Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime
Under Bat from the ashes! Last week the Conductor had the stove fire up and was ready to fry the Bat, and now he can’t lose! Give the people the unders they need bat! Fly Bat! Fly!
Under 142.5 Temple vs Houston
Over 139 Purdue vs Penn State
Jacksonville State +3 vs Murray State
The Conductor had a 4/1 winner in race 2 yesterday, then it went downhill. Back to his home track, the Conductor is very happy Santa Anita is running. Gulfstream is playing tricks on him. Has he ever lost on throat shot Thursday? Never a chance. Let’s Ride.
#2 Falcone (5/1) – This colt has run some very strong late pace figures, and this is a very weak group. He can step up in class and beat this field.
#5 Elwood J (6/1) – The Conductor is going to keep chasing him.
#2 Dimkar Fr (6/1) – Euros seem to like the downhill turf course and we get Prat in the irons.
#4 The Hardest Way (4/1) – This is one of the better OC races you’ll see on a Thursday. All the runners have a chance, this man is working well and should get a perfect stalking trip in a race with lots of pace.
*Never a Doubt New Watch Lock of the Day #8 Tick Tock (3/1) – She ran a decent 3rd in her debut vs tougher. The Heriberto/Morey jockey/trainer combo has been lethal lately.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Risky Proposition (6/1) – Dropping out of G1 company, where he didn’t embarrass himself. He’s steadily progressing, and the Conductor is praying for that price.
#5 Big Scott Daddy (7/2) – He debuted in a loaded maiden race and won with ease. Mike Smith chose to ride him instead of the Baffert runners, he’s got talent.
#7 Preaching Trainer (4/1) – A low % debut trainer should keep this boy’s price high. He’s bred for for the grass and working like he’s going to blitz this field.
They call him Under Bat! 1-2 last night for the Bat, but his mortgage play under covered with ease. The Conductor has given the Bat strict orders that his mortgage play must be an under until further notice. He can’t miss with the unders and can’t hit the broad side of the barn with any other side. Fly Bat! Fly! #RidetheBat
Under 141.5 Louisville vs Wake Forest
Duquesne +2 vs URI
Over 139.5 BC vs Syracuse
Two 7/2 winners and a few 2nds at decent prices made it a survive and advance Tuesday for the Conductor. Now back to Gulfstream Park where the Conductor just had himself a little vacation. The Conductor misses you and your casino Gulfstream, now please give him winners today. Thank you, Let’s Ride.
#7 Jermyn Street (4/1) – She has the figures and the Conductor loves that Castellano is in the saddle.
#3 Mystery Witness (6/1) – Navarro always has tricks up his sleeve to surprise heavy favorites at Gulfstream.
#4 Second Street (4/1) – He was too far back last start and will have every chance with a better trip today.
#6 Aqua Gem (6/1) – She’s lightly raced and has the most upside in the field. She can improve to beat the heavy favorite #2 Gran Bonita Chica (1/1).
#6 R Lucky Dice (7/5) – Chalk.
#5 Battle of Memphis (4/1) – The Conductor was very impressed with his debut, where he closed into a moderate pace for a good 3rd with a troubled trip. With natural progression, he’ll be tough.
*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #1 Why God (9/2) – This gelding just missed at this level last start and gets a rider upgrade to Irad. The rail is winning at a 21% clip in routes this meet.
#2 Bold Envoy (8/1) – If he can translate his best dirt form to turf, he’s the only one that can compete with the heavy favorite #1 McErin. The Conductor loves that Johnny V hops back aboard even though he’s not trained by Pletcher anymore.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Bunyan’s Axe (15/1) – Routing on the turf for the first-time last race, he was only beaten a length and a ran a par figure for this level. It could be what he’s wanted to do all along and the Conductor will key him in the exacta and trifecta at a nice number.
3-0! 3-0! 3-0! The Bat is Back! The Conductor never doubted him for a second! C’mon Bat fly away for us one time! #RidetheBat
Under 140.5 Kansas vs Texas – The Conductor loves Under Bat
Nebraska -3.5 vs Wisconsin – The Money is screaming Cornhuskers
Over 137 NC State vs Virginia
The lock ran 3rd yesterday, but 7/2 and 10/1 winners made it a solid start to the week for the Conductor. Always beware of the ultimate equipment change. The Conductor may have to play Fair Grounds more often. The train now heads up to Philly today for our regularly scheduled Tuesday programming, let’s get this baby into 2nd gear. Let’s Ride.
#6 Lily Ain’t Foolin (12/1) – She’s run good early pace figures in her first two starts and adds blinkers today. Trainer Harold Whylie has hit at some big prices 2nd off the claim recently.
SCRATCHED *Never a Doubt Whiskey For the Week Lock of the Day #10 Square the Circle (9/5) – If they don’t win on debut, they win in their 2nd start for Pennington/Servis.
*Updated New Lock #2 Mission Oberon (5/1) – More Stews!
#6 Sheplaysthefield (3/1) – She’s got a pace advantage over this field and the Conductor loves her. You have to watch out for women like her.
#8 Gambit’s Girl (9/2) – She drops to the claiming ranks for the 1st time and has shown strong early pace figures vs tougher. The Conductor like that Frankie stays aboard.
#1 Lucky Stash (6/1) – You’ll never find where he Conductor hides his lump of cash.
#3 Tricky Gamble (10/1) – Cutting back to a sprint and truing dirt for the 1st time, he has upside and has carried is speed well in prior races. His low % trainer will keep his price high.
