We finally found a few winners yesterday at Belmont. Heading into Preakness week, we need more than a few. The Conductor’s mother hopes he gets hot soon or he’s going to move back into her basement. Happy Mother’s Day! Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Clm 10000
#1 Zap Zap Zap (12/1) – He always runs well at Belmont and this race is wide open. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.
Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. S.MC 25000
#1 Bustin Shout (12/1) – He was eased in his debut but was well bet at the windows and has been gelded since. He can surprise the bettors who don’t follow the Conductor.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L
#4 Roses From Ben (8/1) – She’s 1/1 on the lawn and will be a big price. Most of these runners haven’t proven anything on the grass.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 80k
#6 Sneakiness (9/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he showed ability in his debut last fall and is working like a monster entering today.
Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.Clm 40000
#4 Stink Man (4/1) – The Conductor has no idea what happened last start, but he showed real talent in hist 1st career start.
Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 30000n2L
*Never a Doubt Pay For Moms Brunch Lock of the Day #3 Hope Again (3/1) – These Tampa shippers continue to run very well.
Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 62500n2x
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Saguaro Row (4/1) – She’s going to get a perfect trip, sitting behind a hot pace. She’s steadily progressing and has run against some classy fillies.
Race 8: 6 Furlongs. 100K Gold Fever Stakes
#3 Sombeyay (9/2) – This is a loaded non-graded stakes. The Conductor would love him to be the third betting choice.
Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k
#9 Quiet Out East (4/1) – The Conductor doesn’t have a clue in here.
Belmont has completely baffled the Conductor the last two days. Hell of a card today, it would be a great time for the Conductor to get hot. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. F.G3 Vagrancy Handicap
#4 Separationofpowers (7/5) – This filly looks like a cinch to start the card.
Race 2: 1 Mile. Mdn 80k
#6 Principled (5/2) – Heavily bet at Saratoga last summer and drawn well to the outside, this colt has talent.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x
#2 Miss Mystique (6/1) – They layoff and low % trainer should keep her price high, she’s run well of breaks before and hast the best turf figures in the field.
Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. G3 Peter Pan Stakes
*Never a Doubt Saturday Lock of the Day #3 Global Campaign (8/5) – The Florida Derby has come back very live and he moved into the teeth of the hot pace in there. He’s going to win for fun today.
Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 40000
#2 Whiskey Is My Wine (8/1) – Whiskey is the Conductor’s water.
Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Clm 50000
#4 Felix in Fabula (7/5) – He looks extremely tough to beat on the cutback.
#1 Chipolata (4/1) – She ran well to close into a slow pace and get the job done last start. She has back class and looks poised to run her best 2nd off the layoff.
Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k
#4 Structural Deficit (5/1) – A well-bred Chad Brown filly is going to be 2nd choice? The Conductor will take her.
Race 9: 6 Furlongs. 150K Runhappy Stakes
#3 Firenze Fire (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he looks to get a perfect stalking trip, tracking a fast pace.
Race 10: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Man O’ War Stakes
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Hunting Horn (10/1) – He’s caught a yielding course and has legitimate excuses in most of his North American races. He fits with this group and the Conductor will key him in the trifecta at a nice number.
Race 11: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k
#4 Electronic (3/1) – She acted up at the gate and still ran a good 4th, closing into a slow pace in her debut. She’ll take a step forward today.
*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #1 Reata’s Reward (3/1) – She has a huge early pace edge over this group.
Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.MC 40000
#9 Tabor Fleet (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t like any of the runners with experience in here. Contessa never wins with 1st time starters, so why is Rosario taking the mount? Hmmm…smells like a bomb.
Race 3: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000
#2 Indian Guide (7/2) – He closed into a slow pace for a good 2nd last start. He’ll get a better setup today.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 30000n2L
#2 All Clear (6/1) – His best races have come on the turf, where he finally gets back to today. He’ll go off higher than 60/1.
Race 5: 5 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k
#6 Uncle George (7/2) – This 310k colt’s sire wins at 16% with 1st time starters. Castellano is red hot to start the meet.
Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000
#8 Slamin Sammy Brown (8/1) – She’s bred to for the lawn and we get top connections in a wide open race.
Race 7: Furlongs. Alw 82000n1x
#5 American Power (5/1) – This colt will love the cutback to a sprint.
Race 8: 1 Mile. OC 80000n1x
*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Direct Order (6/1) – He’s going to get a perfect stalking trip, the Conductor loves him.
Race 9: 6 1⁄2 Furlongs. MC 20000
#10 Mandatory Payout (9/2) – Cutting back to a sprint after pressing a hot pace routing. Easy bet back.
A nice little twilight card with no rain today in New York. With the Preakness only 9 days away, we need to fill up the train with funds fast. Let’s Ride!
Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x
#5 Crimson Forest (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she’s been running competitive figures for this level on dirt and has only tried the turf once in her career. She’s bred to handle the lawn just fine.
Race 2: 5 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 62k
#3 American Song (5/2) – Trainer Jeremiah Englehart has a positive ROI this year with 1st time starters and this girl’s sire hits at 18% with debut runners.
