Tag: picks

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

What a great exploitation by the Conductor. Buy Stuff

500k Pick 6 carryover at Belmont today, let’s take this bad boy down, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k

#8 Overland (15/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he didn’t have a chance last time behind a very slow pace. He’s working well and Rosario hops aboard. The Conductor will toss the M/L favorite Chad Brown runner #5 Graded On a Curve (9/5) on all tickets.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#3 H Man (3/5) – Simple chalk.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000

#3 Mr Maybe (4/1) – 3rd off the layoff and dropping back to the claiming ranks, he ran a huge late pace figure closing into a slow pace last start.

The Conductor will also use #7 Harv Won’t Tap (3/1) in the pick 6.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 80000n1x

*Never a Doubt Pick 6 Single Lock of the Day #8 Mutakatif (6/5) – The Conductor will only use Chad Brown her.

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Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) MC 50000

The Conductor like two price horses in here, this is were he becomes bold.

#5 On Spree (12/1) – A 1st time gelding dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he has upside.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Spindletop (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, she has a chance to wire this field without other speed horses.

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Race 6: 5 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k

Baby races are always tough, the Conductor will ride with Rudy Rod here and use #1 Bull of Bayern (7/2) and #6 Justin Vision (5/2).

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#11 Summer Squeeze (10/1) – She set a blistering pace last time before fading. She likes Belmont and is turning back in distance.

The Conductor will also use #9 Sadie Lady (2/1) and #10 Jaded Lady (5/2) 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#8 Funderella (12/1) – Her low % connections will keep her price high, but the Conductor liked her debut effort vs much tougher.

The Conductor will also use #6,#7 and #10 to close it out.

 

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Ponies

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

The Conductor's Scribe

Great start to the week for the Conductor yesterday. 7/1, two 3/1 and 6/5 winners including his 3/1 lock of the day made all of us passengers happy.  The train will stay another day in Philly, time to press. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#3 Dearest Ella (5/1) – She’s dropping to her lowest career level, she’s shown speed vs tougher and will be a decent price with a low % barn.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 7500n1y

#1 Big Red Seven (6/5) – 1st off the claim and plunging in class for top connections, she looks tough to beat.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 7500n4L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Free for Nothing (10/1) – 2nd vs tougher last start going a mile, if the Conductor gets half that price on the cutback he’ll hammer him.

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Race 4: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 10000

#3 Lawyer Roy (2/1) – The Conductor has seen slower groups of horses, he just cant remember when. 3rd off the layoff he must win.

Race 5: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 45k

#3 Commissioner G (6/1) – 145k at auction, he’s working well and his sire wins at a 20% clip with 1st time starters.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 5000n1y

*Never a Doubt Taco Tuesday Lock #1 My Candy Forest (6/5) – Her early pace figures giver her a serious edge over this field.

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Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 8000

#8 Draxhall Woods (8/1) – They are going to fly up front in this race and the Conductor sees this old man getting a perfect stalking trip and then pouncing.

Race 8: 1m70yds. S.OC 35000n2x

#2 D T Goodie (8/1) – This gelding is very consistent and will be a bigger price than the favorites even though he has as good a chance as any.

Race 9: 1 Mile. F.Alw 12500

#7 I’m Not Joking (6/1) – Trending in the right direction, this girl is very serious.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. MC 10000

#8 Dramatized (10/1) – 2nd at this level last start, he’s lightly raced and can take another step forward today.

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Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Fathers day Late Pick Plays at Churchill Downs

The Conductor's Scribe

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Stephen Foster Late Pick 5 Plays at Churchill Downs

Choo Chooooooo!!!!!! Talk about handing out the Pick 5 on a platter.  Thank you Mr. Conductor! I will buy lots of shirts to show my gratitude, and a hat too! Let’s do it again, Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#7 Blunt Force (10/1) – Dropping in class 2nd off the layoff and switching back to dirt, shes the price the Conductor likes most.

This is a spread race however, he’ll also use #2 A. P. Princess (4/1), #3 Singsong Bird (8/1), #4 Traci’s Greeley (15/1), #5 Spackle (3/1) and #8 Fire on High (10/1).

