Santa Anita Park Thursday Picks — January 16, 2025 | Return After California Fires, Full Card Best Bets

A dynamic scene of thoroughbred horses racing on a green track with jockeys in colorful silks during a sunny day.

Santa Anita is finally back after the terrible fires and we get four racing days this week. Time to welcome it back with open arms and then bankrupt the place. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 60k

#1 Final Edition (9/2) – This colt finished strong last time sprinting and now stretches out to a route off a bit of a break. He’s been working well and is bred to get the distance just fine. Final Edition gets a nice rail draw today and the Conductor thinks he has the most upside of the bunch. 7/2 or better works for him.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#4 Yacowlef (4/1) – This gelding moved forward after switching into the Jeff Mullins barn last time. He was 3-wide on the turn and still showed a strong late kick. Now he gets back to his best distance with a nice post. Mullins is 15% with a +$1.50 ROI this year with horses making their 2nd start for him. Rispoli in the saddle on the turf is an added bonus.

Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 32000n2L

#6 Jai Ho (9/2) – The Conductor was really impressed with this filly’s maiden breaker three starts back despite a poor turf trip. She disappointed in her next turf race, but that was against much tougher competition. Then dropping in class and switching to dirt last time, she ran a solid closing 2nd. Moving back to the lawn today, she looks primed to run a peak effort. Hernandez hopping aboard only enhances the Conductor’s confidence.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) Clm 25000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Bizzee Channel (9/2) – The Jonathon Thomas shippers have been firing in California and he’s got another live one here. This gelding has run better than it looks in his last two starts, being too close to quick paces vs tougher. Now he shortens in distance, draws well to inside and looks to pick off a weaker west coast turf bunch. 3/1 or better would be a treat.

Mahoning Valley Thursday Picks — January 16, 2025 | Best Bets & Handicapping

A group of horses racing at Mahoning Valley with jockeys in colorful attire.

0/3 Wednesday for the Conductor at Mahoning Valley. That’s not what we like to see. However, with the 15% takeout on pick 3/4/5’s, the Conductor has taken a liking to the track. Any track that reduces takeout, or ADW that actually gives you rewards (Iron Bets), the Conductor will support. Now shut up Conductor and get back to giving us winners. Skip.

Race 1: 1 Mile. Clm 5000n2y

#6 Tiz Speedy (8/1) – This gelding was no factor last time, but that was in the slop vs tougher. Now he drops in class and gets back to a fast dirt track. The last lime he faced similar competition under these circumstances, he won by 5 lengths. Now making his 2nd start for a new and improved barn, the Conductor is expecting a massive step forward.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. OC 40000n2y

#2 Atlantic Firestorm (15/1) – This gelding ran a solid closing 2nd in the slop last time after being on the bench for over a year. That race impressed the Conductor and Atlantic Firestorm should improve off that effort. He has some races to run back to in 2023 that make him a contender in here. He’ll be facing a very salty field with solid favorites, but he can inject value in the vertical wagers even if he doesn’t win. He should outrun his odds.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 24.3k

#1 Vdaytothetenacious (7/5) – The Conductor is still frustrated he gave out a short priced loser yesterday. Unacceptable. The Conductor believes this colt will redeem him and finish off your horizontal bets in the finale. He should leave this group in the dust. Gate to wire.

Mahoning Valley Wednesday Picks — January 15, 2025 | Best Bets & Analysis

A thoroughbred racehorse galloping at high speed during a horse race, showcasing athleticism and competitive spirit.

They canceled racing on us at Mahoning Valley Tuesday. Many people were saying that they were scared of the Conductor scooping their pools. Rightfully so, but their tactics didn’t work. The train stays in OH until every last spec of coal is mined. Let’s Ride at Iron Bets. Skip.

