Ponies, Videos

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Saratoga

The Conductor's Scribe

Not a great start to the meet, but the Guillo 1st time starter in race 5 kept us afloat. Off the turf again today except for races 3 and 9. Time to hop back in the saddle, Let’s Ride.

Race 1 1 1/8 Mile. MC 20000

#3 Derby Memories (6/1) – 2nd off the long layoff, he’s lightly raced, drops in class and returns to dirt where he showed speed in his debut. He also posted a nice work leading into today.

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. (OFF Turf) S.Mdn 78k

#13 Daddy Knows (1/1) – The lone MTO runner for Linda Rice, he looks tough to beat.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

#5 Ferdinanda (7/2) – She looks to get a perfect stalking trip sitting behind a hot pace. The Conductor’s only concern is her affinity to run 2nd. He’ll key her in the exacta.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. Clm 12500

#3 Soul P Say (7/2) – Cutting back to a sprint should hit him right between the eyes.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#4 Lotta Ott (3/1) – Well-bred, she has a very nice work tab at Keeneland. Her sire wins at a 38% clip with 1st time starters.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (OFF Turf) Clm 50000

#2 Heavy Roller (10/1) – This gelding drops in for a tag and has very strong performances on good sloppy dirt tracks.

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.S.Alw 80000n1x

#9 Filly Dilly (4/1) – Her debut got taken off the turf as well and she slaughtered the field.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. S.OC 25000n1x

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Best Bet of the Day #2 Dreamzapper (3/1) – Dropping out of open company and shipping in from Churchill, he looks primed for a big effort.

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Race 9: 1 Mile. (Inner Turf) G3 Forbidden Apple Stakes

#3 Hembree (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he ran a thunderous late pace figure in the Poker, closing into a slow pace. He’s a G2 winner and always runs well at this distance.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Quarbaan (6/1) – He’s the one the Conductor likes most in here. Dropping out of G1 company and shortening back in distance, the Conductor is salivating at that price.

joey chestnut eating GIF by ESPN

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#2 Fight Night (9/2) – Making her 2nd start of the year, she has good early speed and is cutting back in distance.

Spot Play of the Day

Race 7: Daily Double 2,3 / 3,8

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Ponies

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Spot Plays at Saratoga

The Conductor's Scribe

Stupid thunderstorms why can’t everything go smoothly one time. Hopefully they hold off and we stay on the turf, either way we play the cards we’re dealt. We’re still on the turf for now and the Conductor is locked in and ready for battle.

Just remember passengers it’s the first day, we don’t know how the track is playing or the different angles and trends that are working.  So, should take it slow Mr. Conductor? LOL, time to throttle it! Let’s Ride.

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Full Card Top Selections Here: The Conductor’s Opening Day Plays at Saratoga

Spot Plays

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 90k

Exactas: (2,3,12 / 1), (1 / 2,3,12), (1,3 / 2,12), (2,12 / 1,3)

Trifectas: (2,3,12 / 1 / All ), (2,3,12 / All / 1), (1 / 2,3,12 / All), (1 / All / 2,3,12)

Doubles: (2,3,12 / 7), (1 / 1,6,7), (1,2,3,12 / 1,7 )

Race 7: 1 /18 Mile. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

Doubles (If on the Turf): (1,3,4,5,6,10,11 / 3), (3,10,11 / 3,5)

Pick 4’s: (1,3,4,5,6,10,11 / 3 / All / 4,7,8,9), (3,10,11 / 1,3,5 / 1,2,4,10 / 4,9)

Ponies

The Conductor’s Opening Day Plays at Saratoga

The Conductor's Scribe

With Saratoga opening tomorrow, the Conductor will keep the train in the station and give you passengers some time to prepare. He’ll give you some specific plays tomorrow, but he’s already done the heavy lifting.  It’s an absolute handicapping battle with these cards. Full fields and all connections pointing their horses for a win at the Spa. The Conductor will be sure to press when he’s up and chase when he’s down. May the Pony Gods bless us this meet, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 3/16 Mile. Clm 14000n3L

#6 Tiz No Bluff (5/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he looks to build on a very strong last race. He pressed a hot pace and then blew away the competition.

