Tag: picks

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A man in racing attire seated on a shiny black horse, both posed for a photograph.

Belmont has completely baffled the Conductor the last two days. Hell of a card today, it would be a great time for the Conductor to get hot. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6½ Furlongs. F.G3 Vagrancy H.

#4 Separationofpowers (7/5) – This filly looks like a cinch to start the card.

Race 2: 1 Mile. Mdn 80k

#6 Principled (5/2) – Heavily bet at Saratoga last summer and drawn well to the outside, this colt has talent.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x

#2 Miss Mystique (6/1) – They layoff and low % trainer should keep her price high, she’s run well of breaks before and hast the best turf figures in the field.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. G3 Peter Pan Stakes

*Never a Doubt Saturday Lock of the Day #3 Global Campaign (8/5) – The Florida Derby has come back very live and he moved into the teeth of the hot pace in there. He’s going to win for fun today.

Belmont

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) MC 40000

#2 Whiskey Is My Wine (8/1) – Whiskey is the Conductor’s water.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Clm 50000

#4 Felix in Fabula (7/5) – He looks extremely tough to beat at Belmont on the cutback.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F. G3 Beaugay Stakes

#1 Chipolata (4/1) – She ran well to close into a slow pace and get the job done last start. She has back class and looks poised to run her best 2nd off the layoff.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k

#4 Structural Deficit (5/1) – A well-bred Chad Brown filly is going to be 2nd choice? The Conductor will take her.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. 150K Runhappy Stakes

#3 Firenze Fire (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he looks to get a perfect stalking trip, tracking a fast pace.

Race 10: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Man O’ War Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Hunting Horn (10/1) – He’s caught a yielding course and has legitimate excuses in most of his North American races.  He fits with this group and the Conductor will key him in the trifecta at a nice number.

Belmont

Race 11: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 62k

#4 Electronic (3/1) – She acted up at the gate and still ran a good 4th, closing into a slow pace in her debut. She’ll take a step forward today.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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Exciting horse race start at Belmont Park with multiple jockeys and horses bursting from the starting gates.

A nice little twilight card with no rain today in New York. With the Preakness only 9 days away, we need to fill up the train at Belmont Park with funds fast. Let’s Ride!

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 62500n2x

#5 Crimson Forest (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she’s been running competitive figures for this level on dirt and has only tried the turf once in her career.  She’s bred to handle the lawn just fine.

Race 2: 5 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 62k

#3 American Song (5/2) – Trainer Jeremiah Englehart has a positive ROI this year with 1st time starters and this girl’s sire hits at 18% with debut runners.

Race 3: 1 ¼ Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 90k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Tiberius Mercurius (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this colt ran a strong 2nd last start, closing into a slow pace.  He also gets a rider upgrade to Jose Ortiz.

Belmont Park

Race 4: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 40000

#2 Thomond Park (6/1) – Just missing last time at Tampa, he’ll appreciate the shorter distance and the Conductor has seen a lot of Tampa shippers run very well lately.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x

#5 Real Dan (4/1) – 2/2 in his 1st two starts, he looks to get a perfect trip stalking a quick pace.

#7 Sicilia Mike (8/1) – He won’t win, but he’ll hit the board. The Conductor will key him underneath in the exacta and trifecta.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500

#6 Riot Worthy (9/2) – The Conductor will key her in the exacta because she loves to run 2nd. She looks to get a dream trip, closing into a hot pace.

Race 7: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 80k

#1/1A Entry (5/2) – The Conductor likes both runners, he hopes neither scratch and he can single here.

Race 8: 1 3/8 Mile. Flat Out Stakes 100k

*Never a Doubt Tell Your Boss Your Taking Friday Off and Have Yourself a Long Weekend Lock of the Day #5 Rocketry (9/5) – He had no chance last start at Gulfstream trying to close into a ridiculously slow pace. 2nd off the layoff, he’ll annihilate this Belmont field.

