Month: April 2019

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Keeneland

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A group of jockeys riding horses during a race at a crowded racetrack.

Getting quality racing on Wednesdays make the Conductor’s life so much better. Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. F.OClm 20000

#4 Trusty Roll (5/1) – Going 45’ flat to the half at Parx last start is serious speed.  She scan scamper away on the front end and make the heavy favorite #5 Honey Bunny (4/5) run her down.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. F.OClm 10000

*Never a Doubt Hump Day Lock #3 Picasso Moon (3/1) – In a race without much pace, she’ll get a nice trip on or near the lead.

Keeneland

Race 3: 4 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#2 Chili Petin (2/1) – Wesley Ward and Johnny V in a baby sprint, carry on.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#7 Tap Tap Taparoo (3/1) – She broke last in her previous start and still just missed.  Her maiden breaker at Saratoga was very impressive.

Race 5: 4 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#4 Diamonds Are A (8/1) – 120k at the Keeneland sale, she has a steady work tab and Luiz Saez is hot in the irons.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Higher Authority (15/1) – Setting a hot pace in her first try on grass last start, she dug in and was only beaten 1 ½ lengths.  The Conductor is praying his price stays high.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 50000

#5 Tiznoble (3/1) – He’s in great form and is 3/5 at the distance.

Race 8: 1 1/2. (Turf) Alw 83000n2x

#7 Take That for Data (8/1) – He’s steadily progressing and gets stronger the further they go.

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Turf Paradise

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A crowd watching a horse race at Turf Paradise with a scoreboard in the background.

A 13/1 winner in the 5th yesterday made it a good start to the week for the Conductor. Turf Paradise has been nice to us lately, good early starts are key. Its officially derby season, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 4 ½ Furlongs. Clm 3000b

#7 Awesome E K (7/2) – He loves this track and the Conductor liked his last effort.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 3000b

#7 Singaprayer (7/2) – Dropping in class and switching back to dirt, he also does his best running over this surface.

Race 3: 4 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 3000

#8 Sincere Warning (2/1) – The Conductor would never tell a lie.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 8000

#1 Faith in Excess (4/1) – She’s going to scoot away from this group along the rail.

Race 5: 1 Mile. F.Clm 3500n3L

*Never a Doubt Lock of the Day #1 Ponochio (9/2) – This filly is steadily progressing for hot connection and gets her nose down at the wire.

Turf Paradise

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 3000b

#5 Border Cowboy (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff he has an early pace edge over this group.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 3500n2L

#5 Offended (10/1) – Cutting back to a sprint after setting a hot pace going a mile last time, the Conductor will key her in the exacta.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 8500n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Mor Candy (15/1) – Stretching out to a route he’ll be in good position early and his best races have come on the Turf Paradise grass.

Turf Paradise

The Conductor’s Arkansas Derby Day Plays at Oaklawn Park

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Horses starting a race from the starting gate at Oaklawn Park with spectators in the background.

Another lock of the day winner for the Conductor was nice, but we need prices.  Let’s find a few hogs down in Arkansas. Arkansas Derby Day, Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 16000n1x

#1A Ransomed (7/2) – She ran well at this level last time.  3rd off the layoff, she’ll get the job done today.

Race 2: 1 3/16 Mile. Alw 10000s

#1A The Rouge Diesel (15/1) – He closed into a slow pace for a good 3rd last start.  The Conductor will mainly key him underneath in the exacta and tri.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Alw 16000s

#4 Mines Made Up (12/1) – 1st off the claim for high % connections, he loves to win and his early pace figs make him competitive.

Race 4: 6 furlongs. 500k Grade 3 Count Fleet H.

#4 Whitmore (1/1) – He’s the class of the field.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 100k

#3 Unsweet Tea (6/1) – She had a a troubled trip and was cooked in a hot early pace last start. She showed real ability in her debut.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. OC 75000n1x

#7 Rowayton (9/5) – Cutting back to a sprint, the others don’t stand a chance.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 100k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Rocknroll Rocket (10/1) – 1st off the claim and a 1st time gelding, he shortens in distance and the Conductor likes the confidence to step him back up in class.

Arkansas Derby

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 50000n2x

#1 Ike (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’ll be fit today and has run multiple races that give him a big chance in here.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Oaklawn H.

#7 Quip (4/1) – 2nd race as a 4-year old and 2nd off the layoff, he has a major early pace edge over this group.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 16000n1x

#5 Single Gem (6/1) – He was very impressive in his blowout win last start.  He set a hot pace and still finished strongly.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Arkansas Derby Grade I

*Never a Doubt Bob Baffert Lock of the Day #1 Improbable (8/5) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s working well, and the Conductor sees him putting on a show today.  He’ll be your Derby favorite after this race.

