Tag: Belmont Park

Belmont Park Friday Picks — May 12, 2023 | Full Card Value Plays

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Belmont Park

The Conductor rarely blames jockeys, so you know what he’s about to do. Rosario’s ride on Keen Heir Thursday was as bad as it gets on dirt. She was miles the best and cost Mr. Ductor bundles of coal. After that, Shinsun was short in the stretch and Belmont Park had the audacity to scratch the Conductor’s kill shot, Chess Spectacular, in the finale. Can’t draw up a worse way to start the racing week. Whatever, onto Friday. Skip.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Clm 25000

#6 Spicy Margarita (5/1) – Shipping in from Laurel, she tried the turf for the first time last race and adored it. She was on the inside in a duel and drew off with ease in the stretch. This is a pretty weak claiming field at Belmont and it looks ripe for to steal it on the front end. Gate to wire.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#8 Lady of Thoroton (8/1) – Making her first start off the bench las time she showed nice 4-wide move on the turn. Now making her 2nd start as a 4-year-old, the Conductor projects a step forward. She’ll hit the board at a square price.

#10 Frosty Invasion (15/1) – She’s been terrible on dirt, but switching to turf last time she ran her eyeballs out. She was  slammed at start, made an early 4-wide move on the turn, and still won easily. This isn’t a deep allowance field and the Conductor can see her lighting up the tote.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

*Gullet Shot of the Day #10 Reflexivity (8/1) – She ran much better than it looks in her debut at Saratoga last summer. She chased the pace 3-wide and uncovered entire turn and didn’t completely fade late. Now she returns as a 4-year-old for top connections and gets Lasix for the first time. In a maiden race where many passengers will spread, the Conductor’s money will be on her nose to hit the wire first.

Belmont

Belmont Park Thursday Picks — May 11, 2023 | Full Card Contenders

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A large crowd gathered at a horse racing event, featuring diverse attendees in various outfits and styles.

0/3 Sunday in the Conductor’s return to Belmont was not what he envisioned. He’s getting back in the swing of NYRA, but he’s taken copious notes from Aqueduct. Tread lightly the first week or two until the Conductor gets a firm grasp on the turf and dirt. Then hold on to dear life. The train will be humming before you can say skip. Skip.

Race 5: 1 Mile. Clm 40000n2L

#5 Keen Heir (8/1) – Shipping in from Keeneland 1st off the claim, he ran a solid 3rd sprinting last time behind a next out winner. He’s been working well since and adds blinkers today for the first time. There is very little early speed in this race and he should get an ideal trip on the lead or up close to a moderate pace. This boy looks Keen to steal it.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) Alw 50000s

#7 Shinsun (8/1) – He’s a deep closer, so a lot has to go right. However, there looks to be a quick early pace and the Conductor thinks he’s the most talented runner in the field. He ran really strong late pace figures last year and had a couple of brutal trips. He broke is maiden on debut at Belmont at this distance too, so the layoff is no concern. At a square price the Conductor will take a shot.

Race 9: 1 Mile. (Turf) MC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #13 Chess Spectacular (6/1) – The Conductor is really hoping this colt draws in. In his first start on the grass last time, he had a bad turf trip. He traveled 3-wide and uncovered on both turns and still made a nice move entering the stretch. He’ll get a terrible post if he draws in, but this group is much weaker than the bunch he faced last time. The Conductor will key him at a square price.

Belmont

Belmont Park Sunday Picks — May 7, 2023 | Post-Derby Full Card Handicapping

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A horse with a jockey in red gear standing on the dirt racetrack at Belmont Park.

The Conductor is exhausted after yesterday. After review, Derma actually ran a really good 6th after missing the break completely. That’s racing sometimes, but that doesn’t pay the bills. Passengers go back to their normal lives and the Conductor gets back in the lab. To Belmont Park we go, Skip.

Race 4: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) Mdn 90k

#6 Certified Loverboy (15/1) – This colt ran well sprinting at Saratoga last summer. Then he showed grit in the slop going a mile. Now he returns off the layoff stretching out on turf for the first time. There isn’t any early speed in this race and the Conductor is hoping to send him right to the front. He’s expecting big effort out of this Loverboy at a big number.

Belmont Park

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 32000

#5 Alpine Queen (5/1) – There is no other early pace in this Belmont sprint and she’ll be all alone on the lead. With mediocre runners behind her, the Conductor will bet they won’t catch her.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F. License Fee Stakes

#4 Minaun (15/1) – #12 Star Devine (3/1) is the rightful favorite in this race and Minaun ran well exiting the same race. She bobbled at the break and spotted the field multiple lengths. She rallied well and made up significant ground in the stretch. At 5x the price she’s improving and has a chance to light up the tote.

Belmont Park: Key Horses for Friday, July 1

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A group of racehorses competing on a grassy track at Belmont Park during a horse race.

