Santa Anita Park Sunday Picks — September 29, 2024 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

A thrilling horse race featuring multiple jockeys in colorful silks racing on a grassy track at Santa Anita.

Not the Saturday the Conductor envisioned. However, that just means we’ll crush today. Nothing sweeter than Sunday coal. Skip.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 25000

#9 Jetovator (15/1) – This gelding had no chance last time vs tougher. He was well back behind a slow pace in a sprint controlled by the front-runners. He drops to his lowest career level today and returns to the Santa Anita turf course where all 6 of his victories have taken place. Double digit odds on Jetovator makes the Conductor smile.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 20000n1x

#11 Rhino (8/1) – This gelding has run numbers competitive with this group going one mile on the turf. Now 2nd off the claim, he switches back to his preferred turf surface and tries sprinting for the first time. The Conductor likes that trainer Rafael DeLeon gave him a dirt sprint prior to get some early speed into him. The post and rider are a concern, but the Conductor thinks Rhino will be an overlay.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 80000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Watchtower (6/1) – This filly ran very well last time in her first start in California. She was 3-wide while covered on the turn and finished strong for 2nd behind a gate to wire winner. Now 2nd off the bench, she looks primed to run a career best race vs an average group.

Santa Anita Picks Today

Aqueduct & Santa Anita Saturday Picks — Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Day (September 28, 2024)

Two thoroughbred racehorses being led to the starting line at Santa Anita Park with spectators in the background.

The sun is shining in Southern California and the Conductor is salivating at this opening weekend card. He’s had enough of Aqueduct. Time to leave the east coast in his rear view. Skip.

Aqueduct

Race 6: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes

#4 War Like Goddess (8/5) – This mare continues to get screwed by pace-less NYRA turf races. She looks to get a fair setup today and always comes with her big run late. The Conductor sees a repeat of last year’s Joe Hirsch Turf Classic.

Race 11: 1 1/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) G2 Pilgrim Stakes

#2 Flying Mohawk (6/1) – This colt took a nice step forward last time with a poor trip at Kentucky Downs. He looks to be the controlling speed in this race and that makes him very dangerous. He’ll be the one to catch as they turn for home.

#3 Without Caution (8/1) – This colt won nicely on debut and was then well bet in a stakes race last time. He lost all chance that day after being slammed at the start. He’s another horse that looks to get an ideal trip today up close to a slow pace. The Conductor sees him running a career best effort.

Santa Anita

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 50000n1x

#2 Ragtime Rose (10/1) – This filly closed well against the flow off the bench last time. Now 2nd off the layoff and getting an extra furlong, the Conductor thinks this is her race to win. It’s always a bonus to have Berrios in the saddle.

Race 5: *6½ Furlongs. (Hillside Turf) F.Unzip Me Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Golden Canary (8/1) – This filly exits a dominant win at Woodbine and ships in for the red hot Mark Casse barn. The Conductor loves the invaders taking on the weak California turf horses. The Conductor thinks she’s the most likely winner at a juicy number.

Santa Anita Picks Today

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G2 City of Hope Mile Stakes

#6 Trikari (8/1) – The Conductor doubts we’ll get 8/1 on the classiest horse in the field, but 4/1 or better is fair. This colt continues to progress and has beaten much better horses than the heavy favorite #3 Johannes (4/5). Trikari should get an ideal trip stalking Johannes and be ready to pounce as they enter the stretch.

Aqueduct Friday Picks — September 27, 2024 | Best Bets & Handicapping Analysis

Black and white image of a vintage steam locomotive with smoke billowing, showcasing its powerful design and classic features.

With a big weekend of racing ahead of us, it is paramount to keep the train stocked with coal. Let’s bounce back after a poor Thursday. Skip.

Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#6 My Magic Wand (6/1) – This filly took some money on debut vs a salty Saratoga maiden field last time. She broke slow, but then showed a nice move to rush up and pass horses before tiring. That race showed the Conductor she has talent and he sees her improving off that effort. She draws a nice post and gets a great gate rider in Johnny V today. My Magic Wand can start our Friday off right.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) Clm 40000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Musical Maestro (10/1) – This gelding was favored last time at this level and had no chance behind a dominant get to wire winner. Two starts back he ran a race good enough to beat this group despite being fanned 4-wide and uncovered the entire turn. He draws a difficult post today, but the two other speed horses are to his outside. He should be able to put himself in good position as they enter the turn. Rosario off is also one of the best angles in racing these days.

Aqueduct Picks Today

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) S.Ashley T. Cole Stakes

#4 Hush of a Storm (5/1) – This gelding has been ultra consistent in his synthetic and turf races. He switches back to the turf today, his first start mowing in the Brad Cox barn. Against an average field of NY breds today, he’s a new shooter with upside.

#5 Saratoga Flash (6/1) – With the lack of early pace in this stakes race, this gelding is also dangerous. He gets back to a firm turf course today, where he’s run his best. Although they take the blinkers off, he’ll still be the quickest early exiting Grade 2 sprint races. Don’t be surprised if he goes gate to wire.

Aqueduct Thursday Picks — September 26, 2024 | Best Bets & Handicapping Analysis

A racehorse with a jockey in green attire galloping at high speed on a racetrack, showcasing the thrill of horse racing.

Aqueduct, Keeneland, and Santa Anita will all be running next week. Get your rest in while you can, passengers. Skip.

Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#3 Route Sensation (6/1) – The Conductor doesn’t see #5 Stunner (6/5) losing this race. However, we can still make some money with a 5/3 exacta. Route Sensation showed she has ability on debut, finishing 3rd after a terrible start and trip. She adds blinkers today and will take a big step forward with that education last time. The Conductor is looking for the exacta to pay 8/1 or better.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) F.S.Alw 80000n1x

#2 She Takes Cash (8/1) – This filly ran well last time routing. She made a nice move to take the lead, but just couldn’t get the distance. Now she cuts back to a turf sprint for the first time and gets an ideal inside draw. Versus weak field of fillies today, the Conductor sees her working out an ideal pocket trip and taking the cash at a square price.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) John Hettinger Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Busy Morning (15/1) – This mare won nicely last time without a perfect trip. She was 2-wide and 3-wide on the turns and still finished off her race closing into a moderate pace. She gets an ideal rail draw today and the Conductor questions the ability of many of the contenders in here to get this distance. Busy Morning is bred to go long on the turf and the Conductor has no doubt she’ll be finishing late. With a pace that looks to be quick early, she has a chance to light up the tote.

Aqueduct Picks Today

Aqueduct Sunday Picks — September 22, 2024 | Best Bets & Pick 5 Analysis

Elderly man with a white beard wearing a captain's uniform at a horse racing event, surrounded by horses and spectators.

1/4 Saturday with a 2/1 winner is not what the Conductor ordered. However, today’s late pick 5 sequence has him chomping at the bit. Let’s end the weekend in style. Skip.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L

#2 Supers Lucky Lady (8/1) – This filly’s best race came in her lone start routing last year. Now after three solid turf sprints, they finally stretch her back out to a route. Her early speed is mighty dangerous in a race without much other pace.

#9 Gram (5/1) – This filly made a nice 5-wide uncovered move in her first try routing last time. She draws another outside post today, but gets a major rider upgrade from Rosario to Davis. The Conductor thinks this filly has upside if Davis can work out a fair trip.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Off Ramp (6/1) – This mare has improved since moving into the Joe Sharp barn and switching to the turf. She won nicely two back and ran evenly behind a slow pace at Kentucky Downs last time. Now she gets back to a more traditional turf course and looks to get an ideal pocket trip today. Over 4/1 is fair for the Conductor.

