Tag: picks

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A group of racehorses competing on a grassy track at Belmont Park during a horse race.

2nds at short prices didn’t get the job done yesterday for the Conductor.  The most beautiful Saturday at Belmont thus far this year has the Conductor fired up for today though. Time to cash tickets, drink stews and tear apart fairways. In that order! Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 100k

#5 How Is (7/2) – If your going to try to beat the heavily favored Wesley Ward runners, this is the colt for you.  Trainer Phillip Gleaves has surprised with two bombs winning on debut recently.

Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. Clm 20000n3L

#6 Tale of Mist (3/1) – 2nd off the layoff he drops in class and looks to get a perfect stalking trip. The Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 25000

*Never a Doubt Free Square Lock of the Day #5 Bustin Match Four (1/1) – If this boy ran backwards he would still beat this group.

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Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 30000n2L

#5 Hand Rail (6/1) – The Conductor isn’t sure where her last race came from, but it gives her every chance vs weaker today.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#3 Ruvies in Time (12/1) – This filly took a huge step forward at Belmont with her win last start and will now be running 2nd off the layoff.  The Conductor will bet it wasn’t a fluke at that price.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x

#1 Moravia (6/1) – She’s the price the Conductor will key in the exacta.  Her European form is solid, and she was very rank in her first start in America.  She’ll improve off that effort.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k

#4 Riot (12/1) – She was well bet in her debut but hit the gate at the start and didn’t run a step. She adds blinkers today and will try the grass for strong connections.  She has a lot of upside.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 62k

#3 Tossup (5/2) – The layoff is a concern, but her last race a Saratoga makes her the one to beat. She loves Belmont

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) 100K Paradise Creek Stakes

#7 Mucho (3/1) – Bred to be better on the grass, this colt showed real ability on the dirt as a 2-year-old.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Mai Ty One On (15/1) – He got really good last fall and if Castellano is taking the mount off the layoff, he’s live.

belmont

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Horses racing at Belmont Park with jockeys in colorful silks on a dirt track.

Chalky day at Belmont yesterday, but the Conductor had a few nice prices underneath and the 5/2 lock of the day winner didn’t hurt.  Memorial Day weekend is here, time to feast. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) MC 40000

(Scratched Sad) #1 El Fenomeno (10/1) – This gelding has shown the best early speed in a sprint devoid of pace.  He’ll try grass for the 1st time and 3 of his dam’s 6 runners have won on the lawn. The Conductor is going for Belmont’s jugular right from the jump.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 O Shea Can You See (6/1) – He’s dropping in class and loves Big Sandy. He ran a monster 2nd last start at 46/1 and will be flying late.

Belmont Park

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. MC 30000

#1 Our Honor (2/1) – By default, tough to like anyone in this group.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 400002nL

*Never a Doubt Start of Summer Lock of the Day #8 Stock Trade (8/5) – His C race would still get the job done in this spot.

Belmont Park

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. S.MC 25000

#6 Ridolfo (4/1) – He ran a good 2nd at this level last time in his 1st try stretching out. The Conductor will bet he’s better going longer.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

#9 Sweet Bye Bye (4/1) – She has by far the most talent in the field. It’s her 1st start off a long layoff, but if she’s over 3/1 the Conductor will back her.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#7 Shady Shady Shady (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this filly is dangerous. You don’t win at toga by open lengths without talent.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x

#6 Too Cool to Dance (5/2) – Chad Brown.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. F.S.MC 40000

#2 Kris d’Oro (9/5) – The Conductor doesn’t like anyone in here.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Two racehorses competing at Belmont Park, showcasing speed and athleticism during a thrilling horse race.

Belmont Park time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 100k

#4 Days of Spring (4/1) – She broke slow and ran an ok debut effort last time.  She has top connections and has a race under her belt while the favorites are 1st timers.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Infatuation (15/1) – She has good early speed in a race without much pace and is working well. The favorites in this race are all exiting sloppy track efforts. The Conductor will key her in the exacta and tri as the longest shot on the board.