Belmont Park

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x

#4 Love and Love (20/1) – The Conductor will take a shot in a wide-open race. She’s run well both sprinting and routing, which the Conductor like to see.

Wind Pipe Whack Wednesday at Louisiana Downs

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Dynamic horse race featuring multiple jockeys in colorful silks competing on a grassy track, showcasing the excitement of equestrian sports.

A couple of winners including the lock of the day yesterday for the Conductor. He’ll keep the train down in Louisiana for one more day before heading up to New York tomorrow. A little gumbo and a tall glass of stew on a Wednesday? The Conductor certainly will at Louisiana Downs. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1m70yds. MC 5000

#1 Bailey’s Power (5/2) – Exiting a race that has come back live and lightly raced, he’s the only runner you can possibly like in here.

Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 12500n2L

#3 Meditate (6/1) – The Conductor will find his Zen with this boy.

Race 3: 1m70yds. F.MC 5000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Catbalee (12/1) – Coming from facing tougher at the Far Grounds, she hasn’t shown much in her first two starts, but should be forwardly placed. She’s taken some money at the windows and changes barns.

Louisiana Downs

Race 4: 5 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 5000

 #2 Doc’s Rocket (9/2) – She has the strongest early pace figures and has been facing tougher lately.

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 7500

#8 T’ Cadeau (5/1) – This gelding has been pressing hot paces vs tougher at the Fair Grounds. He gets a weaker group and a rider upgrade today.

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. S.OC 12500n1x

#2 Saltee Shark (9/2) – The Conductor likes his steady progression and sees him getting a perfect trip sitting just behind the dueling speed horses, ready to pounce.

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 50003n3L

*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #6 Kool Yankee (9/2) – He showed promise as a young colt at Louisiana Downs and is in as good form.

Louisiana Downs

The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Plays at Churchill Downs

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Bellafina, a thoroughbred racehorse, being trained on a racetrack with a jockey in riding gear.

Its going to be a long two day grind at the office. Kentucky Oaks time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#5 Tom’s Last General (9/2) – He just missed last start setting a hot pace vs similar competition. He should get a favorable trip without much other speed in here.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 80000n3x

#6 Magical (6/1) – This filly is making her first start of the year, but the layoff is no concern with top connections.  She has an earl pace edge over this field, which is very dangerous in any sprint.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n1x

*Never a Doubt Early Pick 5 Lock of the Day #3 Lady Kate (5/2) – Cutting back 2nd off the layoff after pressing a hot pace vs Grade 1 company, she’s going to bury them.

Kentucky Oaks

Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 100k

#4 Heirloom Kitten (12/1) – The Conductor doesn’t particularly like the runners with experience in here and he likes this colt’s work tab.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.G2 Eight Belles Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Bizwhacks (20/1) – She ran sneaky good in the Ashland last start and is steadily progressing. The Conductor loves the cutback and will key her in the trifecta.

Kentucky Oaks

Races 6-11: The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Pick 6 Preview

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile.F.OC 75000n1x

#11 Free Cover (5/1) – Going two sprints to a route in her 3rd start off the layoff, the Conductor thinks she is the most talented filly in the field.

Race 13: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 100k

#4 Hallawallah (5/1) – Asmussen always seems to debut a good one on these big days at Churchill

Kentucky Derby Day Stakes Pick 6 Preview

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A group of racehorses competing in the Kentucky Derby with jockeys in colorful silks on a dirt track.

Looks like rain for both Friday and Saturday can be counted on and the scratch of Omaha Beach has made everyone lose their minds.  The Conductor’s eyes are bleeding from all of the capping this week and rest assured he is not done. Full card plays for the Oaks card will be up in the morning and the same for the Kentucky Derby Day Saturday morning.  This is why we bet all of those Tuesday’s at Parx. Sharpen the axe, Let’s Ride.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G2 Longines Distaff Turf Mile