Aqueduct Picks Today

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Alw 80000n1x

#10 Red Burgundy (6/1) – This filly set a scorching pace last time vs tougher and ran well to not completely fold late. She may have bled that day too, as she now gets Lasix for the first time. She’ll be all alone on the lead today, and will every chance to wire them if Santana can set a moderate pace. There aren’t any monsters that are trying to run her down.

Aqueduct Saturday Picks — September 21, 2024 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

A group of thoroughbred racehorses galloping on a racetrack with spectators cheering in the background, showcasing speed and excitement.

No Mo Candy saved Friday for the Conductor, scoring at 10/1. Let’s continue the momentum this weekend. Keep stacking that coal. Skip.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) OC 62500n2x

#2 Anaconda (7/2) – This horse ran a solid closing 4th off a year layoff over a speed biased Kentucky Downs turf course last time. He’s facing a weaker group today and looks to get an ideal pocket trip. The Conductor sees him winning this race for fun.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) F.S.Mdn 75k

#7 Gallant Greta (5/2) – This morning line is a bit low for the Conductor, but she may float up to the 3/1, 7/2 range. Her first start routing on the turf last time was much better than it looks on paper. She was checked hard out of the gate, rank into the first turn, and had to wait behind horses entering stretch. Gallant Greta overcame all that and was still finishing best late. With a clean trip today, she should beat this group.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Noble Damsel Stakes

#1 Ocean Club (7/2) – This filly ran a solid 3rd closing behind a slow pace sprinting last time. That effort was a against G2 company and this is a much weaker group. Stretching out to a mile today, she’ll be forwardly placed in a race without much early pace. Another easy winner for the Conductor.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#4 Out too Late (9/2) – This filly is steadily progressing with each start. She ran a good 2nd at Saratoga last time. She was covered 3-wide on the turn and finished well with the closer flow. Despite being with the flow, she was consistently bumped by the inside horse, #5 Shoplifting, who both showed grit to not give up. Out too Late should run a career best effort today.

Aqueduct Friday Picks — September 20, 2024 | Best Bets & Handicapping Analysis

A racehorse galloping ahead of competitors on a lush green racetrack, showcasing speed and agility during a horse race.

Not the greatest Thursday for the Conductor, but we weren’t far off. We’re still seeing the ball well and ready collect some coal heading into the weekend. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) Mdn 90k

#5 Nod to Tran (8/1) – This colt showed nice visual move on debut, wheeling out wide entering the stretch. He’s running out of a small barn, so that performance won’t get the credit it deserves. That’s good for us passengers. He has talent and will be an overlay today.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OC 80000b

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Highestdistinction (5/1) – This gelding had an impossible turf trip off the bench last time. He pressed a scorching pace while wide and rightfully tired early. He should improve off that effort and will get an ideal trip here as the lone speed. Highestdestinction doesn’t like to settle for 2nd when he’s in a battle down the stretch.

Aqueduct Picks Today

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) F.Clm 40000n2

#3 Shaman Princess (10/1) – This filly has shown early speed in her two starts this year. Now she drops in class and returns to the Aqueduct turf course, where she broke her maiden. This is a weak field and inside speed has led to big prices at this meet. Shaman Princess is a serious gate to wire threat.

Race 8: 1 3/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) F.OC 50000n1x

#2 No Mo Candy (10/1) – The filly is a new shooter in a field of average allowance horses. She’s run two solid races over synthetic and now will try going long on the grass for the first time. She’s bred to be a mower and looks to get an ideal ground saving trip up close to, or setting a moderate pace today. The Conductor sees the public cursing Saffie Joseph after this one.

Aqueduct Thursday Picks — September 19, 2024 | Best Bets & Handicapping Analysis

A thoroughbred racehorse galloping on a dirt racetrack with a jockey in yellow attire, showcasing speed and agility during a race.

A poor Sunday for the Conductor at Aqueduct was a frustrating end to a solid week. A few days off has the Conductor itching to get back in the cockpit, and thankfully Thursday is finally here. Let’s get the train moving in the right direction. Skip.

