November 2019 - The Conductor's Scroll

The Conductor’s Thanksgiving Day Plays at Churchill Downs

on November 28, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Horses racing at Churchill Downs with spectators in the grandstands during a sunny day.

Happy Thanksgiving you filthy passengers. The Conductor has plenty to be thankful for in his life. He hopes you have a glorious day with friends and family. Time to stuff our gullets and our wallets at Churchill, Let’s Ride.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 80000b

#2 Ballard High (8/1) – This colt doesn’t often win, but always shows up. His figures fit in here and the Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 105000nc

#6 Holiday Stone (12/1) – He won nicely last time cutting back to a turf sprint for the first time. He’s won two in a row and the Conductor sees him thriving at this distance.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. Clm 30000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Peppered (15/1) – Dropping in class and cutting back to a sprint, the Conductor guarantees he runs in the trifecta.

Race 8: 1 Mile. Clm 50000n2L

#7 House Limit (5/1) – There are no limits in the Conductor’s house.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G2 Falls City H.

#6 Sally’s Curlin (3/1) – Winner of her last three, she’s on the improve and running massive late pace figures.

Race 10: 6½ Furlongs. Alw 97000n1x

#2 Tight Ten (15/1) – This colt showed talent as a 2-year-old at Churchill and hasn’t run a good race this year. He’s had some time off since his last start, is working consistently, and Asmussen keeps him protected vs allowance company. All are positive signs.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Cardinal Stakes

#11 Starship Jubilee (6/5) – She looks like a standout in here, but the Conductor will key #3 Tweety Show (50/1) and #12 Area (30/1) at monster numbers in the trifecta.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Aqueduct

on November 27, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Horses competing in a race at Aqueduct Racetrack with jockeys in colorful silks.

Nothing like holiday racing. Avoiding your “normal” family with a glass of stew in the basement and firing away on ponies and football/basketball with your degenerate cousins and uncles. Beautiful day at Aqueduct indeed, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. MC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Bobbyfromthepalm (8/1) – He took money at the windows in his debut vs tougher at Saratoga. 1^st off the claim for George Weaver, he’s working well and stretches out to a route for the first time.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 10000

#4 Princess Victoria (3/1) – This mare pressed a hot pace vs tougher last time. Third off the layoff today and dropping in class, the Conductor loves her.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.S.OC 40000n2x

#5 Riot Worthy (15/1) – She’s unlikely to win, but there will be a highly contested lead in this race. She will get a favorable trip and the Conductor will key her in 2^nd and 3^rd at a big number.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) S.MC 40000

#7 Hudson Overpass (7/2) – He has a strong early pace edge over this group.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 32000

#4 Science Fiction (6/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks and getting a rider upgrade to Alvarado, she loves the Aqueduct dirt.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#2 Implied Volatility (4/1) – Stepping up in class, he’s run well in his first two starts under different circumstances. He has the most upside in the field.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) OC 80000n1x

#7 Turned Aside (7/2) – This colt pressed a scorching pace vs stakes company last time. With a good draw today, he’ll be tough to beat.

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.Alw 75000n1x

#5 Foolish Living (5/2) – After scratches, she looks like an easy winner.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) MC 40000

#10 Lawn Boy (10/1) – The Conductor will take a swing with the Castellano brothers teaming up.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Aqueduct

on November 23, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

A competitive horse race begins at Aqueduct with multiple jockeys and horses in action, showcasing the excitement of thoroughbred racing.

The day of reckoning is upon us at Aqueduct. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000n2L

#4 Casper Slew (5/2) – 2^nd off the layoff, this colt is steadily progressing and Jose Ortiz hops aboard. He’s working well and looks to get a great trip up close to a moderate pace.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#8 Chouchou de Boo (8/1) – She ran well in her debut at a huge number in a race taken off the turf. She should move up on the grass an Castellano takes the mount.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Tempers Way (8/1) – Getting back on the turf, she’s the only girl who wants the lead in year. She has a major chance to wire this field.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. Clm 10000

#3 Sir Ballantine (6/1) – Cutting back to a sprint, he’ll be flying late and loves the Aqueduct surface.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Outer Turf) Clm 25000

#2 Celebration (6/1) – He has an early pace edge over this group, which is always dangerous in a turf sprint.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 70k

#1 Telephone Talker (2/1) – This colt ran very well in his debut sprinting on turf and is bred to be even better on the lawn.

Race 9: 1 3/8Mile. (Turf) G3 Red Smith Stakes

#3 Nakamura (10/1) – He keeps running well regardless of having slow paces to close into. He has huge late pace figures and looks to get a fairer setup today.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Aqueduct

on November 21, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor doesn’t want a big day, he needs one. We will execute and we will thrive at Aqueduct. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#11 Happy Music (8/1) – 2^nd off the layoff this filly drops to the claiming ranks for the firt time and has been well bet vs tougher. She draws in as an MTO.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.Clm 16000n2L

#2 True Prosperity (6/1) – She had a troubled trip last time and she gets back to a route today where she ran her best two back. She’ll run in the exacta at a nice number.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#6 Overheated (10/1) – This girl stretches out to a turf route for the first time and this group is very average. Rosario has hit with some big prices riding for Ray Handal recently.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 70k

#2 Tan and Tight (6/5) – Keep it tight, keep it light.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Abraxan (10/1) – She’s dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time and has run on turf and a sloppy track in her last two starts. Her form sprinting on a fast dirt track gives her every chance.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) S.Clm 25000

#9 Whatawonderflworld (9/2) – Dropping to her lowest career class level, she ran very well last time vs tougher and looks to get a good setup today with pace to run at.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 100000b

#3 Chipolata (4/1) – This filly has the back class and figures to beat the favorite #2 Dream Passage (1/1) and will be a much better price. She’s also 1/1 over the Aqueduct surface.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.S.MC 40000

#1 Maru (7/2) – She showed speed vs tougher in her debut and hung on for 3^rd. She can run this group off their feet.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Aqueduct

on November 7, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

Decent bounce back Thursday with prices running underneath and a short priced winner. Let’s get the train into 2nd gear at Aqueduct, Let’s Ride.

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Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Mayas Miracle (8/1) – In her debut on grass she had a troubled trip and still finished well to only be beaten two lengths. She adds Lasix today, moves to dirt for the first time and Rosario hops aboard.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#5 Cerretalto (10/1) – This gelding has had some time off after being eased last start. He’s an Aqueduct specialist and his figures fit with this group. He looks to get a perfect trip sitting behind a hot pace.

Race 7: 1 Mile. S.OC 40000n2x

#8 Singapore Trader (10/1) – 2^nd off the layoff and stretching back out to his best distance, he didn’t run a step last time but was bet to favoritism. Johnny V hops back aboard and Pletcher keeps him protected at this level, which is a good sign. The Conductor will forgive his last effort and bet he runs well here.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 40000

#7 Roma Delight (4/1) – Dropping in class, the Conductor really liked her effort two back and she didn’t get any pace to run at last time. The Conductor likes her at this number and above.

The Conductor’s Wednesday Spot Plays at Churchill Downs

on November 5, 2019May 8, 2023 By The Conductor's Scribe

We’re heading into the winter lull of the horse racing season post Breeders’ Cup. Most passengers will cut down their play, but obviously not the Conductor. The clocks have turned back, the darkness has come. The only thing to keep him sane is to never leave the house and fire away at Churchill Downs. Skip! Skip!

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.MC 30000

#3 Mi Chachis Intenta (4/1) – This filly showed ability in her debut at Churchill and had a troubled trip last time when they moved her up in class. Dropping back to a lower level, the Conductor likes her.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 30000n2L

#6 Carpe Noctem (7/2) – He’s drawn well to the outside and his early pace figures give him an advantage over this group.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#7 Happy Peddler (12/1) – This filly is working well, and trainer David Fawkes is 24% with +$1.23 ROI debuting maiden claimers this year. His barn is also hot to start the meet.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Clm 7500

#9 Icatiro (6/1) – He drops to his lowest career class level and is working well after being clipped. Jockey Joseph Rocco Jr. is only a 10%, but he’s 31% with a +$3.65 ROI with trainer Michael Tomlinson the last two months.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 95k

#9 Summer Place (8/1) – This colt took money at Churchill and showed a something in her debut across the pond. He’s bred for the lawn and should also get a hot pace to close into.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #11 Speed Effect (10/1) – 2^nd off the layoff, this gelding ran a good 3^rd vs tougher at Keeneland last start. Dropping in class and likely to improve, the Conductor would love anything close to that morning line.