Arkansas Derby

 

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 95k

#8 Verve’s Humor (7/2) – His last race was the best of the bunch and Mike Smith hops aboard.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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keeneland

Let’s keep the train rolling at Keeneland. Let’s Ride

 

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 40000n2L

#5 Three Twins (8/1) – He dominated a 12-horse field last start and is bred to be better on the grass.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.OClm 10000

#9 Kalispell (5/1) – Winner of 3 of her last 4 starts, she got cooked setting a hot pace going a mile last start. She’ll be tough on the cutback.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#7 Yes I’s a Miller (6/1) – She just missed in her debut and showed good fight.  Going 22 flat on synthetic is very quick.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Bluegrass (8/1) – Dropping out of stakes company, his was only beaten a length last time closing into a slow pace. He has a thunderous late kick.

Keeneland

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 79k

#9 Unicorn (4/1) – He made an early move into a scorching pace last race.  He takes the blinkers off today.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. OC 80000n3x

#1 Copper Town (2/1) – Cutting back to a sprint, he’ll put on a show.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Limestone Turf Sprint

#10 Stillwater Cove (5/1) – She’s had legitimate excuses in her last two, she has the most talent in the field.

Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 62500n2x

#4 Telekinesis (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he made an early move into a hot pace last time. The Conductor loves him.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Maker’s Mark Mile

*Never a Doubt Stew Lock of the Day #4 Delta Prince (7/2) – Grade 1 stakes race on a Friday? What a treat. Getting back to his best distance, the Conductor loved his effort in the Pegasus turf, making a big early move into a hot pace.  Afterwards, the Conductor can’t wait to celebrate his victory tonight.

Keeneland

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 79k

#10 Sail On (5/1) – Favored in her Keeneland debut, she was bumped at the break and still showed good early speed. She’s also bred to be a good one.

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Turf Paradise

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A group of racehorses with jockeys in colorful silks competing on a dirt racetrack.

9/1 winner in the 1st and 8/1 Gullet Shot of the day in the 2nd made it a great start to the week for the Conductor. Hopefully, the tide has turned. The train will stay at Turf Paradise for one more day, then its off to Keeneland for the rest of the week. Let’s go Conductor! Get Hot! Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. MC 5000

#8 Swiftly Morgan (4/1) – He’s run quality races vs much tougher competition

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 3200

#7 Bases Loaded (10/1) – He’s got serious early pace figures and won last time at this level.

Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 8500n2L

#5 Athleisure (4/1) – He’s trending in the right direction and has back class.

Race 4: 4 ½ Furlongs. Clm 3500n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Stone Creek (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s plunging in class and his maiden breaker gives him every chance.

Turf Paradise

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 20000nc

*Never a Doubt Taco Tuesday Lock of the Day #7 Senior Friday (6/5) – He’s a clear stand out.

Turf Paradise

Race 6:6 ½ Furlongs Moc 30000

#7 Flicker of Hope (7/2) – 3rd off the bench, he looks primed to win another at Turf Paradise.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 3000b

#6 Best Asset (5/2) – 2nd off a layoff he’ll get a good trip up close or on a slow pace.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 15000

#4 Prince Pierce (7/2) – Facing much weaker today can wake her up.

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Horses and jockeys lined up at the starting gate at Keeneland Racecourse during a race.

Only the 3/5 lock hit for the Conductor yesterday at Keeneland.  That’s never a good. Inside speed was dominant on the dirt and speed held on the turf too, something to keep an eye on moving forward.  There was lots of rain last night in Lexington, so the Conductor believes the undercard will be off the turf.  With a monster Saturday of racing ahead of us, we need to build our bankroll. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. F.MC 30000

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #7 Resurrection Road (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff he’s lightly raced and steadily progressing.

Keeneland

Race 2: 4 ½ Furlongs. Man 60k

#6 Main Squeeze (7/2) – His dam is 3/3 producing winners and Wesley Ward is dominant in these baby races.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#1 Amos (8/1) – The rail was golden yesterday and the Conductor is intrigued that Jose Ortiz is taking the mount for a smaller barn.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (OFF TURF) F.Alw 83000n2x

#2 Oh My (6/1) – Both of her wins have been in races taken off the grass and she has good early speed.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 20000n2L

#3 Soul of Discretion (8/1) – Only 1/19 lifetime, the Conductor will use this boy mostly underneath in the exscta and trifecta. He’ll be on the early lead and has an early pace edge.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 79k

#7 Blip Says Bye (8/1) – She’s working well, her sire hits at 19% with 1st time starters and her dam has produced a stakes winner.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (OFF TURF) Alw 87000b

#1A Don’t Be So Salty (20/1) – 3rd off the layoff, the Conductor loves this boy on the main track. He has blazing early speed and loves to win.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 75000n1x

#3 High Cime (6/1) – Pressing a hot pace vs G3 company last start, he still hung on for a good 4th. The Conductor likes the stretch out in distance.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G3 Transylvania Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 The Black Album (10/1) – Drawn well to the inside, he’s run well with some cut in the ground. Additionally, he ran decent against miles tougher in the Breeders Cup last start.

