Tag: breeders cup picks

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Picks and Analysis

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Racehorse Beholder with jockey wearing orange and purple silks during a race.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies time, Skip.

Friday, November 6 – Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. F.Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

*#1 Simply Ravishing (5/2) – She’s been nothing less than ravishing in her first three starts. She had a favorable trip in the Alcibiades, but looked like she could go around again. The Conductor will put her on top.

breeders' cup juvenile fillies

#2 Vequist (8/1) – This girl ran well behind #3 Dayoutoftheoffice (5/2), but she didn’t gallop out great. The Conductor sees her as more of a sprinter.

#3 Dayoutoftheoffice (5/2) – The Conductor can’t leave her off his tickets. She got a nice trip last time but ran like a serious racehorse. He thinks the added distance will suit her as well.

#4 Thoughtfully (20/1) – She didn’t have any excuse last time. She’s a sprinter.

*#5 Girl Daddy (6/1) – The Conductor is going to use this filly in the exacta. She ran huge at Churchill without the greatest trip and showed a great finish down the lane. She should get a good trip in here with pace to run at.

breeders' cup juvenile fillies

#6 Crzy Beautiful (20/1) – She may be beautiful, but has been soundly beaten by Girl Daddy and Simply Ravishing. The Conductor can see a scenario where she picks up the pieces for 3rd at a big number though.

#7 Princess Noor (9/5) – Visually impressive, slow on paper. She’s been the talk of the Friday card and it seems to be that most cappers are planning on fading her. The Conductor is leaning towards that camp. Coming from the Baffert barn, she’ll be over bet regardless and she needs to run much faster to beat these fillies. There are real runners in here.

Picks: 1 – 5 – 3

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Picks and Analysis

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Jockey in blue and white silks celebrating victory on a horse during a race with other competitors in the background.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf time, Let’s Ride.

Friday, November 6 – Race 7: 1 Mile. (Turf) G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

*#1 Sealiway (8/1) – Unlike the sprint, the Conductor thinks the Euros are strong in here. This colt was visually impressive in his last race and has yet to run a poor effort. He’s a strong contender.

#2 New Mandate (12/1) – Another one the Conductor can’t knock, he’s steadily progressing and fits with this group.

#3 Abarta (12/1) – He ran well with some trouble last time, but he was aided by the race flow. The Conductor is a little against him and thinks he’ll be over bet.

*#4 Public Sector (8/1)

This is the American runner the Conductor likes most. His debut was very professional, and he had no chance last time to chasing a tepid pace. Chad hasn’t been winning everything this year, so the Conductor thinks we’ll get a fair price.

breeders' cup juvenile turf

#5 Cadillac (5/1) – Another Euro who you can’t leave off your tickets based on his class.

#6 Mutasaabeq (5/1) – Circling the field from last to first always looks great, but like Albarta he was aided by a hot pace. He’s a likely overlay although he’s a talented runner.

#7 Fire At Will (12/1) – He won’t be able to get away with setting such a slow pace against this group as he did in the Pilgrim Stakes. The Conductor is against him.

#8 Outadore (8/1) – Stretching out from a nice win last time at Kentucky Downs, he caught the Conductor’s eye. The Kentucky Downs shippers ran during the past Keeneland meet.

#9 Battleground (6/1) – This race is extremely difficult, another dangerous Euro with strong connections.

#10 Ebeko (20/1) – He’s been facing much weaker in California. No thanks.

#11 Gretzky the Great (8/1) – He’s done nothing wrong so far in his career and has enough early speed to put himself in a good position early despite the post. He’s another major player.

#12 Go Athletico (10/1) – The Conductor likes this boy’s form and likes Sealiway, but this is a tough post. The Conductor is torn.

#13 Deviwala (30/1) – He’s not good enough from the parking lot.

#14 The Lir Jet (20/1) – Strong class, but the Conductor can’t use him from the 14-hole.

Picks: 4 – 1 – 5 – 11 – 2

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint Picks and Analysis

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Thoroughbred racehorse number 9 racing at the Breeders Cup with jockey in yellow and white attire on a grassy track.

The posts have been the drawn, stew poured, and its time to go to work. The Conductor will finalize his picks the day of, but this is how he sees it initially. We start with the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint.

Friday, November 6 – Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint

#1 Mighty Gurkha (IRE) (20/1) – This colt hasn’t won on turf and the Conductor’s against the Europeans in this race in general. With a tough draw you can have him.

#2 Windy City Red (30/1) – He ran decent last time and was stuck behind horses in the stretch. He finished well, but the Conductor thinks this group is too tough.

#3 Lipizzaner (20/1) – The Conductor likes his European Form better than the #1, but doesn’t think he’s good enough.

#4 County Final (15/1) – This colt has strong early pace figures and the shorter distance will help, but the Conductor isn’t sure the Futurity was a particularly strong race. He’s leaning toward tossing all those runners here.

#5 Cowan (8/1) – He ran a very good race last time over this turf course, he was gaining on the runaway leader. With two bullet works coming in, he’s a contender.

#6 Ubettabelieveit (IRE) (20/1) – The Conductor already told you he doesn’t believe in the Euro’s sprinting.

#7 Momos (15/1)

– Of the runners exiting the Futurity the Conductor likes him the best. He was game on the inside and didn’t give up 3rd while against the flow. He’ll be a big price and will be better at 5 ½ furlongs.

#8 Amanzi Yimpilo (IRE) (15/1) – She was game to hold on after pressing a quick pace last time, but the Conductor doesn’t think the Speakeasy stakes was particularly strong. This is a big step up in class.

#9 After Five (6/1) – He was rolling late last time, but he was aided with by the race flow. The shorter distance today won’t help and the Conductor will be against him if he’s that price. He’ll be rolling late but won’t get their time.

#10 Bodenheimer (8/1) – His early speed makes him tough to ignore. The Conductor doesn’t think he’ll get as easy of a lead as he did last time, but he is dangerous.

#11 Into the Sunrise (15/1) – This colt has the Conductor’s brain in a pretzel at the moment. He doesn’t usually like the cutback on turf as much as he does the dirt. However, he’s run well against classy competition and has the early pace figures to put himself in a good spot. The more the Conductor looks at it, the more he thinks he’s sneaky.

*#12 Dirty Dangle (20/1)

This is the Conductor’s favorite price. She was so professional in her win up at Woodbine last time. Showed early speed, took back behind the frontrunners, waited patiently and when she found room skipped by them like they were standing still.

breeders' cup juvenile turf sprint

#13 Second of July (8/1) – He’s 2/2 and has won at big odds in his first two career starts. He got a favorable trip last time and with a tough post the Conductor is leaning toward fading him.

#14 Golden Pal (8/5) – This colt is a deserving favorite and his last race at Saratoga was ultra-impressive. He’s got early gas which makes the post more tolerable, but he still may be hung wide with speed to his inside. He’ll have to earn it at a small price.

Picks: 12 – 14 – 5 – 11