Tag: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Picks and Analysis

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A jockey in red and white attire riding a thoroughbred horse during a race at the Breeders' Cup event.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf time, Skip.

Friday November 6 – Race 9: 1 Mile. F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

#1 Oodnadatta (20/1) – These baby turf races are brutally tough. This race has been predominately dominated by the US runners recently with Chad Brown. The Conductor doesn’t see any standouts in here and this filly is lightly raced and improving. He doesn’t think she’s good enough though.

#2 Miss Amulet (12/1) – This is the Conductor’s favorite European. He likes her races visually and she has a strong foundation.

#3 Alda (12/1) – She has strong late pace figures and looks to get a favorable trip with a hot pace in front. She’s dangerous.

*#4 Plum Ali (4/1)

3 wins at 3 different tracks and one of few in here proven around two turns. She’s the one to beat.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

#5 Aunt Pearl (3/1) – She is a very talented filly, but the Conductor is against her at a short price here. They are going to fly up front and she’s not going to be able to dictate the race on her terms.

#6 Nazuna (30/1) – This filly doesn’t look to be good enough.

#7 Tetragonal (20/1) – The California turf horses are very weak.

#8 Mother Earth (20/1) – The Conductor isn’t a fan of her recent form.

#9 Madone (10/1) – Again, the California turf horses won’t get played by the Conductor.

#10 Chapanelle (4/1) – She’ll be stretching out for the first time and will be up close to a hot pace. She’s a talented runner that will be over bet and the Conductor will be against her.

#11 Royal Approval (10/1) – Of the two Ward horses, the Conductor prefers this girl at a better price. She looks like she’ll be better with distance and she can also sit off the pace.

#12 Spanish Loveaffair (15/1) – She’s a little bit interesting but was clearly no match for Aunt Pearl last time and gets a tough draw.

#13 Union Gables (20/1) – The Conductor can’t see her working out a trip from here, pass.

#14 Editor At Large (12/1) – She’ll drop to the back of the pack early, so the post isn’t as big of an issue. She’ll get a good setup, is also proven at two turns, and Chad owns this race. She is very intriguing.

Picks: 4 – 2 – 3 – 14 – 11

The Conductor’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Preview

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A racehorse with a jockey wearing red and white silks racing on a track.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf time, Skip.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

#1 Living in the Past (15/1) – The Conductor didn’t like her finish last race.

#2 Croughavouke (20/1) – The west coast turf runners aren’t in this class.

#3 Shadn (10/1) – This filly has been very consistent across the pond and a good foundation. The Conductor won’t rule her out.

#4 Abscond (15/1) – She had a favorable trip last time up close to a slow pace. The Conductor doesn’t think she’s good enough.

#5 Daahyeh (5/1) – She’s the best of the Euros and is a definite contender with a good draw.

#6 Unforgetable (20/1) – The Conductor will forget about her.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #7 Crystalle (8/1)

She looks to be the Conductor’s best bet on Friday’s card if we get anything close to that morning line. This girl ran a monster late pace figure closing into a slow pace and looks to get a much better setup in this one. With a solid draw and Rosario aboard, the Conductor is licking his chops.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

#8 Tango (10/1) – This filly is a seasoned vet at this point and has faced quality competition in Europe. Her blowout victory last time caught the Conductor’s attention.

#9 Albigna (9/2) – Another European contender.

#10 Fair Maiden (12/1) – She’s the other American that intrigues the Conductor. She’s obliterated fields sprinting and will get a firm turf course for the first time Friday, which the Conductor expects her to appreciate.

#11 Sharing (12/1) – The Conductor can’t knock her too much, but he doesn’t think she can win from this post.

#12 Sweet Melania (5/1) – She’s been impressive in her young career, but the Conductor doesn’t like her in this spot. She has a wide draw and will be contesting a hot early pace. She’ll be over bet in the Conductor’s opinion.

#13 Selflessly (8/1) – She beat #7 Crystalle, who the Conductor likes best, last time but she doesn’t look to get as favorable a trip here and will be heavily bet from the Chad Brown barn.

#14 Etoile (12/1) – This filly has talent, but the Conductor will fade her from out there.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Breakdown

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Racehorse named Blessing Bait running on turf during a horse race with jockey in colorful attire.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf time. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

This race is more top heavy and less wide open in the Conductor’s view.  The favorites look extremely tough to beat, but the Conductor isn’t going to single the heavy favorite, there is another filly a with major potential.

Race Win Contenders:

*Top Pick #4 Just Wonderful (6/1) – This is the European shipper the Conductor thinks has a big shot to beat the American favorite.  In her last race in New Market, she showed a thunderous kick after having some traffic trouble.  She gets Lasix for the first time, is steadily improving and has top connections.  She has a major shot.

#6 Newspaperofrecord (2/1) – She’s the filly getting the most buzz around Kentucky as she enters the big weekend as one of the most likely winners.  There is nothing not to like about her first two blowout scores, where she looks like the real deal.  She’ll be very tough to beat, but a baby stubbing her toe in a 14-horse-field has happened many times before and Just Wonderful has much more experience against tougher competition.

Underneath Prices:

#2 The Mackem Bullet (15/1) – The Conductor doesn’t think any of the other American runners are any good in here besides #1 Concrete Rose at 6/1. However, there are a few runners from across the pond with ability.  This filly keeps getting ignored at the windows in England and continues to run bang up races. She’s just missed twice against Fairyland, who would be one of the favorites in here.  Additionally she is 6/6 hitting the board in her career.

#14 East (20/1) – She gets a brutal draw from the 14-hole, but that will ensure her price will be high.  She’s 2/2 in her young career and has been very visually impressive in both starts.  She has enough early speed to prevent being hung wide into the first turn. If that is indeed the case, then she can light up the tote board.

Absolutely No Shot:

#11 Lady Prancelot

The Conductor will not forgive her for not getting by a 35/1 shot last start.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf