Month: October 2019

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Horses racing at Keeneland during the spring meet with jockeys in colorful silks.

How in gods name is it only Thursday. Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#8 Ahsad (8/1) – Making his 3rd career start, he’s run well in his first two closing into slow paces. He’ll get a more favorable setup today.

#12 Strike Appeal (6/1) – This colt is bred to take a step forward on the lawn and he ran well vs one of the top 2-year old’s in the country, Maxfield, on dirt last time.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 20000

#3 Daring (8/5) – It doesn’t take courage to bet this filly.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 30000

#2 Take Charge d’Oro (3/1) – 1st off the claim for Asmussen, this boy is exiting a win and should take a step forward.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#2 Law of the Land (3/1) – Closing for a good 3rd into a slow pace in his debut, he is very logical.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#4 Peaches and Nuts (4/1) – Her debut win at Monmouth got the Conductor’s attention.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 75000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 East Moon (6/1) – We finally saw that this is her preferred surface and distance last time. With her limited starts on turf, the Conductor likes her upside.

keeneland

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. OC 75000n2L

#4 Long Weekend (3/1) – This colt pressed a hot pace vs tougher at Keeneland last time and showed talent in his debut win prior. He’s working well into today.

Race 8: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) G3 Sycamore Stakes

#4 Nakamura (7/2) – This gelding keeps getting tepid paces to close into and running big races. His win two back at Saratoga was very impressive.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#3 Sweet Cocoa (6/1) – Nothings better then some hot chocolate in the fall at Keeneland….with a little stew mixed int.

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

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Exciting horse race at Keeneland with multiple horses racing on the track and spectators watching from the stands.

The Conductor will figure out Keeneland before its over. He hopes.

 

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 War Eagle’s Love (10/1) – 3rd off the layoff, she took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees another one coming. She looks to get a favorable trip as well, up close to a slow pace.

Keeneland

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 50000

#3 Han Sense (9/2), #5 California Night (3/1) – One of these Maker runners will be victorious.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 25000

#5 Paint the Corners (7/2) – A young Conductor would put is 2 seamer right on the black.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 30000

#1 Visual Artist (7/2) – His 2nd last time was fast enough to beat most groups at this level.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#6 Party Goer (12/1) – She’s bred to relish the lawn and the Conductor loves her work tab. Catalano is 25% with a +$0.51 ROI this year debuting runners on turf.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#5 Blood Curdling (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after facing G2 company last time, she showed she can sit and pass horses in her debut win.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#2 Patriot Drive (8/1) – Chad Brown and #5 Emaraaty (7/5) will be tough to beat, but this gelding is in good form and hasn’t missed the exacta in his last 5 tries.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#4 Book of Love (10/1) – She’s working well at Keeneland for solid connections and her sire is winning at a 16% with 1st time starters.

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Keeneland

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Exciting horse race at Keeneland with multiple horses racing on the track and spectators watching from the stands.

The Conductor needs to answer the bell at Keeneland. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 50000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Speed Effect (6/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he set a wicked pace last time in a race that has come back live. He also adds blinkers today.

keeneland

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#6 Lucky Curlin (4/1) – He ran a very strong late pace figure last time and has already faced some of the best two-year olds in the country. The added blinkers should put him in a better position early.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#3 Untraceable (5/1) – This gelding is a different animal routing on the turf. He set a hot pace and held on last time and the Conductor can see it happening again.

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 32000

#7 Hardly a Secret (2/1) – He’s the best on paper and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#8 Wicked Valentine (5/1) – She’ll rip their hearts out.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 75000n2x

#5 Stillwater Cove (5/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have an opinion here.

Race 7: 6½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#1 Telephone Walker (3/1), #3 Risk Profile (4/1) – One of the Chad Brown 1st timers will get the job done.

Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs (Turf) F.Alw 80000n2x

#6 On Probation (15/1) – She can’t leave the state, but the Conductor thinks she can hit the board at a big price.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 73000n1x

#3 Patagonia (6/1) – This colt ran very well at Keeneland in his debut and is stretching out for the first time. He’ll be in a favorable spot early without much pace signed on.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A group of racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks competing on a dirt racetrack.

The Conductor’s head hurts this morning very much. That always leads to a day filled with winners at Keeneland. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. MC 15000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Wrath (8/1) – He set a wicked pace vs tougher last start and he’ll be more fit today 2nd off the bench.

keeneland

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000

#2 Cowboy Rhythm (5/2) – Nothing creative here.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 100000n2x

#6 En Wye Cee (4/1) – This colt’s debut win at Saratoga got the Conductor’s attention. He could be a good one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000

#3 Zabava (5/2) – She’s well drawn and looks to get a favorable trip.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 50000

#1A Ashley’s New Shoes (5/1) – Ashley will get her new footwear today and the Conductor will get a new house.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 150000

#6 Raggedy Annie (5/1) – Throw out her last effort on turf, she’s dropping in class and will improve returning to dirt.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 73000n1x

#5 Bizzee Channel (8/1) – Stretching out after a good 2nd against a quality field, he looks to get a favorable trip on or near the lead. There is not a lot of pace signed on in here.

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#9 Young Phillip (7/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he ran very well last time cutting out hot fractions. He’ll graduate today.

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes 150k

#11 Girls Know Best (6/1) – Her opinion is up for debate, but her early pace figures are not. Her early speed makes her very dangerous.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 7500

#1 Satellite (4/1) – This gelding returned to form at Keeneland last start and the Conductor sees him running a similar effort.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A thrilling horse race featuring multiple jockeys in colorful silks on a dirt track, with a large crowd in the background.

Nothing you can do but hop back in the train and keep chugging along the rails at Keeneland. Let’s Ride

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500

#7 Served Cold (4/1) – She took a step forward last time and the Conductor sees her continuing her progression.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#3 Keepme in Thegame (7/2) – She adds blinkers today, which should help her be for forwardly placed. She’s run some extremely strong late pace figures.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Clm 30000

#5 Blunt Force (5/2) – She’s best and looks to get a good trip.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#9 Starvana (6/1) – Dropping back to the claiming ranks, the Conductor sees her taking a big step forward 2nd off the layoff.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#5 Thanks Be (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. MC 150000

*Atom Bomb Shot of the Day #4 Jerzees One (20/1) – Only 15k at auction, the Conductor likes that this colt is debuting for this much money and that Rosario takes the mount for a barn he never rides for. He’s also working well.

keeneland

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 73000n2x

#6 Dabinett (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

#12 Drunken Fridays (12/1) – Nothing like a barrel of stew to start the weekend.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 80000b

#3 Sacred Life (5/2) – The Conductor sees her as a single against this field.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 It’s a Ford (6/1) – Dropping in class and cutting back in distance after pressing the pace last time at Keeneland, the Conductor loves her here.

keeneland

The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Keeneland

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A group of racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks competing on a dirt racetrack.

Elate let us down yesterday in the late pick 5 at Keeneland, in a sequence that the Conductor otherwise saw perfectly. Never too early to prep for Wednesday.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 30000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Treasure Trove (6/1) – Switching back to dirt 3rd off the layoff, this boy is also a 1st time gelding. Trainer Kellyn Gorder is adept with this move, being 28% with a +$0.29 ROI switching runners from turf to dirt this year.

keeneland

Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#3 Shared Legacy (6/1) – This colt bobbled at the start and pressed a hot pace last time and still ran well. He should step forward and appreciate the shorter distance here.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 50000n3L

#6 Senor Jobim (5/1) – The Conductor sees him rounding back to a peak effort.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000

#4 Dreaming Diamonds (4/1) – This filly stepped forward last start and the Conductor sees her continuing the progression.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k

#2 Ramsey Solution (4/1) – This colt is bred to be a good one and the Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in this group.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 73000n1x

