Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Spot Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

Solid day yesterday for the Conductor, lets keep it rolling.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#2 Ideational (20/1), #10 Positive Skew (8/1) – Both of these fillies are exiting victories from the Chad Brown barn. Chad drops horses below their talent level routinely to pick up wins because he can. The Conductor thinks both runners have a major chance and can spice up the exotics.

Race 9: 6½ Furlongs. S.Alw 66000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Amundson (9/2) – Exiting two troubled trips where he has also been pressing hot paces, the Conductor loves him at this price. He’s the Conductor’s best bet of the day.

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Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Pebbles Stakes 200k

#6 Feel Glorious (6/1) – This filly got absolutely no pace to run at last time in the G2 Lake Placid and ran a very strong late pace figure. She’ll get a more favorable setup today and the Conductor is salivating over that morning line.

#10 East (7/2) – This filly has been facing miles tougher across the pond. She cannot be overlooked.

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Sports

The Conductor’s Week 3 College Football Plays

The Conductor's Scribe

As far as college football Saturdays go, this slate of games leave something to be desired. However, that doesn’t mean we can’t make some money. Let’s Ride.

Lunch Money Plays

Kansas State +7 @ Mississippi State

Temple +6.5 vs Maryland

Penn State -17 vs Pitt

UCF – 9 vs Stanford

Iowa State +1 vs Iowa

Kentucky +9 vs Florida

Car Payment Play

BYU +4.5 vs USC, Moneyline +162 – Let’s keep the Mormon train rolling.

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Woodbine Mile Preview

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor likes two prices in the Woodbine Mile today that he will key in the exotics.  Be good to the Conductor Canada.

#6 Awesometank (8/1) – Making her 2nd start in the states, she ran huge in the Beverly D last time to run 2nd behind Sister Charlie. Sister Charlie would be heavily favored in this spot. This filly was forwardly placed in a hot pace and still had a strong finish. Shortening back to a mile distance, where she’s 3/6 lifetime the Conductor thinks she is very dangerous.

#9 Made You Look (12/1) – Making his 3rd start of the year, he’s exiting the G1 4 Star Dave along with the favorites #5 Got Stormy (8/5) and #7 Raging Bull (3/1). There was a blistering pace set in that race and Made You Look made a big early move on the turn right into the teeth of it. With a better trip today, the Conductor thinks he has every chance.

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Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

Its Finally Friday, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. MC 30000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Other Things Equal (5/1) – Cutting back 2nd off the layoff and returning to dirt, the Conductor loves him here. He’ll be in good position early in a race without much pace and will be the Conductor’s best bet of the day at that price.

dog human eating GIF by Testing 1, 2, 3

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 62k

#5 Grudge (7/2) – The Conductor will never forgive.

Race 3: 1 Mile. F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Nasty Affair (9/2) – She came from the clouds to nail them at the wire last start and ran a strong late pace figure. Trainer Linda Rice is a gaudy 40% this year with a +$1.13 ROI moving horses from a sprint to a route.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#5 Strongerthanuknow (5/1) – She carried her speed a long way and had a troubled trip last time out. She’s also dropping back to the maiden ranks after facing stakes company.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 77000n2x

#3 Altea (2/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 50000

#3 Imperioso (9/5) – This colt is posting bullet works and was only 3k at auction so the Conductor doesn’t mind his debut for a tag.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.OC 100000

#5 Jc’s Shooting Star (8/5) – She’s the only runner in the field with a victory over this turf course and she has 3

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 50000n2L

#7 Scoreswhenhewants (5/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, this colt moved early into a hot pace last time and was a good 2nd. His breeding suggests he’ll be just fine on the grass.

Sports

The Conductor’s Thursday Night Football Play

The Conductor's Scribe

Tampa Bay +7 @ Carolina

This line opened at 5 and has moved all the way up to 7 for the Panthers. Carolina didn’t look great in their opener against the Rams. Their defense looks decent, but the Conductor still has questions about Cam. He still looks like he’s off to him and they don’t have many weapons on offense besides McCaffrey.

Tampa Bay lost their debut to San Francisco all thanks to Jamies’s TWO pick 6’s. How long can the Bucs ride with this guy? He has talent but is the most careless with the football in the NFL. The Conductor doesn’t like this game and would not be surprised by any result. However, 7 is a little too high for him in a divisional game and he can’t just sit on his hands while football is on. We all have flaws. Bucs +7 it is.

Breakfast Play

Tampa Bay +7

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Ponies, Videos

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

We’re onto Thursday. Let’s Ride

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 25000

#2 Vip Nation (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she’s taking a big drop in class and should get a good trip on or near a moderate pace. The Conductor is against the odds on favorite #3 Bareeqa (3/5), who is 0/10 at Belmont.

Race 2: 1 Mile. Mdn 75k

#2 Spice Road (6/5) – Only a 5-horse field, the Conductor will pass this race.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000

#5 Absentee (8/1) – The Conductor has perfect attendance.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 75000

#3 Monkeyseemonkeydo (3/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#1/1A Entry (5/2) – The Conductor thinks both geldings have a major chance, especially #1 Special Story on the cutback.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 62500

#3 Buffin Bay (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff and getting back to his preferred surface, his turf form would make him vie for favoritism. This colt’s low % connections should raise his price.

Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.OC 62500n2x

#5 Honor Way (5/2) – Well drawn to the outside, this filly looks to get a perfect trip.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.MC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Stunning Beauty (12/1) – She’s dropping to the claiming ranks, stretching out and adding blinkers for the first time. This is a very weak field and the Conductor likes her upside.

