A great late half of the card at Belmont on this fine Saturday. If the Conductor spends more time in the sun this weekend he’s going to be a part of the leather skin club. Time to head to the beach and pick up a lump of cash. This late pick 4 looks delightful. Let’s Ride.
Race 8: 7 Furlongs. G2 John A. Nerud Stakes
*Never a Doubt Late Pick 4 Single Lock of the Day #7 Do Share (7/2) – He had a troubled trip and no pace to run at last time. The Conductor has been awaiting to play him back.
Race 9: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) G1 Belmont Derby
*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Cape of Good Hope (10/1) – This is a spread race for the Conductor. This colt has very strong European form and had a troubled trip over soft ground last start. The Conductor will forgive that effort.
Also Use: 2,3,7,8,11,12,13,14
Race 10: 1 1/4 Mile. G2 Suburban Stakes
#2 Preservationist (5/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he’s steadily progressing and gets the acid test today. The Conductor is a little against #1 Catholic Boy (9/5) in this spot.
#7 Wooderson (12/1) – He looks to get a good trip up close to a slow pace and the Conductor likes his steady progression.
#11 Pavel (8/1) – If he doesn’t show up today, he’s dead to the Conductor. The Conductor is a suborn man and will give him one more chance.
Race 11: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.Mdn 80k
#1 Downstream (12/1) – The Conductor will use her with the with the Chad Brown runners, #9 and #11. In her debut she contested the pace with Newspaperofrecord. That’s all the Conductor needs to see at a big price.
Another decent day yesterday in this battle to survive another vacation. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 82000n1x
#7 Salsa Bella (7/2) – G3 placed, she’s the one you want if your trying to beat Chad Brown.
Race 2: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.OC 40000n2x
#9 Saratoga Treasure (3/1) – She ran a good 2nd at this level last time and making her 3rd start off the layoff she looks primed for victory.
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 14000n3L
#3 There He Goes (1/1) – Chalk.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Clm 30000n2L
#10 Gallant Bid (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff, she takes a big class drop today and gets a rider upgrade. She’s lightly raced while most runners in here are proven losers.
Race 5: 6 Furlongs. Alw 55000s
*Never a Doubt Not Even the Weekend Yet Lock of the Day #1 Happy Farm (4/5) – He looks like a cinch for Servis.
Race 6: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k
*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Giulia Ammannati (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t think she cared for the yielding turf last time and liked her debut effort two back. She pressed a hot pace and moved early before being run down late. The Conductor also likes that Jose Ortiz takes the mount for an out of town trainer.
A few decent opinions yesterday started the train slowly moving in the right direction. On America’s birthday what better way to fire away at the ponies, drink stews and exploit your friend’s private beach? As George Washington once said, “No taxation without representation and the Conductor never loses on Thursdays.” Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 50000n3L
#6 Carot (9/2) -She offers value and the Conductor likes the way Dylan Davis has been riding on the turf.
Race 2: 1 1/6 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 80k
#3 Ownitifyouwantit (5/1) – He’s run well on dirt and bred to be much better on the lawn.
Race 3: 1 Mile. Clm 10000
#3 Big Muddy (5/1) – 1st off the claim and 2nd off the layoff, his good race can beat the odds-on favorite.
Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x
#3 Greek Alphabet (7/2) – He looks to get a favorable trip up close or on a slow pace.
Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. Mdn 80k
#3 Extreme Force (7/2) – His sire, Constitution, is winning at a ridiculous 57% clip with 1st time starters.
Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.MC 40000
*Never a Doubt Independence Day Lock #3 Ghosting (5/1) – 1st off the claim for Servis, she adds blinkers today an Irad hops aboard.
Race 7: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) S.Alw 66000n2x
#1 El Hermano (8/1) – Drawn well to the inside, the Conductor will back Mott runners going long on the grass every day.
Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) 100K Manila S
*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Current (8/1) – He’s had no pace to run at in his last two starts and has run some thunderous late pace figures. He’s very dangerous.
#7 Win Win Win (7/2) – After playing him in the Preakness and Derby, the Conductor has to use him cutting back in distance and making his 1st start on grass.
The Conductor may have to ban himself from Parx after the last two days. Heinous performances, but the train is heading back to his bread and butter, New York, today. Let’s hit some prices so we don’t have to eat sand for dinner on America’s birthday. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 14000n3L
*Never a Doubt Five Day Vacation Starter Lock of the Day #1A Taylor’s the Boss (9/5) – She looks like a standout in this group.
Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 40000s
*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Chorus Line (20/1) – The Conductor sees this race as wide open and this filly has past pps that give her a chance. She’s shown signs of rounding into form in her last two starts and Rosario hops aboard which gives the Conductor confidence. He’ll key her in the exacta.
Race 3: 1 ¼ Mile. (Turf) Mdn 90k
#4 Channel Island (6/1) – Well-bred and 1st time in the barn for Mike Maker, his horses improve going long on the lawn.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Clm 32000
#8 Awesome Quick (8/1) – 2nd off the layoff, this mare has an early pace advantage in this spot. The Conductor sees her getting the lone lead which is always dangerous.
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 80k
#8 Paterson (9/2) – This daughter of Uncle Mo is drawn well to the outside and posting nice works for strong connections.
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 50000
#4 Smile Bryan (4/1) – The Churchill shippers have run well in dirt races coming to Belmont.
Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 100000b
#3 Noble Indy (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, he ran a good 3rd at this level in his turf debut last time. He looks to get a favorable trip today in a race without any other early speed.
Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L
#5 Heyitsnricopalazo (8/1) – He’s coming in off a layoff but is a 1st time gelding and has run well vs tougher. The Conductor likes his work tab and will key him in the exacta at a price.
Woof. The Conductor is tucking his between his legs and taking the train back to Belmont. Churchill kicked him in the teeth yesterday, luckily the casino was a little kinder to the Conductor. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 25000
#1/1A Entry – The Conductor likes both fillies and he get two for the price of 1.
Race 2: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k
*Double Barreled Gullet Shots of the Day #4 Running on Entry (5/1) – She ran very well in her debut closing into a moderate pace for 2nd. A natural step forward makes her dangerous.
#5 A Little Faith (12/1) – When Castellano shows up for low % barns on debut take notice.
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs. Clm 16000
#1 Professor Snape (5/2) – He’s been facing weaker but is consistently running figures that can beat this group.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Turf) F,Mdn 80k
#6 Livin at the Beach (6/1) – The Conductor like her breeding and she is working well for strong connections.
Race 5: 6 Furlongs. MC 25000
#7 Fortune Smiles (5/1) – Plunging in class, he’s run ok against much tougher.
Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 40000s
#5 Cardiac Kitten (6/1) – Bred to be better on grass, she won very impressively last start at Keeneland. The Conductor will empty the caboose at that price.
Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. S.100K Saginaw Stakes
#4 Dynamax Prime (5/1) – He looks to get a perfect trip sitting just behind dueling front runners.
Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 50000n2L
*Never a Doubt Lock From God #5 Course Correction (6/5) – Chad Brown.
What a great exploitation by the Conductor. Buy Stuff
500k Pick 6 carryover at Belmont today, let’s take this bad boy down, Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 1 1/16. (Turf) S.Mdn 62k
#8 Overland (15/1) – 2nd off the layoff, he didn’t have a chance last time behind a very slow pace. He’s working well and Rosario hops aboard. The Conductor will toss the M/L favorite Chad Brown runner #5 Graded On a Curve (9/5) on all tickets.
Race 2: 6 Furlongs. S.OC 40000n2x
#3 H Man (3/5) – Simple chalk.
Race 3: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Clm 40000
#3 Mr Maybe (4/1) – 3rd off the layoff and dropping back to the claiming ranks, he ran a huge late pace figure closing into a slow pace last start.
