Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, Give a man a pony and he'll eat for a lifetime
Off the turf in Race 1 and 5 today at Saratoga, thankfully that doesn’t change much for the Conductor as he’ll sit those out. Let’s get the train humming to star the racing week, Let’s Ride
Full Card Top Picks: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Saratoga
Race 7: Daily Double 2 / 6
Full Card Top Picks The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Del Mar
Race 3: Trifectas
3 / 1,2,6,7.9 / All
3 / all / 1,2,6,7,9
1,2,6,7,9 / 3 / All
#2 So Much Happy (8/1) – She set a scorching pace last time and is cutting back to a sprint and switching back to dirt. Her early pace figures make her dangerous, she was able to get the lead vs maidens in her debut as well.
#7 C Falls (4/1) – Making his 3rd career start, he took a nice step forward last time. With natural progression the Conductor likes his chances.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Big Barrel (8/1) – He took a big step forward last start, but the Conductor doesn’t think it was a fluke. He showed ability last year and the Conductor sees it natural progression. He gets a weight break against this group as well.
#5 Beyonce (5/1) – Her last two works have been bullets for solid connections. She looks ready to roll. Slay Queen Slay.
#1 My Aunt Tillie (6/1) – This mare is returning off a long layoff, but trainer Myke Puype brings them back ready and she’s run well fresh before. If she runs her race she’ll have every chance and Van Dyke taking the mount is a good sign.
*Never a Doubt Lock of the Card #7 Cholula Lips (2/1) – If she runs her last race vs tougher at Churchill, it will tough for the others beat to jump up and beat her, let alone if she takes a step forward. Her works leading into today suggest she’s ready to run.
#9 Honos Man (6/1) – Shipping in from Churchill after a nice win last start, the Kentucky invaders have run well on the turf this meet. The Conductor will load up the caboose if we get that price.
Decent Sunday for the Conductor. We had a 7/1, 5/2, 4/1 winning streak in the beginning of the card, but couldn’t get the knockout late. The Conductor shall not rest until he defeats Saratoga. Back to the lab, Let’s Ride.
#4 Joy of Treasure (5/2) – She’s the best closer in the field and looks to get a good setup, with a speed duel up front to run at.
#1 Zandera (7/2) – He’s dropping in class and cutting back to a sprint after chasing a hot pace last start. He is also trying a fast dirt track for the first time
#8 Playtone (6/1) – The Conductor likes this daughter of Tapit’s work-tab at Keeneland for solid connections.
*Never a Doubt Early Pick 5 Single #7 Niko’s Dream (8/5) – 3rd off the layoff, she narrowly missed closing into a slow pace last time. The Conductor loves her.
#7 Blessingsofliberty (8/1) – Trainer Michael Trombetta is 10% with a +$0.70 ROI with debut runners on turf this year. The Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in here. He’s looking at the fist timers.
#2 Tulanian (7/2) – That 59 flat 5 furlong work at Churchill three back catches the Conductor’s eye.
#2 Masch (6/5) – Her European form lays over this field.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Theaterintheround (10/1) – This girl has an early pace edge over this group. The Conductor sees her scampering away on the front end.
#2 Talk Veuve to Me (2/1) – The Conductor has always been a fan of this mare. He sees her getting the job done.
#8 To a Friend (3/1) – She’s taking blinkers off, which is a profitable angle for trainer Jonathon Thomas. She showed ability in her debut at Gulfstream.
Saratoga: The only place on earth where you can get your face smashed in at the windows all day and still have a good time. The Conductor will be back….he just needs to pick up a few more jobs first. Let’s Ride.
#5 Fifty Cents (8/1) – Saez takes the mount for a low volume Gulfstream trainer who has yet to have a starter at Saratoga. This colt’s sire wins at a 18% clip with 1st timers and the Conductor has a funny feeling that this boy is live.
#1 Stink Man (12/1) – He’s dropping in class 1st off the claim and gets a rider upgrade to Rosario. His win two back gives him every chance against this group.
#4 Our Srormin Norman (8/1) – 2nd off a long lay-off, he ran a solid 2nd at Churchill last start. He’s bred to like the turf and has never tried sprinting on the lawn. The Conductor likes his upside.
#1 Kazmania (4/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he returns quickly from a start at Saratoga where he had a troubled trip. The Conductor sees him taking a step forward vs an average field and he gets a rider upgrade as well.
#5 Clyde’s Runner (7/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in here, but he’s logical.
#7 Super Dude (6/1) – He was up against it last time, trying to close into a slow pace. He adds blinkers today, which should help his early position.
#9 Aymara (8/1) – She’s stretching out and switches back to the turf, which she is bred to do. Her debut was better than it looked closing into a slow pace over a speed favoring Gulfstream turf course.
