Tag: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Picks and Analysis

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Three horses racing closely together during the Breeders' Cup event with a scoreboard in the background.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile time, Skip.

Friday November 6 – Race 10: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 TVG Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

#1 Camp Hope (30/1) – This race looks to have a very hot pace and this colt circled the field in his debut, running a strong late pace figure. This is a lot to ask in only his 2nd start, but the Conductor can see him picking up 3rd at a huge number.

#2 King Fury (15/1) – He flattered the Breeders’ Futurity by coming back to win nicely last time. The Conductor will make him prove it to him against Grade 1 competition.

#3 Reinvestment Risk (9/2) – He’s chased the heavy favorite in here and will be trying two turns for the first time. The Conductor doesn’t think the stretch out will benefit him.

#4 Likeable (15/1) – He cruised to victory last time, but he will be getting a much tougher test today. This is to much for him in the Conductor’s opinion.

#5 Essential Quality (4/1) – Proven around two turns and the Keeneland track, the Conductor can’t knock this colt. He has a major chance.

*#6 Keepmeinmind (30/1)

The Conductor is going to key this colt at a bomb in this race. He’s adding blinkers today and was the only one to close into a slow pace in the Breeders’ Futurity. With another step forward the Conductor thinks he’ll hit the board.

breeders' cup juvenile

#7 Jackie’s Warrior (7/5) – By far the fastest on paper, she’s the deserving heavy favorite. She’ll be up close to a contested pace in here and will have to try two turns for the first time. The Conductor doesn’t see her as a lock, but doesn’t have the stones to chuck her. There is a chance she obliterates this field.

#8 Classier (12/1) – Baffert can always ruin the fun, but the Conductor is against this colt. He’ll add to the wicked pace and he didn’t get hammered at the windows in his debut.

*#9 Sittin On Go (12/1) – The other price the Conductor really likes, he made a huge wide move in the Iroquois stakes and sustained his run down the lane. He’s working well and can make a big jump forward.

#10 Dreamer’s Disease (30/1) – He got away setting a tepid pace vs weaker last time. The Conductor will pass.

#11 Next (15/1) – The Conductor sees him chasing a hot pace and hung wide. Pass.

#12 Hot Rod Charlie (30/1) – No thanks.

#13 Rombauer (15/1) – The Conductor didn’t think the American Pharoah Stakes was a particularly strong race. He may be able to clunk up for third at best.

#14 Calibrate (20/1) – His effort was too bad to be believed last time in the Breeders’ Futurity. The Conductor can’t use him from this post.

Picks: 5 – 7 – 6 – 9

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Breakdown

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Breeders' Cup Juvenile

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile time, Let’s Ride.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

This race is being hyped as a classic East Coast vs West Coast showdown.   It’s a tail as old as time as the two heavy favorites meet in the middle to decide the score.  The problem for the bettors in this one is that neither of them of them are going to win.  The East Coast will win this battle, but it’s not the horse all the mortals think.

#5 Well Defined (20/1) – The Conductor thinks this boy is a very sneaky longshot, who can hit the board in this one.  He went wire to wire setting a slow pace last time at Gulfstream Park, but the Conductor’s figures don’t lie, and he’s run back two back very good ones.  If he can sit behind horses, he’ll finish strongly and Mike Smith hops aboard, which is very intriguing.

#6 Complexity (5/2) – The East Coast favorite, who has been extremely impressive, winning in gate to wire fashion in his first two starts.  The Conductor likes him a lot, but the added distance and other front-runners in here don’t make him a cinch.

#9 Game Winner (8/5) – This is the Bob Baffert type West Coast shipper that seems to win every big race.  Additionally, he’s proven he can pass horses and should get a perfect trip sitting just behind the leaders.  The Conductor thinks he has a slight edge over complexity.

*Top Pick and Gullet Slit #11 Code of Honor (5/1)

This is the colt the Conductor is most excited about on Friday.  He ran behind #6 Complexity in his last start, but he stumbled badly out of the gate.  The Conductor thought it was a monster effort to close from last while the pace wasn’t that hot.  Complexity will face more early pressure in this race and the added distance favors Code of Honor. He’s also bred to route and the Conductor envisions him running them all down in the stretch.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile

Top Picks: 11-9-6-5