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#1 Cosmic Hallelujah (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he pressed a hot pace and folded going last time.  The Conductor loves him on the cutback.

He’ll also use #2 British Humor (3/1), #8 Salt Air (4/1), #9 Homeview (8/1), #10 Jimmy Joe (4/1).

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 97000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Bundibunan (12/1) – She ran a good 3rd last start and is steadily progressing.  Her last work shows she’s ready to fire.

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The Conductor will also use #8 Face of Victory (6/1) and #11 Broth (5/1).

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.Clm 50000n2L

*Never a Doubt Fathers Day Lock #1/1A Entry (3/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, the race goes thru the Asmussen runners. One of these girls will fire.

fathers day wedding GIF by America's Funniest Home Videos

Race 10: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 95k

Spread to end it. #1 Dreams are Made (9/2), #4 Drop Dead Gorgeous (12/1), #7 Yes It’s Ginger (4/1), #8 Nikki Beach (6/1), #12 Holiday Time (7/2)

 

Ponies

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor hadn’t played Parx in a while and it showed the last two days with an absolute ass kicking. Thankfully, New York is back to on Wednesdays and there are a few decent opportunities on today’s card.  One month until Toga, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 50000

#4 Soul Group (8/1) – He brushed the gate in his debut vs tougher and the Conductor likes that Rosario stays aboard. He has upside.

Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Clm 40000

*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #5 First Forever (4/5) – She looks to be too good for this group.

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Race 3: 5 Furlongs. F.Mdn 80k

#3 Sweet Kisses (3/1) – Well bred, her sire wins at a 25% clip with 1st time starters. She also has strong connections in her corner.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 35000n3L

#5 Zap Daddy (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s dropping back into the claiming ranks for the first time in a while. The last time he ran for a tag, he won.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000n2L

#6 Eddy Dirt (7/2) – He’s dropping in class and has the best turf form in the field.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.MC 40000

#1 Galadriel’s Light (5/2) – She’s bred to be better on the grass and if she can stand up on turf, she’ll beat this group.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Alw 40000s

#2 Rucksack (4/1) – He took a long time to break his maiden, but his figures fit in here. The Conductor is using the old lightbulb angle.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x

#2 Broken Border (9/2) – She’s 3/4 at this distance at Belmont Park.  Getting back to 7 furlongs, she’s the Conductor’s best bet of the day.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Mend Up (15/1) – This colt is steadily progressing and will try turf for the first time. His dam has produced 2 grass winners and trainer Ubillo Rodrigo is 2/9 with a +15.00 ROI with 1st time turf runners.

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Ponies

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Parx

The Conductor's Scribe

How the hell is it only Tuesday? The Conductor doesn’t want to play 11 races at Parx, but he has no choice. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 15000

#3 Backcat (9/5) – Lightly raced, she has the most potential in  the field.

Race 2: 1m70yds. Clm 16000n2L

#4 Talking Point (4/1) – He’s the only horse in the field that is improving, and his barn has been hot lately.

Race 3: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 45k

#8 Cousin Pete (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff and trying turf for the 1st time, he took money in his debut at Saratoga. He has upside.

Race 4: 1 ¼ Mile. 7500n1y

#1 Charming Indy (3/1) – He’s the only one in the field proven at the distance and will get a favorable trip on the lead.

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 20000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Risque’s Warrior (20/1) – This colt caught a sloppy track last time but has shown early speed vs miles tougher. On the class plunge, the Conductor has seen crazier bombs win.

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Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Clm 5000n1y

#1 Return of a Giant (7/1) – He returned to form last start and when these old geldings do so, they usually rattle off a few good efforts in a row.

Race 7: 1m70yds. F.Alw Alw 25000

#3 Setubal (2/1) – She’s consistent and has been facing the strongest competition.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 25000s

#5 Bowspirit (12/1) – 2nd off the layoff, his turf for gives him every chance.

Race 9: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 35000n2x

Never a Doubt Taco Tuesday Lock of the Day #3 Richie’s Sister (8/5) – This girl can scoot.

