January 2019 - The Conductor's Scroll

Throat Shot Thursday at Santa Anita Park: Bounce Back Day

on January 31, 2019April 25, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

A person walking along train tracks in a foggy landscape with minimal visibility.

The Conductor had a 4/1 winner in race 2 yesterday, then it went downhill. Back to his home track, the Conductor is very happy Santa Anita is running. Gulfstream is playing tricks on him. Has he ever lost on throat shot Thursday? Never a chance. Let’s Ride.

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Race 1: 1 Mile (Turf) Clm 40000n2L

#2 Falcone (5/1) – This colt has run some very strong late pace figures, and this is a very weak group. He can step up in class and beat this field.

Race 2: 1 Mile. Clm 16000n3L

#5 Elwood J (6/1) – The Conductor is going to keep chasing him.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 55k

#2 Dimkar Fr (6/1) – Euros seem to like the downhill turf course and we get Prat in the irons.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

#4 The Hardest Way (4/1) – This is one of the better OC races you’ll see on a Thursday. All the runners have a chance, this man is working well and should get a perfect stalking trip in a race with lots of pace.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Never a Doubt New Watch Lock of the Day #8 Tick Tock (3/1) – She ran a decent 3^rd in her debut vs tougher. The Heriberto/Morey jockey/trainer combo has been lethal lately.

Race 6: 1 ¼ Mile. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Risky Proposition (6/1) – Dropping out of G1 company, where he didn’t embarrass himself. He’s steadily progressing, and the Conductor is praying for that price.

Race 7: 1 Mile. OC 80000n1x

#5 Big Scott Daddy (7/2) – He debuted in a loaded maiden race at Santa Anita and won with ease. Mike Smith chose to ride him instead of the Baffert runners, he’s got talent.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.Mdn 55k

#7 Preaching Trainer (4/1) – A low % debut trainer should keep this boy’s price high. He’s bred for for the grass and working like he’s going to blitz this field.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: Gulfstream Park Plays

on January 30, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Exciting horse race at Gulfstream Park with multiple jockeys and horses competing on the track, showcasing the thrill of equestrian sports.

Two 7/2 winners and a few 2nds at decent prices made it a survive and advance Tuesday for the Conductor. Now back to Gulfstream Park where the Conductor just had himself a little vacation. The Conductor misses you and your casino Gulfstream, now please give him winners today. Thank you, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 25000

#7 Jermyn Street (4/1) – She has the figures and the Conductor also loves that Castellano is in the saddle.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 12500

#3 Mystery Witness (6/1) – Navarro always has tricks up his sleeve to surprise heavy favorites at Gulfstream.

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 16000b

#4 Second Street (4/1) – He was too far back last start and will have every chance with a better trip today.

Race 4: 1 Mile. F.Clm 12500

#6 Aqua Gem (6/1) – She’s lightly raced and has the most upside in the field. She can improve to beat the heavy favorite #2 Gran Bonita Chica (1/1).

Race 5: I, the Conductor’s Scribe is an idiot and didn’t post it.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 6250n3L

#6 R Lucky Dice (7/5) – Chalk.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 50k

#5 Battle of Memphis (4/1) – The Conductor was very impressed with his debut, where he closed into a moderate pace for a good 3^rd with a troubled trip. With natural progression, he’ll be tough.

Race 8: 1 Mile. Clm 12500n2L

*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #1 Why God (9/2) – This gelding just missed at this level last start and gets a rider upgrade to Irad. Additionally, the rail is winning at a 21% clip in routes this meet.

Race 9: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 25000n1x

#2 Bold Envoy (8/1) – If he can translate his best dirt form to turf, he’s the only one that can compete with the heavy favorite #1 McErin. The Conductor loves that Johnny V hops back aboard even though he’s not trained by Pletcher anymore.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 20000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Bunyan’s Axe (15/1) – Routing on the turf for the first-time last race, he was only beaten a length and a ran a par figure for this level. All of a sudden they may have found what he’s wanted to do all along. The Conductor will certainly key him in the exacta and trifecta at a nice number.

Trachea Kick Tuesday at Parx: Let’s Find More 10/1 Winners

on January 29, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Two jockeys riding thoroughbred horses during a race at Parx Racing in Pennsylvania.

The lock ran 3^rdyesterday, but 7/2 and 10/1 winners made it a solid start to the week for the Conductor. Always beware of the ultimate equipment change. The Conductor may have to play Fair Grounds more often. The train now heads up to Parx today for our regularly scheduled Tuesday programming, let’s get this baby into 2^nd gear. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#6 Lily Ain’t Foolin (12/1) – She’s run good early pace figures in her first two starts and adds blinkers today. Trainer Harold Whylie has hit at some big prices 2^nd off the claim recently.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 45k

SCRATCHED *Never a Doubt Whiskey For the Week Lock of the Day #10 Square the Circle (9/5) – If they don’t win on debut, they win in their 2^nd start for Pennington/Servis.

*Updated New Lock #2 Mission Oberon (5/1) – More Stews!

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n3L

#6 Sheplaysthefield (3/1) – She’s got a pace advantage over this field and the Conductor loves her. You have to watch out for women like her.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#8 Gambit’s Girl (9/2) – She drops to the claiming ranks for the 1^st time and has shown strong early pace figures vs tougher. The Conductor like that Frankie stays aboard.

Race 5: 6 F.. F.Clm 7500n4L

#1 Lucky Stash (6/1) – You’ll never find where he Conductor hides his lump of cash.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. MC 20000

#3 Tricky Gamble (10/1) – Cutting back to a sprint and truing dirt for the 1^st time, he has upside and has carried is speed well in prior races. His low % trainer will keep his price high.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 75000n4L

#9 Sierra Forest (9/5) – Gate to wire gut job.

Race 8: 1m70yds. Clm 10000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Wild About Deb (15/1) – He ran a dud with blinkers on last start at Parx against much tougher. He drops today back to a level where he’s recently been competitive and has strong back class. The blinkers also come back off.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 25000

#7 Love Is Your Name (6/1) – This gelding closed like an animal last start to get the job done. The Conductor will bet trainer Carlos Solo has figured him out.

Race 10: 5 ½ F. Clm 75000n2L

#4 Billyjeansboy (8/1) – Dropping in class after showing good speed at Parx vs much tougher, the Conductor will bet he can scamper away from this field.

Massacre Monday: The Conductor’s Plays at Fair Grounds

on January 28, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Horses lined up at the starting gate of Fair Grounds Race Course with jockeys preparing for a race.

What a weekend at Gulfstream Park. The rain was a major buzz kill on Saturday and pretty much threw all the Conductor’s pre-work out the window, but that’s how the chips fall sometimes. The Conductor was scramblin and gamblin all day, but we managed to survive the weekend, play some golf, and drink many, many stews. The Conductor is a very tired man on this Monday, and I thought he would keep the train in the station. Obviously, I was wrong, and the Conductor is right back to work like the leader that he is. “A man is a success if he gets up in the morning and gets to bed at night, and in between he does what he wants to do.” The Conductor wants to play Fair Grounds, Let’s Ride.

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Race 1: 1 Mile. S.Clm 12500n4L

#4 Fire Lake (7/2) – He should go right to the front and make the rest pass him.

Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 150002nL

#3 Brenda’s Fever (9/2) – She’s taking a big drop in class and ran better than it looks last start moving early into a hot pace. The Conductor would love 9/2.

Race 3: 1m70yds. Clm 30000b

#5 Got Gold (7/2) – This colt shortens a 1/16 mile and has a pace advantage over this group. Getting an uncontested lead will make him very dangerous.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) MC 30000

#6 Maglio (6/1) – Trainer Brad Cox is 24% with a +$0.42 ROI debuting maiden claimers this year. The runners with experience in here aren’t much.

*Update – Wrong Days Race 4 that’s my fault as the scribe

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 5000n2y

*Never a Doubt Work Week Starter Lock of the Day #4 Snapper Bite (8/5) – The others don’t stand a chance.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) S.Mdn 38k

#12 Typhoon Tycoon (8/1) – He split a 10-horse field at this level and has been clipped since. With solid connections, the Conductor can see this colt taking a big step forward.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 50000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Lunar Orbit (5/1) – She’s dropping in class and her win two starts back at Fair Grounds was the fastest race in the field on the Conductor’s numbers. 5/1 would be grand larceny.

Race 8: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 30000

#5 Enchanted Emma (9/2) – Same logic as race 4.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 5000n3L

#1 Canjun Carmelized (5/1) – The rail has been great at Fairgrounds this meet and his numbers make him very competitive at this level.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: Pegasus World Cup Day

on January 26, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Travel day for the Conductor as he and the passengers took the train down to Gulfstream Park. Nothing like swinging the wrenches and firing a 59 before bankrupting another track tomorrow. The Conductor promised he would have his plays up today, and he never lets us down. Sleep tight Gulfstream, you don’t know what your in for your into tomorrow. Now it’s time for the Conductor to build his bankroll at the casino. Pegasus World Cup time Skip! Skip! Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 60k

#6 Value Engineering (4/1) – Chad debuting a well-bred colt on the grass on Pegasus Day? Easy start.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. S.OC 12500n1x

#9 Souper Wish (4/1) – He’s got a pace advantage over this field. He can gut them

#11 No Dinero (12/1) – He’s taking a big jump in class, but his last blowout win gives him a chance in here at a big number.

