The only thing colder than a Midwest winter was the Conductor’s picks Monday. 0/3 and we weren’t even close. The outside posts were where you wanted to be and Mr. Ductor’s horses were running on the inside. That’s the danger of submitting picks early on dirt. Pay close attention to the track passengers, and always be willing to adapt if you see a trend. Bounce back Tuesday, Let’s Ride.
Race 2: 5½ Furlongs. Clm 5000n3L
#6 Wild Time (5/1) – Throw out this geldings last try in the slop. His numbers fit with this group on a fast dirt track. He looks to get an ideal outside stalking trip today and he will have pace to run at. The Conductor is hoping the favorites duel each other into submission early.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 10000n1y
#5 Half Birthday (8/1) – This mare has run many speed figures that can beat this group on synthetic. She hasn’t been able to translate them to dirt, but she moved into a much improved barn last time. Now making making her 2nd start off the bench, the Conductor thinks she bucks that trend today. Trainer Valerie Shanyfelt is winning a 29% clip with a ridiculous +$5.72 ROI with horses making their 2nd start. The Conductor likes the confidence they have to bump Half Birthday up in class after last time too.
Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. Clm 5000n2y
#6 Monterey Peninsula (5/1) – This gelding dropped to this level last time and ran a decent 3rd in the slop. He was claimed out that race and the Conductor thinks that was a smart move. Monterey Peninsula will face the weakest level of competition he ever has today on a fast dirt track. He isn’t a mudder and will like the return to his preferred surface.
Don’t be stupid passengers, always play Mahoning Valley with Iron Bets to get the best wager rewards.
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