Saratoga Saturday Picks — Prioress Stakes Day (August 31, 2024) | Best Bets & Analysis

A racehorse with a jockey in a red and white uniform galloping ahead on a racetrack, showcasing speed and competition.

Another Friday at Saratoga that causes the Conductor to lay awake at night staring at his ceiling fan. No excuses, cap harder. Skip.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. F. G3 Prioress Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #9 Brightwork (9/2) – The heavy favorite in here, #7 Two Sharp (7/5), is exiting a blowout win vs maidens. She ran a very fast figure that day, but had an easy trip vs weak competition. Brightwork was undefeated in four starts sprinting last year, and only faltered when they stretched her out vs Grade 1 company. She finally returns to the track in 2024 and has been working her eyeballs out at Saratoga. Trainer John Ortiz is a ridiculous 5/8 at the Saratoga meet and is ready to unleash his best filly. Brightwork is going to blow by Two Sharp like she is standing still.

Saratoga Picks Today

Race 11: 7 Furlongs. F.G1 Spinaway Stakes

#3 Sherbini (8/1) – This filly looks like she regressed last time, but she showed a serious turn of foot against a speed favoring track. She was too far back early, but made a eye-catching move entering the stretch and sustained her run for 2nd. Sherbini was still green that day and has plenty of room for improvement making just her 3rd career start. The Conductor sees her getting a nice stalking trip behind a hot pace and finishing best in the stretch. She’ll appreciate the added distance today, while the others in here will be fading late.

Race 12: 1 3/8 Mile. (Inner Turf) F.G2 Flower Bowl Stakes

#4 Eternal Hope (5/1) – This filly got one of the few poor rides by Prat this meet. She chased the Chad Brown rabbit in the Glenn Falls Stakes and set the race up for #7 McKulik (3/1). There is no entry mate for Chad Brown today, or any other horse with an ounce of early speed. Eternal Hope will be able to dictate the pace of this race and have the jump on the favorites as they turn for home. Hope is the most important thing a passenger can have.

Belmont and Keeneland: Graded Stakes Picks October 10

A gray racehorse with a jockey wearing a purple helmet and green and white silks racing on a dirt track.

Not great at Belmont yesterday, but the Conductor started seeing the ball well at Keeneland and was able to get a few body shots in. The tracks can only defend themselves for so long, plenty of quality racing today. Let’s Ride.

Belmont Park:

Race 4: 1 Mile. C1 Champagne Stakes

#5 Reinvestment Risk (8/5) – This colt ran behind #4 Jackie’s Warrior (3/5) last time, but the Conductor thinks he can turn the tables. He’s bred to go longer and the extra furlong today will help his cause.

Race 5: 1 Mile. F.Frizette-G1 Frizette Stakes

The Conductor prefers #1 Vequist (2/1) over the #2 Cantata (9/5). Vequist has been tested by winners and gutted them like a fish.

#6 Get On the Bus (20/1) – A bomb that the Conductor will use underneath, this filly looks to get a nice trip with a hot pace to close into. She should improve on the stretch-out and O’neil clearly thinks highly of her, throwing her into graded stakes right away.

Keeneland

Race 8: 1 ¼ Mile (Turf) G1 Flower Bowl

#1 Cambier Parc (5/2) – The Conductor has always been a fan of this filly. 2nd off the layoff for Chad she’s the one to beat.

#4 La Signare (8/1) – She’s been facing tougher competition than this group and has run well despite not getting into the winner’s circle. At a nice price in a small field the Conductor will include her.

Race 9: 1 ¼ Mile. G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes

#4 Tacitus (1/1) – This isn’t a great betting race, but Tacitus should destroy this field (tell me if you’ve heard that before). He’s let people down enough times that he may be a higher price than he should. The Conductor will take anything over even money.

Race 10: 1 Mile (Turf) G2 Sands Point

This looks like another chalky race to the Conductor. #1 Tamahere (5/2) will be is top pick, but #3 Selflessly and #5 Miss J McKay (7/2) are the only other winning contenders and he doesn’t have a strong opinion.

Keeneland:

Race 8: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Hagyard Fayette Stakes

Now this is a good gambling race and the Conductor likes some prices.

*Double Barreled Buckshot #1 Coastal Defense (6/1) – This colt continues to steadily progress and improve the further he runs. He can put himself in a good spot early and wont tire.

#10 Aurelius Maximus (10/1) – This colt was well meant as a baby and has struggled to stay on the racetrack. He looked very good in his comeback win off a break last time and looks to be sitting on a big one 2nd off the layoff.

Keeneland

The Conductor will mainly be using those two, but #4 Mirinaque (15/1) is an intriguing bomb that he will use a little bit as well. He was ultra-consistent in Argentina on both turf and dirt and against massive fields. His only race in the states was behind Maximum Security and he didn’t show his best that day. He’s a wildcard that will be a huge number.

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. (Turf) F.G1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup S

#4 Magic Attitude (5/2) – This filly looked smooth as silk in her first start in the US last time. The Conductor thinks she’ll be very tough to beat.

#6 Hendy Woods (10/1) – She was checked hard in her last start and was still able to run 2nd behind Sharing, who would be favored in here. She’ll be a nice price and take a big step forward with a clean trip.

#1 Harvey’s Little Goyle (3/1) – The Conductor has been impressed by her versatility at Keeneland and the shorter distance will help her today.