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#1 Cain V and D C (30/1) – The major step up in class off a year layoff and recent bullet works give the Conductor a funny feeling in his left knee. He’ll key him in the trifecta.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

*Never a Doubt Best Bet of the Day #7 The Rock Says (4/1) – This colt has faced full fields and pressed hot paces in every start. He’s improving, and the Conductor is going to look to shippers on dirt early in the Saratoga meet with how weak the Belmont fields were.

horse walk GIF by The NGB

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 35000n3L

#8 Bemma’s Boy (12/1) – 1st off the claim for Maker, he’s switching back to the lawn where he’s run his best.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. S.F.Mdn 78k

#5 Big Q (12/1) – Rosario doesn’t ride for Guillo often and he hopped aboard an 12/1 debut winning filly for him last week.  The Conductor is intrigued.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) S.Alw 80000n1x

#11 Elenzee (5/1) – This gelding has an early pace advantage over this field. Always dangerous in a turf sprint.

Race 7: 1 /18 Mile. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

#10 Wegetsdamunnys (6/1) – 3rd off the layoff, she’s had no pace to run at and has closed well in her two starts this year. She looks primed for a peak effort.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.G3 Schuylerville Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 His Glory (15/1) – The Conductor will go for glory here. This filly looked like the goods in her debut romp and will be ignored because she’s shipping from Indiana. Other runners have come back to improve their speed figures by 30 points, which tells the Conductor her effort was much faster than it looks on paper.

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Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) G3 Quick Call Stakes

#10 Sombeyay (6/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he showed talent on dirt as a 2-year-old and has a little turf in his pedigree. He’s been working well on turf, so the Conductor will trust Pletcher.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.MC 40000

#5 Darling of the Spa (6/1) – With that name debuting on opening day at Saratoga for Chad Brown? She was only 10k at the Keeneland sale so running for a tag doesn’t scare the Conductor.

Ponies

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

The Conductor's Scribe

Decent day at Parx yesterday. Not a lot of big prices, but the winners were coming home. Let’s keep the train rolling. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500n2L

#3 Linda Listen (7/5) – This filly needs to bounce back, but she’s still lightly raced and has run by far the best figures in the field. The Conductor wants to play against her but doesn’t like the other contenders.

Race 2: 5 Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#9 Pablo’s Dream (6/1) – Shipping in from California after a long layoff she’s facing much weaker today, she doesn’t have to do much to beat this field.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 40k

#6 J J Loves Billy (5/1) – This filly ran well in her debut and with a natural step forward she’ll have every chance.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Clm 5000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Surfing USA (8/1) – This old man is dropping in class and the conditions look to hit him right between the eyes.

kicks fail GIF by Cheezburger

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 20000

#9 Baseline (9/2) – This group is tightly bunched on numbers and he’s exiting much tougher races. Class on the grass.

Race 6: 1m70yds. S.Clm 25000

#1 Devine Dental (2/1) – He looks to be cycling back to his top effort and that will make him tough to beat.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 50000n1x

*Never a Doubt Toga Bankroll Lock of the Day #7 Two Item Maker (5/2) – Making her 3rd career start, another step forward today and she’ll win for fun.

john belushi toga GIF by Top 100 Movie Quotes of All Time

Race 8: 1m70yds. Alw 12500

#2 His Royal Majesty (3/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he’s getting better with each race.

Race 9: 1 Mile. F.OC 35000n2x

#4 I’m Not Joking (6/1) – He’s very consistent and loves to win. The Conductor will make the favorites prove it to him.

Race 10: 7 Furlongs. Clm 25000n3L

#1 Transitive (5/2) – He’s trending in the right direction and is lightly raced compared to many in this group who don’t like to win.

Ponies

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

The Conductor's Scribe

It’s officially opening week at Saratoga. The Conductor is all tingly on the inside. Let’s build our bankroll, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500n4L

#4 Vested Venture (7/2) – This mare is trending in the right directions while the others are trying to bounce back.