#4 Beau Recall (10/1), #5 Daddy is a Legend (5/1), #6 Precieuse (3/1), #8 Got Stormy (8/1) are all win contenders the Conductor will be using on top, but his top pick and key in the exacta and trifecta will be the “other” Chad Brown filly #9 Environs (8/1). She blew away the field with ease in her prep race for this spot, which was also her first start in America.  She’s won multiple times over soft turf and a step forward off that last effort gives her every chance.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G1 Churchill Downs Stakes

Another spread race for the Conductor, this is a horserace. He’ll use #1 Do Share (10/1), #3 Majestic Dunhill (30/1), #6 Promises Fulfilled (4/1), #8 Mitole (7/2), #9 Uncontested (10/1) and #12 Whitmore (4/1) on top.

#3 Majestic Dunhill (30/1) – The Conductor will key this bomb in the trifecta with the other horses surrounding him in each spot as well. He had no pace to run at last start over a speed favoring Keeneland track and still ran a strong late pace figure to split the field.  He’ll get a perfect setup in here and will make the Conductor a rich man when he hits the board.

kentucky derby

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G2 American Turf Stakes

#2 Social Paranoia (10/1) – The Conductor doesn’t care that it was a maiden score last start, you don’t see bigger beatdowns on turf than his last start.  He’s steadily progressing and 10/1 would be more than juicy. The Conductor will use him, #3 Digital Age (6/1) and #8 Avie’s Flatter (6/1) in this leg.

Race 10: 1 Mile. G3 Pat Day Mile

#10 Instagrand (6/5) – Cutting back to a mile he’s clearly the one to beat, if he doesn’t win you can make a case for anyone else in the field.

#7 Mr. Money (12/1) – The only other horse the Conductor will use on top here, he’s been up close to solid paces vs very tough competition in his last 3 starts. The shorter distance will be perfect for him.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) G1 Old Forester Turf Classic

Another very difficult race, but the Conductor will only use 3. #9 Synchrony (8/1) and #12 Bricks and Mortar (5/2) are the class of the field, but the Conductor will also use #8 Ticonderoga (8/1). Ticonderoga has really progressed in his last few starts and has a thunderous late punch.  He looks primed to run a monster race.

Race 12: 1 ¼ Mile. G1 Kentucky Derby

For full analysis go to: The Conductor’s Kentucky Derby Preview

The Conductor will use #3 By My Standards (20/1), #5 Improbable (6/1), #8 Tacitus (10/1), #14 Win Win Win (15/1) and #16 Game Winner (5/1).  On a few tickets the Conductor will get greedy and use only the 3 non-Bafferts on top.

kentucky derby

Kentucky Derby Preview

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Dynamic horse race featuring multiple horses and jockeys in vibrant silks, showcasing the excitement of competitive racing.

The posts were drawn yesterday for the Kentucky Derby and the Conductor is now able to chart out the race. With speed drawn to the far inside and outside and Omaha Beach right in the middle, he doesn’t see how this pace doesn’t heat up.  The Conductor still has a lot of work to do in the Saturday under-card, but he’s got the big boy locked up. Only 3 more sleeps, strap in, Let’s Ride.

*UPDATE – Omaha Beach has scratched which stinks for the Conductor. It won’t change his win contenders, but will hurt their prices.

Race 12: 1 1/4 Mile. G1 Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve Grade I

#1 War of Will (20/1) – Rail draw and a major setback last race, he’s a straight toss for the Conductor.

#2 Tax (20/1) – The Conductor likes this colt a lot. He’s got the heart of the champion but the distance is a question. He’ll be used underneath early.

*#3 By My Standards (20/1) – He’ll be one of the four horses the Conductor will be using on top and trying to get alive to in all his bets. He’s steadily progressing with every start and the Conductor loved the way he kicked home in the Louisiana Derby.  He’s working well at Churchill by all accounts.

#4 Gray Magician (50/1) – He won’t be anywhere on the Conductor’s tickets.

#5 Improbable (6/1)

– An obvious contender with major talent, the Conductor is still a little undecided on him.  He was restless in the gate in the Arkansas Derby and ran a solid 2nd and is working like a monster.  He’ll be used in 2nd and 3rd and may be the 5th horse the Conductor includes on top.