Race 3: 1 ¼ Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 90k
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Tiberius Mercurius (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this colt ran a strong 2nd last start, closing into a slow pace. He also gets a rider upgrade to Jose Ortiz.
Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 40000
#2 Thomond Park (6/1) – Just missing last time at Tampa, he’ll appreciate the shorter distance and the Conductor has seen a lot of Tampa shippers run very well lately.
Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x
#5 Real Dan (4/1) – 2/2 in his 1st two starts, he looks to get a perfect trip stalking a quick pace.
#7 Sicilia Mike (8/1) – He won’t win, but he’ll hit the board. The Conductor will key him underneath in the exacta and trifecta.
Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500
#6 Riot Worthy (9/2) – The Conductor will key her in the exacta because she loves to run 2nd. She looks to get a dream trip, closing into a hot pace.
Race 7: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 80k
#1/1A Entry (5/2) – The Conductor likes both runners, he hopes neither scratch and he can single here.
Race 8: 1 3/8 Mile. Flat Out Stakes 100k
*Never a Doubt Tell Your Boss Your Taking Friday Off and Have Yourself a Long Weekend Lock of the Day #5 Rocketry (9/5) – He had no chance last start at Gulfstream trying to close into a ridiculously slow pace. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll annihilate this field.
Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x
#4 Love and Love (20/1) – The Conductor will take a shot in a wide-open race. She’s run well both sprinting and routing, which the Conductor like to see.
#5 Broadway Run (3/1) – The Conductor doesn’t care about the layoff since he won in his debut. He’s never been out of the exacta at Belmont and is a winner of a stakes race at Saratoga. The Conductor will single him in all of the exotics.
Officially one week out from the Derby. The Conductor is feeling tingly on the inside. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 25000
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 O Shea Can U See (10/1) – Dropping back into state bred competition he closed for 3rd into a slow pace last start. He’s 2/3 at Belmont.
Race 2: 1 /16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000
#6 Magnesite (3/1) – Going two sprints to a route and well bet in both starts, its tough to like anyone else. In here.
Race 3: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 62500n2x
#4 Dowse’s Beach (3/1) – He does his best running in New York and loves to win.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 52k
#3 Lookbothways (6/1) – She lost all chance at the start last time out. She showed ability in her debut and will step forward today.
Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000n2L
#11 All Clear (20/1) – His races on the turf make him competitive in here, the Conductor doesn’t care about his terrible dirt form. He’ll key him in the trifecta.
Race 6: 1 Mile (Turf) Alw 82000n1x
#7 Hoboe (5/1) – He has very strong late pace figures and loves this turf course.
Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 12500
#5 American Lincoln (8/1) – 1st off the claim, he won nicely last start and hasn’t missed the exacta at this distance.
Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 80k
#4 Value Population (8/5) – He’s bred to be the goods.
Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Elusive Quality Stakes
*Never a Doubt Free Round of Golf Lock of the Day #5 Therapist (3/1) – 1st time gelding, he’s 3/3 at Belmont and has a strong late punch. He’ll solve all the Conductor’s problems.
Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L
#3 Remstin (8/1) – Off a two year layoff, if he’s any semblance of his old self he’ll bat this group.
Another roller coaster day, as the Conductor hit with some nice prices on top, but his locks came up short in excruciating fashion. We have some major tracks running today on this fake holiday, so the Conductor will take the train out west to Santa Anita and give his plays for the late pick 6. It’ll give you peasants some time to roll out of bed and play the ponies on the east coast. If you have the day off today, you and your company are a joke. Plays will be up later today.
High quality racing at Keeneland and Belmont Park again today, so the Conductor will run it back. He likes a lot of mid-priced horses and if we can string a few together we’ll have our bookmakers sucking their thumb tonight. Let’s Ride.
Keeneland Late Pick 5
Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) IndinSmmrB200K
#2 Strike Silver (4/1) – His last speed figure on dirt is the highest in this bunch and his breeding suggests the grass will be no problem. He’s posting bullet works and looks like he’s sitting on a big one.
Race 7: 7 Furlongs. F.Mdn 67k
In Charge Annie (6/1) – Heavily bet in her debut, she pressed a hot pace hung wide and still ran 3rd. Her early pace figs were above par and speed was very advantageous on the Keeneland dirt yesterday. The Conductor can taste 6/1 on his toungue.
Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Bourbon-G3
#10 Current (6/1) – Very professional in his last start, this colt had some trouble and still won with ease. He’s bred to be good one and he should appreciate the added distance.
#13 Mick’s Star (10/1) – Two blowout victories in his first two starts, he’ll try the turf and route for the first time. He’s bred for these conditions and Tom Amoss doesn’t bring horses who aren’t ready to win to Keeneland.
Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Spinster-G1
*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Champagne Problems (8/1) – This filly is steadily improving and just missed by a nose to the likely 2nd choice #11 Blue Prize in her last start. The Conductor was very impressed by both their efforts and there is no reason for such a disparity in odds. Champagne problems has every chance to win this race and the price is right.
Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 71000n2x
*Never a Doubt Car Payment Lock of the Day #3 Excellent Sunset (5/2) – Pressing a hot face and still kicking home strong to win easy, this lightly raced filly has shown versatility and talent in her young career. She’s flat out better than this group.
Belmont Grade 1 Double:
Race 7: F. G1 Frizette Stakes
*Never a Doubt Mortgage lock of the Day #6 Covfefe (8/5) – You don’t see blowout winners like her debut at Churchill Downs too often. She’s working well leading into today and the Conductor thinks she’s a full blow freak. She’ll win by 10.
#1 Onthemoonagain (9/2) – The “other Chad” runner in this field hasn’t gotten a fair shot in her first two starts in America. She’s been trying to close into dismally slow paces and hasn’t had a chance. Her form in France makes her the class of this field and with a fair trip she’ll have a major shot.
Up and down day for the Conductor, bombs coming in at Keeneland all day, thankfully he was able to get a piece of the action and make it a solid Saturday. Now we get to take our lump and double down on Sunday. Classic reinvesting.
The Conductor had to lick his wounds after a poor performance Thursday, but he’s been in the pony lab capping all day and night for this monster Saturday card. Graded stakes action all day across this great country and the Conductor has more than a few prices up his sleeve. Ponies with college football on a beautiful fall Saturday and the Conductor will pay our rent? Who has it better than us? Nobody. Let’s Ride
Keeneland Graded Stakes Pick 5:
Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Woodford S.
#4 Extravagant Kid (5/1) – He pressed an insane pace at Saratoga last start and sill held on for victory. He’s primed to run his best in the third start off the layoff and even a repeat effort will give him every chance.
#8 Undrafted (10/1) – This Ol’ boy will be closing from the clouds. His last effort was solid, closing into a slow pace, and he’ll have much more pace to run at today. He loves the Keeneland turf and the Conductor will bet his presence will be known.
Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F. G2 Thoroughbred Club of America S.
#9 Chalon (4/1) – Her last start was very enticing as she sat just off a hot pace and scampered away in hand. Her early/turn pace figs are the best of the bunch and she draws well to the outside. 4/1 makes the Contuctor tingle with excitement.
*Bonus Gullet Slit #1 Rich Mommy (20/1) – This filly is an improving 4-year-old and has been making her living as a deep closer at Gulftream Park. Her running style will be much more favorable in Kentucky and the Conductor thinks she has a major chance to not only hit the board, but win if there is a hot pace in front of her.
Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F. G1 First Lady S.
*Never a Doubt Car Payment Lock of the Day #4 Crown Walk (4/1) – She’s been facing much tougher turf horses across the pond and the Conductor doesn’t really like any of these American runners. She gets Lasix for the first time and Mike Smith comes to ride, which is a sign she’s more than live. New Car time.
#5 Dream Maker (5/1) – He was extremely green in the G1 Hopeful last time and had no idea what he was doing. His debut win two back was ultra-impressive, and her breeding suggests she’ll like the added distance. The clockers are raving about how he’s working leading up to today.
#14 Standard Deviation (10/1) – Heavily bet in is debut at Saratoga, this colt rated well and passed horses. He will appreciate the added distance and Chad will have him poised to run a big one.
Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Shadwell Turf Mile
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Synchrony (8/1) – The Conductor loves his last two efforts at Monmouth showing a thunderous kick even with moderate paces to run at. He’s a grade 2 winner, in career form and this should be his best distance. Keeneland better wear a neck brace in this race.
*Bonus Gullet Slit #1 Next Shares (15/1) – A monster bomb the Conductor like to hit the board, he came from the clouds in his last start against the slowest of paces. He’s Grade 1 placed and this race looks to have a lot of pace on paper. If the race falls apart like the Conductor envisions, he’ll be right there in the end.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Gidu (8/1) – Pressing the star Promisses Fullfilled on the dirt last time out in a Grade 1, this colt has real speed and ability. He gets back to his preferred surface today, he’s won sprinting at Belmont before, and draws a nice outside post. If the Conductor gets anywhere over 4/1 it’ll be his favorite bet of the day.
Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Beldame S.
*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #6 Wow Cat (5/2) – This Chilean star was no match for the Elate and Able Tasman duel at Saratoga last time, but there is nobody even close to that quality in this field. She’ll romp by 5.
Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) HillPrnc-G2
March to the Arch (4/1) – Closing from far back into a tepid pace last time, this gelding finished just as strong as the will be favorite #3 Raging Bull. With a cleaner trip, he’ll have every chance to turn the tables and will be a better price.
Race 10: 1 Mile. G1 Champagne S.
#4 Complexity (5/2) – Breaking slow from the rail in his debut, this colt was extremely impressive in his debut win. The word on the street is he’s working like a monster and will be tough to beat.
*Bonus Gullet Slit: #6 Listing (15/1) – He was very professional in his debut, rating and passing horses, which almost all others in this field haven’t done. The Conductor loves the California dirt shippers and trainer Ben Cecil is great stretching horses out to a route the first time, hitting at a 20% clip with a +1.95 ROI this year.