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Ponies

The Conductor’s Take on Justify’s Failed Drug Test and The Cover Up

The Conductor's Scribe

The story that has taken the horse racing world by storm in the last 24 hours is the New York Times article that dropped yesterday, citing that Justify failed a drug test prior to winning the Kentucky Derby and eventually the Triple Crown in 2018: Article Here

Not a great PR year for horse racing. Justify tested positive for banned drugs in his win in the Santa Anita Derby, which should have resulted in disqualification and would have made him ineligible to participate in the Kentucky Derby. However, the California Horse Racing Board covered it up to protect Baffert and the potential Derby winner – That’s the gist.

To the outside world this scandal is shocking, but to those in tune with the horse racing industry like the Conductor, its the least surprising news all day. Read the story. The Chairman of the Board in charge of acting upon the failed drug test has ownership in Baffert’s horses. Justify’s breeding rights were then sold for 60 million after his Triple Crown run. That’s the horse racing industry in a nut shell.

Almost all of these super trainers are trying to get an edge and their success brings the owners loot, so they turn a blind eye. Its very similar to the steroid era in baseball, you have massive stables winning at ridiculous 30-40% rates and taking home all of the major stakes races. Just like McGuire, Sosa and random 2nd baseman hitting 50, 60, 70 HR’s in the late 90’s, it’s very hard to determine who is clean and who is not because the water is so muddied. The super horses and trainers attract mainstream media attention and gives a declining sport more dollars and eyeballs, so nobody running the sport says a word.

The Conductor is happy for this story to come out. The only way for changes to be made is for things like this to be exposed instead of swept under the rug like they have since the sport was invented. Horse Racing will always have a little slimy side and the Conductor doesn’t hate that, but the rampant drug use is bad for everyone. The owners, breeders, clean trainers, bettors and most importantly the horses all suffer.

This is the greatest gambling game in the world with the finest specimens competing and showing off their talent.  There plenty of good people in the industry and they need to make major changes if the sport is going to succeed moving forward. This negative story could actually be a step in the right direction.

Belmont picks for today will be up shortly

 

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Spot Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

It’s the start of the racing week and more much more importantly September 11th. The fact that it was 18 years ago blows the Conductor’s mind. Everyone remembers where they were that day, when innocent people lost their lives in the shocking attack. Thoughts and Prayers to all the families and friends who lost loved ones, they will never be forgotten.

Today is a reminder that you can’t take a day for granted in this life and you need to conduct a life the way you see fit. We have the freedom to make our own choices in this country and that’s unfortunately not a liberty everyone else has. The Conductor chooses to cash some tickets today and he’s thankful for the opportunity. Let’s Ride.

Full Card Pays: The Conductor’s Wednesday Preview at Belmont Park

Spot Plays:

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 30000n2L

Exactas: (7 / 3,5,8), (3,5,8 / 7)

Trifectas: (7 / 5,8 / ALL), (7 / ALL / 5,8), (5,8 / 7 / ALL), (5,8 / ALL / 7), (ALL / 7 / 5,8), (ALL / 5,8 / 7)

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

Trifectas: (10 / 5,6 / ALL), (10 / ALL / 5,6), (ALL / 10 / 5,6), (ALL / 5,6 / 10)

Sports

The Conductor’s Monday Night Football Recap

The Conductor's Scribe

MMmmmmmmmmmm Swwwwwwwweeeeeeeeeeeeeepppppppppppp!

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3-0 for the Conductor last night, the games played out exactly how he envisioned in his crystal ball. If I were the pony gods, I would be very weary that a hot Ductor is rolling the train into Belmont tomorrow. It’s a press week for the Conductor and that means the track better not leave any part of its neck exposed. He will be solely going for gullets. Now we play the waiting game on this calm Tuesday. Sleep tight Belmont.

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Sports

The Conductor’s Monday Night Football Picks

The Conductor's Scribe

2-2 yesterday in the NFL for the Conductor, but his lone car payment play was the easiest winner on the card. The Patriots throttled the Steelers with the greatest of ease and the Conductor slept like a baby last night.

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Two Monday night matchups tonight is a nice treat and the Conductor likes one a lot. Nothing like getting up on your bookmaker with a full week ahead, that’s when you really get to attack.

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Houston +7 @ New Orleans

This line has gone down to 6.5 this week, which is intriguing because the public is obviously backing a very good Saints team at home. The Conductor likes Houston’s addition of Duke Johnson and sees Deshaun Watson and the offense putting up points in this one. Houston has a solid defense as well, so the Conductor is leaning towards taking the points in a competitive game. The Conductor must have at least few chips in the pot and he loves being on the opposite side of the herd of public sheep he likes to call passengers.

Lunch Money Play: Houston +7

Denver -3 @ Oakland

This line has swung 6 points after the Antonio Brown saga and departure from the Raiders. Oakland has had plenty of distractions this off-season and the public is sprinting to bet Denver with 70% of the tickets on the Broncos. Let the passengers tire themselves out, the Conductor will wait and pounce when their legs are weary. These Broncos are no thoroughbreds. The Conductor loves Oakland in this one. David Carr in his 2nd season under Gruden will be much improved and is miles better than Joe Flacco who has been dead for the last decade. The Raiders will be better on defense this year and the black hole will be rocking at night. Denver is going to struggle to score and the Conductor sees the Raiders winning outright.

Car Payment Plays

Raiders +3, Raiders Moneyline +140

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