Elate let us down yesterday in the late pick 5 at Keeneland, in a sequence that the Conductor otherwise saw perfectly. Never too early to prep for Wednesday.
Race 1: 1 1/8 Mile. Clm 30000n2L
*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Treasure Trove (6/1) – Switching back to dirt 3rd off the layoff, this boy is also a 1st time gelding. Trainer Kellyn Gorder is adept with this move, being 28% with a +$0.29 ROI switching runners from turf to dirt this year.
Race 2: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k
#3 Shared Legacy (6/1) – This colt bobbled at the start and pressed a hot pace last time and still ran well. He should step forward and appreciate the shorter distance here.
Race 3: 6 Furlongs. Clm 50000n3L
#6 Senor Jobim (5/1) – The Conductor sees him rounding back to a peak effort.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 20000
#4 Dreaming Diamonds (4/1) – This filly stepped forward last start and the Conductor sees her continuing the progression.
Race 5: 1 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 71k
#2 Ramsey Solution (4/1) – This colt is bred to be a good one and the Conductor doesn’t like the runners with experience in this group.
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs. Alw 73000n1x
#9 Breaking News (15/1) – #4 Honest Mischief (1/1) looks tough to beat, but the Conductor likes this colt to hit the board at a big price. 2nd off the layoff, he ran a monster late pace figure in his return to the races last start. The Conductor will key him in the exacta and tri.
#9 Diamond Sparkles (6/1) – This filly ran very well last time vs Grade 1 company closing into a slow pace. She looks to get a much better setup in here with a hot pace to run at. Anywhere close to 6/1 would be glorious.
Race 8: 7 Furlongs. MC 30000
#12 New York Style (9/2) – The only concern is the post.
A nice 5/1 winner and 2nd at 13/1, but we needed the lock to win in the last. However, as long as we can play the next day, the Conductor won’t complain. Keeneland plays for Thursday will be up shortly.
Not a good day at Parx yesterday, but none of you played anyway. The Conductor is taking the train back to Kentucky today to find more 23-1 winners at Keeneland. We need a big day to turn this week around. The Conductor will be swinging for the fences, Keeneland, you protect your neck.
Race 4: 6 Furlongs. F.MC 50000
#11 Floss Dancer (6/1) – In this wide open maiden claimer, the Conductor will lean on this filly drawn to the outside. Her dam has produced 4 winners from 8 starters and trainer Albert Stall Jr. is hitting at a preposterous 38% clip with a +$1.47 ROI debuting maiden claimers. She’s working well and all signs point to her running a big one.
Race 5: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F.Alw 69000n1x
#3 Lenamarie (5/1) – This $335k filly broke her maiden impressively at Keeneland last fall and has only raced once since. She’s been working consistently well entering today and the Conductor isn’t concerned about the layoff with these connections. Drawn well to the inside, she should get a ground saving trip and the Conductor thinks she has the most upside in this field.
Race 6: 6½ Furlongs. OC 100000n2x
#12 Smart Remark (8/1) – Up close to a hot pace at turf last start, this gelding ran better than it looks on paper. He should improve in his second start off a layoff and switching back to dirt, his preferred surface. He’s run his two best career races in his two starts on the Keeneland dirt and drawn well to the Conductor is salivating to bet him at 8/1
Where else can you get a Grade 2 on a Tuesday? The Conductor loves this place so much.
*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Pekhet (8/1) – She finished in front of the likely favorite in here #12 Fierce Scarlett in her debut then broke her maiden in her next start at this distance. She has a better post than the outside favorites and should be able to dictate her own trip sitting just off the leave. In a race where many haven’t proven they can go two turns, 8/1 is stealing.
Race 8: 7 Furlongs. Clm 20000n2L
*Never a Doubt Mortgage Lock of the Day #2 House of Commons (7/2) – The Conductor is going for a new house again today and he will single this gelding in all of his wagers. He’s taking a major class drop today and made the lead last time out against much better. He has 2 figures above par for this level in his young career and his early pace figs tower over this field. Its not a question of whether he wins, the question is by how many.