Keeneland and Oaklawn Park: Apple Blossom Day Key Horses

Two racehorses with jockeys in racing gear, one horse is chestnut and the other is a lighter color with a white marking.

A Girl named Patsy ran 2nd at 19/1 yesterday, hopefully you passengers were able to make a few bucks. Another big Saturday of racing ahead with the race of the year to date. In the Apple Blossom, the Conductor will be having wine and swiss tonight. Let’s Ride.

Keeneland

Race 7: 5½ Furlongs. (Turf) F.Alw 83000n2x

#8 Violenza (10/1) – Drawn well to the outside today, this filly ran a very strong 2nd off the layoff last time. She has a very solid 3-year-old foundation and with natural maturity she’s right there with this group. 5 1/2 furlongs is perfect for her.

Race 8: 1 1/16 Mile. OC 80000n3x

#1 Final Jeapardy (8/1) – His last two races on a fast dirt track in the Morey barn are very fast on figures. The favorites in here have question marks and he’s working well. His late pace figures suggest the added distance will help his chances.

Race 9: 1½ Mile. (Turf) G2 Elkhorn Stakes

#7 North Dakota (10/1) – He had no chance last time trying to rally into a slow pace. He beat the favorite in here two back and should get a more favorable trip today with a quicker pace up front. The Conductor would love anything over 6/1.

Oaklawn Park

Race 9: 1 1/8 Mile. G2 Oaklawn H.

#3 Fearless (7/2) – The Conductor liked to see that he can stay closer to the pace and still finish like he did last time. He’s working up a storm and has always possessed major talent. He will not stop, he has some of the strongest late pace figures you’ll see on dirt.

Race 11: 1 1/16 Mile. F.G1 Apple Blossom H.

*Gullet Shot of the Day #2 Swiss Skydiver (2/1) – Now this is the type of race that puts asses in seats. The two big girls square off and there is a lot of steam behind the 3rd choice, #3 Letruska (4/1), who will be on the early lead. The Conductor doesn’t see Swiss Skydiver letting her get too far away early and thinks Albarado will make the first move on the far turn. #6 Monomoy Girl (1/1) will then follow closely and hopefully we get a stretch duel for the ages. When Swiss Skydiver turned away Authentic in the stretch of the Preakness, his hair stood up. He thinks this girl is the best horse in training and Monomoy Girl won’t be able go by. He’ll be singling the #2. Skip.

apple blossom

Breeders’ Cup Distaff Picks and Analysis

A group of racehorses competing on a dirt track during a horse race.

Breeders’ Cup Distaff time. Skip.

Saturday, November 7 – Race 10: 1 1/8 Mile. F.G1 Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff

#1 Ce Ce (12/1) – This is the least competitive race Saturday in the Conductor’s opinion. He’d be shocked if anyone other than #5 Swiss Skydiver or #10 Monomoy Girl won. This filly can’t compete with them.

*#2 Harvest Moon (12/1) – This is the filly with upside that the Conductor will key in the exacta. If one of the big girls doesn’t fire she can get in there. She continues to steadily progress and answer each tougher test.

breeders' cup distaff

#3 Dunbar Road (12/1) – She’s digressed this year, no thanks.

#4 Horologist (8/1) – You can’t knock her last effort, but she’ll be the likely 3rd choice and this is a different class of runners.

#5 Swiss Skydiver (2/1) – This filly’s stretch run in the Preakness will make your hair stand up. She can take down Monomoy Girl unless the Preakness took too much out of her.

#6 Lady Kate (15/1) – She’ll set the early pace and then get engulfed.

#7 Point of Honor (30/1) – This girl has let the Conductor down too many times. However, she’ll be flying late and can round out the trifecta.

#8 Valiance (8/1) – Another possible candidate for 3rd. She is improving and ran very well last time over this Keeneland surface.

#9 Ollie’s Candy (10/1) – This mare always runs well and is chandelier. She hates the winners circle, 3rd at best.

*#10 Monomoy Girl (8/5) – Gun to head the Conductor thinks she’ll beat Swiss Skydiver, but he’s hoping for a showdown. She’s fresh and never loses.

Picks: 10 – 5 – 2