Tag: aqueduct

Ouster losing a photo Thursday was a nice hoof to the groin to start the racing week. Unfortunately, we’re off the turf today at Aqueduct when the Conductor had some prices up his sleeve. We’ll make do. Skip.

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. S.Mdn 75k

#1 Clancy Fancy (10/1) – This gelding took a big step forward off the bench last time. He lunged at the break and still showed early speed and hung on for 3rd. He’s lightly raced and now adds blinkers for the 1st time. The Conductor likes Clancy Fancy’s upside making his 2nd start off the layoff and 2nd start in the Englehart barn. Gate to wire.

Race 8: 7 Furlongs. F.S.OC 80000n1x

#1 Walk With Me (9/2) – They bet this filly to favoritism last time off a short break going 1 mile at this level. She dropped too far back behind a slow pace that day, but still grinded her way for 2nd. They add the blinkers to her for the 1st time today and she has shown early speed in the past. With a cleaner trip today she can beat this field with the scratch of the #6.

Race 9: 1 Mile. S.MC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Wo Hop (8/1) – This gelding took money vs maidens in his debut last time and ran poorly in the slop. With just a 42k purchase price, the drop to this level after one start doesn’t concern the Conductor at all. Also, there is no rain in the forecast the rest of the day and the track will be drying out by post time. Now making his 2nd career start for Mott with Lasix added on a good surface, he can take a big step forward. This is a very weak field after the surface change and scratches at Aqueduct. It wont take much for him to jump up and beat this group.

The Kentucky Derby didn’t unfold the way the Conductor wanted. An unbelievable rail skimming ride by Brian Hernandez Jr. aboard Mystic Dan was the difference. However, Forever Young ran the best race. He didn’t have a great trip to start and was fouled repeatedly in the stretch by Sierra Leone who lugged in 6th paths. The fact that there wasn’t even an inquiry is a disgrace. If the Japanese horse was owned and trained by a big time American outfit, Sierra Leone gets DQ’d and put 3rd no question. Alas, the train continues onward and the Conductor is happy to get back to the NYRA where they finally have turf racing. The Conductor’s bread and butter. It’s coal mining season. Skip.

Race 1: 1 Mile. F.Mdn 90k

#1 Gioioso (3/1) – This filly had a brutal trip in her debut. She was bumped hard at the start, but had enough speed to put herself in a good position entering the turn. Paco then took her up sharply as she seemed to be making a potential winning move. This looked like a stiff job to the Conductor, as there was plenty of room to angle her out into the clear. She has major upside making just her 2nd career start in a race filled with average fillies

Race 4: 1 Mile. Clm 25000n2L

#4 Fighting Back (2/1) – The Conductor trusts this colt to find the winner’s circle more than any other horse on the NYRA card. He likes that Linda Rice spotted him aggressively off the bench last time. He ran better than it looks with a wide trip that day and now drops in class to take on a much weaker group. Fighting Back won’t be a big price, but you can confidently single her.

Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. OC 80000b

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Ouster (4/1) – This gelding won his comeback race last last time sprinting. He closed behind a slow pace in a race that was likely a prep for this spot. He’s shown he’s best routing and stretches back out in distance today. He’ll get a nice ground saving trip stalking the speed and pounce entering the stretch.

The Ductor apologizes for no picks yesterday. Unacceptable.  Very difficult card today at NYRA should some meaty prices. The type of card that gets the Ductor’s juices flowing. Let’s Ride.

NYRA Aqueduct Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OC 62500n2x

#7 Space Launch (4/1) – The Ductor will fade the favorite #2 Analyze It (5/2), who has disappointed many times at short prices. Space Launch is making just his 4th start of his 4-year-old season and 2nd off a short break. He showed ability last year and ran well last time going longer. He shortens to his best distance today and looks primed for a peak effort.

#1 It Can Be Done (5/1) – This gelding hit the board in two graded stakes races last year. He’s been disappointing so far in 2022, but showed improvement after switching to the Pletcher barn last time. Now making his 2nd start in Todd’s program, he’s very dangerous.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Outer Turf) Gio Ponti Stakes

#6 Dakota Gold (9/2) – In a wide open race on paper, the Ductor will be leaning heavily on this colt. He’s yet to run a bad race in his career and has only been passed by horses in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. He’ll get a good trip today up close to a moderate pace and we should get this morning line price.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.S.MC 40000

*Double Barreled Gullet Shots of the Day #5 Ma Mi Jo Dreams (8/1) – This filly has shown speed vs tougher and now drops to the claiming ranks for the first time. Speed is always dangerous in these races and this small barn is adept making this move. Schosberg is 3/5 with a +$7.80 ROI this year dropping maidens to claimers for the 1st time this year.

#6 Irish Empress (12/1) – This filly took money in debut vs tougher and showed early speed. She then ran a solid race on turf and a bad one over a sloppy track. She’ll return to a fast dirt track today and has shown some hidden ability in her races. Getting the class relief she needs the Ductor sees her running a big one.

This is a solid Thursday card at Aqueduct with full fields. Let’s hope scratches keep it in tact. The Ductor has honed in on two longshots. Skip.

Aqueduct Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 50000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Lady Firefoot (10/1) – The Ductor has bet this filly in all of her turf starts since her debut, where she showed talent with a brutal trp. She finally graduated at Aqueduct last time sprinting and now stretches out for the second time. In her first try going two turns she got a criminal ride by Castellano. She was hung wide pressing a quick pace the entire journey. Today, she draws an outside post with the same rider, but there is no speed to her inside. She should have no problem getting over to the rail going into the first turn and the Ductor sees her upsetting this weak allowance field. Today we recoup all of the coal this lady has cost the Ductor and much, much more.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 45000n2x

#2 Nueva York (15/1) – In a wide open state bred allowance race with many contenders coming in off form, the Ductor will make a case for a bomb. This gelding has been taking on weaker at Finger Lakes, but he’s consistent and his speed figures fit with this group. He had no chance last time stalking a slow pace in a race that produced multiple next out winners. He’ll get a good setup today with multiple speed horses in this field. He’s 2/4 over this Aqueduct surface. Trainer Stacy Torelli has a flat +$0.84 ROI this year and the Ductor can smell she has another live longshot here.

The Ductor is focusing on only the dirt races with potential snow. A solid three whack at Aqueduct to start the racing week. Let’s Ride.

NYRA Aqueduct Race 1: 1 Mile. Mdn 80k

#1 Rock Sugar (4/1) – The Ductor played him last time and he got a terrible trip and ride. His race behind Risk Taking last year would beat this group and the Ductor likes the added distance for him today. He gets a rider upgrade too.

Race 4: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 80000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Boss Lady Kim (6/1) – They thought enough of this filly to ship her to Saratoga and run in a Grade 2 after her debut. She was eased in that race and came ran to run a very strong 3rd with major trouble last time. Jose takes the mount for a barn he rarely rides for, and the Ductor is leery of the odds-on favorite who ran a big number in the slop on debut.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. Mdn 80k

Gunton Roe (6/1) – While this colt was well bet on debut and had a no chance trip where he made a sustained wide move on the turn. He puts blinkers on today and the Ductor sees him taking a big step forward.