Race 3: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint

#4 World of Trouble (6/5) – This colt has become a full blown monster.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Mdn 60k

#6 Samaranti (4/1) – 725k at the Keeneland sale, he’s working well and Chad Brown is 21% with a +$0.83 ROI this year debuting runners routing.

Race 5: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Ladies’ Turf Sprint Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Miz Mayhem (12/1) – This race is wide open and this filly is at her best at this track and at this distance. The Conductor likes the rider switch to Rosario.

Race 6: 7½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.South Beach Stakes

#1 Fire Key (10/1) – Last time was too short for her and she has the figures to be right there at the wire with a good trip. The Conductor will key her in the trifecta.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F.G3 Tipton Hurricane Bertie Stakes

*Never a Doubt Best Bet Lock of the Day #5 Blamed (5/1) – She continues to steadily progress and has a pace advantage over this field. The Conductor loves her.

Race 8: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.G3 La Prevoyante Stakes

#5 Tricky Escape (9/2) – She got in very good form this fall and horses only run better in their first start for Servis.

Race 9: 1 Mile. G3 Fred W. Hooper Stakes

#6 Aztec Sence (7/2) – This gelding has won his last 8 races at multiple different tracks and surfaces. This will make it 9.

Race 10: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G3 W. L. McKnight Stakes

*Double Barreled Shotgun Shots #5 Johnny Bear (15/1) – The Conductor hopes they ignore this old man a the windows. He has the back class and his races last fall against G1 company give him every opportunity here.

#8 Hunting Horn (8/1) – This colt is lightly raced and steadily progressing. He’s run quality races in the states and Europe vs much tougher.

Race 11: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf

#4 Aerolithe (8/1) – This mare ships in from Japan, where she’s run big races and navigated large fields. She’s got talent and can surprise the public at a nice number.

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Pegasus World Cup

#6 Tom’s D’Etat (20/1) -The Conductor doesn’t see anyone other than #3 City of Light or #5 Accelerate winning this race, but he’s going to use this boy as a key. He’s won four in a row in blowout fashion and has the numbers to run 2nd and spice up the exotics.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Gulfstream Park

on January 24, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

A horse racing at Gulfstream Park with a scoreboard displaying race results in the background.

Four short-priced winners for the Conductor yesterday including his lock of the day made for an ok Wednesday. The Conductor will play Gulfstream again today and then unleash his Pegasus Day breakdown on Friday to the public. Gulfstream is shaking in its boots after it learned the Conductor will be there in person Saturday. They better not let him in for their sake. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 20000

#5 Salsita Roja (8/5) – Chalky start

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 6250n3L

*Never a Doubt Plane Ticket Lock of the Day #6 Jordy’s Ready (6/5) – This is a 2-horse race, and the Conductor sees her making it three wins in a row.

Race 3: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 16000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 G Q Coverup (6/1) – He had a tough trip last start and still ran a decent race off a long layoff. He just missed at this level two races back and will improve today with more fitness.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. Clm 30000n2L

#4 Lngtermrelationshp (3/1) – He closed into a moderate pace last time and narrowly missed at this level. He shortens a furlong today as well.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 12500

#3 Daisy’s Storm (6/1) – This 1^st timer’s dam is 2/2 producing winners and trainer Pedro Castillo is 17% with a +$0.35 ROI debuting maiden claimers this year.

Race 6: 1 Mile (Turf) F.MC 20000

#4 Super Mama (6/1) – This mare should take a big step forward in her 2^nd start off the layoff and she’s run some prior races in New York that would eviscerate this group.

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 6250n2L

#4 Tuesday’s Rose (10/1) – She took a huge step forward 1^st off the claim for trainer Juan Avila. She adds blinkers today and will be more fit in her 2^nd start off the layoff.

Race 8: 1 Mile (Turf) MC 35000

#2 Macho Mania (3/1) – He’s taking a big class drop for top connections. Saez will get the job done.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. OC 50000

#1 Steady Earner (4/1) – This colt is making incremental progression with each race and just missed at this level 3 starts back. The heavy favorite #2 Maximum Security (4/5) is completely untested.

Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.S.OC 12500n1x

#7 Galileo’s Affair (12/1) – #8 Mybigitalianfriend (6/5) is the one to beat, but the Conductor will use this filly on top as well as a heavy 8-7 exacta. The Conductor loves a good cutback at Gulfstream.

Race 11: 1 Mile (Turf) Clm 30000b

*Underneath Uppercut #1 Areyoutakingtome (15/1) – At a monster number, her speed figures fit for this level. The Conductor will key her in the trifecta.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: Gulfstream Park Plays

on January 23, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Two jockeys riding horses during a race at Churchill Downs with a crowd in the background.

The Parx card was cancelled yesterday due to the freezing temperatures. An even Tuesday is the best day at Parx the Conductor has had in weeks! The train will be stationed in Gulfstream the rest of the week while the Conductor ramps up for the Pegasus, Let’s Ride.

PT 12:00pm ET Race 1: 1 Mile (Turf) Clm 16000n3L

#5 False Accusation (15/1) – He ran a competitive number for this number and should be on the lead or up close to a slow pace.

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 6250n3L

#6 First Distinctions (3/1) – She’s her best at this distance and has top connections.

Race 3: 1 Mile. MC 20000

#2 The Mighty Judge (4/5) – He looks to be the judge, jury, and executioner.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 16000

#4 Bareeqa (3/1) – This mare is taking a huge class drop and is working well. Saez has also won every race at Gulfstream this meet.

Race 5: 1 Mile. MC 12500

*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #5 Max Q (8/5) – This colt must win, the others in here are just too bad.

Race 6: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 16000n1x

#8 Nonsuch (10/1) – He’s run some serious early pace figures and is getting better with each start. He likes Gulfstream and is posting fast works.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) MC 35000

#1 Love Sick Kitten (2/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he should improve in his 2^nd start off the layoff and will be tough to beat.

Race 8: 1 Mile. MC 35000

#1 Bears Mafia (9/2) – Shipping in from Woodbine, he’s working well over the Gulfstream surface and will try routing for the first time. If Saez is taking the mount, he can run.

Race 9: 1 Mile. F.Clm 6250n2L

#3 Rose M. (8/5) – Chalk

Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) OC 35000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Year of the Kitten (15/1) – This colt is taking a big class drop and was only beaten 3 lengths last start. He should step forward in his 2^nd off a layoff and the Conductor will key him in the exacta and tri at a big number.

Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) MC 20000

#1 Bee Keeper (6/1) – He drops to the depths of the class latter and he cut out blazing fractions against miles tougher in his debut. We also get top connections in our corner.

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

on January 22, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

A group of seven individuals posing together at a horse racing event, including a jockey in uniform.

The 7/1 late double with the lock of the day kept the Conductor alive yesterday. But the game of life is not about staying alive, we want to thrive! Let’s hit some prices at Parx today, Let’s Ride.

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Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500n2L

#7 Creative Process (9/2) – She’s making a huge class drop today and is lightly raced. Trainer Scott Lake is 16% with a +$1.86 ROI with runners off a 3-month+ layoff this year.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n3L

*Never a Doubt Free Money Lock of the Day #8 Sandy Mischief (2/1) – She’s steadily progressing, cutting back in distance and she beat tougher last start. She looks like a free square.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.S.Clm 30000

#6 Sweet Maggie Mae (8/1) – This mare fond her form last start and won easy despite having to close into a slow pace. She’ll likely take another step forward today with the Pennington/Zulueta jockey/trainer combo.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500

#4 Lou’s Chardonnay (5/1) – A winner at Saratoga this summer, this filly has back class and set the pace vs tougher last start. She held on for 3^rd that race and the winner also came back to win her next start.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 10000

#7 Atina Salsa (4/1) – She’s drawn well to the outside and has a speed advantage over the field. She’ll be able to dictate pace of the race on an easy lead.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 45k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Nightlife (6/1) – Shipping in from Laurel for top connections this girl’s early pace figures are off the charts. She will run them off their feet.

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. Clm 16000

#1A Draxhall Woods (6/1) – This Ol Man still shows up and runs his race and he should get a perfect setup in this race. Everyone else will be gunning for the lead and he will wait and pounce.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. Mdn 45k

#8 Mission Oberon (12/1) – He’s steadily improved while stepping up in class and ran a good 2^nd at this level last start. Trainer Michelle Castillo is 17% with a +$8.03 ROI cutting horses back from a route to sprint this year.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 25000n1x

#12 Hitmewthurbestshot (5/2) – Pennington/Servis at Parx, enough said.