A productive Thursday for the Ductor, but Belmont Park protected its gullet with the the scratch of Vincent. They will atone this weekend, Friday’s card is weak. Skip.

Belmont Park Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) Mdn 90k

#3 Alcazaba (4/1) – This colt was prepped perfectly in his debut, taken well back and finishing best sprinting on dirt. He’s meant to stretch out on the turf and the Ductor sees real ability here.

Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. F.Mdn 90k

#7 Tizzy in the Sky (6/1) – She get a nice outside draw and has the best work tab of the bunch,

Race 8: 1 1/4 Mile. (Inner Turf) OC 62500n2x

#6 Bluegrass Parkway (8/1) – By far the best betting race on the card, you could make a case for many in here. This gelding has won off a layoff before and his races at this distance are as good as any in here. He’ll likely float higher than his 8/1 morning line.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 35000n3L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Zip Line to Heaven (12/1) – Shipping in from Pimlico, this gelding won nicely last time closing with a wide trip vs allowance company. Prior, he had been running well in the tough 5-furlong sprints at Gulfstream and the Ductor thinks that 6 furlongs will be better for him. The Ductor isn’t impressed with the locals in this spot, so he’ll be looking for an invader.

Belmont Park

 

Belmont Park: Key Horses for Thursday, June 30

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Horses and jockeys at the starting gate of Belmont Park during a race.

Heading into 4th of July weekend, we have an extended racing week at Belmont Park. A solid Sunday kept the train from going off the rails, now its time to build momentum. Although Thursday’s card doesn’t warrant lengthy discussion. there are a few playable races we can attack. Skip

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#4 Love Tank (9/2) – This filly ran much better than it looks on paper in her debut at Belmont. After she was slammed hard at the start, she finished well against a heavy frontrunner race flow. She should take a big step forward here.

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) S.Mdn 75k

#6 Compromiser (5/1) – His debut was clearly a prep for this spot, now he stretches out and switches to the surface he’s bred for. Additionally, Saez takes the mount for a small barn which is a good sign.

#7 Kingdom on Paws (20/1) – Underneath bomb

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. Clm 25000n2L

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Vincent (12/1) – Though the Ductor liked his maiden breaker two back, then he was thrust against too tough last time. Now he drops back to a level that suits him today and he has every chance against this group. The Ductor sees #1 Devil’s Code (9/5) as vulnerable favorite here. He’s taking a suspicious drop in class and also draws the rail after a long break.

Belmont Park

Race 8: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) Alw 92000n1x

#1 Balthus (5/1), #6 Hard Rye Guy (12/1), #9 Hilliard (6/1)

Belmont and Keeneland: Stakes Horses for Sunday, October 10

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Exciting horse race at Keeneland with multiple horses racing on the track and spectators watching from the stands.

Nothing a Sunday Stakes sweep can’t fix. Skip

Belmont

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) G3 Futurity Stakes

#3 Biz Biz Buzz (8/1) – This colt showed talent in his debut winning easy with an impressive wide move. He should get a nice trip today with a hot pace to run at.

Race 6: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G2 Beldame Stakes

#3 Zaajel (10/1) – The Ductor will ignore her last effort and play her at a big price. Her win two back over this Belmont track two back gives her a chance vs this group.

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) G3 Knickerbocker Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 En Wye Cee (8/1) – He ran well off the bench last time and may have won with a cleaner trip. He’ll be more fit today and Johnny V should take him right to the front in a race without any other pace. Gate to wire.

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Keeneland

Race 8: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) Indian Summer Stakes

#2 Kaufymaker (7/2) – The “other” Ward in here, she ran very well last time pressing a hot pace 3 wide. Shortening to 5 1/2 furlongs today, she’ll be very dangerous.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G1 Juddmonte Spinster Stakes

#4 Letruska (4/5) – She’s as game as they come and the lone speed. The Ductor can’t play against her.

Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) G2 Castle & Key Bourbon Stakes

#11 Heaven Street (8/1) – He won easy in his first try stretching out last time. The Ductor will enjoy plenty of bourbon to end is Sunday with a juicy price.

Belmont Park: Key Horses for Saturday, October 2

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A thoroughbred horse galloping during a training session with a rider, showcasing athleticism and speed on a racetrack.

Keep punching the clock at Belmont Park. Skip

Belmont Park Race 3: 1 Mile. F.Clm 40000n2L

#5 Raffinity (10/1) – This filly won nicely going 7 furlongs two back and stretches back out to a mile today. Her best race came at this distance over this Belmont track and she looks to get a good trip today close to a moderate pace. She has every chance in an open race.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Mdn 90k

#6 Hype House (9/2) – She closed well into a slow pace in her debut and the Ductor loves Kentucky Downs shippers. They always to take a big step forward off of that taxing turf course.