Belmont Park

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 30000

#1 G. T. Sonia (10/1) – This filly set a hot pace going a route and is cutting back to a sprint today. The Conductor’s favorite angle.

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Alw 82000n1x

#5 Hoboe (5/1) – He’s won off the layoff before, so that doesn’t concern the Conductor.  He loves Belmont and has the best late pace figures in the field.

Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs. MC 30000

#6 Bronxville (3/1) – Cutting back after setting a hot pace, if he doesn’t win today, he’ll never graduate.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#1 Zap Daddy (6/1) – They are going to fly up front in this one, so the Conductor is looking for someone who can sit and pounce.  This gelding has a strong late punch.

Race 7: 1 3/8. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#4 Another Day of Sun (12/1) – Well bet in her debut, Tampa shippers have been running well all over the place. Rosario also takes the mount.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 100000n3x

*Never a Doubt Only One More Day Until the Long Weekend #1 Preservationist (8/5) – He hasn’t missed the board in his career. If he runs his race, it’s over.

Belmont Park

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Clm 25000

#1/1A Entry (3/1) – Both geldings have major chances.

Trachea Kick Tuesday: The Conductor’s Plays at Louisiana Downs

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Exterior view of Harrah's Casino entrance with illuminated signage and flags at night.

Louisiana Downs time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Clm 17500n2L

#4 Taken Back (6/1) – In a tightly bunched group, he’s trending in the right directions and has run solid races vs tougher.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.S.Clm 12500n2L

#4 Mitch’s Pins (6/1) – In a sprint without much pace signed on, she’s the quickest early.  The Conductor will key her in the exacta.

Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 7500n2L

*Never a Doubt the Conductor is  Back in the Saddle Lock of the Day #4 See What’s What (2/1) – She’s lightly raced and set a hot pace last time before fading in he 1st time on the lawn. 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, she’s the only one you can like.

Louisiana downs

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 12500

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Tojo (4/1) – Dropping to the claiming ranks for the 1st time, he was well bet vs tougher and showed decent early speed in his debut. He’ll be a distant 2nd choice.

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Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 18k

#6 Paradise Reunion (6/1) – She ran a good 3rd closing into a slow pace in the slop last start.  She gets back on the turf today for a hot jockey/trainer combo.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. Clm 12500n2L

#1 Broke in a Flash (2/1) – He’s the class of this Louisiana Downs field.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Clm 12500n2L

#7 Just For Casey (9/2) – She’s shipping in from Oaklawn where she has been facing much tougher on dirt.  She’s working well, and the Conductor will bet she’ll handle the lawn.

The Conductor’s Preakness Day Late Pick 5 Plays at Pimlico

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A group of horses racing at the Preakness Stakes, with jockeys in colorful silks and dust being kicked up from the track.

It was a chalky Friday at Pimlico, but if you listened to the Conductor you passengers at least Cashed the pick 5. The late pick 5 will be the Conductor’s focus Saturday as well. We are not in this game for little cashes. Let’s hit a monster and change our little lives. Its Preakness Day, Let’s Ride.

Race 9: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) F.100K The Very One Stakes

The Conductor is spreading. #3 Eye On Berlin (10/1), #4 Souper Echo (9/2), #6 Jo Jo Air (3/1), #7 Angel at War (12/1), #8 Misericordia (4/1), #9 Wild About Star (9/2) 

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Gallorette Stakes

#1 I’m So Fancy (7/2) – Her European form can’t be denied, she’s quality.

#2 Inflexibility (3/1) – Chad Brown.

#3 Thewayiam (10/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she looks perfectly pointed for this spot. She’s Grade 1 placed and will be a nice number.

#4 Mitchell Road (6/1) – She’s steadily progressing and answering every test. The Conductor won’t get beat by her.

#9 Barkaa (6/1) – Chad Brown.

Race 11 6 Furlongs. G3 Chick Lang Stakes

#3 Malpais (3/1) – He’s in great form, the Conductor can’t knock her.

#6 Gladiator King (6/1) – When this colt is sprinting on dirt, he is dangerous.

#8 Preamble (5/2) – The Conductor will heavily press him. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll have him singled on some tickets.

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G2 Dixie Stakes

*Never a Doubt Preakness Lock of the Day #12 Catholic Boy – Tough post, but if he runs his race its over. He’ll either run 1st or last and the Conductor will bet its the first one.

preakness

Race 13: The Conductor’s Preakness Preview

*Gullet Shot of the Day #13 Win Win Win (15/1) – We will find out if the Conductor was right all along.

preakness

The Conductor’s Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day Plays at Pimlico

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A group of women wearing colorful decorative hats at an outdoor event, smiling and enjoying the moment.

14 race card for Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day, what a war. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 10000

#2 Midnight Mass (5/1) – She pressed a hot pace vs tougher going a mile and is cutting back to a sprint. Easy winner to start the card.

Race 2: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OClm 25000

#8 Family Tree (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, dropping in class, he showed good form across the pond. He also adds blinkers today.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 50k

#1 China Cat (4/1) – She bets this group and graduates today.

Race 4: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) MC 40000

#5 Ready to Run (15/1) – He’s the quickest early and with a name like that you know this boy is live.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 52000n1x

#8 The Aurelia Factor (6/1) – If Baffert is shipping in this filly, she’s ready to run.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Alw 52000n1x

#7 Seeking the Sunset (6/1) – Her last two blowout wins have caught the Conductor’s eye. 2nd off the layoff there is no reason not to play her.

Race 7 – 11: Black-Eyed Susan Day Late Pick 5 Preview

Race 12: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Turf Sprint Stakes 100K

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Lock of the Day #3 Bound for Nowhere (1/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s a class above.

whitey bulger drinking GIF

Race 13: 1 1/8 Mile. D.G3 Allaire DuPont Distaff Stakes

#5 Another Broad (7/2) – The fillies come and the fillies go.

Race 14: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Go Amanda (10/1) – She’s run well on the dirt and her breeding suggests she’ll step forward on the turf. The Conductor will go for the throat to end Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day.

black-eyed susan stakes

 

The Conductor’s Preakness Preview

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A racehorse with a jockey in yellow silks competing in a horse racing event.

The Conductor can feel the excitement brewing in his plumbs. Black-Eyed Susan Day tomorrow then the big Saturday in Baltimore and the 2nd leg of the Triple Crown. With the top finishers in the Derby not running, it makes for a very intriguing race and the Conductor sees prices in his crystal ball.  With speed horses drawn to the inside and outside, this pace is going to heat up. The Conductor will try to put himself in a similar situation as Derby day. Survive until the big race and try to get alive to all of King Midas’s silver. This is our time! Our Preakness! Let’s Ride. PS Buy a shirt.

Race 13: 1 3/16 Mile. G1 Preakness Stakes

#1 War of Will (4/1) – The horse most effected by the Derby chaos, he looked loaded before getting tangled with Maximum Security on the far turn.  He has a major chance, but will have to send from the rail, put away the frontrunners, hold off the closers and will be overly bet.  The Conductor will not use him on top.

*#2 Bourbon War (12/1) – No chance we get 12/1, but he’s one of the horses the Conductor really likes.  He had no shot in the Florida Derby closing into a slow pace and that race has come back very live. Code of Honor’s 2nd in the Derby gives the Conductor more confidence.

preakness

#3 Warrior’s Charge (12/1) – He’s run solid figures in his last two blowout wins, but he’s been alone on the lead setting slow paces. This colt has never seen the pace and competition he will on Saturday. The Conductor won’t use him.

#4 Improbable (5/2) – This is a favorite the Conductor will love to bet against. He had favorable trip in the Derby and came up empty. He’ll likely run 2nd or 3rd, but the Conductor won’t allow him to win.