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Race 10: 6 Furlongs. OC 35000n2x

#5 Chasing My Halo (15/1) – He’s stepping up in class but is in good form and has beaten tougher than this before.

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 7500n4L

#3 Dialin (1/1) – Chalk

Ponies

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Punts at Parx

The Conductor's Scribe

The 2019 Triple Crown season has come to an end and it was not the Conductor’s favorite. We must march on and arrive to Saratoga in peak form. As the old saying goes, “Don’t think, just throttle it.” Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. Clm 5000

#6 Hauscaran (7/2) – Dropping in class and switching back to the dirt, he’s the lone speed in the race.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 7500n4L

#2 Hidden Bamboo (6/1) – His early pace figures give him an advantage in this spot.  He needs the lead to win, but he should have no problem getting it today.

Race 3: 1 Mile. S.Alw 41000n1x

#5 Amazing Start (8/1) – He’s lightly raced and trending in the right direction. The Conductor sees him taking a big step forward today.

Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 7500n2L

#7 Dancingthehnydaway (6/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs tougher last race for a good 3rd. 6/1 would be highway robbery on this filly.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.F.Clm 16000

#2 Barley Jack (9/2) – She returned to form last start. She has past performances that the get the job done.

Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 125000s

#6 Viva Forever (9/5) – Dropping out of Grade one company, she looks tough to beat.

Race 7: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 20000

#3 Threeohtwocassle (2/1) – Looks like the chalk again.

Race 8: 1m70yds. Alw 12500s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Grit’n’grind (20/1) – He fits on paper closing into a slow pace vs tougher last start. He’s tough to put on top with an 0/55 trainer this meet, but if he hits the board the trifecta will pay handsomely.

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Race 9: 1m70yds F.OC 50000n3x

#5 Trace of Grace (8/5) – If she runs back to her last effort, they won’t catch her.

Race 10: 1m70yds. MC 10000

*Never a Doubt Monday Pick Me Up Lock of the Day #4 Mount Olympus (8/5) – If he doesn’t win today against this group, he never will.

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Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductors Belmont Stakes Day Plays

The Conductor's Scribe

Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. Alw 92000n1x

#2 Shadow Rider (8/1) – The Conductor is going to key him underneath in the exacta.  He has the strongest late pace figures and should get a decent pace to close into.

Race 2: 1 ¼ Mile. Mdn 90k

#2 Better Tapit (6/1) – This jockey/trainer combo hit with a 1st timer yesterday. This cold is well-bred.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. 150K Easy Goer Stakes

#4 Outshine (9/5) – He got wiped out in the Wood last time, his 2nd in the Tampa Bay Derby makes him the one to beat.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Just A Game Stakes

#4 Rushing Fall (4/5) – She’s the Goods

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. F. G1 Ogden Phipps Stakes

#1 Come Dancing (6/5) – She has an early pace edge over the favorite #2 Midnight Bisou (1/1) and the rest of the field.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) G1 Jaipur Invitational Stakes

#8 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s nails right now.

Race 7: 1 Mile. F.G1 Acorn Stakes

*Never a Doubt Under Card Lock of the Day #7 Guarana (2/1) – The birdies are chirping that she is a freak. Jose Ortiz chose to jump off the Oaks winner #1 Serengeti Empress (5/2) to ride her.

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Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G1 Woody Stephens Stakes

#1 Honest Mischief (6/1) – Finally somewhat of a price to play. This colt’s maiden breaker at Keeneland last start dropped the Conductor’s jaw.

Race 9: 1 Mile. G1 Met Mile

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Pavel (20/1) – #2 Mckinzie, #3 Mitole, #4 Thunder Snow and #7 Firenze Fire should all be used on top, but the Conductor is going to key this bomb in the trifecta. He’s always wanted to go shorter in the Conductor’s opinion and he sees him getting a perfect stalking trip from the outside.

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Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Manhattan Stakes

#3 Robert Bruce (6/1) – He gets back to firm turf today and has tactical speed in a race devoid of pace. One of the Chad Brown runners will obviously win.