Keeneland

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Alw 81000n1x

#2 Chaps (12/1) – His early pace figures are overwhelmingly fast.

Throat Shot Thursday at Keeneland

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A large group of people posing together outdoors, some holding drinks and making gestures.

Opening day at Keeneland, the most beautiful place the Conductor’s eyes have ever seen. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 4½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 60k

#4 Quality H Two O (6/1) – Three sharp works for a barn that can surprise with 1st time starters. Trainer Teresa Connelly is 14% with a +1.15 ROI debuting runners this year.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 20000

*Never a Doubt Opening Day Lock #3 Honey Bunny (6/5) – They won’t beat her.

Keeneland

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#3 Watch Cairo (8/1) – Stretching out for the 1st time, he’s lightly raced and has been well bet in his starts. He’s adding blinkers today and has also been clipped.

Race 4: 6½ Furlongs. OClm 10000

#3 Zaevion (5/1) – 2nd of the layoff, he won well last start and winning was no easy task at Oaklawn this meet.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 83000n2x

#5 Frankincense (20/1) – Steadily progressing and a winner of two in a row, he’s run even better than it looks closing into slow paces.  The Conductor will key him in the trifecta.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. F.OC 75000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Mo Gayle (12/1) – Any winner on debut for Dallas Stewart has talent.  Stretching out today after two sprints, the Conductor loves her.

Keeneland

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Palisades Turf Sprint Stakes

#11 Strike Silver (12/1) – He had a brutal trip in the BC Juvenile trip last start. His win at Keeneland two back made the Conductor a fan for life.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000n2L

#8 Tally Ho (4/1) – She showed guts last race winning a gutter war stretch duel.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Turf Paradise

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Graph showing financial growth with data points and an upward trend line, representing market analysis and performance metrics.

Great day at Turf Paradise yesterday, highlighted by a 11/1 winner to start the day and a 24/1 shot running 2nd in the finale.  The Conductor will keep the train at Turf Paradise for one more day, then its off the Bluegrass state. 1 more sleep until Keeneland. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500

#5 Ryderroo (15/1) – Her last race was disappointing, but her race two back makes her competitive at a monster number.

Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 10000n1x

#1 Luna’s Empire (7/2) – Switching back to her preferred turf surface, she ran a good 2nd last time she dropped to this level.

Race 3: 4½ Furlongs. MC 5000

#4 Gotta Candy Ride (10/1) – Dropping in class, he broke slow in his debut and still ran ok.  He’s dropping in class and this jockey/trainer combo has been hot recently.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Clm 12500

#5 Doc Curlin (9/5) – His best wins handily.

Race 5: 6½ Furlongs. F.MC 5000

*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #7 Here’slookinatya (7/2) – She ran a good 3rd vs tougher last start and has an early pace edge over this field.

turf paradise

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 3000n4L

#3 Chocolate Goddess (8/1) – This filly took a step forward last start and has past performances that can beat this field.  The Conductor sees her improving again.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 12500

#2 Kasey’s Callin (9/2) – The Conductor doesn’t have a strong opinion in this race.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) OC 10000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Bobby Baby (6/1) – He was pinched back and still ran a good 4th last start and won impressively in his two races prior. 1st off the claim for top connections, over 4/1 would be glorious.

turf paradise

 

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Plays at Turf Paradise

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A black racehorse walking past a crowd at a horse racing event, surrounded by flowers and green fencing.

Thank god March is over.  Everyone knows once April hits and Keenland returns the Conductor gets hot. The Conductor can’t wait until Thursday. Turf Paradise for now,  Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 3500n2L

#7 Cash Pilot (6/1) – He will fly to victory.

Race 2: 6 ½ F. OC 30000

#7 He’s Munnie (8/1) – This race is going to have a lightning early pace and this gelding is the best closer in the field.  The Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 5000

#2 Bold Charmant (10/1) – Dropping in class, this colt loves this track and trainer Tina Ramgeet is a gaudy 41% with a +$0.74 ROI this year.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. Moc 30000

#5 Flicker of Hope (4/1) – Hope is all the Conductor can ask for.

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 15000b

#2 Fiery Cause (8/1) – She had a terrible trip last time and has been running strong late pace figures lately.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 3000b

*Never a Doubt Week Day Starter Lock of the Day #9 Stately Command (5/2) – She’s got an early pace edge against this group.

turf paradise

Race 7: 6 ½ F. Clm 3000b

#5 American League (4/1) – 1st off the claim at Turf Paradise, he won setting the pace going a mile last start.  He’ll be tough to beat cutting back to a sprint.

Race 8: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf). Clm 6250b

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Perfect Surprise (8/1) – This old man is 1/1 on turf and loves to win races in general. The Conductor will bet him over 5/1.

turf paradise