*UPDATE – The Conductor is definitely using him on top.

#6 Vekoma (20/1) – Winner of the Bluegrass, he took advantage of a speed biased race track and the Conductor doesn’t like his action.  The Conductor doesn’t see him hitting the board.

#7 Maximum Security (10/1) – He romped in the Florida Derby and is a legitimate contender, but if he wins, the Conductor will lose.  He still hasn’t proven he can take early pace pressure and still finish.  He’ll only be used underneath.

*#8 Mr. Tacitus (10/1)

– He’s the Conductor’s 2nd favorite colt in here.  His Wood performance was very impressive, winning after getting slammed and checked going to the first turn.  He proved he can overcome trouble and that is a major key in a 20-horse field.  He’ll be used on top.

#9 Plus Que Parfait (30/1) – The Conductor won’t use him anywhere.

#10 Cutting Humor (30/1) – He has strong late pace figures and has an outside shot to run 3rd or 4th but no higher.

#11 Haikal (30/1) – Same analysis as #10 Cutting Humor

#12 Omaha Beach (4/1) – *SCRATCHED The Derby favorite and rightfully so.  He’s been tough as nails, turning away grade 1 winners in his last two preps.  The Conductor sees him running a solid race, but will be up in the teeth of what he sees as a hot early pace.  One of the Conductor’s horses will pass him late.

#13 Code of Honor (15/1) – He had no chance trying to close into a tepid place in the Florida Derby.  The Conductor can see him rounding out the bottom of the tri or super.

***#14 Win Win Win (15/1) – Exiting the Bluegrass Stakes he’s the Conductor’s top pick in this year’s running of the roses. He got absolutely stopped on the turn at Keeneland and still re-rallied against a speed favoring track for a game 2nd.  He’ll appreciate the added distance and will have pace to run at.  The Conductor sees him sitting mid pack and engulfing them at a big price down the stretch. Kick Home!

Kentucky Derby

#15 Master Fencer (50/1) – Toss

*#16 Mr. Game Winner (5/1)

– The 4th horse the Conductor will absolutely use in the horizontal wagers and the Baffert the Conductor like most.  He traveled wide on both turns in the Santa Anita Derby. Game Winner eeven galloped out past Roadster despite getting nailed before the wire.  He can run all day and is battle tested.

#17 Roadster (6/1) – He had a perfect trip in the Santa Anita Derby and the Conductor doesn’t see him getting another one from the 17 post.  He has talent, but the Conductor will only use him underneath.

#18 Long Range Toddy (30/1) – He ran a dud in the slop last time and it looks like there will be rain in Louisville Saturday.  He’ll drop to the back and make one run, the Conductor will only use him in 3rd and 4th.

#19 Spinoff (30/1) – The Conductor likes him, but he’ll have to expend a lot of energy early to get position going into the first turn.  He’ll be in the mix when the turn for home, but the Conductor doesn’t see him getting his picture taken.  Underneath for sure tho.

#20 Country House (20/1) – He’ll be coming from the back of the back, again no better than 3rd.

#21 Bodexpress (30/1) – He benefited from being up close to a slow pace in the Florida Derby.  From the far outside the Conductor can’t see him running better than 4th in the Kentucky Derby.

Top Pick: #14 Win Win Win (15/1)

Winning Contenders: #3 By My Standards (20/1), #5 Improbable (6/1), #8 Tacitus (10/1), #14 Win Win Win (15/1), #16 Game Winner (5/1)

The Conductor’s Kentucky Derby Stakes Under-card analysis will be up tomorrow.

The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Pick 6 Preview

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing red and white silks crossing the finish line at the Breeders' Cup event.