Race 5: 1 Mile. F.Alw 50000s

#8 Destine to Race (6/1) – This filly’s last race off a year layoff on the turf at Saratoga can be ignored. She switches back to the dirt today and her 2023 dirt form in Kentucky makes her the one to beat in the Conductor’s opinion. The Linda Rice barn is regaining form this meet and the Conductor sees Destine to Race firing a peak effort.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OClm 50000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #12 Scat Tu Tap (12/1) – The Conductor loved this gelding’s last race and is annoyed he drew the 12 post today. Last time he was a bit bothered start, 3-wide on the 1st turn, uncovered on the backstretch, 3-wide 2nd turn and never quit. That race was much better than it looks on paper and he gets a rider upgrade to Dylan Davis today. Hopefully Dylan can for some magic despite the outside draw.

Aqueduct Picks Today

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#10 Pretty Liza (10/1) – Another horse the Conductor likes with an annoying outside post. This filly’s debut 2nd at Saratoga last time impressed the Conductor. She was rank early, in tight and checked sharply on backstretch. She fought Saez on the turn, still ran well for 2nd. Pretty Liza should take a massive step forward today with that race under her belt.

Aqueduct Sunday Picks — September 15, 2024 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

A group of thoroughbred racehorses galloping on a racetrack with jockeys in colorful silks, showcasing the excitement of horse racing.

Another profitable day at the windows Saturday at Aqueduct and the Conductor is feeling good. Time to get the train into 2nd gear. Skip.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#8 Coral Sea (5/1) – The Conductor sees this filly improving in her 2nd career start. She has the best turf breeding in the field and her debut was better than it looks. She was way too far back behind a slow pace and didn’t have a fair chance. Carmouche will have Coral Sea closer to the pace today and we’ll get to see what she’s capable of. 5/1 is a fair price.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#1 Generous Luva (10/1) – This filly was bet to favoritism dropping to this level at Saratoga last time. She folded early in a speed duel, but she looks to be lone speed today. The Aqueduct turf has favored inside speed and this filly is dangerous if she isn’t pressured entering the stretch. At double digit odds, she’s worth a bet for the Conductor.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) OClm 50000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Java Buzz (9/2) – The Conductor is using the exact same angle here as race 5. Java Buzz was hammered at the windows last time and got cooked in a speed duel. Now 3rd off the layoff, he adds blinkers and is much quicker early than any other rival here. On a speed favoring Aqueduct turf course, the Conductor will bet he takes them gate to wire.

Belmont at the Big A picks today

Aqueduct Saturday Picks — September 14, 2024 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

Four racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks competing on a racetrack during a horse racing event.

Solid return to the track Friday at Aqueduct as Mangetsu got the job done at 9/1. Let’s keep the throttle down and atone for Saratoga’s sins. Let’s Ride.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#4 Starlight Dancer (6/1) – The Conductor liked this filly’s 1st start routing last time. She was 3-wide and uncovered on the 1st turn and still finished well for 2nd. Starlight Dancer should improve off of that effort.

#11 Dubawi Wowie (8/1) – This filly also improved moving into the Michelle Giangiulio barn last time. She was checked after start, then made a nice early wide move on the turn. She draws a tough post today, but will be a big price. If Carmouche can work out a trip from the outside, she is very dangerous.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 90k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Barricade (9/2) – This colt ran much better than his speed figure shows in his debut. He was well back behind a tepid pace and showed best late kick from the pack in the stretch. With a fair pace today, he’s the one to beat.

Aqueduct Picks Today

Race 10: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Fasig-Tipton Jockey Club Oaks Invitational Stakes

#10 Macanga (10/1) – The Conductor touted this filly yesterday and she scratched out of that race for this spot. He was really impressed with her effort two starts back. She was dueled into the ground by the Chad Brown rabbit and still hung on for 3rd. Last time Johnny V tried to rate her and she was having none of it, fighting him the entire way. They’ll let her roll on the front end today and the Conductor can see her stealing this race. He is skeptical of the quality in this field.