Belmont Park: The Late Pick 4 for Monday, October 12

A group of racehorses competing on a grassy track at Belmont Park during a horse race.

The 15/1 shot in the 7th knocked the Conductor out right away yesterday. Hopefully some passengers were able to make a few shekels with the Gullet Shot of the Day running 2nd at 11/1 in the finale. The Conductor needs these prices at Belmont to stop getting beat by a neck, its bad for his health. Today’s late sequence is very intriguing. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. (OFF Turf) F.S.MC 40000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #13 Tiny Magoo (5/1) – With this race being taken off the turf, the Conductor looks immediately to the MTO’s. Throw out her last race where they tried turf and she’s run the best races of the group. 5/1 would be delightful.

belmont

#11 Chaika (8/1) – Be weary of trainer Richard Lugovich with 1st time starters. He runs very few horses but when he does they often win at big prices.

Other Contenders: 8,13,14

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 40000

The Conductor can make a legit case for any of the runners of here. Your on your own on this one, its about time you take some responsibility. The Conductor suggests you include as many as possible.

Contenders: All

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Alw 65000n1x

#4 Clench (6/1) – Stepping up in class today, this boy is in good form. He returns to Belmont where he is 2/2 lifetime and has enough back class for the conductor to give him a strong look.

Other Contenders: 2

Race 9: 6½ Furlongs. Clm 16000n2L

#1 After Prom Party (8/1) – Any winner of their last race is dangerous in a low level non winners of two event. He has good early speed and is lightly raced with more upside than many of the other proven losers in here.

#4 Dr. Devera’s Way (6/1) – Dropping to this level for the first time, you’ll get a better price because of low level connections than you should. He has every chance.

#8 Jack of Clubs (15/1) – Taking the blinkers off, switching back to dirt and also dropping in class. He’s a wildcard that the conductor can see surprising at a big number. He hasn’t raced on dirt since last year and those efforts certainly fit right in with this group.

Other Contenders: 5

Collapsing The Trachea: Columbus Day Plays at Santa Anita Park

Illustration of Christopher Columbus holding a sword with a ship and crew in the background.

Nothing like quality racing on a Monday. The Conductor sees plenty of opportunities on the late card at Santa Anita for some prices.

Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.SurferGrlL 110k

*Never a Doubt Fillet Dinner Lock of the Day #2 Lady Prancealot (7/2) – This filly’s first start in America was very solid, closing from way back for a good 2nd into a slow pace.  With some American experience under her belt and a more favorable setup, the Conductor sees her hitting the wire in front.

steak GIF

Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs. MC 20000

*Gullet Shot of the Day #5 Optimum (6/1) – He took money in his debut and ran evenly, finishing 4th in a 9-horse field.  That race has produced next out winners and the Conductor thinks the favorites in this field are very vulnerable.  This gelding should step forward in his second start and has major upside.

santa anita

Race 7: 6 Furlongs. F.Alw 50000s

#1 Tiz Toffee (6/5) – The Conductor hates favorites and the rail in sprint races, but she looks like a standout in here.  She’s run multiple races at Santa Anita that would smash this field. The he Conductor can’t find any reason she won’t run her best today.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #4Gypsy Blue (8/1) – After a very solid debut win two starts back, she had a trip from hell last start. She  had no chance after steadying early.  Now she’s been working like a rocket and the Conductor can see her running a big one.

Race 8: 1 Mile. (Turf) ZumaBeachL100k

#1 Rijeka (4/1) – This colt was well bet and pressed a hot pace vs similar in his last start. His debut in America two starts back was very good. In that race he sat farther back and won with a good late kick.  Switching to rider Franco Geovanni, the Conductor will bet Rijeka will get a more favorable trip today.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 40000n1x

#9 Major Cabbie (6/1) – He was miles back in her first start off the layoff last time at Santa Anita and closed from the clouds to finished 3rd.  The Conductor expects him to sit closer to the pace today. Now that he’s more fit, he should take a big step forward in his 2nd start off a long layoff.  Mike Smith stays in the irons as well, which is a very positive sign.

Race 10: 1 Mile. (Turf) F.MC 40000

#3 Sensible Thoughts (2/1) – With the best form on dirt and only one try on turf, she is diffidently the most likely winner.  The jockey upgrade to Prat makes her even more likely.

*Bonus Gullet Slit #4 Weather Market (12/1) – In this weak field, this is a nice price the Conductor can see winning.  She’s run well on turf against much better Maiden Special Weights and trainer Michael Pender is 17% with a +$1.52 RO! 1st off the claim this year.  If you throw out her last dirt start she looks as formidable as any in here.