Full card plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor is generously giving us his contenders in the feature races on the Kentucky Oaks card. Nothing like hitting the pick 4,5 and 6 Friday so we can unload on Saturday. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. G3 Edgewood Stakes

#1 Newspaperofrecord (3/5) – This super filly is making her 1st start of the year, but she can’t possibly lose.  The ground will have some cut in it as well, which she’s proven to relish.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. G2 Alysheba Stakes

#1 McKinzie (8/5) and #8 Seeking the Soul (5/2) look to be the only two contenders to the Conductor.

*UPDATE – Upon Further Review the Conductor will also use #6 Instilled Regard (8/1) as a backup.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 La Troienne Stakes

#1 She’s a Julie (7/2), #2 Blue Prize (3/1) and #9 Secret Spice (3/1) are all logical contenders that have big chances, but the Conductor has a price he will key in the exacta and trifecta and use in the horizontal wagers.

#7 Teresa Z (15/1) – This mare is a closer and looks to get a nice setup with lots of speed signed on in this one.  She impressed the Conductor last fall and looks primed to run a top effort 2nd off the layoff.  She’s done her best running on a wet surface as well and the forecast calls for rain like every derby weekend.

kentucky oaks

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

This is the most open race in the sequence and the Conductor will likely spread wide and deep unless number #15 Soul Streit (2/1) gets into the field. He’ll be tough to beat.  #7 Solid Wager (5/2) is a solid favorite but can be beaten.

#12 Fuel the Burn (20/1) – The Conductor’s favorite bomb in the race is this horse exiting a solid win at Keeneland. Winner of 3 of his last 4, he’s become a new animal on the dirt. His figures fit against this group and the Conductor sees a peak performance coming 2nd off the layoff.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Twin Spires Turf Sprint

#6 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s the best turf sprinter in the country period.  The Conductor will likely single but may use a saver with #8 Undrafted (8/1) and #9 Will Call (10/1). He can see a scenario where #1 Bound for Nowhere (3/1) makes World of Trouble go too quick on the lead and give the two best closers a shot down the lane.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F. G1 Longines Kentucky Oaks

In the feature race of the day, the Conductor is going to TOSS the favorite Bellafina (2/1). She’s been beating up on nobodies in California and this looks like a complete pace meltdown on paper.  The Conductor will look for contenders who can pass horses down the lane.

He’ll use #1 Out for a Spin (15/1), #3 Lady Apple (20/1), #10 Champagne Anyone (6/1), #11 Jeltrin (15/1), #14 Restless Rider (6/1) and #15 Dunbar Road (5/1) and #16 Point of Honor (20/1) if there are scratches and they draw in.

UPDATE: The Conductor will also be using #2 Chocolate Kisses (20/1) 

kentucky oaks

Toooooooooooooooooossssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss!!!!!!!

Esophagus Slice Saturday: The Conductor’s Plays at Belmont Park

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A racehorse with jockey number 6 walking towards the starting area at a racetrack.

Officially one week out from the Derby. The Conductor is feeling tingly on the inside. Belmont Park time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. S.Clm 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 O Shea Can U See (10/1) – Dropping back into state bred competition he closed for 3rd into a slow pace last start. He’s 2/3 at Belmont.

belmont park

Race 2: 1 /16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000

#6 Magnesite (3/1) – Going two sprints to a route and well bet in both starts, its tough to like anyone else. In here.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#4 Dowse’s Beach (3/1) – He does his best running in New York and loves to win.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 52k

#3 Lookbothways (6/1) – She lost all chance at the start last time out.  She showed ability in her debut and will step forward today.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000n2L

#11 All Clear (20/1) – His races on the turf make him competitive in here, the Conductor doesn’t care about his terrible dirt form.  He’ll key him in the trifecta.