*#5 Owendale (10/1) – The Conductor must use him after his last performance at Keeneland.  He made a jaw dropping move on the far turn and engulfed the field on a speed favoring track.  Classic swoop and pounce move the Conductor loves so much.

preakness

#6 Market King (30/1) – Get him out of here.

*#7 Alwaysmining (8/1)

– This gelding is no joke. He’s been throttling his competition at Laurel Park and will get the acid test Saturday, but the Conductor thinks he’s a monster.  He’s a must use on top.

preakness

#8 Signalman (30/1) – He ran well in the Bluegrass, but the Conductor sees him as a notch below the Contenders. He doesn’t hate him underneath for 3rd or 4th though.

#9 Bodexpress (20/1) – He clearly doesn’t like the slop, so ignore his Derby effort.  He can sit behind the fronrunners and get a great trip.  The Conductor will use him in 2nd and 3rd.

#10 Everfast (50/1) – Ignore him.

#11 Laughing Fox (20/1) – The Conductor can see him closing for 3rd or 4th, but nothing more.  He narrowly beat much weaker with a good setup last start.

#12 Anothertwistafate (6/1) – He’ll show speed out of the gate and contribute to the hot pace.  He ran solid in the Lexington Stakes last start, but Owendale ran him down even though he had a more favorable trip. 3rd at best.

*#13 Win Win Win (15/1) – The Conductor’s great white buffalo. He had no chance after the start of the Derby to no fault of his own.  The Conductor’s eyes lit up when it was announced he was running back in the Preakness.  He should get a perfect setup Saturday and we’ll get to see what he is made of. Redemption will be served in the Preakness Tall, Neat and Strong, just the way the Conductor likes it. Win Contenders:

preakness

Win Contenders: #2 Bourbon War (12/1), #5 Owendale (10/1), #7 Always Mining (8/1), #13 Win Win Win (15/1)

Top Pick:

#13 Win Win Win (15/1)

Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day Late Pick 5 Preview

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Jockey riding Stopchargingmaria during a horse race, wearing orange and blue silks, with a blurred background of spectators.

Props to Pimlico on putting together a great Friday card. Full 14 race plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor will preview the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Day pick 5, which will get most of his attention. A big Friday means we can go for the jugular on Saturday and we know how much the Conductor like to kill. Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F. Skipat Stakes 100k

 #3 Chalon (6/5) – Nothing like starting the pick 5 with a stone cold single.  We’ll find out if we’re alive or dead right from the jump. She looks like a clear stand out.

black-eyed susan stakes

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F. G3 Adena Springs Miss Preakness Stakes

#2 Covfefe (7/2) – She’s the lone A for the Conductor and he’ll heavily press her. 2 of her 3 career races blow this field away.

#1 Iva (15/1), #6 Never Enough Time (6/1), #7 Miss Imperial (8/1), #10 By Bye Jay (12/1), #11 Fighting Mad (4/1), and #12 Midnight Fantasy (12/1) will be used as backups.

#12 Midnight Fantasy (12/1) – She’s undefeated sprinting and is the price the Conductor will key in the trifecta.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F. Hilltop Stakes 100k

#2 Nova Sol (7/2), #5 Dogtag (9/2) – Chad Brown wins every turf race.

#12 Orra Moor (10/1) – If there is somebody that can beat Chad, it’s Todd.  This girl has run quality races on the dirt vs tough competition, if her form can translate to the turf she’ll be dangerous.

Race 10: 1 ¼ Mile. G3 Pimlico Special Stakes

This is going to be a spread race for the Conductor, this field is wide open and almost everyone has a chance.

#7 Just Whistle (20/1) – This is the Conductor’s favorite bomb in here and the one he’ll be keying in the exacta and trifecta. The distance will be no problem with his strong late pace figures and his last race was better than it looks, trying to close into a tepid pace on a speed favoring track. He can make the Conductor’s day.

black-eyed susan stakes

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G2 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes

#7 Brill (5/1) – Making her 3rd start off the layoff, she looks to get a perfect trip sitting just behind the leaders.  She has loads of talent and her last race in the Fantasy stakes has come back live.