Race 8: 1 Mile. G1 Champagne Stakes

#1 Wit (2/1) – He ran huge after stumbling to his nose at the break last time. He looks to get a perfect trip today stalking a contested pace.

Race 9: 6 Furlongs. (Inner Turf) G3 Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational Stakes

#4 Buy Land and See (10/1) – This colt has shown talent and is working well for a barn that can win off the bench. Making his first start as a 4-year-old, he is very dangerous.

Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Woodward Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Code of Honor (5/2) – He is the class of the field and won his prep nicely off the bench last time. If he can run back to his 2020 races, they’ll be in trouble.

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Belmont Park: Key Horses for Friday, October 1

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Jockeys and horses walking towards the racetrack at Belmont Park during a horse racing event.

By the time the Ductor’s horses started running Thursday, the races were over. Pick 6 carryover at Belmont and opening day at Santa Anita today. That’s a good start to the weekend. Skip

Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.Alw 50000s

#6 Sweet Franny Lu (8/1) – This filly lit up the exacta last time, finishing 2nd at 36/1. Many will dismiss that effort, but if you watch the tape she didn’t have a good trip either. She pressed a hot pace and was wide on both turns. She looks to get a favorable trip today without much other pace signed on, and the Morley barn is red hot.

Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 92000n1x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Jades Gelly (20/1) – You need to be a little close to the looney bin to play this filly, but that’s what separates the Ductors from the passengers. She’s much improved in the Broberg barn and has run well on dirt in her last two starts. She switches back to her preferred surface today and her best races have come over this Belmont turf course. She ran a good 4th with trouble vs similar three starts back and this race is wide open. The Ductor thinks she can win and will key her in the trifecta.

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Belmont Park, Churchill Downs and Parx: Conductor Key Horses

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing a white and green uniform competing at the Louisiana Derby.

We’re heading into the weekend without the coal we had last week, but what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger. Great cards across the country this Saturday, headlined by the Pennsylvania Derby at Parx. Let’s Ride.

Belmont Park:

Race 5: 6 Furlongs. (Turf) F.OC 80000n2x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Tiple (12/1) – This mare does her best running over this Belmont turf course and she ran well off the bench last time, closing wide into a slow pace. She’s primed for a top effort today and she’ll be a nice number.

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Churchill Downs:

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. 1 3/16 Mile. Bourbon Trail Stakes

#6 Bourbon Thunder (5/1) – The Ductor will be deep into the Bourbon trail when this race kicks off tomorrow if he has his way. This colt was pace compromised in a duel last time and ran very well closing into a slow pace two back. The Ductor thinks he has a major chance and he’s heavily against #4 King Fury (6/5) at a short price.

Parx:

Race 11: 1 1/6 Mile. F.G1 Cotillion Stakes

#8 Always Carina (6/1) – She didn’t get the lead last time and was disappointing. However, she’s shown she’s better routing and will get the lone lead in here. She still has plenty of room for improvement and has shown she’s talented. The Ductor will back her to wire them if she’s near this morning line.

Race 12: 1 1/8 Mile. G1 Pennsylvania Derby

#7 Hot Rod Charlie (5/2) – He’s a stud and the Ductor can’t knock him. He looks to get a perfect trip pressing #5 Midnight Bourbon (5/1) as well.

#2 Keepmeinmind (8/1) – The Ductor has chased this colt a billion times and would have 10 ranches if he edged out Essential Quality two back. He was pace compromised last time, and the Ductor still thinks he has upset potential.

#10 Americanrevolution (15/1) – He’s taking a major step up in class, but that is a serious time he ran going this distance at Saratoga last time. He’s unproven, but is the one that can light up this tote board.

Belmont Park: Key Horses for Thursday, September 23

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A racehorse with a jockey in colorful attire competing in a horse race at a racetrack, showcasing speed and agility.

The Ductor was waiting as long as possible to see the weather and scratches. It looks like they will stay on the turf at Belmont Park for now, hopefully the rain holds off. Let’s pick up where we left off last week, whacking them right between the eyes. Skip.

Belmont Park Race 6: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Alw 50000s

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Determined Fury (6/1) – This gelding is steadily progressing and showed a nice closing kick last time. He’s 1/1 over this Belmont turf course and he looks to get a nice trip sitting behind a contested pace. The Ductor likes the switch rider to Rosario, who suits his running style nicely.

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Race 7: Mile. S.Mdn 75k

#9 Seizer (15/1) – The Ductor is a little leery of the heavy favorite in here and thinks this gelding has major upside. He took some money in his debut at Saratoga and showed early speed before fading in the slop. He’s working well entering today and should get a good or fast track for the first time. In a race devoid of any other speed, the Ductor will take a shot.

Race 9: 7 Furlongs. (Turf) Clm 40000n2L

#2 Bardolino (6/1) – This colt ran well vs tougher last time and has shown talent in his young career. Dropping in class today he should get a favorable trip up up close to a moderate pace.