Tag: mahoning valley

The only thing colder than a Midwest winter was the Conductor’s picks Monday. 0/3 and we weren’t even close. The outside posts were where you wanted to be and Mr. Ductor’s horses were running on the inside. That’s the danger of submitting picks early on dirt. Pay close attention to the track passengers, and always be willing to adapt if you see a trend. Bounce back Tuesday, Let’s Ride.

Race 2: 5½ Furlongs. Clm 5000n3L

#6 Wild Time (5/1) – Throw out this geldings last try in the slop. His numbers fit with this group on a fast dirt track. He looks to get an ideal outside stalking trip today and he will have pace to run at. The Conductor is hoping the favorites duel each other into submission early.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 10000n1y

#5 Half Birthday (8/1) – This mare has run many speed figures that can beat this group on synthetic. She hasn’t been able to translate them to dirt, but she moved into a much improved barn last time. Now making making her 2nd start off the bench, the Conductor thinks she bucks that trend today. Trainer Valerie Shanyfelt is winning a 29% clip with a ridiculous +$5.72 ROI with horses making their 2nd start. The Conductor likes the confidence they have to bump Half Birthday up in class after last time too.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. Clm 5000n2y

#6 Monterey Peninsula (5/1) – This gelding dropped to this level last time and ran a decent 3rd in the slop. He was claimed out that race and the Conductor thinks that was a smart move. Monterey Peninsula will face the weakest level of competition he ever has today on a fast dirt track. He isn’t a mudder and will like the return to his preferred surface.

Don’t be stupid passengers, always play Mahoning Valley with Iron Bets to get the best wager rewards.

After the Pegasus weekend, all the fair-weather fans put their fancy clothes away and don’t think about horse racing until the first Saturday in May. The true grinders and passengers show up and punch the clock on Monday in Youngstown, OH. If they’re smart they use Iron Bets too. Skip.

Race 4: 1 Mile. F.Clm 7500n3L

#4 Queen Lexi (8/1) – This filly ran well sprinting last time, closing into a slow pace while being in the parking lot on the turn. Now with two sprints under her belt, she stretches out to a route in her 3rd start off a short break. Trainer Tommy short is 19% with a +$0.57 ROI this year with this training pattern. The Conductor would love over 5/1 in this wide open race.

Race 5: 1 Mile. Clm 15000

#2 Rose’s Pepino (9/2) – This gelding runs monstrous late pace figures every time. He had no chance last time being far back early behind a tepid pace. If this field stays in tact, he should get a much more favorable pace scenario today. He will be flying late.

Race 6: 1 Mile. Clm 4000n2y

#3 Endless Sunset (15/1) – This gelding moved into a much improved barn last start and showed more early speed in the slop vs tougher. Now he drops in class and gets back to fast dirt track for the first time in ages. His last start on fast dirt was good enough to win this race. Endless Sunset is the Conductor’s favorite longshot on the card.

0/3 Wednesday for the Conductor at Mahoning Valley. That’s not what we like to see. However, with the 15% takeout on pick 3/4/5’s, the Conductor has taken a liking to the track. Any track that reduces takeout, or ADW that actually gives you rewards (Iron Bets), the Conductor will support. Now shut up Conductor and get back to giving us winners. Skip.

Race 1: 1 Mile. Clm 5000n2y

#6 Tiz Speedy (8/1) – This gelding was no factor last time, but that was in the slop vs tougher. Now he drops in class and gets back to a fast dirt track. The last lime he faced similar competition under these circumstances, he won by 5 lengths. Now making his 2nd start for a new and improved barn, the Conductor is expecting a massive step forward.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. OC 40000n2y

#2 Atlantic Firestorm (15/1) – This gelding ran a solid closing 2nd in the slop last time after being on the bench for over a year. That race impressed the Conductor and Atlantic Firestorm should improve off that effort. He has some races to run back to in 2023 that make him a contender in here. He’ll be facing a very salty field with solid favorites, but he can inject value in the vertical wagers even if he doesn’t win. He should outrun his odds.

Race 8: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 24.3k

#1 Vdaytothetenacious (7/5) – The Conductor is still frustrated he gave out a short priced loser yesterday. Unacceptable. The Conductor believes this colt will redeem him and finish off your horizontal bets in the finale. He should leave this group in the dust. Gate to wire.

They canceled racing on us at Mahoning Valley Tuesday. Many people were saying that they were scared of the Conductor scooping their pools. Rightfully so, but their tactics didn’t work. The train stays in OH until every last spec of coal is mined. Let’s Ride at Iron Bets. Skip.

Race 3: 5½ Furlongs. F.S.Clm 5000

#1 Bay Magic (20/1) – This is a very weak group of state-bred claimers and this mare has upside at a big price. She enters this race off a lengthy layoff, but is working well for a new barn. Trainer Marco Ibarra is 22% with a +2.53 ROI this year with runners off 90+ day breaks, and is 31% 1st off the claim. This mare looks ready to fire her best shot and that makes her competitive in here. The Conductor sees her outrunning her odds.

Race 5: 5½ Furlongs. Clm 4000n1y

#10 Quantum Theory (8/5) – This gelding won’t be a big price, but the Conductor thinks he’s a favorite you can rely on in the horizontal wagers. He lays over this field and looks to get an ideal outside stalking trip.