Race 3: 5½ Furlongs. F.S.Clm 5000

#1 Bay Magic (20/1) – This is a very weak group of state-bred claimers and this mare has upside at a big price. She enters this race off a lengthy layoff, but is working well for a new barn. Trainer Marco Ibarra is 22% with a +2.53 ROI this year with runners off 90+ day breaks, and is 31% 1st off the claim. This mare looks ready to fire her best shot and that makes her competitive in here. The Conductor sees her outrunning her odds.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. Clm 4000n1y

#10 Quantum Theory (8/5) – This gelding won’t be a big price, but the Conductor thinks he’s a favorite you can rely on in the horizontal wagers. He lays over this field and looks to get an ideal outside stalking trip.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. F.Clm 15000

#3 Tiz Independence (8/1) – The Conductor doesn’t usually like horses cutting back from a mile all the way to 5 1/2 furlongs, but he’ll make an exception for this mare. She ran well vs tougher last time and was up close to a very quick pace for the distance. She’ll be finishing best in this race, the Conductor is just hoping that she won’t be too far back early. If she’s within striking distance as they turn for home, Tiz Wonderful is very dangerous today.

Mahoning Valley Tuesday Picks — January 14, 2025 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

A racehorse galloping towards the finish line with a jockey in pink attire during a sunset at a horse racing event.

2 for 5 Monday with 9/2 ad 8/5 winners is a good appetizer to start the week. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. The train will spend Tuesday in Youngstown, Ohio and the Conductor will be mining for coal. Let’s Sign up at Iron Bets and ride together. Skip.

Race 4: 1m70yds. F.OC 25000n3x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Literary (8/1) – This mare has been facing much tougher in her last two races off a layoff. Her races vs similar competition at Indiana this summer make her a serious contender in here. Switching back to the dirt in her 3rd race off the bench, the Conductor sees her firing a top effort today.

Race 6: 1 Mile. Clm 7500n4L

#7 Money Room (6/1) – This gelding was bumped at the break last time and made a nice middle move before flattening. Now making his 3rd start off a layoff for top connections, the Conductor sees him firing his best effort. His A race would be good enough to put him in the winners’ circle.

#1 Devils Gotta Go (20/1) – The Conductor thinks this bomb is intriguing as well. He came back off the bench at Turfway last time and ran a decent figure on the synthetic. Now shipping to Mahoning and switching back to dirt, he picks up a high % rider in Angel Diaz. It is very interesting that Diaz hops aboard for a low % barn. The Devils Gotta outrun his odds 2nd off a layoff.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 4000n2y

#1 Krug (6/1) – There isn’t much early speed in this race and the Conductor sees Krug repeating his last victory. They sent him to the front and he finished off his race nicely after controlling the pace. Gate to wire.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Alw 25900n2L

#5 Main Line Cipher (8/5) – Nothing creative in the finale for the Conductor. This horse will be the heavy chalk, but the Conductor thinks he’s a cinch. You can lock up all your horizontal bets with Main Line Cipher in the finale.

Mahoning Valley Monday Picks — January 13, 2025 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

A thrilling horse racing scene featuring multiple horses and jockeys in colorful attire racing on a dirt track at Mahoning Valley.

Well, the Conductor’s coal supply is dwindling. The winter is in full swing and this is not the time to be draining resources. Let’s start the week off hot, and do so at Iron Bets for the most player friendly rewards in horse racing. Mohoning Valley also has player friendly 15% takeout on their pick 3/4/5’s. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 5000

#7 Team Hot Line (9/2) – This mare set a scorching pace in the slop last time going 1 mile. Now she gets back to a fast dirt track and cuts back in distance. She looks to get an ideal trip, and has many past performances that can beat this group. 3/1 or better is a square price.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 15000

#6 Go Girl (8/1) – This mare made a nice middle move into a quick pace over a sloppy track last time. The Conductor likes to see improving early pace figures as a sign of returning to form. She drops to the lowest level of competition she’s faced to date and looks primed to run her best. The favorites look weak in this race.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Clm 5000n3L