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 7500

#4 Under the Graydar (6/1) – The Conductor will hammer him at that price, he’s been facing much tougher competition recently.

Race 3: 1m70yds. Alw 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 O’Kram (10/1) – He stepped up in class last start and improved his speed figure. The Conductor loves to see that.

burger lol GIF by Justin Gammon

Race 4: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 20000

#8 Two Weeks Off (6/1) – Dropping back to a level that fits, this old man is very dangerous.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 41000n1x

*Never a Doubt Week Starter Lock of the Day #6 I’m the Talent (9/5) – This filly is right, she has the most potential in the field.

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Race 6: 1 Mile. F.Alw 46000n1x

#7 Style and Grace (7/2) – She’s run well vs tougher and gets a weight break today.

Race 7: 1m70yds. (Turf) S.F.Alw 41000n1x

#8 Promised Storm (4/1) – She hasn’t run well in her last two starts but has the ability to beat the favorite if she runs her good race. She loves to win races.

Race 8: 1 Mile. F.OC 50000n3x

#5 Trace of Grace (9/2) – 4th of the layoff, she’s taken a step forward in each of her starts this year.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. Clm 7500n3L

#9 Phyllis Driller (10/1) – Toss out her last start where she was eased. She returns to the races quickly and is working well. Her prior races would make her vie for favoritism here and she’ll be a nice number.

Ponies, Videos

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Late Pick 4 Prayer at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

Saratoga is just a few sleeps away. The Conductor needs to get hot, Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 50000

#4 Wild One Forever (8/5) – Him and the #9 Mystic Times (3/1) are the two logical horses and the Conductor can’t see them getting upset.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) S.OC 40000n2x

#4 Ghost Giant (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he needed that last race and ran well with a troubled trip. His last race at Belmont at this distance was his best and would beat this field.

The Conductor will also use #9 The J Y (7/2)

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. S.100K State Dinner Stakes

#6 Sunny Ridge (5/2) – He’s in good form and loves Belmont and the distance. The Conductor will press him here.

The Conductor will also use #1 Backyard Heaven (9/5)

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 80k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Bossy Bride (10/1) – She’s bred well and closed well into a slow pace last time.  The Conductor wants to get alive to her at a juicy price.

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Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Late Pick 4 Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

A great late half of the card at Belmont on this fine Saturday. If the Conductor spends more time in the sun this weekend he’s going to be a part of the leather skin club. Time to head to the beach and pick up a lump of cash. This late pick 4 looks delightful. Let’s Ride.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G2 John A. Nerud Stakes

*Never a Doubt Late Pick 4 Single Lock of the Day #7 Do Share (7/2) – He had a troubled trip and no pace to run at last time. The Conductor has been awaiting to play him back.

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Race 9: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Belmont Derby

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Cape of Good Hope (10/1) – This is a spread race for the Conductor. This colt has very strong European form and had a troubled trip over soft ground last start. The Conductor will forgive that effort.

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Also Use: 2,3,7,8,11,12,13,14

Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. G2 Suburban Stakes

#2 Preservationist (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing and gets the acid test today. The Conductor is a little against #1 Catholic Boy (9/5) in this spot.

#7 Wooderson (12/1) – He looks to get a good trip up close to a slow pace and the Conductor likes his steady progression.

#11 Pavel (8/1) – If he doesn’t show up today, he’s dead to the Conductor. The Conductor is a suborn man and will give him one more chance.

Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k

#1 Downstream (12/1) – The Conductor will use her with the with the Chad Brown runners, #9 and #11. In her debut she contested the pace with Newspaperofrecord. That’s all the Conductor needs to see at a big price.

Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

Another decent day yesterday in this battle to survive another vacation. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x

#7 Salsa Bella (7/2) – G3 placed, she’s the one you want if your trying to beat Chad Brown.

Race 2: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

#9 Saratoga Treasure (3/1) – She ran a good 2nd at this level last time and making her 3rd start off the layoff she looks primed for victory.

