any ware close to 10/1 you passengers must bet her.

Race 10: 1 1/6 Mile. Clm 20000n2L

#4 Violent Storm (5/2) – Close the windows and batten down the hatches.