#4 Queenofeverything (6/1) – She ran poorly over a sloppy track last time, but her race two back on a fast dirt track gives her every chance. Trainer James Bond is red hot at toga.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Macho Blue (15/1) – Stepping up in class, this gelding has won 3 in a row and is very quick early. This group is not very strong for this level.
*Never a Doubt Best Bet From God #3 Dyna Passer (4/1) – Dropping out of Grade 1 company, she ran well to split the field closing into a slow pace. That price would be more than enough for the Conductor.
#5 Honest Mischief (7/2) – He moved early in the Woody Stephens, a race that favored closers. This colt has loads of talent, his maiden breaker at Keeneland was freaky good.
#3 Traci’s Girl (8/1) – There’s 12 runners, throw a dart.
Jim Dandy Day at the Spa, what a treat. Let’s Ride.
#6 Blacktop Legend (6/1) – Making his 2nd start off the claim for Gary Guillo, this gelding cuts back to a sprint after pressing a hot pace going a route last time.
#5 Bossy Bride (8/1) – He’s run well closing into slow paces in his young career. He looks to get a good trip today.
#4 Psychic Energy (9/2) – 1st off the claim for Linda Rice, she’s heating up.
#5 Kawalski (4/1) – Well bet in his debut, he got off to a slow start and ran well to close for 3rd into a slow pace. With experience, the Conductor sees him taking a big step forward.
#5 Prioritize (10/1) – Chad Brown will likely win this race with either the #2 or #7, but the Conductor will key this boy in the exacta. Making his 3rd start off the layoff, he’s had no pace to run at in his last two starts. With a fair setup he’ll be right there at the wire.
#9 More Mischief (9/2) – Making her 2nd start of the year, she’s steadily progressing and looks to get a perfect strip up close to a slow pace.
#7 Sweet Meadow List (8/1) – Switching back to dirt, there is noting to knock about her dirt efforts.
#5 Economic Policy (5/2), #2 Blanket of Roses (6/1) – Chad Brown
#9 Overdeliver (3/1) – Cutting back to a sprint, he looks to get a perfect staking trip drawn to the outside with a wicked pace up front.
*Gullet Shots of the Day #2 Strike Power (6/1) and #7 Do Share (15/1) – The Conductor sees the favorite #1 Mitole (1/1) vulnerable in here. Strike Power ran a monster race behind Catalina Cruiser last start and will put mighty pace pressure on Mitole, who must send from the rail. The Conductor thinks Strike Power has a major chance to pull the upset and will also give Do Share one more shot. There is a possibility of a pace meltdown in here and Do Share will be flying late at a juicy number.
#3 Ya Primo (8/1) – Watch the replay of her last start in Chile. She has major trouble at the start and still obliterates a 15-horse field. The Conductor doesn’t care who she beat, she has talent and is in Chad Brown’s hands.
*Never a Doubt Feature Race Lock of the Day #4 Global Campaign (2/1) – In a race devoid of pace, the Conductor sees him controlling the race on the front end. Gate to wire, #5 Tacitus (7/5) will be too far back to run him down.
#4 My Macho (5/1) – He’s lightly raced and trending in the right direction.
The Conductor got off to a great start at Saratoga before mother nature ended his fun like the cruel witch she can be. Races 6 and 8 are on the turf today while 2,3 and 10 are off. Let’s pick up where we left off, Let’s Ride.
#5 G. T. Sonia (10/1) – The heavy favorite #3 Countenance (3/5) is the one to beat, but this is the price the Conductor likes most. She’s run the fastest figures of the rest of the group and gets red-hot Alvarado in the irons.
#8 Assault Breaker (5/2) – He looks like the clear one to beat on the dirt after scratches.
#7 Bernin’ Thru Gold (5/2) – He pressed a hot pace last start and still held on for 3rd. The Conductor sees him taking a step forward.
#2 Viva Forever (6/1) – This mare ran a clunker last time, but if you toss that race out, she looks to have as good a chance as any in here.
#8 Ivy’s College Fund (8/1) – 3rd off the layoff, she’s trending in the right direction and the Conductor sees her taking another step forward today. The Conductor’s kids better get scholarships.
#7 Ocean Fire (4/1) – Making her 2nd carreer start, she ran a good 3rd in her debut. Mott runners always improve with a race under their belt.
#6 Slimey (6/1) – Stepping up in class after a good win at Saratoga only 9 days ago. The Conductor loves her steady progression.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Colonel Tom (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he drops back into state-bred company and has the fastest early pace figures in the field. He’ll be a big price because jockey Dylan Davis has yet to find the winners circle this meet.
*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #1 Intrepid Heart (7/2) – He was too far back behind a slow pace in the Belmont and was the wise guy horse that day. With major class relief here, the Conductor thinks there is still talent under the hood.
#2 Talespin (12/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he showed good early speed and ran a good 3rd behind a next out winner last time.
#5 Santanta (7/2) – The lone 4-year-old in the field taking on 3-year-olds, the Conductor likes his work tab.