The Conductor will also use #7 Harv Won’t Tap (3/1) in the pick 6.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) OC 80000n1x
*Never a Doubt Pick 6 Single Lock of the Day #8 Mutakatif (6/5) – The Conductor will only use Chad Brown her.
Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) MC 50000
The Conductor like two price horses in here, this is were he becomes bold.
#5 On Spree (12/1) – A 1st time gelding dropping to the claiming ranks for the first time, he has upside.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Spindletop (6/1) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, she has a chance to wire this field without other speed horses.
Race 6: 5 Furlongs. S.Mdn 62k
Baby races are always tough, the Conductor will ride with Rudy Rod here and use #1 Bull ofBayern (7/2) and #6 Justin Vision (5/2).
Race 7: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.S.Alw 66000n1x
#11 Summer Squeeze (10/1) – She set a blistering pace last time before fading. She likes Belmont and is turning back in distance.
The Conductor will also use #9 Sadie Lady (2/1) and #10 Jaded Lady (5/2)
Race 8: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.S.MC 40000
#8 Funderella (12/1) – Her low % connections will keep her price high, but the Conductor liked her debut effort vs much tougher.
The Conductor will also use #6,#7 and #10 to close it out.
The Conductor sucked yesterday at Churchill, not what we wanted heading into the weekend. However, we have nice weather today and a chance to make some scores. The Conductor will focus his attention on the late pick 4’s in Louisville and Belmont. Let’s Ride.
Belmont Park Late Pick 4
Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 50000s
This is a spread race for the Conductor, but he’s going to TOSS the morning line favorite #10 Xanthique (5/2) drawn to the far outside.
He’ll use #1 Tizaprincessa (8/1), #4 Sun Summers (7/2), #6 Cockstrikestwelve (6/1), #7 Zandora (8/1), and #9 the Nine O (4/1).
Race 8: 6½ Furlongs. S.Alw 66000n1x
#7 The Big Lebanese (5/1) – Cutting back to a sprint, he looks to get a perfect trip today with plenty of speed to run at. He hasn’t gotten the setup in his prior sprints.
The Conductor will also use #5 Elios Milos (2/1) and #9 Smokin Platinum (3/1).
#4 Nova Sol (5/2) – 2nd off the layoff, she ran very well last start in the Hilltop after a troubled trip. Chad Brown will in this race.
The Conductor will also use #6 Blowout (2/1)
Race 10: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) S.MC 40000
*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Hudson Overpass (12/1) – He split the field vs tougher in his debut and ran sneaky well last time at this level. He dueled, setting a hot pace early and was only beaten 3 ½ lengths even though he finished 10th.
The Conductor will also use #3 Blue Parrot (10/1), #6 Champagne Chiils (4/1) and #7 Jack the Cat (6/1).
Churchill Downs Late Pick 4
Race 8: 1 Mile. F.OC 80000b
#7 In the Mood (6/1) – She ran a very good 2nd last time setting a hot at this level. She’s working even better leading in to today.
The Conductor will also use #2 Clever Serve (5/1) and #3 Devine Queen (7/2).
Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) OC 62500n2x
#2 Altito (30/1) – He’s an absolute bomb the Conductor will use and key in the trifecta. He’s a proven winner on dirt and ran a solid 4th closing into a slow pace last time. He hasn’t had many chances on turf, but his race at Kentucky downs last fall makes him competitive in here.
The Conductor will also use #4 Cowboy Culture (6/1), #6 Dontblamerocket (4/1) and #8 Keep Quiet (5/2).
Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F.Roxelana Overnight Stakes
*Never a Doubt Summer Saturday Night Lock of the Day #2 Covfefe (7/5) – The Conductor will toss #10 Mia Mischeif (8/5) and won’t use any backups in this race. This girl put on an absolute show down at Pimlico last start. She’s the goods.