Race 6: 1 Mile (Turf) Alw 82000n1x

#7 Hoboe (5/1) – He has very strong late pace figures and loves this turf course.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. Clm 12500

#5 American Lincoln (8/1) – 1st off the claim, he won nicely last start and hasn’t missed the exacta at this distance.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 80k

#4 Value Population (8/5) – He’s bred to be the goods.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Elusive Quality Stakes

*Never a Doubt Free Round of Golf Lock of the Day #5 Therapist (3/1) – 1st time gelding, he’s 3/3 at Belmont and has a strong late punch. He’ll solve all the Conductor’s problems.

belmont park

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#3 Remstin (8/1) – Off a two year layoff, if he’s any semblance of his old self he’ll bat this group.

The Conductor’s Closing Day Plays at Keeneland

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Horses and jockeys lined up at the starting gate at Keeneland Racecourse during a race.

Closing day at Keeneland, opening day at Belmont. The train will stay in the bluegrass for one more slumber then will be stationed at big sandy for the meet moving forward.  From now thru Saratoga is horse racing heaven.  Let’s change our silly little lives. Let’s Ride.

 

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. Clm 40000b

#1/1A Entry (9/2) – The Conductor like both of the Presque Isle shippers, he’ll take either if one scratches.

Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#6 Change of Control (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she has an early pace edge and is steadily improving.

Race 3: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

#7 Scattered Strikes (5/2) – He’s the one to beat after dueling in his debut on a scorching pace and hanging on for 3rd. #10 Sandy Lane Kitten (12/1) is a price horse the Conductor likes.

Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 50000s

*Never a Doubt Friday Night Free Stews Lock of the Day #2 West Texas (2/1) – 3rd behind two next out winners last start, she’ll handle this group.

Keeneland

Race 5: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 79k

#7 Passionof the Nile (4/1) – This filly was well bet in her debut, was very wide and only beaten 2 lengths closing into a slow pace. Easy bet back.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. Alw 81000n1x

#6 Uber Kick (8/1) – 3rd off the layoff, he ran a good 2nd at this level last start and the Conductor sees him taking another step forward.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Crafty Daddy (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing for top connections.

Keeneland

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 100000n3L

#3 Lady T N T (5/2) – 3rd off the layoff, she looks to run her best today.

Race 9: 1 ½ Mile. (Turf) F.G3 Bewitch Stakes

#7 Maroubra (5/1) – The Conductor liked her late kick, closing into a slow pace last start. 2nd off the layoff, she’ll be even better.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 40000

#2 Baladera (8/1) – She just missed at this level last start in her 1st try on the Keeneland dirt. 2nd off the layoff, she has a big chance.

Throat Shot Thursday: The Conductor’s Plays at Keeneland

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Three thoroughbred horses racing on a dirt track with jockeys in colorful silks during a horse race.

Only 9 more sleeps until the Derby, Keeneland time, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 3/16. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Darling Vera (8/1) – She was very impressive in her maiden breaker closing from the clouds into a moderate pace. Her late pace figures give her a chance even though she’s taking on winners for the first time.

Race 2: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000n3x

*Never a Doubt Friday Eve Lock of the Day #4 Jala Jala (7/5) – The Conductor liked her in a stakes race that he can’t remember the name of that she scratched out of last week. This field is much weaker.

Keeneland

Race 3: 1 ½ Miles. (Turf) Alw 81000n1x

#7 Kurlin Rock (4/5) – Chalk.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. MC 20000

#5 Strafford (15/1) – None of the runners with experience have run a figure even close to par for this level.  Trainer Lee Thomas can surprise with debut runners.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 81000n1x

#5 Lessons From Avery (7/2) – With lots of speed signed on in here, she looks to get a perfect stalking trip.

Race 6: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#1 Johnny Unleashed (8/1) – He showed real early gas in his debut, he’ll be more fit today.

Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 85000b

#4 Sensitive (2/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she looks ultra-tough to beat.

Race 8: 4 ½ Furlongs. Mdn 60k

#6 Apple Empire (8/1) – His dam has produced a ridiculous 10 winners from 11 starters and two stakes winners.  This colt is also posting bullet works at Keeneland.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 79k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Oxburger (10/1) – This son of tapit was well bet in his debut and had a troubled start.  He’ll be a nice price and has a lot of upside.

Keeneland