Race 10: 1 Mile. Clm 10000

#7 Vegas Strip (8/1) – He’s been in over his head in his last three starts and hasn’t shown up. He takes a massive class drop at Parx today to a level where he fits.

Martin Luther King Day: The Conductor’s Plays at Santa Anita Park

on January 21, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Announcement for a $2,000,000 jackpot guarantee with a background of U.S. dollar bills.

The Conductor has a dream that he will get out of his slump and all his passengers will sleep like babies on piles of money tonight. Santa Anita time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#2 Kate’s Princess (4/1) – She tries turf for the first time and trainer Dallas Craig 15% with a +$2.49 ROI moving runners from dirt to turf this year

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 55k

#2 Scattering Mink (3/1) – Her dam is 16% with 1^st time starters and you can’t go wrong with the Prat/Mandella jockey/trainer combo.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Naughty Sophie (8/1) – 1^st off the claim for trainer Javier Sierra, this filly bobbled at the break last start and didn’t run well. Her prior figures make her the one to beat in here, the Conductor will forgive her last effort.

Race 4: 5½ Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#8 Goodtingscominpink (4/1) – She showed real ability in her debut breaking last, rushing up, and still finishing 2^nd. 4/1 would be fantastic.

Race 5: 1 Mile. Clm 25000n2L

#1 Canadian Game (3/1) – He’s dropping to his lowest class level today and has been clipped since his last start. He’s the class of the field.

Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 80000n1x

#1 Velvet Queen (4/1) – This filly moved early into a hot pace vs much tougher last start and won her debut down the hill. We also get a rider upgrade to Rosario.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. S.MC 50000

#9 Like Really Smart (7/2) – He’s dropping in class, drawn well to the outside and whenever Prat rides for Powell recently, they win.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Megahertz Stakes

*Never a Doubt Week Starter Lock of the Day #3 Vasilika (6/5) – This multiple G1 winner was 9/11 last year and is a mare you can always rely on. She is nails.

Race 9: 6½ Furlongs. Alw 50000s

#7 Shane Zain (3/1) – Drawn well to the outside, he ran a good 3^rd at this level last start and will improve in his 2^nd start off the layoff.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 55k

#9 Tiz Felicity (6/1) – She’s working like a rocket at Santa Anita and is well bred for the turf. Mike Smith riding for Mike McCarthy is always dangerous.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Santa Anita Park

on January 20, 2019April 26, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

A white horse standing in a ceremonial setting surrounded by people in traditional attire.

The Conductor is colder than ice. Santa Anita time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile (Turf) OC 625000n2x

#6 Choo Choo (8/1) – Choooooooooooooo!!!!!! Chooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!! He’s the Conductor, he doesn’t have a choice.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. MC 20000

*Never A Doubt God Guarantee Lock of the Day #8 Shanghai Billy (5/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he plunges in class today and has the fastest figures in the field to his name. The Conductor believes he’s a cinch.

Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 10000

#4 Banze No Oeste (3/1) – He stepped up in class and caught a wet track last start. His win two back against similar competition will be good enough to win again today.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. MC 16000

#8 Raggy Rocks (10/1) – He’s drawn well for solid connections and his dam has produced 5 winners from 7 starters, including 3 stakes winners.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 55k

#2 Three Quarter Time (9/2) – This filly went for 200k at the Keeneland sale and Mike Smith never rides for trainer Thomas Procter, especially when there are two Baffert runners in the race. Smith is riding her for a reason.

Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) MC 50000

#5 Lake Show (20/1) – Trainer Tim Yakteen has surprised with debut turf runners recently. The Conductor is swinging for the fences today.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. MC 20000

#7 Contagion (5/1) – Nobody with experience has run close to a par figure in this field, so the Conductor will turn to a 1^st timer. His sire wins 20% with debut runners.

Race 8: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Astra Stakes

#7 Copper Fever (30/1) – This may be the weakest Grade 3 field you’ll ever see. You can’t take a short price in here. This girl is progressing in the Dallas Craig barn and the Conductor liked her gutsy win last start.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Majestic Authority (15/1) – She’s been eased in her last two starts but has been posting consistent works since then. Her Santa Anita races prior to injury give her every chance against this group. The Conductor will take a shot that she’s ready to run.

Race 10: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 57000n1x

#5 Spy Ring (8/1) – This mare is coming off a layoff, but she’s run well in these scenarios before, so that’s no concern. She has good early speed and gets back to a sprint today where she’s run her best.