Race 11: 1½ Mile. G1 Belmont Stakes

#5 Bourbon of War (12/1) – The Conductor’s Belmont Stakes Preview

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#5 Near Gold (8/1) – The Conductor idnt impressed with any of the American runners so he’ll turn to the French import.

Race 13: 1½ Mile. G2 Woodford Reserve Stakes

#3 Sonateer (10/1) – He romped in his 1st try at the distance last start. This may be what he’s wanted all along.

Ponies

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

This vacation is going to kill the Conductor.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 80k

#8 Lonhtwist (5/1) – He caught a sloppy track last start, but his last race on the lawn gives him every chance. With Lezcano back aboard, the Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 2: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.OC 80000n1x

#2 Pep (7/2) – 3rd off the layoff, she has run some very strong late pace figures. She looks like the winner.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 16000

*Never a Doubt Saturday Lock #2B Call Me (2/1) – He looks like the one to beat on paper.

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Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Mdn 80k

#3 Tony Small (9/2) – He showed real ability in his debut, the Conductor hopes the sloppy track effort last time kept his price high.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.MC 40000

#1 Sassy Cleopatra (9/2) – The Conductor doesn’t like any runners with experience.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Catch a Cab (10/1) – He got good at Belmont around this time last year.  The Conductor likes him stretching back out to a mile.

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Race 7: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000

#2 Reed Kan (9/5) – Whenever he’s run a dud, he’s bounced back with a big effort.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G3 Pennine Ridge Stakes

#4 Social Paranoia (7/2) – The Conductor gave you#1 Value Proposition (5/2) yesterday because he had too many stews. A night of slumber can change his mind. This colt has loads of talent.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#1 Short Pour (10/1) – The Conductor likes her switching back to the turf. The Conductor likes his pours tall.

Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

The Conductor's Scribe

The Conductor is on vacation for a wedding this week. He’s not getting married, he’s not an idiot but he’s got a lot of things like unlimited stews and gators on the golf course to worry about. He apologizes about leaving the passengers out to dry Thursday, but not really.  He has been so generous to us we can’t complain anyway. Let’s have ourselves a weekend. Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 50000

#2 Go Poke the Bear (4/1) – 1st off the claim for Brad Cox, he has a serious late punch.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) S.MC 40000

#7 Preson Court (10/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he adds blinkers and showed ability in his debut.  He’s had troubled trips in his last two starts.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 25000

#2 Poker Game (15/1) – He’s Run races vs tougher that make him competitive in here. The Conductor will key him at a bomb in the exacta.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G3 Pennine Ridge Stakes

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Bottle Service Lock of the Day #1 Value Proposition (5/2) – He looked like the goods in his maiden breaker.  Surprisingly, Chad Brown holds the two winning cards in this one.

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Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Ghost Giant (12/1) –  He’s off a layoff, but is working well for solid connections. He like the Belmont turf and his races last fall give him every chance.

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Ponies

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Louisiana Downs

The Conductor's Scribe

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. F.S.MC 5000

*Never a Doubt First Pitch Lock of the Day #6 Lookin Back At It (3/2) – Easy single to start the card. It’s impossible for her to lose to this group.

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Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.S.OC 12500n1x

#5 Toodaloo to You (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she caught a sloppy track vs much tougher last time.  Her recent turf efforts make her a major contender.

Race 3: 1m70yds. S.Clm 5000

#6 Crooked as Can Be (9/5) – The Conductor likes his win at all costs attitude.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 12500n4L

#5 T’ Cadeau (5/1) – He’s been running similar numbers to this field vs much better competition.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.S.OC 12500n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Starry Ide Elaine (6/1) – She has good early speed and will improve getting back to a fast track today. She gets a rider upgrade and the Conductor will key her in the exacta.

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Race 6: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 19000n1x

#3 Bee Balm (4/1) – A seldom seen maiden in an allowance race, her turf races early in her career make her very competitive in here. 2nd off the layoff and getting back to the lawn, she’s dangerous.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. S.Clm 5000b

#5 Gone Lucky (9/2) – Coming from the Fair Grounds, he takes a massive class drop and does his best running over the Louisiana Downs surface.