Race 11: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 95k
#3 Double Axel (3/1) – She ran a hard charging 2nd after a slow start in her debut. Her recent works suggest she’ll graduate today.
#11 Risky Mandate (5/1) – Is the only backup the Conductor will use.
Decent day at Belmont yesterday, a few short-priced winners including the lock of the day and a couple of decent prices running 2nd. Looks like off the turf and smaller fields again which is annoying, but we play the hand we’re dealt. Let’s ride.
Race 1: 1 Mile. S.Clm 25000
#1 Blame the Theif (5/1) – Whenever he drops in for a tag, he wins. He also looks to get a favorable trip up close to a slow pace.
Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 12500
#4 Willdcat Belle (4/1) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, her early pace figs give her an advantage over this field. She can clear to front and dictate the race.
Race 3: 1 Mile. 80k
#1 Sagaponack (7/2) – This colt went for a cool 1 Milly at the Keeneland sale and is working like he’s the goods.
Race 4: 1 Mile. F.S.Alw 66000n1x
#6 My Last Million (7/2) – 2nd off the layoff, this filly is stretching out to her best distance and Rosario hops aboard.
Race 5: 5 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.Mdn 80k
#6 Morality Cause (9/2) – The Conductor liked her debut, closing for a good 3rd after trouble at the start. The low % jockey will keep her price high, but the horse comes first in capping.
Race 6: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Mdn 62k
#2 Tossup (5/1) – She needed her last race off a long layoff and has posted 3 nice works since. Her race two back at Saratoga she showed real ability.
Race 7: 1 Mile. (OFF Turf) F.Clm 35000n3x
*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Cartwheel (8/1) – The lone MTO in the field and dropping in class, the Conductor hopes she’s sent right to the front in a race devoid of pace.
Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. S.OC 40000n2x
#2 Real Dan (9/2) – 2nd off the layoff and stretching out to a route for the first time for Pletcher, there is no way they’ll allow the Conductor to get that price, but a man can dream.
Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. (OFF Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k
*Never a Doubt Thursday Night Stews Lock of the Day #13 Amos (2/1) – MTO
Back to back great days at Parx for the Conductor. Winners galore yesterday including a 12/1 #gullet shot in the opening race. Now the train back up to New York for the rest of the week. Let’s keep up the momentum and get this baby into 6th gear. Let’s Ride.
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs. F.Clm 25000n2L
#4 Bid You Adieu (5/1) – She’s working well for connections that can win off the layoff and any filly who breaks her maiden at Toga has ability.
Race 2: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.S.Mdn 62k
*Gullet Shot of the Day #3 Lookbothways (8/1) – She had a troubled start last time but has two 2nds at this level on dirt. The other runners in this group have unproven dirt form.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 14000n3L
#1 Midnightisalright (4/1) – She’ll go right to the front from the rail and should be alone on the lead.
Race 4: 1 Mile. MC 25000
#7 Ari’s Naughty Luca (4/5) – 2nd off the layoff and dropping in class, he’ll handle this group with ease.
Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) MC 40000
#5 Monmouth Dr (5/1) – He’s debuting as the lone MTO in this race and the Conductor likes work tab.
Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Alw 40000s
*Never a Doubt Humpday Lock #3 Bon Raison (2/1) – Throw out his last start on a sloppy track, he’s the class of the field and should get a perfect stalking trip just off the speed.
Race 7: 1 3/8 Mile. (OFF Turf) F.Mdn 90k
#9 Mercy Mercy (5/1) – Shipping in from California, the Conductor likes this girl getting back to dirt.
Race 8: 1 1/16. OC 62500n2x
#2 Dynamix Prime (6/1) – This gelding is in good form, loves to win races and loves Belmont Park.
Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) Clm 30000n2L
#2 Letzgometz (6/1) – He was pulled up in his last start but is working well leading into today. He showed talent in his maiden breaker two starts back and has the most upside in the field.