#1 Lifeline (10/1) – 2nd off a long layoff and taking a big drop in class, he gets a 7 lb weight break and has a nice inside draw.
*Never a Doubt West Coast Night Cap Best Bet of the Day #7 Foggy Bottom (6/1) – Drawn well to the outside, the Conductor loves her long works over a tiring Golden Gate surface. Trainer Bill McLean is 17% with a +$2.85 debuting maiden claimers this year.
#2 Stylishly (5/2) – 1st time in the Simon Callahan barn is always dangerous. This filly has run well against tougher and looks to be ready to roll.
#4 Excavation (4/1) – Dropping in class and getting a 7 lb weight break he looks to get a favorable trip on or up close to a moderate pace.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Hot On the Trail (12/1) – Lightly raced and stretching out to a route, she looks to get a good trip with a hot pace to run at. Desormeaux doesn’t ride for Glatt often, but when he does, he’s usually live. They’ve won 3 of their last 4 starts together.
#9 Lostinthemoment (10/1) – Van Dyke hops a board for an out of town barn and the shippers have been live this meet with the bonuses offered.
An insane amount of 2nds yesterday at Del Mar and Saratoga, but at some decent prices. We should be fast and firm the rest of the week, let’s turn those 2nds into 1sts and get gout from gouging ourselves with red meat and wine. Let’s Ride.
#2 Persian Queen (4/1) – 125k filly for Rudy Rod, him and Saez are red hot right now. This jockey/trainer combo is 8/14 with a +$3.63 ROI in the last two months.
*Never a Doubt Thursday Night Stew Best Bet of the Day #1 Lucky Move (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this mare ships in from Churchill and drops in from facing open company. She also posting nice works.
#6 Shennan (3/1) – Shipping in from across the pond, he’s run against stiffer competition an looks to be working well in America.
#1 Hawaiian Noises (6/1) – His last race gives him every chance and he’s steadily progressing and working well. With trainer Wesley Ward being ice cold, he’ll likely go off at a higher price than he should.
#1 Seaside Dancer (4/1) – Winner of 4 in a row, this filly hasn’t done anything wrong since she switched to turf. She’ll go right to the front and try to scamper away. Scamper!
#4 Playtone (4/1) – Her bullet work at Keeneland July 10th caught the Conductor’s eye.
#7 Mascha (9/5) – Chad Brown Chalk.
#1 Gold for the King (2/1) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping out of much tougher open graded stakes company, the Conductor sees him throttling this group.
#5 Macagone (3/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he has recency over the favorite and is an old gelding that is still tough as nails.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Memories Eternal (6/1) – This filly pressed a hot pace routing for the 1st time vs tougher. She drops in class and adds blinkers today.
Off the grass in the 3rd and 6th races at Saratoga today. The rest of the top picks remain the same: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Saratoga
#2 Jen’s Battle (4/1) – The Conductor will still land on this filly on the dirt. The amount of $ she took in her debut for Contessa gives him that feeling in his left knee.
#11 Hemlock (5/1) – The lone MTO runner in the field, this colt is posting bullet works for strong connections. The Alvarado/Mott jockey/trainer combo has been red hot.
Race 9 Daily Double: 2,6,7,8 / 3,10
Good thing its 75 and sunny every day in San Diego, so the Conductor doesn’t have to worry about off the turf.
Full Card Top Picks: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Del Mar
Race 6 Exacta Box: (1,7 / 1,7)
The racing week starts tomorrow, Let’s Ride.
#4 Eddie Haskell (6/5) – 3rd off the layoff, he’s 5/6 at Del Mar with one 2nd and 8/11 at the distance. He’s the type of favorite that’s tough to bet against.
#3 Twirling Tiger (5/1) – This old gelding gets back to Del Mar where he was last victorious and drops in class. The weight break helps as well.
#2 Afternoon Heat (7/2) – She gets a 7 lb weight break as well and ran a good 2nd last time at this level in her debut. With a natural step forward, the Conductor sees her in the winners circle.
*Never a Doubt Best Bet of the Day #6 Hot Sean (4/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he made an early move into a hot pace last start and now stretches out to a route. Baffert is 44% with a +$1.04 ROI moving runners from two sprints to a route this year.
#5 Shanghai Truffles (3/1) – She’s lightly raced and took a nice step forward last time. The Conductor likes fillies on the incline.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Premium Forest (20/1) – #7 Campaign (6/5) is the clear one to beat, but the Conductor will key this colt in the exacta and trifecta at a big number. A winner on synthetic, turf and dirt, he is versatile and on the improve. He looks to get a favorable trip up close to a slow pace and has the late pace figures to get the distance.
#3 Miss Stormy (6/1) – She’s coming in off a long layoff, but with solid connections and a sprint distance that doesn’t concern the Conductor. She ran 2nd at this level last fall and with some maturity she has major upside.