Race 6: 5½ Furlongs. F.Clm 15000

#3 Tiz Independence (8/1) – The Conductor doesn’t usually like horses cutting back from a mile all the way to 5 1/2 furlongs, but he’ll make an exception for this mare. She ran well vs tougher last time and was up close to a very quick pace for the distance. She’ll be finishing best in this race, the Conductor is just hoping that she won’t be too far back early. If she’s within striking distance as they turn for home, Tiz Wonderful is very dangerous today.

2 for 5 Monday with 9/2 ad 8/5 winners is a good appetizer to start the week. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. The train will spend Tuesday in Youngstown, Ohio and the Conductor will be mining for coal. Let’s Sign up at Iron Bets and ride together. Skip.

Race 4: 1m70yds. F.OC 25000n3x

*Gullet Shot of the Day #6 Literary (8/1) – This mare has been facing much tougher in her last two races off a layoff. Her races vs similar competition at Indiana this summer make her a serious contender in here. Switching back to the dirt in her 3rd race off the bench, the Conductor sees her firing a top effort today.

Race 6: 1 Mile. Clm 7500n4L

#7 Money Room (6/1) – This gelding was bumped at the break last time and made a nice middle move before flattening. Now making his 3rd start off a layoff for top connections, the Conductor sees him firing his best effort. His A race would be good enough to put him in the winners’ circle.

#1 Devils Gotta Go (20/1) – The Conductor thinks this bomb is intriguing as well. He came back off the bench at Turfway last time and ran a decent figure on the synthetic. Now shipping to Mahoning and switching back to dirt, he picks up a high % rider in Angel Diaz. It is very interesting that Diaz hops aboard for a low % barn. The Devils Gotta outrun his odds 2nd off a layoff.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 4000n2y

#1 Krug (6/1) – There isn’t much early speed in this race and the Conductor sees Krug repeating his last victory. They sent him to the front and he finished off his race nicely after controlling the pace. Gate to wire.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Alw 25900n2L

#5 Main Line Cipher (8/5) – Nothing creative in the finale for the Conductor. This horse will be the heavy chalk, but the Conductor thinks he’s a cinch. You can lock up all your horizontal bets with Main Line Cipher in the finale.

Well, the Conductor’s coal supply is dwindling. The winter is in full swing and this is not the time to be draining resources. Let’s start the week off hot, and do so at Iron Bets for the most player friendly rewards in horse racing. Mohoning Valley also has player friendly 15% takeout on their pick 3/4/5’s. Let’s Ride.

Race 1: 6 Furlongs. F.Clm 5000

#7 Team Hot Line (9/2) – This mare set a scorching pace in the slop last time going 1 mile. Now she gets back to a fast dirt track and cuts back in distance. She looks to get an ideal trip, and has many past performances that can beat this group. 3/1 or better is a square price.

Race 3: 6 Furlongs. F.S.Clm 15000

#6 Go Girl (8/1) – This mare made a nice middle move into a quick pace over a sloppy track last time. The Conductor likes to see improving early pace figures as a sign of returning to form. She drops to the lowest level of competition she’s faced to date and looks primed to run her best. The favorites look weak in this race.

Race 4: 6 Furlongs. Clm 5000n3L

#7 Markhamian (4/1) – This horse has a major early pace edge over this group. He coughed up the lead in the slop last time, but he has done his best running on a fast dirt track. He gets back to fast dirt today and has past races that would obliterate this field. The Conductor will swing that that he takes them gate to wire at 3/1 or better.

Race 6: 6 Furlongs. S.Alw 40900nc

*Gullet Shot of the Day #4 Henry Mac (6/1) – There is plenty of early speed in this race. The pace looks to set it up perfectly for this gelding. Henry Mac ran a strong closing 2nd cutting back in distance off the bench last time. Now 2nd off the layoff with more pace to run at, the Conductor sees him getting his picture taken. 4/1 or better would be a treat.

Race 7: 1 Mile. Clm 5000n1y

#3 Ubiquitous (4/1) – This gelding was favored dropping to this level for the first time last race. He ran 2nd closing into a slow pace in the mud, and now stretches out to a mile. He’s only had one try at this distance and it wasn’t good, but that was against much tougher. The Conductor doesn’t think the distance will be a problem. He has a class edge over this group and should be a square price.

Race 10: 6 Furlongs. Mdn 24.3k

#1 Mr. Frederickson (6/1) – This colt debuted vs much tougher at Turfway and didn’t stack up. Now he ships into Mahoning Valley adds Lasix and gets the blinkers off. This trainer has a +ROI on the year and is tremendous with 2nd time starters. With 26 2nd timers this year, Israel Acevedo is winning at a 31% clip with a +$0.90 ROI.

Happy Monday passengers. That means if you wager $250 or more on Mahoning Valley at Iron Bets, you get a FREE $20 wager. Mahoning Valley also has player friendly 15% takeout on their pick 3/4/5’s. Let’s start the week off right. Skip.

Race 3: 1 Mile. MC 5000

#1 Convert (6/1) – This lightly raced gelding ran some decent efforts close to par for this level this fall. He has since moved into the Khadeem Galloway barn and is making his return today. Galloway is 19% with a +$0.24 ROI with starters 1st off the claim this year, and his runners fire with this spacing. With horses entering off a 46-90day day break, he’s 26% with a +$1.74 ROI.

Race 6: 1m70yds. Alw 26400n3L

#3 Secret Trouble (5/1) – This race should have a scorching pace with the #1 and #2 vying for the early lead. Secret Trouble is a little light on numbers, but looks to get an ideal stalking trip, and faces his weakest competition to date. He adds blinkers for the first time and gets a rider upgrade today. The Conductor sees him running a career best effort here.