#9 Sierra Forest (9/5) – Gate to wire gut job.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Wild About Deb (15/1) – He ran a dud with blinkers on last start against much tougher. He drops today back to a level where he’s recently been competitive and has strong back class. The blinkers also come back off.
#7 Love Is Your Name (6/1) – This gelding closed like an animal last start to get the job done. The Conductor will bet trainer Carlos Solo has figured him out.
#4 Billyjeansboy (8/1) – Dropping in class after showing good speed vs much tougher, the Conductor will bet he can scamper away from this field.
With the Conductor down at Gulfstream Park for the Pegasus World Cup all weekend, he had no time for the stupid Bat and his stupid picks. After the one 3-0 Thursday, the Bat returned to his terrible form and the Conductor has absolutely no faith in him. Let’s see what this dummy Bat has to start the week #fadethebat
Under 152 Notre Dame vs Duke
Over 132 Texas Tech vs TCU
Baylor +6 @ Oklahoma
What a weekend at Gulfstrem Park. The rain was a major buzz kill on Saturday and pretty much threw all the Conductor’s pre-work out the window, but that’s how the chips fall sometimes. The Conductor was scramblin and gamblin all day, but we managed to survive the weekend, play some golf, and drink many, many stews. The Conductor is a very tired man on this Monday, and I thought he would keep the train in the station. Obviously, I was wrong, and the Conductor is right back to work like the leader that he is. “A man is a success if he gets up in the morning and gets to bed at night, and in between he does what he wants to do.” The Conductor wants to play Fairgrounds, Let’s Ride.
#4 Fire Lake (7/2) – He should go right to the front and make the rest pass him.
#3 Brenda’s Fever (9/2) – She’s taking a big drop in class and ran better than it looks last start moving early into a hot pace. The Conductor would love 9/2.
#5 Got Gold (7/2) – This colt shortens a 1/16 mile and has a pace advantage over this group. Getting an uncontested lead will make him very dangerous.
#6 Maglio (6/1) – Trainer Brad Cox is 24% with a +$0.42 ROI debuting maiden claimers this year. The runners with experience in here aren’t much.
*Update – Wrong Days Race 4 that’s my fault as the scribe
*Never a Doubt Work Week Starter Lock of the Day #4 Snapper Bite (8/5) – The others don’t stand a chance.
#12 Typhoon Tycoon (8/1) – He split a 10-horse field at this level and has been clipped since. With solid connections, the Conductor can see this colt taking a big step forward.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Lunar Orbit (5/1) – She’s dropping in class and her win two starts back was the fastest race in the field on the Conductor’s numbers. 5/1 would be grand larceny.
#5 Enchanted Emma (9/2) – Same logic as race 4.
#1 Canjun Carmelized (5/1) – The rail has been great at Fairgrounds this meet and his numbers make him very competitive at this level.
Travel day for the Conductor as he and the passengers took the train down to Gulftream Park. Nothing like swinging the wrenches and firing a 59 before bankrupting another track tomorrow. The Conductor promised he would have his plays up today, and he never lets us down. Sleep tight Gulfstream, you don’t know what your in for your into tomorrow. Now it’s time for the Conductor to build his bankroll at the casino. Skip! Skip! Let’s Ride.
#6 Value Engineering (4/1) – Chad debuting a well-bred colt on the grass on Pegasus Day? Easy start.
#9 Souper Wish (4/1) – He’s got a pace advantage over this field. He can gut them
#11 No Dinero (12/1) – He’s taking a big jump in class, but his last blowout win gives him a chance in here at a big number.
#4 World of Trouble (6/5) – This colt has become a full blown monster.
#6 Samaranti (4/1) – 725k at the Keeneland sale, he’s working well and Chad Brown is 21% with a +$0.83 ROI this year debuting runners routing.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Miz Mayhem (12/1) – This race is wide open and this filly is at her best at this track and at this distance. The Conductor likes the rider switch to Rosario.
#1 Fire Key (10/1) – Last time was too short for her and she has the figures to be right there at the wire with a good trip. The Conductor will key her in the trifecta.
*Never a Doubt Best Bet Lock of the Day #5 Blamed (5/1) – She continues to steadily progress and has a pace advantage over this field. The Conductor loves her.
#5 Tricky Escape (9/2) – She got in very good form this fall and horses only run better in their first start for Servis.
#6 Aztec Sence (7/2) – This gelding has won his last 8 races at multiple different tracks and surfaces. This will make it 9.
*Double Barreled Shotgun Shots #5 Johnny Bear (15/1) – The Conductor hopes they ignore this old man a the windows. He has the back class and his races last fall against G1 company give him every opportunity here.
#8 Hunting Horn (8/1) – This colt is lightly raced and steadily progressing. He’s run quality races in the states and Europe vs much tougher.
#4 Aerolithe (8/1) – This mare ships in from Japan, where she’s run big races and navigated large fields. She’s got talent and can surprise the public at a nice number.
#6 Tom’s D’Etat (20/1) -The Conductor doesn’t see anyone other than #3 City of Light or #5 Accelerate winning this race, but he’s going to use this boy as a key. He’s won four in a row in blowout fashion and has the numbers to run 2nd and spice up the exotics.
Swwwwweeeeepppppppp Bat! Swwwweeeeeeppppppp Bat! Under Bat may have found his form. Let’s see if he can back up his 3-0 performance yesterday. #ridethebat
Over 156.5 Iowa vs Michigan State
Cincinnati -14 vs Tulsa
Miami +8.5 vs Syracuse
