Saratoga Whitney Stakes Day Picks — Saturday, August 3, 2024 | Full Card Analysis

Black and white portrait of an elderly train conductor wearing a cap and uniform, showcasing a serious expression against a train backdrop.

The Conductor’s laptop broke, but he is preserving. Luckily all his capping is already done and he’s ready to attack this Whitney Stakes day card at Saratoga. Only the stakes races remain on the lawn after some rain last night, but that’s enough for the Conductor. Aim small, miss small, but really never miss at all. Skip.

Race 7: 1 3/16 Mile. (Turf) G1 Saratoga Derby Invitational

#5 Deterministic (6/1) – The Conductor likes both of the Clement horses in here. Deterministic ran very well last time in a tough spot for his first start on turf. He closed for 2nd behind a slow pace and should build off that effort. He’s shown he’s a quality horse on dirt and this may be the surface he prefers.

#6 Carson’s Run (8/1) – This colt is the only horse other than the favorite that has a Grade 1 win under his belt. He’s rounding back into his top form and his best efforts last year certainly make him a contender vs this field.

Race 9: 1 1/16 Mile (Inner Turf) Lure Stakes

*Gullet Shot of the Day #1 Kubrick (8/1) – The Conductor likes this colt quite a bit in this race. A genuine stakes horse in France, he shipped to America and romped at Tampa in the spring. He has disappointed since, but the Conductor can forgive his last two efforts. He pressed a quick pace over a yielding turf course at Keeneland and was too far back in a merry go round race last time. Now he looks to get an ideal ground saving trip with a fair pace to run at. This colt will show his true ability today.

aqueduct picks
1 1/8 Mile. G1 Whitney Stakes

#3 National Treasure (9/5) – The Conductor loved this colt in the Met Mile last time and he didn’t disappoint. He looks to be too tough for this group again at a short price, but the Conductor has two bombs up his sleeve to pair him with. #1 Post Time (20/1) ran 2nd behind National Treasure last time and has a good shot to do so again today. He always runs his race and will get a great trip along the Saratoga golden rail. #4 Warrior Johnny (20/1) loves Saratoga and will be finishing late. Although he beat a much weaker group last time, his win was incredible. He was nearly wiped out after the start and somehow rallied to win comfortably. The Whitney is a 3 / 1,4 exacta for the Conductor.

Preakness Stakes Saturday Picks — May 20, 2023 | Preakness Day at Pimlico

Celebration of the 2018 Preakness Stakes winner with a horse adorned in flowers and a crowd of people in formal attire.

Woof, well Friday couldn’t have gone worse in Maryland. That’s what the Conductor gets for leaving New York. We have no choice but to dig our heels in and make Pimlico pay double. There are some nice undercard races prior to the worst Preakness field the Conductor has ever seen. Let’s Ride.

*Gullet Shot of the Day Race 9: 6 Furlongs. F.Skipat Stakes

#6 Gunning (6/1) – This race is loaded with early pace and the Conductor landed on this filly, who will be finishing best. Turning back from a mile, she looks to get a dream trip and Mr. Ductor trusts Prat to time her move correctly. The Pimilico dirt seems to be playing fairer than it has on prior Preakness Saturdays.

Race 10: 5 Furlongs. (Turf) Jim McKay Turf Sprint Stakes

#5 Smokin’ Jay (6/1) – The Conductor thought this gelding had no shot last year in this race and he ran a strong 2nd at 9/1. He gets back to a fast turf surface today and has proven he can pass horses and win at this short 5-furlong distance. He should get a perfect trip sitting behind dueling leaders and he won’t be too far back early. The Conductor sees him going off higher than his morning line and expects him to hit board.

Race 12: 1 Mile. (Turf) James W. Murphy Stakes

#5 Circling the Drain (8/1) – This looks like an open race to the Conductor and he wants a price. This gelding has been running well on dirt and his breeding screams he’ll step forward on the grass. If he does improve, he’ll be getting his picture taken. Mowing is in his blood, let him run. Skip.

Race 13: 1 /8 Mile. G1 Preakness Stakes

#1 National Treasure (4/1) – He’s the only alternative that can beat Mage and the Conductor thinks he will. Mage ran unbelievable in the Derby, but he will regress at off that effort. National Treasure has a big early pace edge over Mage and Mage continues to break poorly. Are you going to bet against a Baffert horse on the lead entering the stretch on a speed favoring track? At a better price to boot. Skip

Preakness