#7 Markhamian (4/1) – This horse has a major early pace edge over this group. He coughed up the lead in the slop last time, but he has done his best running on a fast dirt track. He gets back to fast dirt today and has past races that would obliterate this field. The Conductor will swing that that he takes them gate to wire at 3/1 or better.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. S.Alw 40900nc

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Henry Mac (6/1) – There is plenty of early speed in this race. The pace looks to set it up perfectly for this gelding. Henry Mac ran a strong closing 2nd cutting back in distance off the bench last time. Now 2nd off the layoff with more pace to run at, the Conductor sees him getting his picture taken. 4/1 or better would be a treat.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 5000n1y

#3 Ubiquitous (4/1) – This gelding was favored dropping to this level for the first time last race. He ran 2nd closing into a slow pace in the mud, and now stretches out to a mile. He’s only had one try at this distance and it wasn’t good, but that was against much tougher. The Conductor doesn’t think the distance will be a problem. He has a class edge over this group and should be a square price.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 24.3k

#1 Mr. Frederickson (6/1) – This colt debuted vs much tougher at Turfway and didn’t stack up. Now he ships into Mahoning Valley adds Lasix and gets the blinkers off. This trainer has a +ROI on the year and is tremendous with 2nd time starters. With 26 2nd timers this year, Israel Acevedo is winning at a 31% clip with a +$0.90 ROI.

Gulfstream Park Saturday Picks — January 11, 2025 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

Thoroughbred racehorse galloping on the track at Gulfstream Park with jockey in yellow attire and cheering crowd in the background.

0/2 at Gulfstream at Friday. The Conductor isn’t going to survive the winter at this rate. However, it only takes one good day, one good race, one good head bob to turn everything around. Grab a shovel and get to work passengers. We have coal to mine. Skip.

Race 1: 7½ Furlongs. (Turf) MC 25000

#12 Oscarworthy (8/1) – This gelding dropped in class off the bench last time and ran better than it looks with a wide trip around both turns. He draws an outside post again today, but the cutback in distance will work to his advantage. There is speed drawn to his inside and Johnny V should be able to work out a decent trip. The Conductor thinks he’s the most likely winner in the race and he’ll be a square price.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Sunshine Filly and Mare Turf Stakes

#3 Princess Bettina (6/1) – The Conductor is turning to the same connections in race 5. Princess Bettina returned off the bench last time for her first start in the Brian Lynch barn. She had absolutely no chance that day, as she was in the parking lot around both turns. Now 2nd off a layoff and drawing a nice inside post, she looks to get a favorable trip and should fire her best shot. She has multiple past performances that would put her in the winners’ circle here.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OC 75000n1x

#9 Scarecrow (8/1) – The Conductor is going to play against the heavy favorite in here, #6 Dream On (6/5), who has distance question marks. Scarecrow will undoubtedly appreciate the added distance today. He’s run big late pace figures behind slow paces in all 3 starts of his career. Last time he made a very wide move from last against the merry go round flow. He’ll have pace to run at today and the Conductor thinks he can pull off the upset.

Gulfstream Park Picks Today

Sunland Park Friday Picks — January 10, 2025 | Best Bets & Handicapping

Two racehorses competing on a dirt track, showcasing speed and agility, with jockeys in vibrant uniforms during a horse racing event.

Well, who had the train headed to New Mexico on their bingo card today. Not you? Silly passengers, you get the best rewards in the game playing Sunland Park today at Iron Bets. Let’s Ride.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. Alw 28800n2L

#6 Aztec Sun (7/2) – This gelding continues to just miss getting his 2nd career win. His 2nd off the layoff last time was better than it looks, closing behind a slow pace. He was claimed out of that race by trainer Andres Gonzalez, who is 24% with a +$0.57 ROI this year with runners 1st off the claim. Aztec Sun cuts back to his best distance today and looks to get a perfect outside stalking trip. The Conductor sees the new barn getting him over the hump.

Race 9: 5½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 25.2k

#2 Luxury Ride (10/1) – This filly was hammered at the windows after a scorching work tab in her debut. That last effort was too bad to be believed. The Conductor likes that she returns quickly to the race track and adds Lasix for the first time. We’ll get a much better price today and Luxury Ride will show what she’s really capable of here.