#9 Breaking News (15/1) – #4 Honest Mischief (1/1) looks tough to beat, but the Conductor likes this colt to hit the board at a big price. 2nd off the layoff, he ran a monster late pace figure in his return to the races last start. The Conductor will key him in the exacta and tri.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 JP Morgan Chase Jessamine Stakes

#9 Diamond Sparkles (6/1) – This filly ran very well last time vs Grade 1 company closing into a slow pace. She looks to get a much better setup in here with a hot pace to run at. Anywhere close to 6/1 would be glorious.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. MC 30000

#12 New York Style (9/2) – The only concern is the post at Keeneland.

The Conductor’s Saturday Plays at Belmont Park

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Horses and jockeys racing out of the starting gate at Belmont Park, showcasing a competitive horse racing event.

Belmont Park time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 25000s

#4 My Roxy Girl (2/1) – She looks to be cycling back to a top effort.

Race 2: 5½ Furlongs. S.MC 50000

#4 Hold My Call (7/5) – He looks tough to beat with the drop in class and early pace advantage.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 77000n1x

#5 Here Comes Jackie (6/1) – Exiting a victory, she’s in good form and has a strong late kick.

Race 4: 1 Mile. F.Mdn 75k

#2 Always a Queen (4/1) – She was well bet in her debut vs tougher hand had no chance trying to close into a very slow pace. She’ll improve with the added distance as well.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational Stakes 150k

#4 Hawkish (6/1) – He’s coming in off a layoff, but that doesn’t concern the Conductor with the Toner Barn. He’s very consistent, a Grade 2 winner and will be flying late.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.G3 Matron Stakes

#1 Alms (1/1) – Her debut win was eye catching.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Mdn 75k

#1 Tapage (10/1) – This colt tired early in his debut, but is posting bullet works entering today. Kiaran McLaughlin is 22% this year with 2nd time starters.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G2 Hill Prince Stakes

#9 Uncle Benny (10/1) – This colt returned to form last start and will be stretching out to this distance for the first time. He’s very talented, this isn’t the strongest group and Servis runners never have a problem going further.

Race 9: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Cross Border (20/1) – Winner of three in a row and stepping up to the Grade 1 ranks, this is not the strongest Belmont G1 field. He’ll be the biggest price on the board and the Conductor will key him in the exacta and tri.

belmont park

Race 10: 1 Mile. G1 Champagne Stakes

#6 Big City Bob (20/1) – This colt is the only one in the field that has won routing. He’ll have a hot pace to close into and will be finishing late. The Conductor will key him to hit the board.

Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 75k

#6 Sul Moon (3/1) – He’ll graduate today.

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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A large crowd gathered at a horse racing event, with spectators enjoying the races and horses on the track under a blue sky.

The Conductor couldn’t see the ball at Keeneland on opening day, but he learned a few things with his scars. Its a great Saturday of racing ahead of us. The Conductor loves the card, prices everywhere. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#6 Miss Imperfection (15/1) – This filly’s work tab screams to the Conductor that she’s ready to roll and her sire wins at a 16% clip with 1st time starters. Trainer Kellyn Gorder has a positive ROI this year with debut runners as well.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b

#6 Whoa Nellie (4/1) – This filly looks to get a perfect trip, stalking a hot pace and swooping on the turn.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 62500n2x

#6 Major Cabbie (10/1) – Throw out his last race on turf, his two dirt efforts in the Miller barn give him every chance. He’s working well leading up to this one.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 71k

#3 Portos (4/1) – This colt closed into a tepid pace and ran a huge late pace figure in his debut. The Conductor would love 4/1.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. OC 75000n2L

#7 Peruvian Boy (8/1) – He’s faced the toughest competition in the field and the Conductor sees him in a great spot when they turn from home. His works suggest he’s on the improve.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford Stakes

#3 Imprimis (2/1) – With a clean trip he towers over this field.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.G2 Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes

#4 Danuska’s My Girl (6/1) – West coast shippers are always dangerous in dirt sprints at Keeneland. This girl is also steadily progressing and has a major chance to wire this field.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 First Lady Stakes

#7 Indian Blessing (12/1) – There is an abundance of pace signed on in here and this mare looks to get a nice setup. She’s hit the board in every start in America and the Conductor will key her in the exacta and trifecta. The Conductor certainly sees #4 Uni (4/1) as the likeliest winner.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

#5 Enforceable (15/1) – #1 Tap It To Win (3/1) is the one to beat, but this colt will be the Conductor’s key to the race. Additionally, he’s the only one proven he can go this far and will be closing late with a hot pace in front of him.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Vintager (10/1) – The Conductor isn’t impressed with the American contingent. Obviously Chad Brown can’t be ignored with #4 Valid Point (5/1), but he’s going to take a swing with this European shipper. He’s in good form and trainer Charles Appleby has also had success in America.

keeneland

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 71k

#5 Further Lane (4/1) – She’s certainly working like she’s a good one at Keeneland for top connections.

The Conductor’s Friday Plays at Belmont Park

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Horses and jockeys racing at Belmont Park, showcasing the excitement of a horse race with colorful silks and starting gates.

The Conductor’s got a nice feel for Belmont right now. Big Sandy better protect itself or it could get ugly. Very ugly.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. MC 20000

#4 Cavaradossi (7/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion here.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#4 Tales I Winit (8/1) – Her debut race was rained off the turf and she had trouble from the start. She’ll take a big step forward on the lawn today and will be a big price for strong connections.

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 25000

#2 Street Trust (5/2) – Chalk

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 12500

#2 Scarf it Down (5/2) – Scarf it Down on Force Feed Friday? Never a Doubt.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 50000

#7 Go Poke the Bear (3/1) – He ran a strong late pace figure closing into a slow pace last time. He’ll get the job done today.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Short Pour (8/1) – She set a hot pace and fended everyone off in her 1st try routing last time. The Conductor thinks she can wire them again. There will be no short pours in his house.

belmont

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.Mdn 75k

#4 Katama Moonlight (7/5) – She looks like a cinch today at Belmont.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#3 Kierkegaard (7/2) – Dropping back into state bred company and stretching out for the first time, he’s run two solid races against quality fields.

The Conductor’s Opening Day Plays at Keeneland

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Crowd watching horse racing at Keeneland with horses on the track.

Opening day at Keeneland, the most beautiful place the Conductor’s eyes have ever seen. Belmont picks will be up before post time as well. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. OC 10000

#5 Got My Mo (5/1) – Mo Money, less problems.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. Alw 77000n1y

#1 Knicks Go (4/1) – This colt is finally getting the cutback in distance and class relief he needs.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 30000n3L

#8 Lngtermrelationship (6/1) – Seems like a bad decision.

Race 4: 1½ Mile. (Turf) Alw 75000n2x

#5 Stella d’Oro (2/1) – She had no chance last time with the slowest of paces in front of her. She should handle this group.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 71k

#3 Boss Onthe Horizon (8/1) – You always need to know where your boss when you have your paycheck on the race right before a meeting.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n2L

#2 Fifthatnarraganset (8/1) – The Conductor liked both of her races at Arlington Park and she’s working well entering today.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#2 Urban Fairytale (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, the Conductor sees this filly taking a big step forward stretching out to a route for the first time.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. G2 Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 American Pastime (12/1) – This gelding has had trouble staying on the track but has always possessed major ability. His last race shows he’s trending in the right direction and the Conductor sees him running to his potential today. He’ll key him in the exacta and trifecta.

keeneland

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Darley Alcibiades Stakes

#7 Perfect Alibi (5/2) – She hasn’t done anything wrong in her young career and looks to get a perfect setup in this one at Keeneland, staking a hot pace.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 71k

#10 Across (4/1) – She ran a good 2nd in her debut, closing into a slow pace. With natural progression she’ll be tough to beat.