Ponies

Force Feed Friday: The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Plays at Churchill Downs

Its going to be a long two day grind at the office, Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 1 Mile. (Turf) Alw 50000s

#5 Tom’s Last General (9/2) – He just missed last start setting a hot pace vs similar competition. He should get a favorable trip without much other speed in here.

Race 2: 6 Furlongs. F.OC 80000n3x

#6 Magical (6/1) – This filly is making her first start of the year, but the layoff is no concern with top connections.  She has an earl pace edge over this field, which is very dangerous in any sprint.

Race 3: 7 Furlongs. F.OC 75000n1x

*Never a Doubt Early Pick 5 Lock of the Day #3 Lady Kate (5/2) – Cutting back 2nd off the layoff after pressing a hot pace vs Grade 1 company, she’s going to bury them.

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Race 4: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) Mdn 100k

#4 Heirloom Kitten (12/1) – The Conductor doesn’t particularly like the runners with experience in here and he likes this colt’s work tab.

Race 5: 7 Furlongs. F.G2 Eight Belles Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #8 Bizwhacks (20/1) – She ran sneaky good in the Ashland last start and is steadily progressing. The Conductor loves the cutback and will key her in the trifecta.

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Races 6-11: The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Pick 6 Preview

Race 12: 1 1/16 Mile.F.OC 75000n1x

#11 Free Cover (5/1) – Going two sprints to a route in her 3rd start off the layoff, the Conductor thinks she is the most talented filly in the field.

Race 13: 6 Furlongs. F.Mdn 100k

#4 Hallawallah (5/1) – Asmussen always seems to debut a good one on these big days at Churchill

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Ponies, Videos

The Conductor’s Kentucky Oaks Day Pick 6 Preview

Full card plays will be up Friday, but the Conductor is generously giving us his contenders in the feature races on the Oaks card. Nothing like hitting the pick 4,5 and 6 Friday so we can unload on Saturday. Let’s Ride.

Race 6: 1 1/16 Mile. (Turf) F. G3 Edgewood Stakes

#1 Newspaperofrecord (3/5) – This super filly is making her 1st start of the year, but she can’t possibly lose.  The ground will have some cut in it as well, which she’s proven to relish.

Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile. G2 Alysheba Stakes

#1 McKinzie (8/5) and #8 Seeking the Soul (5/2) look to be the only two contenders to the Conductor.

*UPDATE – Upon Further Review the Conductor will also use #6 Instilled Regard (8/1) as a backup.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. G1 La Troienne Stakes

#1 She’s a Julie (7/2), #2 Blue Prize (3/1) and #9 Secret Spice (3/1) are all logical contenders that have big chances, but the Conductor has a price he will key in the exacta and trifecta and use in the horizontal wagers.

#7 Teresa Z (15/1) – This mare is a closer and looks to get a nice setup with lots of speed signed on in this one.  She impressed the Conductor last fall and looks primed to run a top effort 2nd off the layoff.  She’s done her best running on a wet surface as well and the forecast calls for rain like every derby weekend.

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Race 9: 7 Furlongs. OC 62500n2x

This is the most open race in the sequence and the Conductor will likely spread wide and deep unless number #15 Soul Streit (2/1) gets into the field. He’ll be tough to beat.  #7 Solid Wager (5/2) is a solid favorite but can be beaten.

#12 Fuel the Burn (20/1) – The Conductor’s favorite bomb in the race is this horse exiting a solid win at Keeneland. Winner of 3 of his last 4, he’s become a new animal on the dirt. His figures fit against this group and the Conductor sees a peak performance coming 2nd off the layoff.

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs. (Turf) G2 Twin Spires Turf Sprint

#6 World of Trouble (1/1) – He’s the best turf sprinter in the country period.  The Conductor will likely single but may use a saver with #8 Undrafted (8/1) and #9 Will Call (10/1). He can see a scenario where #1 Bound for Nowhere (3/1) makes World of Trouble go too quick on the lead and give the two best closers a shot down the lane.

Race 11: 1 1/8 Mile. F. G1 Longines Kentucky Oaks

In the feature race of the day, the Conductor is going to TOSS the favorite Bellafina (2/1). She’s been beating up on nobodies in California and this looks like a complete pace meltdown on paper.  The Conductor will look for contenders who can pass horses down the lane.

He’ll use #1 Out for a Spin (15/1), #3 Lady Apple (20/1), #10 Champagne Anyone (6/1), #11 Jeltrin (15/1), #14 Restless Rider (6/1) and #15 Dunbar Road (5/1) and #16 Point of Honor (20/1) if there are scratches and they draw in.

UPDATE: The Conductor will also be using #2 Chocolate Kisses (20/1) 

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Toooooooooooooooooossssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss!!!!!!!