Gulfstream Park Friday Picks — January 10, 2025 | Best Bets & Full Card Handicapping

Thoroughbred racehorse galloping on a green racetrack with jockey in red and other horses in the background during a horse race.

Happy Friday, passengers. No Santa Anita today with the terrible fires out in California. Hopefully, they’ll be back stronger than ever this weekend. The Conductor likes two horses at Gulfstream today, and he’ll post plays from Sunland Park as well this afternoon. At Iron Bets, if you wager $250 or more at Sunland Park today, you get a FREE $20 bet. Let’s head into the weekend strong. Skip.

Race 2: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 94k

#3 Lean Music Machine (5/2) – This gelding ran very well in his turf debut off a long layoff last time. He chased 3-wide and uncovered on the turn and rightfully tired late. The Conductor expects a forward move off that race and he draws a more favorable post today. 2/1 or better is worth a bet vs this group.

Race 7: 1 3/8 Mile. (Turf) F.OC 35000N1x

#8 Aspen Dawn (4/1) – This filly has suffered wide trips in her last two starts. The Conductor would argue she was best last time closing wide for 3rd against the flow. Unfortuneately, she draws another outside post today, but she does get a turf rider upgrade to Dylan Davis. The Conductor will trust Davis to give her a fair chance, and that’s all Aspen Dawn needs to get her picture taken today.

Mahoning Valley Monday Picks — January 6, 2025 | Best Bets & Analysis

A thoroughbred horse racing at high speed with jockeys in colorful silks during a race event, showcasing athleticism and competition.

Happy Monday passengers. That means if you wager $250 or more on Mahoning Valley at Iron Bets, you get a FREE $20 wager. Mahoning Valley also has player friendly 15% takeout on their pick 3/4/5’s. Let’s start the week off right. Skip.

Race 3: 1 Mile. MC 5000

#1 Convert (6/1) – This lightly raced gelding ran some decent efforts close to par for this level this fall. He has since moved into the Khadeem Galloway barn and is making his return today. Galloway is 19% with a +$0.24 ROI with starters 1st off the claim this year, and his runners fire with this spacing. With horses entering off a 46-90day day break, he’s 26% with a +$1.74 ROI.

Race 6: 1m70yds. Alw 26400n3L

#3 Secret Trouble (5/1) – This race should have a scorching pace with the #1 and #2 vying for the early lead. Secret Trouble is a little light on numbers, but looks to get an ideal stalking trip, and faces his weakest competition to date. He adds blinkers for the first time and gets a rider upgrade today. The Conductor sees him running a career best effort here.

Santa Anita Park Sunday Picks — January 5, 2025 | Best Bets & Full Card Analysis

A thrilling horse race featuring multiple thoroughbred horses galloping on a green track, with jockeys in colorful silks at Santa Anita Park.

The train is running sloooooowwww to start the New Year. We need more coal and fast. No excuses, cap harder. Skip

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Mdn 60k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Springs (9/2) – The Conductor has been waiting to play this colt back from his debut. He missed break, steadied sharply entering turn, and still rallied to finish well against the front-runner flow. He’s working well entering today and now adds blinkers and Lasix for the first time. Most importantly, he gets a major turf rider upgrade from Baze to Rispoli. Springs is the Conductor’s best bet on the card if he remains 7/2 or better.

Santa Anita Picks Today

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) OClm 50000

#7 Six Magpies (20/1) – The Conductor is going bomb hunting in the finale. This gelding is a deep closer and hasn’t had any pace to run at in his last two starts. Last time he was stuck on the rail and couldn’t find room until deep in stretch. When it was far to late, he finally got out and finished well with a huge gallop out miles in front of the pack. This gelding is better than his recent form shows and this is a mediocre group he faces today. As long as a quick pace develops as the Conductor expects, he has a major chance.

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