#8 Point of Honor (5/2) – Her late pace figures are thunderous.  If she gets any pace to run at she’ll be tough to beat.

#2 Off Topic (8/1) – She’s the price the Conductor likes most.  She’s a closer who caught a slow pace last start.  She won’t surprise the Conductor.

Moon Shot Monday: The Conductor’s Plays at Louisiana Downs

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Exterior view of Harrah's Casino entrance with illuminated signage and flags at night.

Rain took the races off the dirt yesterday at Belmont, but a nice 9/1 winner in Race 2 made it a good Sunday. Its officially Preakness week and the Conductor’s head is spinning.  He’ll give us some winners at Louisiana Downs today, then his focus will turn to the upcoming feature races at Pimlico.  We let the Derby slip through our fingers in the slop, we can’t let it happen again.  Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 18k

#5 Track Binder (5/1) – His low % jockey/trainer combo have lit up the tote board recently and this boy’s sire wins at a 20% clip with 1st time starters.

Race 2: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 25000n1x

#6 Zarelda (4/1) – She’s been facing much tougher and has run quality races on the dirt in her young career.  She’s bred to be even better on the lawn.

Race 3: 1m70yds. S.Clm 7500n2x

#5 Crooked as Can Be (9/5) – He bounced back nicely last race and has strong back class.

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 12500

#10 Betty’s Joy’s Star (5/2) – Shipping in from the Fair Grounds, she must beat this weak Louisiana Downs field.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. S.MC 12500

#6 Shot On Windy Hill (6/1) – He’s shown good early speed and gets a major trainer upgrade to Beverly Burress, who has a +$2.04 ROI running horses for the 1st time this year.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 19000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Thegreyspider (6/1) – The drop in class helped him last time. He consistently runs the highest figures in the field.

louisiana downs

Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.MC 5000

*Never a Doubt Week Starter #6 Cool Sis (1/1) – She can’t lose.

louisiana downs

Sabbath Sunday: The Conductor’s Prayers at Belmont Park

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A chestnut racehorse with a jockey in white attire racing ahead during a horse race.

We finally found a few winners yesterday at Belmont. Heading into Preakness week, we need more than a few. The Conductor’s mother hopes he gets hot soon or he’s going to move back into her basement. Happy Mother’s Day from Belmont Park! Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 7 Furlongs. Clm 10000

#1 Zap Zap Zap (12/1) – He always runs well at Belmont and this race is wide open.  The Conductor will key him in the exacta.

Race 2: 6½ Furlongs. S.MC 25000

#1 Bustin Shout (12/1) – He was eased in his debut but was well bet at the windows and has been gelded since.  He can surprise the bettors who don’t follow the Conductor.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 40000n2L

#4 Roses From Ben (8/1) – She’s 1/1 on the lawn and will be a big price.  Most of these runners haven’t proven anything on the grass.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 80k

#6 Sneakiness (9/2) – Drawn well to the outside, he showed ability in his debut last fall and is working like a monster entering today.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.Clm 40000

#4 Stink Man (4/1) – The Conductor has no idea what happened last start, but he showed real talent in hist 1st career start.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 30000n2L

*Never a Doubt Pay For Moms Brunch Lock of the Day #3 Hope Again (3/1) – These Tampa shippers continue to run very well.

Belmont Park

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 62500n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Saguaro Row (4/1) – She’s going to get a perfect trip, sitting behind a hot pace.  She’s steadily progressing and has run against some classy fillies.

Belmont Park

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. 100K Gold Fever Stakes

#3 Sombeyay (9/2) – This is a loaded non-graded stakes.  The Conductor would love him to be the third betting choice.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k

#9 Quiet Out East (4/1) – The Conductor doesn’t have a clue in here.