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 14000n3L

#3 There He Goes (1/1) – Chalk.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 30000n2L

#10 Gallant Bid (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she takes a big class drop today and gets a rider upgrade. She’s lightly raced while most runners in here are proven losers.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Alw 55000s

*Never a Doubt Not Even the Weekend Yet Lock of the Day #1 Happy Farm (4/5) – He looks like a cinch for Servis.

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Race 6: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Giulia Ammannati (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t think she cared for the yielding turf last time and liked her debut effort two back. She pressed a hot pace and moved early before being run down late. The Conductor also likes that Jose Ortiz takes the mount for an out of town trainer.

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Race 7: 1½ Mile. (Turf) F.River Memories Stakes 100K

#5 Homeland Security (10/1) – This mare gets back to Belmont where she’s 4/6 lifetime and she’s 2/3 at the distance.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. F.G3 Victory Ride Stakes

#2 Cookie Dough (3/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs G1 company last start, the Conductor loves the cutback.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#3 Report to the Rail (8/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in here and likes he work tab. Rosario takes the mount as well.

Ponies

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s 4th of July Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

A few decent opinions yesterday started the train slowly moving in the right direction. On America’s birthday what better way to fire away at the ponies, drink stews and exploit your friend’s private beach? As George Washington once said, “No taxation without representation and the Conductor never loses on Thursdays.” Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 50000n3L

#6 Carot (9/2) -She offers value and the Conductor likes the way Dylan Davis has been riding on the turf.

Race 2: 1 1/6 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 80k

#3 Ownitifyouwantit (5/1) – He’s run well on dirt and bred to be much better on the lawn.

Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 10000

#3 Big Muddy (5/1) – 1st off the claim and 2nd off the layoff, his good race can beat the odds-on favorite.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#3 Greek Alphabet (7/2) – He looks to get a favorable trip up close or on a slow pace.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. Mdn 80k

#3 Extreme Force (7/2) – His sire, Constitution, is winning at a ridiculous 57% clip with 1st time starters.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 40000

*Never a Doubt Independence Day Lock #3 Ghosting (5/1) – 1st off the claim for Servis, she adds blinkers today an Irad hops aboard.

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Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 66000n2x

#1 El Hermano (8/1) – Drawn well to the inside, the Conductor will back Mott runners going long on the grass every day.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) 100K Manila S

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Current (8/1) – He’s had no pace to run at in his last two starts and has run some thunderous late pace figures. He’s very dangerous.

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#7 Win Win Win (7/2) – After playing him in the Preakness and Derby, the Conductor has to use him cutting back in distance and making his 1st start on grass.

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#2 Peggy Sue (2/1) – She’ll graduate today.

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor may have to ban himself from Parx after the last two days. Heinous performances, but the train is heading back to his bread and butter, New York, today. Let’s hit some prices so we don’t have to eat sand for dinner on America’s birthday. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 14000n3L

*Never a Doubt Five Day Vacation Starter Lock of the Day #1A Taylor’s the Boss (9/5) – She looks like a standout in this group.

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Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 40000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Chorus Line (20/1) – The Conductor sees this race as wide open and this filly has past pps that give her a chance. She’s shown signs of rounding into form in her last two starts and Rosario hops aboard which gives the Conductor confidence.  He’ll key her in the exacta.

the special death GIF by The Special Without Brett Davis

Race 3: 1 ¼ Mile. (Turf) Mdn 90k

#4 Channel Island (6/1) – Well-bred and 1st time in the barn for Mike Maker, his horses improve going long on the lawn.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 32000

#8 Awesome Quick (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this mare has an early pace advantage in this spot. The Conductor sees her getting the lone lead which is always dangerous.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 80k

#8 Paterson (9/2) – This daughter of Uncle Mo is drawn well to the outside and posting nice works for strong connections.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 50000

#4 Smile Bryan (4/1) – The Churchill shippers have run well in dirt races coming to Belmont.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 100000b

#3 Noble Indy (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he ran a good 3rd at this level in his turf debut last time. He looks to get a favorable trip today in a race without any other early speed.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#5 Heyitsnricopalazo (8/1) – He’s coming in off a layoff but is a 1st time gelding and has run well vs tougher.  The Conductor likes his work tab and will key him in the exacta at a price.